betaider.com

Colchester United v Cheltenham Town — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League Two · 2627

ENG-League Two results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Colchester United win
52.3%
Draw
18.6%
Cheltenham Town win
29.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.94–1.38 2-1 9% 64% 62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to win 58.9% 54.1% 42.6% 1.27× 1.85
Draw 21.6% 24.4% 26.2% 0.93× 4.09
Cheltenham Town to win 19.5% 19.4% 31.3% 0.62× 5.17
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United & not both score 31.3% 29.7% 23.4% 1.27× 3.37
Colchester United & both teams score 27.6% 25.2% 19.4% 1.30× 3.97
Draw & both teams score 16.4% 17.9% 19.4% 0.92× 5.58
Cheltenham Town & both teams score 10.1% 13.2% 14.4% 0.92× 7.55
Cheltenham Town & not both score 9.4% 8.4% 17.1% 0.49× 11.94
Draw & not both score 5.2% 8.4% 6.9% 1.20× 11.96
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United & over 1.5 48.6% 45.3% 30.5% 1.48× 2.21
Colchester United & over 2.5 38.7% 34.9% 23.9% 1.46× 2.86
Colchester United & under 3.5 36.5% 34.9% 29.9% 1.17× 2.86
Colchester United & over 3.5 22.4% 21.6% 12.9% 1.67× 4.62
Colchester United & under 2.5 20.2% 21.6% 18.9% 1.14× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 16.4% 18.0% 19.4% 0.93× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.4% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 15.4% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Cheltenham Town & over 1.5 14.0% 12.9% 23.1% 0.56× 7.77
Cheltenham Town & under 3.5 14.3% 12.9% 23.9% 0.54× 7.77
Colchester United & under 1.5 10.4% 12.9% 12.3% 1.05× 7.78
Cheltenham Town & over 2.5 11.3% 12.9% 17.4% 0.74× 7.78
Cheltenham Town & under 2.5 8.2% 7.9% 14.1% 0.56× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 6.2% 7.9% 7.4% 1.06× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 6.2% 7.9% 7.4% 1.06× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 5.2% 7.9% 6.9% 1.13× 12.69
Cheltenham Town & under 1.5 5.5% 7.9% 8.4% 0.94× 12.69
Cheltenham Town & over 3.5 5.2% 7.9% 7.6% 1.04× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United (1UP) 71.8% 75.6% 1.32
Cheltenham Town (1UP) 37.6% 34.0% 2.94
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United (2UP) 58.9% 55.4% 1.81
Cheltenham Town (2UP) 19.5% 17.5% 5.72
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to win 2nd half 47.4% 45.8% 2.19
2nd half drawn 32.4% 34.4% 2.90
Cheltenham Town to win 2nd half 20.2% 22.9% 4.38
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town (+2.5) 83.2% 82.4% 93.4% 0.88× 1.21
Colchester United (+0.5) 80.5% 82.4% 68.7% 1.20× 1.21
Cheltenham Town (+1.5) 65.2% 68.7% 81.3% 0.85× 1.46
Colchester United (-0.5) 58.9% 57.0% 42.6% 1.34× 1.75
Cheltenham Town (+0.5) 41.1% 43.0% 57.4% 0.75× 2.33
Colchester United (-1.5) 34.8% 31.3% 18.7% 1.67× 3.19
Cheltenham Town (-0.5) 19.5% 17.6% 31.3% 0.56× 5.68
Colchester United (-2.5) 16.8% 17.6% 6.6% 2.66× 5.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town to concede 85.4% 86.4% 76.1% 1.14× 1.16
Cheltenham Town clean sheet 14.6% 13.6% 23.9% 0.57× 7.37
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town to concede in 1st half 56.3% 57.6% 1.74
Cheltenham Town clean sheet in 1st half 43.7% 42.4% 2.36
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town under 3.5 goals 98.1% 97.6% 97.3% 1.00× 1.03
Cheltenham Town under 2.5 goals 91.8% 92.3% 88.5% 1.04× 1.08
Cheltenham Town under 1.5 goals 73.3% 71.9% 65.1% 1.10× 1.39
Cheltenham Town over 0.5 goals 63.5% 62.9% 69.8% 0.90× 1.59
Cheltenham Town under 0.5 goals 36.5% 37.1% 30.2% 1.23× 2.70
Cheltenham Town over 1.5 goals 26.7% 28.1% 34.9% 0.80× 3.56
Cheltenham Town over 2.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 11.5% 0.67× 13.06
Cheltenham Town over 3.5 goals 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 0.89× 41.10
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town under 1.5 in 1st half 93.8% 94.2% 1.06
Cheltenham Town under 0.5 in 1st half 66.8% 67.9% 1.47
Cheltenham Town over 0.5 in 1st half 33.2% 32.1% 3.11
Cheltenham Town over 1.5 in 1st half 6.2% 5.8% 17.21
