Delfín v Universidad Católica (Quito) — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · ECU-LigaPro · 2627
ECU-LigaPro
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyDelfín win
21.2%
model 21.6%
Draw
27.3%
model 25.6%
Universidad Católica (Quito) win
51.5%
model 52.8%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-1 15.1%
- 1-1 11.8%
- 0-2 10.9%
- 0-0 9.6%
- 1-2 9.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 40.5% | Under 2.5 | 59.5% |
| BTTS yes | 43.1% | BTTS no | 56.9% |
| Delfín 1+ | 56.4% | Delfín 2+ | 20.2% |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) 1+ | 77.1% | Universidad Católica (Quito) 2+ | 43.4% |
Expected goals 0.83 – 1.48. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Universidad Católica (Quito) (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 30%
51.9% fair odds 1.93
strong signal · 897 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 12.5 corners
Corners O/U
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1161 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Universidad Católica (Quito) carry the stronger rating, 1624 Elo against 1398.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Universidad Católica (Quito) have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for Delfín. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.83 for Delfín and 1.48 for Universidad Católica (Quito).
Why Delfín
Nothing in the data singles out Delfín.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.3%. A combined 2.31 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Universidad Católica (Quito) can win
Universidad Católica (Quito) carry the stronger rating, 1624 Elo against 1398.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Delfín, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad Católica (Quito), so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Delfín: 46% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad Católica (Quito): 49% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Universidad Católica (Quito) are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 15.1%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 0.83–1.48 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.73–1.47 | 0-1 17% | 38% | 40% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to win | 55.2% | 54.0% | 29.6% | 1.83× | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25.7% | 27.9% | 26.4% | 1.06× | 3.59 |
| Delfín to win | 19.1% | 19.4% | 44.2% | 0.44× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & not both score | 37.4% | 33.2% | 18.0% | 1.84× | 3.02 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & both teams score | 17.8% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 1.53× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 15.1% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 0.96× | 5.58 |
| Delfín & not both score | 12.4% | 13.3% | 25.5% | 0.52× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 10.6% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 1.66× | 7.55 |
| Delfín & both teams score | 6.7% | 8.4% | 19.0% | 0.44× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & under 3.5 | 43.2% | 40.3% | 22.3% | 1.81× | 2.48 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & over 1.5 | 38.5% | 34.9% | 19.1% | 1.82× | 2.87 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & under 2.5 | 28.6% | 26.0% | 15.1% | 1.73× | 3.84 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & over 2.5 | 26.6% | 26.0% | 14.7% | 1.77× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 22.1% | 21.7% | 22.1% | 0.98× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 22.1% | 21.7% | 22.1% | 0.98× | 4.62 |
| Delfín & under 3.5 | 16.6% | 18.0% | 33.3% | 0.54× | 5.56 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & under 1.5 | 16.6% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 1.70× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 0.97× | 5.56 |
| Delfín & under 2.5 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 0.65× | 7.77 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) & over 3.5 | 12.0% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 1.73× | 7.77 |
| Delfín & over 1.5 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 32.2% | 0.40× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 10.6% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 1.61× | 7.77 |
| Delfín & under 1.5 | 8.5% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 0.64× | 12.69 |
| Delfín & over 2.5 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 24.5% | 0.32× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.07× | 20.94 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.07× | 20.94 |
| Delfín & over 3.5 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 0.43× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (1UP) | 65.7% | 69.8% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Delfín (1UP) | 32.9% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (2UP) | 55.2% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Delfín (2UP) | 19.1% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.68 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to win 2nd half | 45.1% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| 2nd half drawn | 38.0% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Delfín to win 2nd half | 16.9% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.28 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (+2.5) | 98.9% | 96.3% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (+1.5) | 94.7% | 92.1% | 80.5% | 1.14× | 1.09 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (+0.5) | 80.9% | 82.4% | 55.8% | 1.48× | 1.21 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (-0.5) | 55.2% | 57.0% | 29.6% | 1.93× | 1.76 |
| Delfín (+0.5) | 44.8% | 43.0% | 70.4% | 0.61× | 2.33 |
| Delfín (-0.5) | 19.1% | 17.6% | 44.2% | 0.40× | 5.68 |
| Delfín (-1.5) | 5.3% | 7.9% | 19.5% | 0.40× | 12.65 |
