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Como v Monza — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 30 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–1
1.39 – 1.76 xG
Shots
17 – 9
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
13 – 7
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.20
Set-piece xG
0.72 – 1.11
Goals − xG
-0.39 – -0.76
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.52.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Yannick Engelhardt 35' — goalGianluca Caprari 53' — goal
Como 1.39 xGMonza 1.76 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Alieu Fadera 3' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alieu Fadera 7' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 12' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Georgios Kyriakopoulos 12' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dany Mota 15' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Nico Paz 19' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Patrick Cutrone 19' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Nico Paz 25' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Alessandro Bianco 29' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Luca Caldirola 31' — Saved Shot (0.21 xG, From Corner)Edoardo Goldaniga 35' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Yannick Engelhardt 35' — Goal (0.33 xG, From Corner)Gabriel Strefezza 45' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Caprari 53' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Patrick Cutrone 55' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Daniel Maldini 57' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Patrick Cutrone 63' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Andrea Belotti 72' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Nico Paz 73' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Simone Verdi 76' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alessio Iovine 79' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Milan Djuric 88' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Set Piece)Nico Paz 89' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Marc-Oliver Kempf 91' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Milan Djuric 92' — Shot On Post (0.46 xG, Open Play)Andrea Belotti 94' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)
Como attacking right Monza attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Como Alieu Fadera 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Patrick Cutrone
7' Como Alieu Fadera 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Patrick Cutrone
12' Monza Dany Mota 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
12' Monza Georgios Kyriakopoulos 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alessandro Bianco
15' Monza Dany Mota 0.01 Set Piece Missed Shot Gianluca Caprari
19' Como Nico Paz 0.09 From Corner Missed Shot Lucas Da Cunha
19' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.04 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot Lucas Da Cunha
25' Como Nico Paz 0.04 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot
29' Monza Alessandro Bianco 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dany Mota
31' Monza Luca Caldirola 0.21 From Corner Saved Shot Alessandro Bianco
35' Como Edoardo Goldaniga 0.05 From Corner Blocked Shot Gabriel Strefezza
35' Como Yannick Engelhardt 0.33 From Corner Goal
45' Como Gabriel Strefezza 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Patrick Cutrone
53' Monza Gianluca Caprari 0.76 Right Foot Goal
55' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Alieu Fadera
57' Monza Daniel Maldini 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
63' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
72' Como Andrea Belotti 0.05 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Yannick Engelhardt
73' Como Nico Paz 0.06 From Corner Blocked Shot Simone Verdi
76' Como Simone Verdi 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Yannick Engelhardt
79' Como Alessio Iovine 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
88' Monza Milan Djuric 0.13 Set Piece Missed Shot Daniel Maldini
89' Como Nico Paz 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
91' Como Marc-Oliver Kempf 0.04 From Corner Blocked Shot Simone Verdi
92' Monza Milan Djuric 0.46 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Daniel Maldini
94' Como Andrea Belotti 0.13 Open Play Missed Shot Simone Verdi

Players

Monza

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Milan Djuric FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.59 0.00 0.54
Alessandro Bianco MC 90 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.23 0.14
Georgios Kyriakopoulos DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Andrea Carboni DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Warren Bondo MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Pablo Marí DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.54
Stefano Turati GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Caprari AMC 82 1 0 1 1 0.76 0.01 0.04
Luca Caldirola DC 82 0 0 1 0 0.21 0.00 0.00
Pedro Pereira DMR 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Dany Mota AMC 47 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.04 0.09
Daniel Maldini Sub 43 0 0 1 2 0.08 0.59 0.54
Samuele Birindelli Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Danilo D'Ambrosio Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mattia Valoti Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Como

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Yannick Engelhardt DMC 90 1 0 1 2 0.33 0.10 0.43
Nico Paz AMC 90 0 0 4 0 0.26 0.00 0.23
Edoardo Goldaniga DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.39
Marc-Oliver Kempf DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.29
Lucas Da Cunha DMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.13 0.39
José Reina GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gabriel Strefezza AMR 89 0 0 1 1 0.13 0.05 0.32
Alberto Moreno DL 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Patrick Cutrone FW 70 0 0 3 3 0.17 0.29 0.42
Alieu Fadera AML 69 0 0 2 1 0.16 0.09 0.25
Ignace Van der Brempt DR 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.25
Simone Verdi Sub 21 0 0 1 3 0.05 0.23 0.18
Alessio Iovine Sub 21 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.13
Andrea Belotti Sub 20 0 0 2 0 0.18 0.00 0.18
Marco Sala Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Alessandro Gabrielloni Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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