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United (away no bet) 73.2% 68.6% 62.0% 1.11× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 26.8% 31.4% 38.0% 0.83× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town even goals 56.7% 56.9% 55.9% 1.02× 1.76
Cheltenham Town odd goals 43.3% 43.1% 44.1% 0.98× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 82.3% 83.2% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 17.7% 16.8% 5.94
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 67.9% 68.4% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 32.1% 31.6% 3.17
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.4% 59.5% 1.68
Colchester United to score 2+ in a row 49.5% 46.2% 2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row 25.6% 25.1% 3.98
Colchester United to score 3+ in a row 21.9% 19.3% 5.18
Cheltenham Town to score 2+ in a row 18.2% 16.4% 6.09
Cheltenham Town to score 3+ in a row 4.0% 2.7% 37.69
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-0 10.4% 11.4% 12.3% 0.93× 8.73
1-1 10.2% 11.4% 12.1% 0.94× 8.73
2-0 9.9% 7.4% 6.8% 1.10× 13.46
2-1 9.9% 7.4% 8.6% 0.87× 13.46
0-0 5.2% 7.4% 6.9% 1.07× 13.46
0-1 5.5% 7.4% 8.4% 0.88× 13.46
1-2 5.2% 7.4% 7.8% 0.96× 13.46
2-2 5.0% 7.4% 6.3% 1.18× 13.46
3-0 6.3% 7.4% 2.7% 2.71× 13.46
3-1 6.4% 7.4% 5.0% 1.48× 13.46
Any other score 5.0% 1.7% 2.1% 0.81× 58.56
0-2 2.7% 1.7% 5.8% 0.29× 58.58
0-3 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.70× 58.59
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.76× 58.59
1-3 1.7% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.58
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.17× 58.59
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.06× 58.58
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 5.28× 58.59
3-2 3.2% 1.7% 3.2% 0.53× 58.57
3-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.59
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.2% 10.56× 58.59
4-0 3.1% 1.7% 1.5% 1.17× 58.57
4-1 3.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.57
4-2 1.6% 1.7% 0.6% 2.64× 58.58
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.52× 58.59
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 10.56× 58.59
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United leading at HT (DNB) 72.0% 71.3% 1.40
Cheltenham Town leading at HT (DNB) 28.0% 28.7% 3.48
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United or draw (1X) 80.5% 80.6% 68.7% 1.17× 1.24
Colchester United or Cheltenham Town (12) 78.4% 75.6% 73.8% 1.02× 1.32
Cheltenham Town or draw (X2) 41.1% 45.9% 57.4% 0.80× 2.18
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United or draw at HT 83.1% 84.2% 1.19
Colchester United or Cheltenham Town at HT 60.3% 62.1% 1.61
Cheltenham Town or draw at HT 56.6% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United or draw (1UP) 80.5% 88.3% 1.13
Cheltenham Town or draw (1UP) 41.1% 52.5% 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United or draw in 2nd half 79.8% 77.1% 1.30
Colchester United or Cheltenham Town in 2nd half 67.6% 65.6% 1.53
Cheltenham Town or draw in 2nd half 52.6% 54.2% 1.84
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.4% 58.4% 1.71
Neither half drawn 40.6% 41.6% 2.40
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United (DNB) 75.2% 74.6% 57.6% 1.29× 1.34
Cheltenham Town (DNB) 24.8% 25.4% 42.4% 0.60× 3.93
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to score first 62.3% 64.3% 1.56
Cheltenham Town to score first 32.6% 27.0% 3.70
No goal scored 5.2% 7.3% 13.67
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 54.1% 51.5% 52.8% 0.97× 1.94
Not both teams to score 45.9% 48.5% 47.2% 1.03× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 43.9% 41.6% 40.9% 1.02× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 33.6% 34.4% 39.6% 0.87× 2.91
Not both score & over 2.5 12.3% 12.3% 7.8% 1.59× 8.11
Both score & under 2.5 10.2% 12.3% 12.1% 1.02× 8.12
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.7% 83.2% 86.3% 0.96× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 15.3% 16.8% 13.7% 1.22× 5.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.8% 67.8% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.2% 32.2% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 56.8% 59.8% 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 24.5% 21.2% 4.72
Both score 1st half only 13.0% 10.5% 9.53
Both score in both halves 5.7% 6.7% 15.02
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.3% 82.8% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 18.7% 17.2% 5.82
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 57.9% 57.3% 1.75
A half without a goal 42.1% 42.7% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.1% 47.4% 45.2% 1.05× 2.11
4-6 goals 30.8% 30.7% 26.3% 1.17× 3.26
0-1 goals 21.1% 22.8% 27.3% 0.84× 4.38
7+ goals 3.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.25× 55.12
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.0% 35.1% 1.03× 2.78
Cheltenham Town to score exactly 0 36.5% 36.0% 30.2% 1.19× 2.78
Cheltenham Town to score exactly 2 18.5% 19.5% 23.6% 0.83× 5.12
Cheltenham Town to score 3+ 8.2% 8.5% 11.5% 0.74× 11.79
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to score 3+ 30.3% 32.6% 16.6% 1.96× 3.07
Colchester United to score exactly 1 28.1% 26.5% 36.7% 0.72× 3.77
Colchester United to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.5% 23.1% 1.15× 3.77
Colchester United to score exactly 0 14.6% 14.4% 23.9% 0.60× 6.96
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United leading at HT 43.4% 43.2% 2.31
Draw at HT 39.7% 37.9% 2.64
Cheltenham Town leading at HT 16.9% 15.8% 6.32
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United -1: 2 41.1% 42.7% 2.34
Colchester United -1: 1 34.8% 30.0% 3.33
Colchester United -1: X 24.1% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town (0:1) 41.1% 42.7% 57.4% 0.74× 2.34
Colchester United (0:1) 34.8% 30.0% 18.7% 1.60× 3.33
Draw (0:1) 24.1% 24.3% 24.1% 1.01× 4.11
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town (0:2) 65.2% 72.2% 81.3% 0.89× 1.39
Draw (0:2) 18.0% 15.3% 12.3% 1.25× 6.53
Colchester United (0:2) 16.8% 15.3% 6.6% 2.31× 6.53
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town (0:3) 83.2% 85.1% 93.4% 0.91× 1.18
Draw (0:3) 10.1% 10.0% 4.0% 2.47× 10.01
Colchester United (0:3) 6.7% 5.8% 2.7% 2.11× 17.24
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town (0:4) 93.3% 94.7% 97.3% 0.97× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.5% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 82.95
Colchester United (0:4) 2.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.24× 83.21
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United (1:0) 80.5% 81.4% 68.7% 1.19× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 12.7% 12.8% 17.4% 0.73× 7.80
Cheltenham Town (1:0) 6.8% 6.9% 14.1% 0.49× 14.50
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United (2:0) 93.2% 94.0% 85.9% 1.09× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 4.9% 2.3% 9.4% 0.24× 44.09
Cheltenham Town (2:0) 1.9% 2.3% 4.8% 0.47× 44.29
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.6% 48.2% 2.07
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 23.7% 24.2% 4.12
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to concede 63.5% 63.4% 69.8% 0.91× 1.58
Colchester United clean sheet 36.5% 36.6% 30.2% 1.21× 2.73
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United clean sheet in 1st half 66.8% 68.2% 1.47
Colchester United to concede in 1st half 33.2% 31.8% 3.15
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United under 3.5 goals 87.0% 87.2% 95.0% 0.92× 1.15
Colchester United over 0.5 goals 85.4% 87.2% 76.1% 1.15× 1.15
Colchester United under 2.5 goals 69.7% 68.0% 83.4% 0.82× 1.47
Colchester United over 1.5 goals 57.4% 58.8% 39.6% 1.49× 1.70
Colchester United under 1.5 goals 42.6% 41.2% 60.4% 0.68× 2.43
Colchester United over 2.5 goals 30.3% 32.1% 16.6% 1.93× 3.12
Colchester United under 0.5 goals 14.6% 12.8% 23.9% 0.53× 7.83
Colchester United over 3.5 goals 13.0% 12.8% 5.0% 2.55× 7.83
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United under 1.5 in 1st half 79.8% 77.2% 1.30
Colchester United over 0.5 in 1st half 56.3% 57.2% 1.75