| Delfín (-2.5) | 1.1% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 0.47× | 27.00 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to concede | 52.0% | 55.9% | 74.2% | 0.75× | 1.79 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) clean sheet | 48.0% | 44.1% | 25.8% | 1.71× | 2.27 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) clean sheet in 1st half | 72.9% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to concede in 1st half | 27.1% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.51 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 6.5 corners | 87.9% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 5.5 corners | 78.9% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 2.5 corners | 69.6% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 4.5 corners | 65.8% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 3.5 corners | 51.0% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 3.5 corners | 49.0% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 4.5 corners | 34.2% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 2.5 corners | 30.4% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 5.5 corners | 21.1% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.14 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 6.5 corners | 12.2% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.63 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 3.5 goals | 93.8% | 92.3% | 96.8% | 0.95× | 1.08 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 2.5 goals | 81.6% | 81.4% | 89.8% | 0.91× | 1.23 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 0.5 goals | 77.0% | 76.2% | 66.7% | 1.14× | 1.31 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 1.5 goals | 56.8% | 59.5% | 73.8% | 0.81× | 1.68 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 1.5 goals | 43.2% | 40.5% | 26.2% | 1.55× | 2.47 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 0.5 goals | 23.0% | 23.8% | 33.3% | 0.71× | 4.21 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 2.5 goals | 18.4% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 1.82× | 5.38 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 3.5 goals | 6.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2.43× | 13.05 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.2% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) under 0.5 in 1st half | 55.5% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 0.5 in 1st half | 44.5% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.8% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 57.4% | 57.5% | 37.4% | 1.54× | 1.74 |
| Delfín (away no bet) | 42.6% | 42.5% | 62.6% | 0.68× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) even goals | 52.6% | 52.8% | 51.7% | 1.02× | 1.89 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) odd goals | 47.4% | 47.2% | 48.3% | 0.98× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 91.5% | 92.4% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 8.5% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.12 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 48.5% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 51.5% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 47.0% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score 2+ in a row | 37.8% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 16.1% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.13 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score 3+ in a row | 14.1% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.18 |
| Delfín to score 2+ in a row | 12.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.22 |
| Delfín to score 3+ in a row | 2.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.29 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín corners (+3.5) | 87.3% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (+3.5) | 86.9% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Delfín corners (+2.5) | 79.5% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (+2.5) | 79.1% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Delfín corners (+1.5) | 69.2% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (+1.5) | 68.6% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Delfín corners (-1.5) | 31.4% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (-1.5) | 30.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Delfín corners (-2.5) | 20.9% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (-2.5) | 20.5% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Delfín corners (-3.5) | 13.1% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) corners (-3.5) | 12.7% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 63.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.00 |
| 9-11 corners | 25.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| 12+ corners | 12.0% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 92.4% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 88.0% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 81.8% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 73.4% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 63.0% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 51.0% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 49.0% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 37.0% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 26.6% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 18.2% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 12.0% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 7.6% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.15 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 16.6% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 1.30× | 7.27 |
| 0-2 | 11.9% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 2.46× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 0.80× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 1.43× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 0.60× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.29× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 3.99× | 13.48 |
| 0-4 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.53× | 58.48 |
| 1-3 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.71× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.53× | 58.48 |
| 2-0 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 58.47 |
| 2-1 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 10.4% | 0.16× | 58.46 |
| 2-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.44× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.77× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.30× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.51× | 58.49 |
| 3-1 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.48 |
| 3-2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.84× | 58.49 |
| 3-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.30× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 9.20× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.02× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.60× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.30× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 9.20× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.71× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) leading at HT (DNB) | 68.2% | 74.0% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Delfín leading at HT (DNB) | 31.8% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw (X2) | 80.9% | 80.6% | 55.8% | 1.45× | 1.24 |
| Delfín or Universidad Católica (Quito) (12) | 74.3% | 72.1% | 73.6% | 0.98× | 1.39 |
| Delfín or draw (1X) | 44.8% | 46.0% | 70.4% | 0.65× | 2.17 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw at HT | 83.5% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Delfín or draw at HT | 64.7% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Delfín or Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT | 51.8% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw (1UP) | 80.9% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Delfín or draw (1UP) | 44.8% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) or draw in 2nd half | 83.1% | 81.1% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Delfín or Universidad Católica (Quito) in 2nd half | 62.0% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Delfín or draw in 2nd half | 54.9% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 68.3% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 31.7% | 30.5% | — | — | 3.28 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (DNB) | 74.3% | 71.5% | 40.1% | 1.78× | 1.40 |
| Delfín (DNB) | 25.7% | 28.5% | 60.0% | 0.48× | 3.50 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score first | 59.6% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Delfín to score first | 29.8% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| No goal scored | 10.6% | 9.6% | — | — | 10.39 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 60.4% | 56.5% | 51.1% | 1.10× | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 39.6% | 43.5% | 48.9% | 0.89× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 50.7% | 47.0% | 42.6% | 1.11× | 2.13 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 28.1% | 33.6% | 34.8% | 0.97× | 2.98 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 0.86× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 0.96× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 92.8% | 89.1% | 90.0% | 0.99× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 1.08× | 9.19 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 80.1% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 19.9% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 70.6% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 17.5% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.39 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.6% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.62 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.4% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.24 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 88.0% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 12.0% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.23 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 56.9% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A goal in each half | 43.1% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.1% | 47.4% | 47.0% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 35.8% | 35.0% | 30.5% | 1.15× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.4% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 0.94× | 4.96 |
| 7+ goals | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.23× | 54.73 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score exactly 1 | 33.8% | 33.8% | 40.7% | 0.83× | 2.96 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score exactly 2 | 24.8% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 1.39× | 4.46 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score exactly 0 | 23.0% | 22.4% | 33.3% | 0.67× | 4.46 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score 3+ | 18.4% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 1.91× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín to score exactly 0 | 48.0% | 36.9% | 25.8% | 1.43× | 2.71 |
| Delfín to score exactly 1 | 35.2% | 35.6% | 35.1% | 1.01× | 2.81 |
| Delfín to score exactly 2 | 12.9% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 0.58× | 6.98 |
| Delfín to score 3+ | 3.8% | 6.2% | 14.9% | 0.41× | 16.21 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 48.2% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) leading at HT | 35.3% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Delfín leading at HT | 16.5% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) -1: 1 | 44.8% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) -1: 2 | 28.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) -1: X | 27.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:1) | 80.9% | 77.5% | 55.8% | 1.39× | 1.29 |
| Draw (0:1) | 13.7% | 13.9% | 24.9% | 0.56× | 7.22 |
| Delfín (0:1) | 5.3% | 9.1% | 19.5% | 0.47× | 10.93 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:2) | 94.7% | 90.9% | 80.5% | 1.13× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:2) | 4.2% | 3.8% | 11.9% | 0.32× | 26.51 |
| Delfín (0:2) | 1.1% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 0.48× | 26.69 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:3) | 98.9% | 96.6% | 92.2% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 0.51× | 42.22 |
| Delfín (0:3) | 0.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 0.71× | 42.26 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (0:4) | 99.8% | 98.1% | 96.7% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Delfín (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.92× | 83.68 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.54× | 83.67 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín (1:0) | 44.8% | 43.2% | 70.4% | 0.61× | 2.31 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (1:0) | 28.1% | 25.1% | 11.5% | 2.18× | 3.98 |
| Draw (1:0) | 27.1% | 25.1% | 18.2% | 1.38× | 3.99 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín (2:0) | 71.9% | 76.4% | 88.5% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| Draw (2:0) | 16.8% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 2.11× | 6.38 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (2:0) | 11.2% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 2.43× | 9.64 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.1% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 27.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.2% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín to concede | 77.0% | 75.9% | 66.7% | 1.14× | 1.32 |
