D.C. United v Columbus Crew — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

D.C. United

19:30

Columbus Crew

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 64h before kick-off

D.C. United win

49.7%

model 45.1%

Draw

22.0%

model 25.0%

Columbus Crew win

28.3%

model 30.0%

502228

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.6%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 8.0%
1-2 7.3%
2-0 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.2%	Under 2.5	42.8%
BTTS yes	59.8%	BTTS no	40.2%
D.C. United 1+	81.0%	D.C. United 2+	49.5%
Columbus Crew 1+	73.2%	Columbus Crew 2+	37.9%

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

2-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 58%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

D.C. United over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 82%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out D.C. United.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

D.C. United have an estimated 49.7% win probability, against 28.3% for Columbus Crew and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for D.C. United and 1.32 for Columbus Crew.

Why D.C. United

Nothing in the data singles out D.C. United.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Columbus Crew can win

Columbus Crew carry the stronger rating, 1417 Elo against 1390.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for D.C. United, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Columbus Crew, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

D.C. United: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Columbus Crew: 55% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

D.C. United are the model's most likely outcome at 49.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452530	1.66–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402634	1.52–1.37	1-1 12%	55%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to win	40.5%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Columbus Crew to win	33.7%	30.4%	29.9%	1.02×	3.29
Draw	25.8%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United & both teams score	21.1%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
D.C. United & not both score	19.4%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Columbus Crew & both teams score	17.9%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Columbus Crew & not both score	15.9%	17.9%	12.3%	1.46×	5.58
Draw & not both score	6.1%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United & over 1.5	32.5%	30.9%	37.1%	0.83×	3.24
D.C. United & under 3.5	26.5%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
Columbus Crew & over 1.5	26.6%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
D.C. United & over 2.5	26.0%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
Columbus Crew & under 3.5	22.7%	21.7%	18.8%	1.15×	4.62
Columbus Crew & over 2.5	21.4%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
D.C. United & under 2.5	14.4%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
D.C. United & over 3.5	14.0%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.77
Columbus Crew & under 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.77
Columbus Crew & over 3.5	11.1%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.77
D.C. United & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Columbus Crew & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (1UP)	57.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Columbus Crew (1UP)	52.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (2UP)	40.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Columbus Crew (2UP)	33.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	34.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.89
D.C. United to win 2nd half	34.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Columbus Crew to win 2nd half	31.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
Columbus Crew (+1.5)	79.9%	78.5%	76.7%	1.02×	1.28
D.C. United (+0.5)	66.3%	68.7%	70.1%	0.98×	1.46
Columbus Crew (+0.5)	59.5%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75
D.C. United (-0.5)	40.5%	43.0%	45.4%	0.95×	2.33
Columbus Crew (-0.5)	33.7%	31.3%	29.9%	1.05×	3.20
D.C. United (-1.5)	20.1%	21.5%	23.3%	0.93×	4.64
D.C. United (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede	78.0%	79.0%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
Columbus Crew clean sheet	22.0%	21.0%	18.0%	1.17×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to concede in 1st half	47.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Columbus Crew clean sheet in 1st half	52.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew over 2.5 corners	81.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Columbus Crew under 6.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Columbus Crew over 3.5 corners	66.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Columbus Crew under 5.5 corners	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Columbus Crew over 4.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Columbus Crew under 4.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Columbus Crew over 5.5 corners	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Columbus Crew under 3.5 corners	33.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Columbus Crew over 6.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Columbus Crew under 2.5 corners	18.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 3.5 goals	95.0%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Columbus Crew under 2.5 goals	84.2%	81.4%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
Columbus Crew over 0.5 goals	74.5%	72.0%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Columbus Crew under 1.5 goals	60.4%	62.9%	61.3%	1.03×	1.59
Columbus Crew over 1.5 goals	39.6%	37.1%	38.7%	0.96×	2.70
Columbus Crew under 0.5 goals	25.5%	28.0%	26.8%	1.05×	3.57
Columbus Crew over 2.5 goals	15.8%	18.6%	16.7%	1.11×	5.38
Columbus Crew over 3.5 goals	5.0%	2.5%	6.1%	0.41×	40.61

