Colchester United v Cheltenham Town — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League Two · 2627
ENG-League Two
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.94–1.38 | 2-1 9% | 64% | 62% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to win | 58.9% | 54.1% | 42.6% | 1.27× | 1.85 |
| Draw | 21.6% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 0.93× | 4.09 |
| Cheltenham Town to win | 19.5% | 19.4% | 31.3% | 0.62× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United & not both score | 31.3% | 29.7% | 23.4% | 1.27× | 3.37 |
| Colchester United & both teams score | 27.6% | 25.2% | 19.4% | 1.30× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 16.4% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 0.92× | 5.58 |
| Cheltenham Town & both teams score | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 0.92× | 7.55 |
| Cheltenham Town & not both score | 9.4% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 0.49× | 11.94 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 1.20× | 11.96 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United & over 1.5 | 48.6% | 45.3% | 30.5% | 1.48× | 2.21 |
| Colchester United & over 2.5 | 38.7% | 34.9% | 23.9% | 1.46× | 2.86 |
| Colchester United & under 3.5 | 36.5% | 34.9% | 29.9% | 1.17× | 2.86 |
| Colchester United & over 3.5 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 12.9% | 1.67× | 4.62 |
| Colchester United & under 2.5 | 20.2% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 1.14× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 16.4% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 0.93× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 15.4% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 0.95× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 15.4% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 0.95× | 5.56 |
| Cheltenham Town & over 1.5 | 14.0% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 0.56× | 7.77 |
| Cheltenham Town & under 3.5 | 14.3% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 0.54× | 7.77 |
| Colchester United & under 1.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 1.05× | 7.78 |
| Cheltenham Town & over 2.5 | 11.3% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 0.74× | 7.78 |
| Cheltenham Town & under 2.5 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 0.56× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 1.06× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 1.06× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 1.13× | 12.69 |
| Cheltenham Town & under 1.5 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 0.94× | 12.69 |
| Cheltenham Town & over 3.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 1.04× | 12.69 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United (1UP) | 71.8% | 75.6% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Cheltenham Town (1UP) | 37.6% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United (2UP) | 58.9% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Cheltenham Town (2UP) | 19.5% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.72 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to win 2nd half | 47.4% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.19 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.4% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Cheltenham Town to win 2nd half | 20.2% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.38 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town (+2.5) | 83.2% | 82.4% | 93.4% | 0.88× | 1.21 |
| Colchester United (+0.5) | 80.5% | 82.4% | 68.7% | 1.20× | 1.21 |
| Cheltenham Town (+1.5) | 65.2% | 68.7% | 81.3% | 0.85× | 1.46 |
| Colchester United (-0.5) | 58.9% | 57.0% | 42.6% | 1.34× | 1.75 |
| Cheltenham Town (+0.5) | 41.1% | 43.0% | 57.4% | 0.75× | 2.33 |
| Colchester United (-1.5) | 34.8% | 31.3% | 18.7% | 1.67× | 3.19 |
| Cheltenham Town (-0.5) | 19.5% | 17.6% | 31.3% | 0.56× | 5.68 |
| Colchester United (-2.5) | 16.8% | 17.6% | 6.6% | 2.66× | 5.68 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town to concede | 85.4% | 86.4% | 76.1% | 1.14× | 1.16 |
| Cheltenham Town clean sheet | 14.6% | 13.6% | 23.9% | 0.57× | 7.37 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town to concede in 1st half | 56.3% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Cheltenham Town clean sheet in 1st half | 43.7% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 97.6% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Cheltenham Town under 2.5 goals | 91.8% | 92.3% | 88.5% | 1.04× | 1.08 |
| Cheltenham Town under 1.5 goals | 73.3% | 71.9% | 65.1% | 1.10× | 1.39 |
| Cheltenham Town over 0.5 goals | 63.5% | 62.9% | 69.8% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| Cheltenham Town under 0.5 goals | 36.5% | 37.1% | 30.2% | 1.23× | 2.70 |
| Cheltenham Town over 1.5 goals | 26.7% | 28.1% | 34.9% | 0.80× | 3.56 |
| Cheltenham Town over 2.5 goals | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 0.67× | 13.06 |
| Cheltenham Town over 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.89× | 41.10 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.8% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Cheltenham Town under 0.5 in 1st half | 66.8% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Cheltenham Town over 0.5 in 1st half | 33.2% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Cheltenham Town over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.2% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.21 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United (away no bet) | 73.2% | 68.6% | 62.0% | 1.11× | 1.46 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 26.8% | 31.4% | 38.0% | 0.83× | 3.18 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town even goals | 56.7% | 56.9% | 55.9% | 1.02× | 1.76 |
| Cheltenham Town odd goals | 43.3% | 43.1% | 44.1% | 0.98× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 82.3% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 17.7% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 67.9% | 68.4% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 32.1% | 31.6% | — | — | 3.17 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 61.4% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Colchester United to score 2+ in a row | 49.5% | 46.2% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 25.6% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Colchester United to score 3+ in a row | 21.9% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
| Cheltenham Town to score 2+ in a row | 18.2% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.09 |
| Cheltenham Town to score 3+ in a row | 4.0% | 2.7% | — | — | 37.69 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 0.93× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 0.94× | 8.73 |
| 2-0 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 1.10× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 0.87× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 1.07× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 0.88× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 0.96× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.18× | 13.46 |
| 3-0 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.71× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.48× | 13.46 |
| Any other score | 5.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.81× | 58.56 |
| 0-2 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 58.58 |
| 0-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.70× | 58.59 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.58 |
| 1-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.59 |
| 2-3 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.58 |
| 2-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.28× | 58.59 |
| 3-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.57 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.59 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.56× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.57 |
| 4-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.57 |
| 4-2 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.64× | 58.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.52× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.56× | 58.59 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United leading at HT (DNB) | 72.0% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Cheltenham Town leading at HT (DNB) | 28.0% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United or draw (1X) | 80.5% | 80.6% | 68.7% | 1.17× | 1.24 |
| Colchester United or Cheltenham Town (12) | 78.4% | 75.6% | 73.8% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Cheltenham Town or draw (X2) | 41.1% | 45.9% | 57.4% | 0.80× | 2.18 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United or draw at HT | 83.1% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Colchester United or Cheltenham Town at HT | 60.3% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Cheltenham Town or draw at HT | 56.6% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United or draw (1UP) | 80.5% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Cheltenham Town or draw (1UP) | 41.1% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United or draw in 2nd half | 79.8% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Colchester United or Cheltenham Town in 2nd half | 67.6% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Cheltenham Town or draw in 2nd half | 52.6% | 54.2% | — | — | 1.84 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.4% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.6% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United (DNB) | 75.2% | 74.6% | 57.6% | 1.29× | 1.34 |
| Cheltenham Town (DNB) | 24.8% | 25.4% | 42.4% | 0.60× | 3.93 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to score first | 62.3% | 64.3% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Cheltenham Town to score first | 32.6% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.70 |
| No goal scored | 5.2% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.67 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54.1% | 51.5% | 52.8% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 45.9% | 48.5% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 43.9% | 41.6% | 40.9% | 1.02× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 33.6% | 34.4% | 39.6% | 0.87× | 2.91 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 12.3% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 1.59× | 8.11 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 1.02× | 8.12 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.7% | 83.2% | 86.3% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.3% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 1.22× | 5.95 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 69.8% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 30.2% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 56.8% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.5% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.72 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.0% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.53 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.7% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.02 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.3% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 57.9% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 42.1% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.1% | 47.4% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.8% | 30.7% | 26.3% | 1.17× | 3.26 |
| 0-1 goals | 21.1% | 22.8% | 27.3% | 0.84× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.25× | 55.12 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 36.0% | 35.1% | 1.03× | 2.78 |
| Cheltenham Town to score exactly 0 | 36.5% | 36.0% | 30.2% | 1.19× | 2.78 |
| Cheltenham Town to score exactly 2 | 18.5% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 0.83× | 5.12 |
| Cheltenham Town to score 3+ | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 0.74× | 11.79 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to score 3+ | 30.3% | 32.6% | 16.6% | 1.96× | 3.07 |
| Colchester United to score exactly 1 | 28.1% | 26.5% | 36.7% | 0.72× | 3.77 |
| Colchester United to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.5% | 23.1% | 1.15× | 3.77 |
| Colchester United to score exactly 0 | 14.6% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 0.60× | 6.96 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United leading at HT | 43.4% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Draw at HT | 39.7% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Cheltenham Town leading at HT | 16.9% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United -1: 2 | 41.1% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Colchester United -1: 1 | 34.8% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.33 |
| Colchester United -1: X | 24.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town (0:1) | 41.1% | 42.7% | 57.4% | 0.74× | 2.34 |
| Colchester United (0:1) | 34.8% | 30.0% | 18.7% | 1.60× | 3.33 |
| Draw (0:1) | 24.1% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 1.01× | 4.11 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town (0:2) | 65.2% | 72.2% | 81.3% | 0.89× | 1.39 |
| Draw (0:2) | 18.0% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 1.25× | 6.53 |
| Colchester United (0:2) | 16.8% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 2.31× | 6.53 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town (0:3) | 83.2% | 85.1% | 93.4% | 0.91× | 1.18 |
| Draw (0:3) | 10.1% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 2.47× | 10.01 |
| Colchester United (0:3) | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.11× | 17.24 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town (0:4) | 93.3% | 94.7% | 97.3% | 0.97× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.62× | 82.95 |
| Colchester United (0:4) | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.24× | 83.21 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United (1:0) | 80.5% | 81.4% | 68.7% | 1.19× | 1.23 |
| Draw (1:0) | 12.7% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 0.73× | 7.80 |
| Cheltenham Town (1:0) | 6.8% | 6.9% | 14.1% | 0.49× | 14.50 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United (2:0) | 93.2% | 94.0% | 85.9% | 1.09× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 4.9% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 0.24× | 44.09 |
| Cheltenham Town (2:0) | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 0.47× | 44.29 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.6% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 23.7% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.12 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to concede | 63.5% | 63.4% | 69.8% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| Colchester United clean sheet | 36.5% | 36.6% | 30.2% | 1.21× | 2.73 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United clean sheet in 1st half | 66.8% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Colchester United to concede in 1st half | 33.2% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United under 3.5 goals | 87.0% | 87.2% | 95.0% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Colchester United over 0.5 goals | 85.4% | 87.2% | 76.1% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Colchester United under 2.5 goals | 69.7% | 68.0% | 83.4% | 0.82× | 1.47 |
| Colchester United over 1.5 goals | 57.4% | 58.8% | 39.6% | 1.49× | 1.70 |
| Colchester United under 1.5 goals | 42.6% | 41.2% | 60.4% | 0.68× | 2.43 |
| Colchester United over 2.5 goals | 30.3% | 32.1% | 16.6% | 1.93× | 3.12 |
| Colchester United under 0.5 goals | 14.6% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 0.53× | 7.83 |
| Colchester United over 3.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 2.55× | 7.83 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United under 1.5 in 1st half | 79.8% | 77.2% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Colchester United over 0.5 in 1st half | 56.3% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Colchester United under 0.5 in 1st half | 43.7% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Colchester United over 1.5 in 1st half | 20.2% | 22.8% | — | — | 4.38 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 52.6% | 51.6% | 45.5% | 1.13× | 1.94 |
| Cheltenham Town (home no bet) | 47.4% | 48.4% | 54.5% | 0.89× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United even goals | 51.1% | 50.6% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Colchester United odd goals | 48.9% | 49.4% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.2% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| HT 1-0 | 24.2% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.12 |
| HT 0-1 | 11.8% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.05 |
| HT 2-0 | 10.0% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.07 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.07 |
| Any other HT score | 5.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.12 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.0% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.62 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.75 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.0% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.78 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.88 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United at HT / Colchester United at FT | 37.1% | 41.1% | — | — | 2.43 |
| Draw at HT / Colchester United at FT | 18.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.7% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Cheltenham Town at HT / Cheltenham Town at FT | 9.8% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.50 |
| Draw at HT / Cheltenham Town at FT | 8.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.55 |
| Colchester United at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.09 |
| Cheltenham Town at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.12 |
| Cheltenham Town at HT / Colchester United at FT | 2.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.17 |
| Colchester United at HT / Cheltenham Town at FT | 1.5% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.22 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to score last | 62.2% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Cheltenham Town to score last | 32.6% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| No goal scored | 5.2% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.67 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.8% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Colchester United to lead by 1 at any time | 71.8% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.7% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Colchester United to lead by 2 at any time | 41.6% | 39.0% | — | — | 2.56 |
| Cheltenham Town to lead by 1 at any time | 37.6% | 34.7% | — | — | 2.88 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.5% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Colchester United to lead by 3 at any time | 19.6% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.68 |
| Cheltenham Town to lead by 2 at any time | 11.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Cheltenham Town to lead by 3 at any time | 2.8% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.05 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.1% | 87.4% | 89.7% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 77.4% | 78.6% | 82.1% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 75.9% | 78.6% | 71.4% | 1.10× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.2% | 72.4% | 69.3% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.6% | 63.5% | 61.7% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 61.0% | 63.5% | 65.6% | 0.97× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 53.2% | 53.1% | 47.2% | 1.13× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 48.5% | 48.7% | 45.1% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.1% | 48.7% | 45.2% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.8% | 39.2% | 37.5% | 1.05× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 38.6% | 39.2% | 44.8% | 0.88× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.8% | 35.4% | 26.3% | 1.34× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 26.1% | 30.2% | 24.2% | 1.25× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.4% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 1.51× | 6.73 |
| 7+ goals | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.74× | 39.44 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United never behind | 57.2% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Cheltenham Town never behind | 23.0% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.09 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 50.8% | 50.4% | 1.01× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 49.2% | 49.6% | 0.99× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.2% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.8% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.6% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.4% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.8% | 92.3% | 93.1% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 92.3% | 92.3% | 96.4% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82.6% | 82.4% | 88.9% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.9% | 77.4% | 72.7% | 1.06× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66.2% | 66.3% | 72.4% | 0.92× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.2% | 58.8% | 48.5% | 1.21× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.8% | 41.2% | 51.5% | 0.80× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.8% | 33.7% | 27.6% | 1.22× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21.1% | 22.6% | 27.3% | 0.83× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17.4% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 1.58× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.17× | 12.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 1.11× | 12.96 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.8% | 97.2% | 98.5% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.4% | 92.5% | 96.2% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 79.2% | 76.0% | 86.7% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 72.8% | 72.6% | 64.0% | 1.13× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 56.4% | 55.5% | 65.1% | 0.85× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 43.6% | 44.5% | 34.9% | 1.27× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 27.3% | 27.4% | 36.0% | 0.76× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 20.8% | 24.0% | 13.3% | 1.80× | 4.16 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.96× | 13.25 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.85× | 36.35 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.3% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.8% | 71.0% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 65.1% | 68.9% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 34.9% | 31.1% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.2% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 81.8% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 75.7% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 50.7% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 49.3% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 24.4% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.2% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.85 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town not to score in both halves | 84.9% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Colchester United not to score in both halves | 62.5% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Colchester United to score in both halves | 37.5% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Cheltenham Town to score in both halves | 15.1% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 54.1% | 54.0% | 52.8% | 1.02× | 1.85 |
| Only Colchester United scores | 31.3% | 33.4% | 23.4% | 1.42× | 3.00 |
| Only Cheltenham Town scores | 9.4% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 0.42× | 13.92 |
| Neither team scores | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 1.03× | 13.96 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 22.7% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 0.93× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 1.08× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 1.05× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.9% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 0.85× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 0.98× | 13.13 |
| 6 or more goals | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.14× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 1.10× | 13.14 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 50.7% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.1% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.2% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.91 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town not to win both halves | 96.6% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Colchester United not to win both halves | 79.5% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Colchester United to win both halves | 20.5% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Cheltenham Town to win both halves | 3.4% | 2.8% | — | — | 35.31 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United to win either half | 70.3% | 72.8% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Cheltenham Town to win neither half | 66.3% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Cheltenham Town to win either half | 33.7% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Colchester United to win neither half | 29.7% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.68 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town not to win to nil | 90.6% | 92.0% | 82.9% | 1.11× | 1.09 |
| Colchester United not to win to nil | 68.7% | 69.7% | 76.6% | 0.91× | 1.44 |
| Colchester United to win to nil | 31.3% | 30.3% | 23.4% | 1.30× | 3.30 |
| Cheltenham Town to win to nil | 9.4% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 0.47× | 12.52 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester United by 1 | 24.1% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 1.00× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 21.6% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 0.92× | 4.14 |
| Colchester United by 2 | 18.0% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 1.38× | 5.90 |
| Colchester United by 3+ | 16.8% | 16.9% | 6.6% | 2.56× | 5.90 |
| Cheltenham Town by 1 | 12.7% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 0.68× | 8.46 |
| Cheltenham Town by 2 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 9.4% | 0.29× | 36.91 |
| Cheltenham Town by 3+ | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 0.56× | 37.01 |