| Delfín clean sheet | 23.0% | 24.1% | 33.3% | 0.72× | 4.16 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín clean sheet in 1st half | 55.5% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Delfín to concede in 1st half | 44.5% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín under 6.5 corners | 87.6% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Delfín under 5.5 corners | 78.5% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Delfín over 2.5 corners | 70.0% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Delfín under 4.5 corners | 65.4% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Delfín over 3.5 corners | 51.5% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Delfín under 3.5 corners | 48.5% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Delfín over 4.5 corners | 34.6% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Delfín under 2.5 corners | 30.0% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Delfín over 5.5 corners | 21.5% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Delfín over 6.5 corners | 12.4% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.76 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín under 3.5 goals | 99.3% | 96.4% | 94.6% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Delfín under 2.5 goals | 96.2% | 96.4% | 85.1% | 1.13× | 1.04 |
| Delfín under 1.5 goals | 83.2% | 82.1% | 60.8% | 1.35× | 1.22 |
| Delfín over 0.5 goals | 52.0% | 53.2% | 74.2% | 0.72× | 1.88 |
| Delfín under 0.5 goals | 48.0% | 46.8% | 25.8% | 1.81× | 2.14 |
| Delfín over 1.5 goals | 16.8% | 17.9% | 39.2% | 0.46× | 5.59 |
| Delfín over 2.5 goals | 3.8% | 3.6% | 14.9% | 0.25× | 27.44 |
| Delfín over 3.5 goals | 0.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 0.67× | 27.58 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.0% | 97.1% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Delfín under 0.5 in 1st half | 72.9% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Delfín over 0.5 in 1st half | 27.1% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.98 |
| Delfín over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.0% | 2.9% | — | — | 34.37 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) (home no bet) | 68.2% | 64.0% | 52.8% | 1.21× | 1.56 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 31.8% | 36.0% | 47.2% | 0.76× | 2.77 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín even goals | 61.5% | 56.0% | 54.3% | 1.03× | 1.79 |
| Delfín odd goals | 38.5% | 44.0% | 45.7% | 0.96× | 2.27 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 40.4% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.47 |
| HT 0-1 | 23.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 1-0 | 12.9% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| HT 0-2 | 7.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.05 |
| Any other HT score | 2.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.42 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| HT 2-0 | 2.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.46 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.52 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.59 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT / Universidad Católica (Quito) at FT | 30.8% | 32.7% | — | — | 3.06 |
| Draw at HT / Universidad Católica (Quito) at FT | 22.0% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Delfín at HT / Delfín at FT | 9.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.59 |
| Draw at HT / Delfín at FT | 8.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Delfín at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT / Draw at FT | 3.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Delfín at HT / Universidad Católica (Quito) at FT | 2.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) at HT / Delfín at FT | 0.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.93 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score last | 59.5% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Delfín to score last | 29.8% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.67 |
| No goal scored | 10.6% | 9.0% | — | — | 11.10 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 89.4% | 90.9% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to lead by 1 at any time | 65.7% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 40.7% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Delfín to lead by 1 at any time | 32.9% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to lead by 2 at any time | 32.6% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 14.4% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to lead by 3 at any time | 12.8% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.54 |
| Delfín to lead by 2 at any time | 8.1% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.03 |
| Delfín to lead by 3 at any time | 1.6% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.74 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín most corners | 43.8% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) most corners | 43.1% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Corners level | 13.1% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.38 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.9% | 87.4% | 89.0% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 82.1% | 83.5% | 81.8% | 1.02× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 71.2% | 72.4% | 69.5% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 63.5% | 63.4% | 68.2% | 0.93× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 61.7% | 63.4% | 66.5% | 0.95× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 56.9% | 59.2% | 59.3% | 1.00× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 51.5% | 53.2% | 48.9% | 1.09× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.1% | 48.7% | 47.0% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 37.1% | 39.1% | 42.0% | 0.93× | 2.55 |
| 3-5 goals | 35.3% | 39.1% | 40.3% | 0.97× | 2.56 |
| 3-4 goals | 30.5% | 35.4% | 33.1% | 1.07× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 17.4% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 0.87× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 15.6% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 0.95× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 0.96× | 11.45 |
| 7+ goals | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.71× | 39.30 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) never behind | 56.5% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Delfín never behind | 23.7% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.09 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.8% | 50.8% | 48.5% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.2% | 49.2% | 51.5% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 58.1% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 41.9% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.4% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.6% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.5% | 95.5% | 96.8% | 0.99× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92.7% | 92.3% | 89.6% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89.4% | 87.7% | 92.0% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81.9% | 82.4% | 77.3% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.2% | 61.8% | 69.5% | 0.89× | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.2% | 61.8% | 56.7% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.8% | 38.2% | 43.3% | 0.88× | 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35.8% | 38.2% | 30.5% | 1.25× | 2.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18.1% | 17.6% | 22.7% | 0.78× | 5.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 0.74× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.42× | 22.22 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.2% | 97.2% | 98.5% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 97.4% | 97.2% | 96.6% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 91.8% | 92.5% | 88.1% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 77.4% | 75.9% | 71.4% | 1.06× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 51.4% | 51.8% | 58.7% | 0.88× | 1.93 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 48.6% | 48.2% | 41.3% | 1.17× | 2.08 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 22.6% | 24.1% | 28.6% | 0.84× | 4.15 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 0.64× | 13.26 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.81× | 36.14 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.83× | 36.20 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 93.7% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 77.2% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 59.6% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 40.4% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 22.8% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.71 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 6.3% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.86 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 85.7% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 72.9% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 62.8% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 37.2% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 27.1% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.49 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 14.3% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.79 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín not to score in both halves | 90.7% | 89.9% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) not to score in both halves | 73.9% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to score in both halves | 26.1% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Delfín to score in both halves | 9.3% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.88 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 39.6% | 39.9% | 48.9% | 0.82× | 2.51 |
| Only Universidad Católica (Quito) scores | 37.4% | 39.8% | 18.0% | 2.21× | 2.51 |
| Only Delfín scores | 12.4% | 10.9% | 25.5% | 0.43× | 9.15 |
| Neither team scores | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 1.37× | 9.15 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.4% | 25.0% | 26.4% | 0.95× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 25.1% | 25.0% | 22.7% | 1.10× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.7% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 0.84× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 0.97× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 1.51× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 0.59× | 22.64 |
| 6 or more goals | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.40× | 22.68 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 37.2% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 35.7% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 27.1% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín not to win both halves | 97.3% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) not to win both halves | 84.1% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to win both halves | 15.9% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.37 |
| Delfín to win both halves | 2.7% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.10 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín to win neither half | 69.4% | 68.0% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to win either half | 64.6% | 65.1% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to win neither half | 35.4% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.87 |
| Delfín to win either half | 30.6% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.12 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delfín not to win to nil | 87.6% | 88.2% | 74.5% | 1.18× | 1.13 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) not to win to nil | 62.6% | 66.8% | 82.0% | 0.81× | 1.50 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) to win to nil | 37.4% | 33.2% | 18.0% | 1.84× | 3.01 |
| Delfín to win to nil | 12.4% | 11.8% | 25.5% | 0.46× | 8.49 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica (Quito) by 1 | 27.1% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 1.53× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 25.7% | 27.8% | 26.4% | 1.05× | 3.59 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) by 2 | 16.8% | 16.9% | 7.4% | 2.28× | 5.91 |
| Delfín by 1 | 13.7% | 11.8% | 24.9% | 0.47× | 8.47 |
| Universidad Católica (Quito) by 3+ | 11.2% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 2.76× | 8.48 |
| Delfín by 2 | 4.2% | 2.7% | 11.9% | 0.23× | 36.95 |
| Delfín by 3+ | 1.1% | 2.7% | 7.8% | 0.35× | 37.05 |