Colchester United under 0.5 in 1st half 43.7% 42.8% 2.34
Colchester United over 1.5 in 1st half 20.2% 22.8% 4.38
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 52.6% 51.6% 45.5% 1.13× 1.94
Cheltenham Town (home no bet) 47.4% 48.4% 54.5% 0.89× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United even goals 51.1% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Colchester United odd goals 48.9% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 29.2% 28.7% 3.48
HT 1-0 24.2% 24.3% 4.12
HT 0-1 11.8% 11.0% 9.05
HT 2-0 10.0% 11.0% 9.07
HT 1-1 9.7% 7.1% 14.07
Any other HT score 5.9% 7.1% 14.12
HT 2-1 4.0% 2.2% 44.62
HT 0-2 2.4% 2.2% 44.75
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.2% 44.78
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.2% 44.88
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United at HT / Colchester United at FT 37.1% 41.1% 2.43
Draw at HT / Colchester United at FT 18.9% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.7% 12.7% 7.89
Cheltenham Town at HT / Cheltenham Town at FT 9.8% 6.1% 16.50
Draw at HT / Cheltenham Town at FT 8.1% 6.0% 16.55
Colchester United at HT / Draw at FT 4.7% 3.4% 29.09
Cheltenham Town at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.4% 29.12
Cheltenham Town at HT / Colchester United at FT 2.9% 3.4% 29.17
Colchester United at HT / Cheltenham Town at FT 1.5% 3.4% 29.22
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to score last 62.2% 62.3% 1.61
Cheltenham Town to score last 32.6% 32.8% 3.05
No goal scored 5.2% 7.3% 13.67
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.8% 92.8% 1.08
Colchester United to lead by 1 at any time 71.8% 74.0% 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 52.7% 50.6% 1.98
Colchester United to lead by 2 at any time 41.6% 39.0% 2.56
Cheltenham Town to lead by 1 at any time 37.6% 34.7% 2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 22.5% 19.6% 5.10
Colchester United to lead by 3 at any time 19.6% 15.0% 6.68
Cheltenham Town to lead by 2 at any time 11.4% 10.4% 9.59
Cheltenham Town to lead by 3 at any time 2.8% 1.6% 63.05
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.1% 87.4% 89.7% 0.98× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.4% 78.6% 82.1% 0.96× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.9% 78.6% 71.4% 1.10× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.2% 72.4% 69.3% 1.04× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.6% 63.5% 61.7% 1.03× 1.58
1-3 goals 61.0% 63.5% 65.6% 0.97× 1.58
3-6 goals 53.2% 53.1% 47.2% 1.13× 1.88
3-5 goals 48.5% 48.7% 45.1% 1.08× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.1% 48.7% 45.2% 1.08× 2.06
3-4 goals 38.8% 39.2% 37.5% 1.05× 2.55
1-2 goals 38.6% 39.2% 44.8% 0.88× 2.55
4-6 goals 30.8% 35.4% 26.3% 1.34× 2.83
4-5 goals 26.1% 30.2% 24.2% 1.25× 3.31
5-6 goals 14.4% 14.9% 9.9% 1.51× 6.73
7+ goals 3.0% 2.5% 1.5% 1.74× 39.44
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United never behind 57.2% 62.6% 1.60
Cheltenham Town never behind 23.0% 24.4% 4.09
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.8% 50.4% 1.01× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.2% 49.6% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.2% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 45.8% 48.4% 2.06
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.6% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.4% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.8% 92.3% 93.1% 0.99× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 92.3% 92.3% 96.4% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 82.6% 82.4% 88.9% 0.93× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 78.9% 77.4% 72.7% 1.06× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 66.2% 66.3% 72.4% 0.92× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 56.2% 58.8% 48.5% 1.21× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 43.8% 41.2% 51.5% 0.80× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 33.8% 33.7% 27.6% 1.22× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 21.1% 22.6% 27.3% 0.83× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 17.4% 17.6% 11.1% 1.58× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 7.7% 7.7% 3.6% 2.17× 12.95
Under 0.5 goals 5.2% 7.7% 6.9% 1.11× 12.96
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.8% 97.2% 98.5% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 91.4% 92.5% 96.2% 0.96× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 79.2% 76.0% 86.7% 0.88× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 72.8% 72.6% 64.0% 1.13× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 56.4% 55.5% 65.1% 0.85× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 43.6% 44.5% 34.9% 1.27× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 27.3% 27.4% 36.0% 0.76× 3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 20.8% 24.0% 13.3% 1.80× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 8.6% 7.5% 3.8% 1.96× 13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.2% 2.8% 1.5% 1.85× 36.35
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.3% 89.3% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 70.8% 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 65.1% 68.9% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 34.9% 31.1% 3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half 29.2% 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half 12.7% 10.7% 9.34
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 81.8% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 75.7% 79.9% 1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 50.7% 53.0% 1.89
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 49.3% 47.0% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 20.1% 4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 18.2% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town not to score in both halves 84.9% 84.4% 1.19
Colchester United not to score in both halves 62.5% 63.5% 1.58
Colchester United to score in both halves 37.5% 36.5% 2.74
Cheltenham Town to score in both halves 15.1% 15.6% 6.41
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 54.1% 54.0% 52.8% 1.02× 1.85
Only Colchester United scores 31.3% 33.4% 23.4% 1.42× 3.00
Only Cheltenham Town scores 9.4% 7.2% 17.1% 0.42× 13.92
Neither team scores 5.2% 7.2% 6.9% 1.03× 13.96
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.7% 22.6% 24.4% 0.93× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 21.0% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.4% 17.4% 16.6% 1.05× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 15.9% 17.4% 20.5% 0.85× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 9.6% 7.6% 7.8% 0.98× 13.13
6 or more goals 7.7% 7.6% 3.6% 2.14× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 5.2% 7.6% 6.9% 1.10× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 50.7% 50.9% 1.97
1 goal in 2nd half 31.1% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 18.2% 16.9% 5.91
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town not to win both halves 96.6% 97.2% 1.03
Colchester United not to win both halves 79.5% 75.5% 1.32
Colchester United to win both halves 20.5% 24.5% 4.08
Cheltenham Town to win both halves 3.4% 2.8% 35.31
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United to win either half 70.3% 72.8% 1.37
Cheltenham Town to win neither half 66.3% 67.7% 1.48
Cheltenham Town to win either half 33.7% 32.3% 3.10
Colchester United to win neither half 29.7% 27.2% 3.68
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Cheltenham Town not to win to nil 90.6% 92.0% 82.9% 1.11× 1.09
Colchester United not to win to nil 68.7% 69.7% 76.6% 0.91× 1.44
Colchester United to win to nil 31.3% 30.3% 23.4% 1.30× 3.30
Cheltenham Town to win to nil 9.4% 8.0% 17.1% 0.47× 12.52
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Colchester United by 1 24.1% 24.1% 24.1% 1.00× 4.14
Draw 21.6% 24.1% 26.2% 0.92× 4.14
Colchester United by 2 18.0% 16.9% 12.3% 1.38× 5.90
Colchester United by 3+ 16.8% 16.9% 6.6% 2.56× 5.90
Cheltenham Town by 1 12.7% 11.8% 17.4% 0.68× 8.46
Cheltenham Town by 2 4.9% 2.7% 9.4% 0.29× 36.91
Cheltenham Town by 3+ 1.9% 2.7% 4.8% 0.56× 37.01
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide