Coventry v Hull — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 29 August 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627
Premier League
xG Prediction generated
Shots
11 – 6
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
6 – 1
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.03 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-1.18 – +0.54
AI prediction
ai-blend-oos No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Coventry win
23.3%
Draw
30.3%
Hull win
46.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend-oos | 0.90–1.37 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Away ✓ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals.
A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its
line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.
Expected goals by minute
Coventry 1.18 xGHull 0.46 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance;
filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings;
lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping.
Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.
Shot map
Coventry attacking right
Hull attacking left
Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3' |
 Coventry |
Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.11 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Jack Rudoni |
| 5' |
Coventry |
Loum Tchaouna | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Jack Rudoni |
| 6' |
Coventry |
Jack Rudoni | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Taiwo Awoniyi |
| 17' |
Coventry |
Caleb Yirenkyi | 0.03 | Open Play | — | Blocked Shot | Ephron Mason-Clark |
| 20' |
 Hull |
Elliot Stroud | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Hidemasa Morita |
| 21' |
Coventry |
Aurèle Amenda | 0.01 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Matt Grimes |
| 21' |
Coventry |
Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.06 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Caleb Yirenkyi |
| 34' |
Coventry |
Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.13 | Open Play | — | Missed Shot | Loum Tchaouna |
| 37' |
Coventry |
Taiwo Awoniyi | 0.64 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 49' |
Hull |
Nobel Mendy | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | — |
| 69' |
Coventry |
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | 0.03 | Open Play | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Milan van Ewijk |
| 70' |
Coventry |
Matt Grimes | 0.03 | From Corner | Left Foot | Blocked Shot | Taiwo Awoniyi |
| 73' |
Hull |
Liam Millar | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Oliver McBurnie |
| 78' |
Hull |
Mohamed Belloumi | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ryan John Giles |
| 81' |
Hull |
Liam Millar | 0.26 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Mohamed Belloumi |
| 90' |
Coventry |
Jay Dasilva | 0.10 | Open Play | — | Saved Shot | Milan van Ewijk |
| 94' |
Hull |
Liam Millar | 0.01 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
Players
Coventry
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwo Awoniyi FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.94 | 0.05 | 1.06 |
| Jay Dasilva DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Matt Grimes DMC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.38 |
| Aurèle Amenda DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| Carl Rushworth GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Milan van Ewijk DR | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| Bobby Thomas DC | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Caleb Yirenkyi DMC | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.37 |
| Jack Rudoni AMC | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Loum Tchaouna AMR | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.38 |
| Ephron Mason-Clark AML | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante Sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Gustavo Hamer Sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Victor Torp Sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Ethan Pinnock Sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Hull
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan John Giles DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Regan Slater MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Oliver McBurnie FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Konstantinos Tzolakis GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| John Egan DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semi Ajayi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Mohamed Belloumi MR | 85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| Elliot Stroud ML | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Nobel Mendy DC | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Hidemasa Morita MC | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Lewie Coyle DR | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lucas Gourna Douath Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| Cody Drameh Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Liam Millar Sub | 29 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| Lucas Herrington Sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Mohamed Ali-Cho Sub | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |