Crewe Alexandra v Shrewsbury Town — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-League Two · 2627
ENG-League Two
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.88–0.66 | 1-0 15% | 47% | 41% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra to win | 66.7% | 65.0% | 42.6% | 1.53× | 1.54 |
| Draw | 20.9% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 0.93× | 4.09 |
| Shrewsbury Town to win | 12.4% | 13.3% | 31.3% | 0.42× | 7.51 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra & not both score | 44.1% | 40.2% | 23.4% | 1.71× | 2.49 |
| Crewe Alexandra & both teams score | 22.6% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 1.13× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 13.1% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 0.68× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 1.21× | 11.94 |
| Shrewsbury Town & not both score | 7.5% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 0.49× | 11.95 |
| Shrewsbury Town & both teams score | 4.9% | 4.9% | 14.4% | 0.34× | 20.46 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra & over 1.5 | 51.7% | 48.7% | 30.5% | 1.60× | 2.05 |
| Crewe Alexandra & under 3.5 | 46.9% | 45.2% | 29.9% | 1.51× | 2.21 |
| Crewe Alexandra & over 2.5 | 37.7% | 34.9% | 23.9% | 1.46× | 2.86 |
| Crewe Alexandra & under 2.5 | 29.0% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 1.38× | 3.84 |
| Crewe Alexandra & over 3.5 | 19.8% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 1.39× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.4% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 0.95× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.4% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 0.95× | 5.56 |
| Crewe Alexandra & under 1.5 | 15.0% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 1.47× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 13.1% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 0.66× | 7.78 |
| Shrewsbury Town & under 3.5 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 0.54× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 1.13× | 12.69 |
| Shrewsbury Town & over 1.5 | 7.1% | 7.9% | 23.1% | 0.34× | 12.69 |
| Shrewsbury Town & under 2.5 | 7.0% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 0.56× | 12.69 |
| Shrewsbury Town & under 1.5 | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 0.94× | 12.69 |
| Shrewsbury Town & over 2.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 17.4% | 0.45× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 0.64× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 0.64× | 20.93 |
| Shrewsbury Town & over 3.5 | 1.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 0.63× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (1UP) | 75.6% | 79.1% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Shrewsbury Town (1UP) | 26.5% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (2UP) | 66.7% | 68.8% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Shrewsbury Town (2UP) | 12.4% | 13.4% | — | — | 7.44 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra to win 2nd half | 52.6% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.8% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Shrewsbury Town to win 2nd half | 13.6% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.24 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (+0.5) | 87.6% | 88.5% | 68.7% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| Shrewsbury Town (+2.5) | 80.3% | 82.4% | 93.4% | 0.88× | 1.21 |
| Crewe Alexandra (-0.5) | 66.7% | 68.7% | 42.6% | 1.61× | 1.46 |
| Shrewsbury Town (+1.5) | 59.6% | 57.0% | 81.3% | 0.70× | 1.75 |
| Crewe Alexandra (-1.5) | 40.4% | 43.0% | 18.7% | 2.29× | 2.33 |
| Shrewsbury Town (+0.5) | 33.3% | 31.3% | 57.4% | 0.55× | 3.20 |
| Crewe Alexandra (-2.5) | 19.7% | 17.6% | 6.6% | 2.66× | 5.68 |
| Shrewsbury Town (-0.5) | 12.4% | 11.5% | 31.3% | 0.37× | 8.69 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town to concede | 84.7% | 81.3% | 76.1% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| Shrewsbury Town clean sheet | 15.3% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 0.78× | 5.36 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town to concede in 1st half | 55.4% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Shrewsbury Town clean sheet in 1st half | 44.6% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town under 3.5 goals | 99.5% | 97.6% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Shrewsbury Town under 2.5 goals | 97.1% | 97.6% | 88.5% | 1.10× | 1.03 |
| Shrewsbury Town under 1.5 goals | 85.9% | 87.9% | 65.1% | 1.35× | 1.14 |
| Shrewsbury Town under 0.5 goals | 51.8% | 53.7% | 30.2% | 1.78× | 1.86 |
| Shrewsbury Town over 0.5 goals | 48.2% | 46.3% | 69.8% | 0.66× | 2.16 |
| Shrewsbury Town over 1.5 goals | 14.1% | 12.1% | 34.9% | 0.35× | 8.24 |
| Shrewsbury Town over 2.5 goals | 2.9% | 2.4% | 11.5% | 0.21× | 41.04 |
| Shrewsbury Town over 3.5 goals | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.88× | 41.18 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town under 1.5 in 1st half | 97.1% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Shrewsbury Town under 0.5 in 1st half | 76.9% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Shrewsbury Town over 0.5 in 1st half | 23.1% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| Shrewsbury Town over 1.5 in 1st half | 2.9% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.83 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (away no bet) | 76.1% | 73.6% | 62.0% | 1.19× | 1.36 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 23.9% | 26.4% | 38.0% | 0.69× | 3.79 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town even goals | 63.4% | 59.1% | 55.9% | 1.06× | 1.69 |
| Shrewsbury Town odd goals | 36.6% | 40.9% | 44.1% | 0.93× | 2.45 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 87.5% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 12.5% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.28 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 59.5% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 40.5% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 56.8% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Crewe Alexandra to score 2+ in a row | 50.7% | 51.1% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 24.6% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.16 |
| Crewe Alexandra to score 3+ in a row | 23.3% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.17 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score 2+ in a row | 9.2% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.79 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score 3+ in a row | 1.4% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.28 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 1.12× | 7.28 |
| 2-0 | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.69× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 0.61× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 0.87× | 13.46 |
| 3-0 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.71× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 1.07× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 0.88× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.48× | 13.46 |
| 0-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 58.58 |
| 0-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.70× | 58.59 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.59 |
| 1-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 58.57 |
| 1-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.59 |
| 1-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.59 |
| 2-2 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.58 |
| 2-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.59 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.28× | 58.59 |
| 3-2 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.58 |
| 3-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.59 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.56× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.57 |
| 4-1 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.58 |
| 4-2 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.64× | 58.59 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.52× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.56× | 58.59 |
| Any other score | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.81× | 58.57 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra leading at HT (DNB) | 80.4% | 85.8% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Shrewsbury Town leading at HT (DNB) | 19.6% | 14.2% | — | — | 7.06 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra or draw (1X) | 87.6% | 86.7% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.15 |
| Crewe Alexandra or Shrewsbury Town (12) | 79.1% | 75.6% | 73.8% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Shrewsbury Town or draw (X2) | 33.3% | 35.0% | 57.4% | 0.61× | 2.86 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra or draw at HT | 88.6% | 88.4% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Crewe Alexandra or Shrewsbury Town at HT | 58.1% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Shrewsbury Town or draw at HT | 53.3% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra or draw (1UP) | 87.6% | 91.7% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Shrewsbury Town or draw (1UP) | 33.3% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra or draw in 2nd half | 86.4% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Crewe Alexandra or Shrewsbury Town in 2nd half | 66.2% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Shrewsbury Town or draw in 2nd half | 47.4% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.7% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 38.3% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (DNB) | 84.3% | 80.5% | 57.6% | 1.40× | 1.24 |
| Shrewsbury Town (DNB) | 15.7% | 19.5% | 42.4% | 0.46× | 5.12 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra to score first | 68.3% | 69.7% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score first | 23.9% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.32 |
| No goal scored | 7.8% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.51 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 59.3% | 54.8% | 47.2% | 1.16× | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | 40.7% | 45.2% | 52.8% | 0.86× | 2.21 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 43.8% | 41.6% | 39.6% | 1.05× | 2.41 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 31.0% | 34.4% | 40.9% | 0.84× | 2.91 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 15.5% | 21.7% | 7.8% | 2.80× | 4.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 0.69× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 92.1% | 89.1% | 86.3% | 1.03× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 0.79× | 9.18 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 78.6% | 75.2% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 21.4% | 24.8% | — | — | 4.04 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 68.6% | 63.0% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 18.6% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.36 |
| Both score 1st half only | 10.0% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.7% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.39 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 87.2% | 85.5% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 12.8% | 14.5% | — | — | 6.90 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 50.5% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| A half without a goal | 49.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.9% | 47.4% | 45.2% | 1.05× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 28.1% | 26.4% | 27.3% | 0.97× | 3.78 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.5% | 22.8% | 26.3% | 0.87× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.24× | 55.28 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town to score exactly 0 | 51.8% | 47.3% | 30.2% | 1.57× | 2.11 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score exactly 1 | 34.1% | 33.9% | 35.1% | 0.97× | 2.95 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score exactly 2 | 11.2% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.81 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score 3+ | 2.9% | 4.5% | 11.5% | 0.39× | 22.28 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra to score 3+ | 29.1% | 26.5% | 16.6% | 1.59× | 3.77 |
| Crewe Alexandra to score exactly 1 | 28.7% | 26.5% | 36.7% | 0.72× | 3.77 |
| Crewe Alexandra to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.5% | 23.1% | 1.15× | 3.77 |
| Crewe Alexandra to score exactly 0 | 15.3% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 0.79× | 5.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra leading at HT | 46.7% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Draw at HT | 41.9% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Shrewsbury Town leading at HT | 11.4% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.59 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra -1: 1 | 40.4% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Crewe Alexandra -1: 2 | 33.3% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.33 |
| Crewe Alexandra -1: X | 26.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (0:1) | 40.4% | 42.6% | 18.7% | 2.28× | 2.35 |
| Shrewsbury Town (0:1) | 33.3% | 30.0% | 57.4% | 0.52× | 3.34 |
| Draw (0:1) | 26.3% | 27.0% | 24.1% | 1.12× | 3.70 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town (0:2) | 59.6% | 62.9% | 81.3% | 0.77× | 1.59 |
| Draw (0:2) | 20.7% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 1.65× | 4.93 |
| Crewe Alexandra (0:2) | 19.7% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 2.31× | 6.52 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town (0:3) | 80.3% | 85.0% | 93.4% | 0.91× | 1.18 |
| Draw (0:3) | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 2.48× | 9.98 |
| Crewe Alexandra (0:3) | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.11× | 17.22 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town (0:4) | 92.1% | 94.7% | 97.3% | 0.97× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.37× | 21.80 |
| Crewe Alexandra (0:4) | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.24× | 83.16 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (1:0) | 87.6% | 86.4% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 9.3% | 6.9% | 17.4% | 0.40× | 14.45 |
| Shrewsbury Town (1:0) | 3.1% | 3.2% | 14.1% | 0.23× | 31.58 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (2:0) | 96.9% | 96.9% | 85.9% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 2.5% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 0.24× | 44.25 |
| Shrewsbury Town (2:0) | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 0.47× | 44.38 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.3% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 26.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra clean sheet | 51.8% | 53.1% | 30.2% | 1.76× | 1.88 |
| Crewe Alexandra to concede | 48.2% | 46.9% | 69.8% | 0.67× | 2.13 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra clean sheet in 1st half | 76.9% | 77.5% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Crewe Alexandra to concede in 1st half | 23.1% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.44 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra under 3.5 goals | 87.8% | 87.2% | 95.0% | 0.92× | 1.15 |
| Crewe Alexandra over 0.5 goals | 84.7% | 82.2% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Crewe Alexandra under 2.5 goals | 70.9% | 74.2% | 83.4% | 0.89× | 1.35 |
| Crewe Alexandra over 1.5 goals | 56.0% | 58.8% | 39.6% | 1.49× | 1.70 |
| Crewe Alexandra under 1.5 goals | 44.0% | 41.2% | 60.4% | 0.68× | 2.43 |
| Crewe Alexandra over 2.5 goals | 29.1% | 25.8% | 16.6% | 1.55× | 3.88 |
| Crewe Alexandra under 0.5 goals | 15.3% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 0.75× | 5.61 |
| Crewe Alexandra over 3.5 goals | 12.2% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 2.55× | 7.84 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra under 1.5 in 1st half | 80.6% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Crewe Alexandra over 0.5 in 1st half | 55.4% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Crewe Alexandra under 0.5 in 1st half | 44.6% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Crewe Alexandra over 1.5 in 1st half | 19.4% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 62.7% | 60.2% | 45.5% | 1.32× | 1.66 |
| Shrewsbury Town (home no bet) | 37.3% | 39.8% | 54.5% | 0.73× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra even goals | 51.2% | 50.6% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Crewe Alexandra odd goals | 48.8% | 49.4% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 34.3% | 32.6% | — | — | 3.07 |
| HT 1-0 | 27.7% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.49 |
| HT 2-0 | 11.2% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.10 |
| Any other HT score | 5.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.9% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.71 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.2% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.85 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.0% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.87 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.91 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra at HT / Crewe Alexandra at FT | 42.3% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Draw at HT / Crewe Alexandra at FT | 22.1% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.52 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Shrewsbury Town at HT / Shrewsbury Town at FT | 5.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.62 |
| Draw at HT / Shrewsbury Town at FT | 5.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.62 |
| Crewe Alexandra at HT / Draw at FT | 3.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.14 |
| Shrewsbury Town at HT / Draw at FT | 3.2% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.16 |
| Shrewsbury Town at HT / Crewe Alexandra at FT | 2.3% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.19 |
| Crewe Alexandra at HT / Shrewsbury Town at FT | 0.8% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.26 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra to score last | 68.3% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score last | 23.9% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.75 |
| No goal scored | 7.8% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.51 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.2% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Crewe Alexandra to lead by 1 at any time | 75.6% | 78.4% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 50.7% | 50.5% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Crewe Alexandra to lead by 2 at any time | 45.3% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Shrewsbury Town to lead by 1 at any time | 26.5% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.7% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Crewe Alexandra to lead by 3 at any time | 21.8% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Shrewsbury Town to lead by 2 at any time | 5.5% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.42 |
| Shrewsbury Town to lead by 3 at any time | 0.9% | 1.5% | — | — | 65.08 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.8% | 87.4% | 89.7% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.9% | 83.5% | 82.1% | 1.02× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 70.4% | 72.4% | 71.4% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 67.4% | 69.0% | 69.3% | 1.00× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 67.2% | 69.0% | 65.6% | 1.05× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.5% | 63.5% | 61.7% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.9% | 48.7% | 45.2% | 1.08× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 45.7% | 48.7% | 44.8% | 1.09× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 45.0% | 48.7% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 42.1% | 43.6% | 45.1% | 0.97× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 35.2% | 39.2% | 37.5% | 1.04× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 23.5% | 24.5% | 26.3% | 0.93× | 4.09 |
| 4-5 goals | 20.6% | 24.4% | 24.2% | 1.01× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 0.89× | 11.42 |
| 7+ goals | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.74× | 39.51 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra never behind | 65.7% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Shrewsbury Town never behind | 16.6% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.44 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 50.0% | 50.8% | 49.6% | 1.02× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.0% | 49.2% | 50.4% | 0.98× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.8% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.2% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.6% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.4% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.6% | 95.5% | 96.4% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.3% | 93.1% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88.6% | 87.7% | 88.9% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75.0% | 72.6% | 72.4% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.9% | 72.5% | 72.7% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53.5% | 52.4% | 51.5% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.5% | 47.6% | 48.5% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28.1% | 27.5% | 27.3% | 1.01× | 3.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.0% | 27.4% | 27.6% | 0.99× | 3.64 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 1.11× | 8.12 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 1.11× | 12.95 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.27× | 22.18 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.4% | 97.3% | 98.5% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 95.2% | 97.2% | 96.2% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 86.9% | 86.7% | 86.7% | 1.00× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 68.1% | 67.3% | 65.1% | 1.03× | 1.49 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 62.3% | 62.1% | 64.0% | 0.97× | 1.61 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 37.7% | 37.9% | 36.0% | 1.05× | 2.64 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 31.9% | 32.7% | 34.9% | 0.94× | 3.06 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.99× | 7.53 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 0.72× | 36.30 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.85× | 36.40 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.6% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 71.0% | 71.0% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 65.7% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 34.3% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 29.0% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 9.4% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.73 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 81.8% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 76.9% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 57.0% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 43.0% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 23.1% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.98 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 18.2% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.85 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town not to score in both halves | 92.5% | 90.3% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Crewe Alexandra not to score in both halves | 63.6% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Crewe Alexandra to score in both halves | 36.4% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Shrewsbury Town to score in both halves | 7.5% | 9.7% | — | — | 10.31 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Only Crewe Alexandra scores | 44.1% | 46.6% | 23.4% | 1.99× | 2.15 |
| Both teams score | 40.7% | 46.6% | 52.8% | 0.88× | 2.15 |
| Neither team scores | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 1.03× | 13.94 |
| Only Shrewsbury Town scores | 7.5% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 0.42× | 13.94 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.3% | 25.0% | 24.4% | 1.02× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.5% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 1.08× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 20.4% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 1.10× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 13.6% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 0.73× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 1.10× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 0.98× | 13.14 |
| 6 or more goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.24× | 22.60 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 43.0% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 33.9% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 23.1% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town not to win both halves | 98.5% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Crewe Alexandra not to win both halves | 75.5% | 75.1% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Crewe Alexandra to win both halves | 24.5% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.01 |
| Shrewsbury Town to win both halves | 1.5% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.12 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town to win neither half | 76.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Crewe Alexandra to win either half | 74.8% | 73.2% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Crewe Alexandra to win neither half | 25.2% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.73 |
| Shrewsbury Town to win either half | 23.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury Town not to win to nil | 92.5% | 92.0% | 82.9% | 1.11× | 1.09 |
| Crewe Alexandra not to win to nil | 55.9% | 58.8% | 76.6% | 0.77× | 1.70 |
| Crewe Alexandra to win to nil | 44.1% | 41.2% | 23.4% | 1.76× | 2.43 |
| Shrewsbury Town to win to nil | 7.5% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 0.46× | 12.56 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra by 1 | 26.3% | 27.8% | 24.1% | 1.16× | 3.59 |
| Crewe Alexandra by 2 | 20.7% | 24.1% | 12.3% | 1.97× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 20.9% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 0.92× | 4.14 |
| Crewe Alexandra by 3+ | 19.7% | 16.9% | 6.6% | 2.56× | 5.90 |
| Shrewsbury Town by 1 | 9.3% | 7.2% | 17.4% | 0.42× | 13.80 |
| Shrewsbury Town by 2 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 9.4% | 0.29× | 36.99 |
| Shrewsbury Town by 3+ | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 0.56× | 37.05 |