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew under 1.5 in 1st half	89.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Columbus Crew under 0.5 in 1st half	57.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Columbus Crew over 0.5 in 1st half	42.1%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Columbus Crew over 1.5 in 1st half	10.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (away no bet)	61.1%	62.1%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.9%	37.9%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew even goals	53.3%	52.8%	53.6%	0.99×	1.89
Columbus Crew odd goals	46.7%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	58.3%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
D.C. United to score 2+ in a row	35.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Columbus Crew to score 2+ in a row	30.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
D.C. United to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Columbus Crew to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.55

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew corners (+3.5)	87.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Columbus Crew corners (+2.5)	80.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
D.C. United corners (+3.5)	78.8%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Columbus Crew corners (+1.5)	72.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
D.C. United corners (+2.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
D.C. United corners (+1.5)	60.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Columbus Crew corners (-1.5)	40.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Columbus Crew corners (-2.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
D.C. United corners (-1.5)	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Columbus Crew corners (-3.5)	21.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
D.C. United corners (-2.5)	19.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
D.C. United corners (-3.5)	12.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	25.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.1%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	25.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	18.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
0-1	7.2%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.48
1-0	8.0%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
0-0	6.1%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.48
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.3%	2.23×	13.48
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.48
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.46
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.48
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United leading at HT (DNB)	55.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Columbus Crew leading at HT (DNB)	44.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or Columbus Crew (12)	74.2%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
D.C. United or draw (1X)	66.3%	69.6%	70.1%	0.99×	1.44
Columbus Crew or draw (X2)	59.5%	57.0%	54.6%	1.04×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or draw at HT	74.4%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Columbus Crew or draw at HT	67.7%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
D.C. United or Columbus Crew at HT	57.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or draw (1UP)	66.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Columbus Crew or draw (1UP)	59.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United or draw in 2nd half	68.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Columbus Crew or draw in 2nd half	66.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
D.C. United or Columbus Crew in 2nd half	65.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.4%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (DNB)	54.5%	51.0%	60.3%	0.85×	1.96
Columbus Crew (DNB)	45.5%	49.0%	39.7%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score first	49.4%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Columbus Crew to score first	44.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.6%	54.9%	61.1%	0.90×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.4%	45.1%	38.9%	1.16×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.5%	44.3%	50.9%	0.87×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	32.9%	34.3%	29.9%	1.15×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.5%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.3%	83.1%	79.5%	1.04×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.7%	17.0%	20.5%	0.83×	5.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.7%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.7%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	6.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.78

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.8%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.2%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.1%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.1%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.8%	26.5%	33.1%	0.80×	3.78
0-1 goals	21.2%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.39
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.51

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew to score exactly 1	34.9%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
Columbus Crew to score exactly 0	25.5%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Columbus Crew to score exactly 2	23.8%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.46
Columbus Crew to score 3+	15.8%	19.6%	16.7%	1.17×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score exactly 1	33.3%	32.7%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
D.C. United to score exactly 2	25.2%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
D.C. United to score exactly 0	22.0%	23.2%	18.0%	1.29×	4.30
D.C. United to score 3+	19.5%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
D.C. United leading at HT	32.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Columbus Crew leading at HT	25.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United -1: 2	59.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
D.C. United -1: X	20.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
D.C. United -1: 1	20.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:1)	59.5%	55.9%	54.6%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	20.4%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12
D.C. United (0:1)	20.1%	24.3%	23.3%	1.04×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:2)	79.9%	79.5%	76.7%	1.04×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.2%	11.0%	12.8%	0.85×	9.12
D.C. United (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:3)	92.2%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.3%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.19
D.C. United (0:3)	2.5%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (0:4)	97.5%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.47
D.C. United (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (1:0)	66.3%	69.9%	70.1%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
Columbus Crew (1:0)	15.4%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (2:0)	84.6%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.46
Columbus Crew (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	4.6%	1.41×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to concede	74.5%	73.1%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
D.C. United clean sheet	25.5%	26.9%	26.8%	1.00×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United clean sheet in 1st half	57.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
D.C. United to concede in 1st half	42.1%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 6.5 corners	81.7%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
D.C. United over 2.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
D.C. United under 5.5 corners	71.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
D.C. United over 3.5 corners	58.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
D.C. United under 4.5 corners	57.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
D.C. United over 4.5 corners	42.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
D.C. United under 3.5 corners	41.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
D.C. United over 5.5 corners	28.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
D.C. United under 2.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
D.C. United over 6.5 corners	18.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
D.C. United under 2.5 goals	80.5%	82.1%	74.8%	1.10×	1.22
D.C. United over 0.5 goals	78.0%	77.8%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
D.C. United under 1.5 goals	55.3%	58.8%	48.9%	1.20×	1.70
D.C. United over 1.5 goals	44.7%	41.2%	51.1%	0.81×	2.43
D.C. United under 0.5 goals	22.0%	22.2%	18.0%	1.24×	4.50
D.C. United over 2.5 goals	19.5%	17.9%	25.2%	0.71×	5.59
D.C. United over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 1.5 in 1st half	86.1%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
D.C. United over 0.5 in 1st half	47.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
D.C. United under 0.5 in 1st half	52.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
D.C. United over 1.5 in 1st half	13.9%	10.3%	—	—	9.69

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew (home no bet)	56.7%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	43.3%	43.3%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United even goals	52.4%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
D.C. United odd goals	47.6%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	19.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	10.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United at HT / D.C. United at FT	24.0%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
Columbus Crew at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / D.C. United at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
D.C. United at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Columbus Crew at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
D.C. United at HT / Columbus Crew at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Columbus Crew at HT / D.C. United at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score last	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Columbus Crew to score last	44.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	6.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
D.C. United to lead by 1 at any time	57.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Columbus Crew to lead by 1 at any time	52.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
D.C. United to lead by 2 at any time	26.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Columbus Crew to lead by 2 at any time	21.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
D.C. United to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Columbus Crew to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.06

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew most corners	51.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
D.C. United most corners	37.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.7%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.4%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.0%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.5%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.3%	63.4%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.2%	53.2%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.7%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.1%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.9%	39.2%	34.4%	1.14×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.5%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.8%	30.3%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.4%	30.2%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.7%	14.9%	17.2%	0.87×	6.72
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United never behind	41.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Columbus Crew never behind	36.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.5%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.8%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.4%	66.2%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.0%	52.5%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.0%	47.5%	40.1%	1.18×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.6%	33.8%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.2%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.5%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.0%	92.5%	87.6%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.3%	81.0%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.1%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.0%	55.4%	51.9%	1.07×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.0%	44.6%	48.1%	0.93×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.9%	27.4%	25.5%	1.08×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.7%	19.0%	25.2%	0.75×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.0%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.2%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to score in both halves	76.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
D.C. United not to score in both halves	72.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
D.C. United to score in both halves	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Columbus Crew to score in both halves	23.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.6%	58.4%	61.1%	0.96×	1.71
Only D.C. United scores	19.4%	16.1%	21.1%	0.76×	6.21
Only Columbus Crew scores	15.9%	16.1%	12.3%	1.31×	6.22
Neither team scores	6.1%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.8%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	15.1%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.3%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.2%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.1%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.3%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.9%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to win both halves	91.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
D.C. United not to win both halves	88.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
D.C. United to win both halves	11.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Columbus Crew to win both halves	8.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.48

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to win either half	55.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Columbus Crew to win neither half	51.1%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Columbus Crew to win either half	48.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
D.C. United to win neither half	44.8%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Columbus Crew not to win to nil	84.1%	83.0%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
D.C. United not to win to nil	80.6%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
D.C. United to win to nil	19.4%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.89
Columbus Crew to win to nil	15.9%	17.0%	12.3%	1.38×	5.90

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.8%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
D.C. United by 1	20.4%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Columbus Crew by 1	18.3%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
D.C. United by 2	12.2%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.48
Columbus Crew by 2	9.9%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.77
D.C. United by 3+	7.8%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.78
Columbus Crew by 3+	5.5%	7.3%	4.6%	1.58×	13.79