Deportes Concepcion v Unión La Calera — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Deportes Concepcion

16:30

Unión La Calera

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 862h before kick-off

Deportes Concepcion win

67.6%

model 66.9%

Draw

19.1%

model 18.4%

Unión La Calera win

13.3%

model 14.7%

681913

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (999 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 16.6%
2-0 13.7%
2-1 9.2%
3-0 8.4%
1-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.8%	Under 2.5	54.2%
BTTS yes	39.5%	BTTS no	60.5%
Deportes Concepcion 1+	84.0%	Deportes Concepcion 2+	54.7%
Unión La Calera 1+	49.0%	Unión La Calera 2+	14.6%

Expected goals 1.83 – 0.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Deportes Concepcion carry the stronger rating, 1565 Elo against 1335.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Concepcion have an estimated 67.6% win probability, against 19.1% for the draw and 13.3% for Unión La Calera. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.83 for Deportes Concepcion and 0.67 for Unión La Calera.

Why Deportes Concepcion

Deportes Concepcion carry the stronger rating, 1565 Elo against 1335. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Unión La Calera can win

Nothing in the data singles out Unión La Calera.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Concepcion, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Unión La Calera, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Concepcion: 44% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Unión La Calera: 47% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportes Concepcion are the model's most likely outcome at 67.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 16.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	662014	1.64–0.54	1-0 20%	37%	32%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win	65.9%	65.0%	48.9%	1.33×	1.54
Draw	20.4%	24.4%	21.3%	1.15×	4.09
Unión La Calera to win	13.7%	13.3%	30.1%	0.44×	7.50

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & not both score	48.4%	43.1%	26.7%	1.62×	2.32
Deportes Concepcion & both teams score	17.4%	17.9%	22.5%	0.80×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	10.8%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.6%	8.4%	4.9%	1.72×	11.92
Unión La Calera & not both score	9.9%	8.4%	16.9%	0.50×	11.92
Unión La Calera & both teams score	3.8%	4.9%	13.4%	0.36×	20.57

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion & under 3.5	51.8%	48.7%	34.0%	1.43×	2.05
Deportes Concepcion & over 1.5	45.7%	45.2%	35.9%	1.26×	2.21
Deportes Concepcion & under 2.5	35.3%	34.9%	20.0%	1.74×	2.87
Deportes Concepcion & over 2.5	30.6%	30.9%	29.1%	1.06×	3.24
Deportes Concepcion & under 1.5	20.2%	21.7%	13.2%	1.64×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Deportes Concepcion & over 3.5	14.1%	12.9%	15.2%	0.85×	7.77
Unión La Calera & under 3.5	12.6%	12.9%	23.5%	0.55×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	10.8%	12.9%	16.6%	0.77×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	4.9%	1.61×	12.69
Unión La Calera & under 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	13.7%	0.58×	12.69
Unión La Calera & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.70
Unión La Calera & over 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	20.0%	0.39×	12.70
Unión La Calera & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	16.6%	0.29×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	2.5%	4.8%	7.6%	0.63×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	7.6%	0.63×	20.94
Unión La Calera & over 3.5	1.1%	4.8%	6.8%	0.70×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1UP)	73.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera (1UP)	24.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2UP)	65.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Unión La Calera (2UP)	13.7%	13.5%	—	—	7.40

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to win 2nd half	50.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	36.6%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Unión La Calera to win 2nd half	13.2%	12.4%	—	—	8.09

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (+0.5)	86.3%	88.5%	69.9%	1.27×	1.13
Unión La Calera (+2.5)	84.0%	82.4%	89.7%	0.92×	1.21
Deportes Concepcion (-0.5)	65.9%	68.7%	48.9%	1.41×	1.46
Unión La Calera (+1.5)	63.9%	62.9%	77.0%	0.82×	1.59
Deportes Concepcion (-1.5)	36.1%	37.1%	23.0%	1.61×	2.70
Unión La Calera (+0.5)	34.1%	31.3%	51.1%	0.61×	3.20
Deportes Concepcion (-2.5)	16.0%	17.6%	10.3%	1.71×	5.69
Unión La Calera (-0.5)	13.7%	11.5%	30.1%	0.38×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede	80.5%	81.3%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
Unión La Calera clean sheet	19.5%	18.7%	21.5%	0.87×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 1st half	49.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Unión La Calera to concede in 1st half	50.5%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Unión La Calera under 5.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Unión La Calera over 2.5 corners	72.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Unión La Calera under 4.5 corners	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Unión La Calera over 3.5 corners	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Unión La Calera under 3.5 corners	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Unión La Calera over 4.5 corners	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Unión La Calera under 2.5 corners	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Unión La Calera over 5.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Unión La Calera over 6.5 corners	15.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 3.5 goals	99.8%	97.6%	97.1%	1.01×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 2.5 goals	98.2%	97.5%	88.3%	1.11×	1.03
Unión La Calera under 1.5 goals	89.6%	87.9%	68.5%	1.28×	1.14
Unión La Calera under 0.5 goals	58.0%	59.5%	31.3%	1.90×	1.68
Unión La Calera over 0.5 goals	42.0%	40.5%	68.7%	0.59×	2.47
Unión La Calera over 1.5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	31.5%	0.38×	8.27
Unión La Calera over 2.5 goals	1.8%	2.5%	11.7%	0.21×	40.79
Unión La Calera over 3.5 goals	0.2%	2.4%	2.9%	0.83×	40.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 1st half	97.9%	96.0%	—	—	1.04
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 1st half	80.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 1st half	19.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.83
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 1st half	2.1%	4.0%	—	—	24.77

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (away no bet)	76.3%	73.6%	69.7%	1.06×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.7%	26.4%	30.3%	0.87×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera even goals	66.8%	64.8%	53.5%	1.21×	1.54
Unión La Calera odd goals	33.2%	35.2%	46.5%	0.76×	2.84

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.6%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	—	—	13.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	50.1%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.4%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Deportes Concepcion to score 2+ in a row	44.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+ in a row	18.6%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Unión La Calera to score 2+ in a row	7.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.72
Unión La Calera to score 3+ in a row	0.9%	2.5%	—	—	40.06

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion corners (+3.5)	90.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Deportes Concepcion corners (+2.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportes Concepcion corners (+1.5)	78.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Unión La Calera corners (+3.5)	72.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Unión La Calera corners (+2.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Unión La Calera corners (+1.5)	52.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Deportes Concepcion corners (-1.5)	47.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Deportes Concepcion corners (-2.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Deportes Concepcion corners (-3.5)	27.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Unión La Calera corners (-1.5)	21.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Unión La Calera corners (-2.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Unión La Calera corners (-3.5)	9.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	29.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	21.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	20.2%	20.1%	13.2%	1.52×	4.99
2-0	15.1%	13.7%	7.1%	1.94×	7.28
0-0	9.6%	7.4%	4.9%	1.52×	13.48
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.48
0-1	7.9%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.48
3-0	8.3%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.48
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.48
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.49
1-2	2.7%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.49
2-2	2.2%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.48
2-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.46
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.48
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-0	3.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.47
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	6.99×	58.49
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT (DNB)	80.3%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Unión La Calera leading at HT (DNB)	19.7%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1X)	86.3%	86.7%	69.9%	1.24×	1.15
Deportes Concepcion or Unión La Calera (12)	79.6%	75.6%	78.7%	0.96×	1.32
Unión La Calera or draw (X2)	34.1%	35.0%	51.1%	0.69×	2.85

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw at HT	89.3%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Unión La Calera or draw at HT	56.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Deportes Concepcion or Unión La Calera at HT	54.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw (1UP)	86.3%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Unión La Calera or draw (1UP)	34.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion or draw in 2nd half	86.8%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Deportes Concepcion or Unión La Calera in 2nd half	63.4%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Unión La Calera or draw in 2nd half	49.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.7%	30.6%	—	—	3.27

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (DNB)	82.8%	80.5%	61.9%	1.30×	1.24
Unión La Calera (DNB)	17.2%	19.5%	38.1%	0.51×	5.14

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score first	67.8%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Unión La Calera to score first	22.6%	22.8%	—	—	4.38
No goal scored	9.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	67.9%	58.2%	47.9%	1.21×	1.72
Both teams to score	32.1%	41.8%	52.1%	0.80×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.5%	47.1%	38.1%	1.23×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	23.7%	27.7%	43.0%	0.64×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	13.5%	12.3%	10.0%	1.23×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.9%	89.1%	84.6%	1.05×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.1%	10.9%	15.4%	0.71×	9.21

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	75.8%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Both score 2nd half only	14.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score 1st half only	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.70
Both score in both halves	1.7%	4.9%	—	—	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.4%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.6%	9.4%	—	—	10.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	42.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.7%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.37
0-1 goals	37.6%	35.1%	27.9%	1.26×	2.85
4-6 goals	17.0%	20.2%	26.9%	0.75×	4.96
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to score exactly 0	58.0%	52.0%	31.3%	1.66×	1.92
Unión La Calera to score exactly 1	31.6%	33.8%	37.4%	0.90×	2.96
Unión La Calera to score exactly 2	8.6%	8.5%	20.0%	0.42×	11.81
Unión La Calera to score 3+	1.8%	4.5%	11.7%	0.38×	22.19

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 1	31.9%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.06
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	26.4%	1.00×	3.77
Deportes Concepcion to score 3+	22.6%	23.2%	20.8%	1.12×	4.30
Deportes Concepcion to score exactly 0	19.5%	18.9%	21.5%	0.88×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Deportes Concepcion leading at HT	43.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Unión La Calera leading at HT	10.7%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion -1: 1	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Deportes Concepcion -1: 2	34.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Deportes Concepcion -1: X	29.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (0:1)	36.1%	37.2%	23.0%	1.62×	2.69
Unión La Calera (0:1)	34.1%	30.1%	51.1%	0.59×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	29.7%	27.0%	26.2%	1.03×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:2)	63.9%	67.4%	77.0%	0.87×	1.48
Draw (0:2)	20.1%	20.3%	13.0%	1.57×	4.93
Deportes Concepcion (0:2)	16.0%	15.3%	10.3%	1.49×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:3)	84.0%	85.2%	89.7%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.3%	10.0%	5.1%	1.94×	10.03
Deportes Concepcion (0:3)	5.7%	5.8%	5.4%	1.08×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (0:4)	94.3%	94.7%	94.6%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.0%	1.2%	4.2%	0.29×	83.21
Deportes Concepcion (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	1.5%	0.82×	83.48

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (1:0)	86.3%	86.3%	69.9%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	11.0%	12.8%	20.0%	0.64×	7.81
Unión La Calera (1:0)	2.7%	3.2%	10.3%	0.31×	31.68

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion (2:0)	97.3%	96.9%	89.7%	1.08×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	6.4%	0.36×	44.23
Unión La Calera (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	4.2%	0.54×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	28.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet	58.0%	61.0%	31.3%	1.95×	1.64
Deportes Concepcion to concede	42.0%	39.0%	68.7%	0.57×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion clean sheet in 1st half	80.4%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Deportes Concepcion to concede in 1st half	19.6%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 corners	85.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportes Concepcion under 6.5 corners	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Deportes Concepcion over 4.5 corners	59.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportes Concepcion under 5.5 corners	54.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Deportes Concepcion over 5.5 corners	45.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Deportes Concepcion under 4.5 corners	40.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportes Concepcion over 6.5 corners	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 corners	14.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 3.5 goals	91.6%	92.2%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 goals	80.5%	82.1%	78.5%	1.05×	1.22
Deportes Concepcion under 2.5 goals	77.4%	77.7%	79.2%	0.98×	1.29
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 goals	51.3%	53.2%	53.1%	1.00×	1.88
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 goals	48.7%	46.8%	46.9%	1.00×	2.14
Deportes Concepcion over 2.5 goals	22.6%	22.3%	20.8%	1.07×	4.49
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 goals	19.5%	17.9%	21.5%	0.83×	5.59
Deportes Concepcion over 3.5 goals	8.4%	7.8%	9.0%	0.86×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion under 1.5 in 1st half	84.3%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Concepcion under 0.5 in 1st half	49.5%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Deportes Concepcion over 0.5 in 1st half	50.5%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Deportes Concepcion over 1.5 in 1st half	15.7%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	59.9%	56.7%	41.4%	1.37×	1.76
Unión La Calera (home no bet)	40.1%	43.3%	58.6%	0.74×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion even goals	51.9%	50.6%	54.5%	0.93×	1.98
Deportes Concepcion odd goals	48.1%	49.4%	45.5%	1.09×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.5%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	28.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 2-0	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 0-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 1-1	5.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Draw at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	23.9%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Unión La Calera at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	6.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.70
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Unión La Calera at HT / Draw at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Unión La Calera at HT / Deportes Concepcion at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Deportes Concepcion at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion to score last	67.4%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Unión La Calera to score last	23.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
No goal scored	9.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.4%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 1 at any time	73.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 2 at any time	40.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Unión La Calera to lead by 1 at any time	24.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	18.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Deportes Concepcion to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Unión La Calera to lead by 2 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	—	—	59.98
Unión La Calera to lead by 3 at any time	0.6%	1.6%	—	—	63.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion most corners	58.7%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Unión La Calera most corners	30.9%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	83.4%	83.5%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.7%	72.4%	66.3%	1.09×	1.38
2-6 goals	61.6%	63.4%	69.9%	0.91×	1.58
2-5 goals	60.0%	59.2%	64.3%	0.92×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.3%	59.2%	58.2%	1.02×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.2%	53.2%	42.5%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.7%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.30
3-6 goals	36.5%	39.1%	50.6%	0.77×	2.56
3-5 goals	34.8%	35.4%	45.0%	0.79×	2.83
3-4 goals	30.2%	35.4%	38.9%	0.91×	2.83
4-6 goals	17.0%	18.6%	26.9%	0.69×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.3%	18.6%	21.3%	0.88×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.3%	8.7%	12.0%	0.73×	11.46
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	2.4%	1.04×	39.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion never behind	65.5%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Unión La Calera never behind	17.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.2%	50.8%	45.0%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.8%	49.2%	55.0%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.5%	91.9%	1.04×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	85.8%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.4%	92.3%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	82.3%	82.4%	70.9%	1.16×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	62.8%	61.8%	47.2%	1.31×	1.62
Over 1.5 goals	62.4%	61.8%	72.1%	0.86×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	37.6%	38.2%	27.9%	1.37×	2.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.2%	38.2%	52.8%	0.72×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	17.7%	17.6%	29.1%	0.61×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	9.6%	7.7%	4.9%	1.58×	12.91
Over 4.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	14.2%	0.55×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.5%	8.1%	0.56×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	91.4%	1.06×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.1%	92.5%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.0%	75.9%	61.9%	1.23×	1.32
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.3%	51.8%	34.5%	1.50×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.7%	48.2%	65.5%	0.74×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.0%	24.1%	38.1%	0.63×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.9%	7.5%	16.7%	0.45×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	8.6%	0.32×	36.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	2.6%	1.07×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.4%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.8%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.6%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.7%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.2%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.8%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.3%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to score in both halves	94.6%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Deportes Concepcion not to score in both halves	69.4%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Deportes Concepcion to score in both halves	30.6%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Unión La Calera to score in both halves	5.4%	9.2%	—	—	10.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Deportes Concepcion scores	48.4%	50.5%	26.7%	1.89×	1.98
Both teams score	32.1%	33.3%	52.1%	0.64×	3.00
Only Unión La Calera scores	9.9%	7.2%	16.9%	0.43×	13.89
Neither team scores	9.6%	7.2%	4.9%	1.47×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	28.0%	25.0%	23.2%	1.08×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	25.2%	25.0%	19.6%	1.28×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.4%	24.0%	0.73×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	10.6%	12.1%	15.2%	0.80×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	9.6%	7.6%	4.9%	1.56×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.4%	6.4%	0.69×	22.65
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.4%	8.1%	0.55×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	35.3%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
No goals in 2nd half	27.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win both halves	98.7%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Deportes Concepcion not to win both halves	78.4%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Deportes Concepcion to win both halves	21.6%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Unión La Calera to win both halves	1.3%	2.7%	—	—	36.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to win neither half	77.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Deportes Concepcion to win either half	72.4%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Deportes Concepcion to win neither half	27.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Unión La Calera to win either half	22.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win to nil	90.1%	92.0%	83.1%	1.11×	1.09
Deportes Concepcion not to win to nil	51.6%	54.0%	73.4%	0.74×	1.85
Deportes Concepcion to win to nil	48.4%	46.0%	26.7%	1.72×	2.18
Unión La Calera to win to nil	9.9%	8.0%	16.9%	0.47×	12.52

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Concepcion by 1	29.7%	27.9%	26.2%	1.07×	3.59
Draw	20.4%	24.1%	21.3%	1.14×	4.14
Deportes Concepcion by 2	20.1%	24.1%	13.0%	1.86×	4.14
Deportes Concepcion by 3+	16.0%	16.9%	10.3%	1.65×	5.91
Unión La Calera by 1	11.0%	11.8%	20.0%	0.59×	8.48
Unión La Calera by 2	2.2%	2.7%	6.4%	0.43×	37.01
Unión La Calera by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	4.2%	0.65×	37.07