Deportes Tolima v América de Cali — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Deportes Tolima

19:10

América de Cali

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 351h before kick-off

Deportes Tolima win

40.6%

model 39.7%

Draw

29.4%

model 30.0%

América de Cali win

30.0%

model 30.3%

412930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 14.2%
1-0 10.6%
0-0 10.4%
0-1 8.9%
2-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.7%	Under 2.5	57.3%
BTTS yes	49.5%	BTTS no	50.5%
Deportes Tolima 1+	72.5%	Deportes Tolima 2+	37.0%
América de Cali 1+	66.6%	América de Cali 2+	30.0%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.10. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 68%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

They have had 20 days' rest to América de Cali's 17.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportes Tolima have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.0% for América de Cali and 29.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Deportes Tolima and 1.10 for América de Cali.

Why Deportes Tolima

They have had 20 days' rest to América de Cali's 17.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.4%. A combined 2.39 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.29 to 1.10. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why América de Cali can win

América de Cali carry the stronger rating, 1645 Elo against 1602. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportes Tolima, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for América de Cali, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportes Tolima: 59% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. América de Cali: 55% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportes Tolima are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.2%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	403030	1.29–1.10	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	343234	1.08–1.07	1-1 15%	36%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to win	34.3%	30.4%	45.9%	0.66×	3.29
América de Cali to win	33.7%	30.4%	24.8%	1.23×	3.29
Draw	32.0%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima & not both score	21.4%	21.9%	27.1%	0.81×	4.57
América de Cali & not both score	21.0%	21.9%	13.5%	1.62×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.1%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Deportes Tolima & both teams score	12.9%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.9%	13.3%	10.8%	1.22×	7.54
América de Cali & both teams score	12.7%	13.3%	11.4%	1.16×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima & under 3.5	27.9%	26.0%	35.7%	0.73×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	27.6%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.6%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
América de Cali & under 3.5	27.4%	26.0%	19.9%	1.31×	3.84
Deportes Tolima & over 1.5	23.0%	21.6%	33.9%	0.64×	4.62
América de Cali & over 1.5	22.5%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.1%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & under 2.5	18.1%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
América de Cali & under 2.5	17.8%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Deportes Tolima & over 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	25.6%	0.70×	5.56
América de Cali & over 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	12.8%	1.41×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	12.9%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Deportes Tolima & under 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
América de Cali & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	8.5%	1.52×	7.77
Deportes Tolima & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.70
América de Cali & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (1UP)	48.9%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
América de Cali (1UP)	48.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2UP)	34.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
América de Cali (2UP)	33.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
América de Cali to win 2nd half	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Deportes Tolima to win 2nd half	28.4%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (+2.5)	95.7%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
América de Cali (+1.5)	85.8%	88.5%	79.6%	1.11×	1.13
Deportes Tolima (+0.5)	66.3%	68.7%	75.2%	0.91×	1.46
América de Cali (+0.5)	65.7%	68.7%	54.1%	1.27×	1.46
Deportes Tolima (-0.5)	34.3%	31.3%	45.9%	0.68×	3.19
América de Cali (-0.5)	33.7%	31.3%	24.8%	1.27×	3.19
Deportes Tolima (-1.5)	14.2%	11.5%	20.4%	0.56×	8.68
Deportes Tolima (-2.5)	4.3%	3.7%	8.2%	0.46×	26.77

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to concede	66.1%	72.4%	75.8%	0.96×	1.38
América de Cali clean sheet	33.9%	27.6%	24.2%	1.14×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali clean sheet in 1st half	62.8%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
América de Cali to concede in 1st half	37.2%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali under 6.5 corners	90.4%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
América de Cali under 5.5 corners	83.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
América de Cali under 4.5 corners	72.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
América de Cali over 2.5 corners	61.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
América de Cali under 3.5 corners	56.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
América de Cali over 3.5 corners	43.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
América de Cali under 2.5 corners	38.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
América de Cali over 4.5 corners	27.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
América de Cali over 5.5 corners	16.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
América de Cali over 6.5 corners	9.6%	10.0%	—	—	10.05

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali under 3.5 goals	97.6%	97.6%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
América de Cali under 2.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
América de Cali under 1.5 goals	71.0%	71.9%	74.4%	0.97×	1.39
América de Cali over 0.5 goals	65.7%	67.9%	62.2%	1.09×	1.47
América de Cali under 0.5 goals	34.3%	32.1%	37.8%	0.85×	3.12
América de Cali over 1.5 goals	29.0%	28.1%	25.6%	1.10×	3.56
América de Cali over 2.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	7.1%	1.08×	13.05
América de Cali over 3.5 goals	2.4%	2.4%	1.9%	1.26×	40.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
América de Cali under 0.5 in 1st half	65.2%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
América de Cali over 0.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
América de Cali over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	5.8%	—	—	17.10

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (away no bet)	51.8%	51.2%	60.9%	0.84×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	48.2%	48.8%	39.1%	1.25×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali even goals	55.9%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
América de Cali odd goals	44.1%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.9%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.08

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	51.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.5%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Deportes Tolima to score 2+ in a row	23.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
América de Cali to score 2+ in a row	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Deportes Tolima to score 3+ in a row	6.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.84
América de Cali to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.86

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima corners (+3.5)	92.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Deportes Tolima corners (+2.5)	87.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Deportes Tolima corners (+1.5)	79.7%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
América de Cali corners (+3.5)	74.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
América de Cali corners (+2.5)	64.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
América de Cali corners (+1.5)	52.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Deportes Tolima corners (-1.5)	47.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Deportes Tolima corners (-2.5)	35.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Deportes Tolima corners (-3.5)	26.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
América de Cali corners (-1.5)	20.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
América de Cali corners (-2.5)	13.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
América de Cali corners (-3.5)	7.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	25.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	17.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	82.4%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	56.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	54.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 7.5 corners	45.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Over 11.5 corners	17.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	12.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.7%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
0-0	12.9%	11.4%	10.8%	1.06×	8.73
0-1	11.2%	11.4%	8.5%	1.35×	8.74
1-0	11.3%	11.4%	12.1%	0.95×	8.74
0-2	6.6%	7.4%	3.8%	1.98×	13.47
1-2	7.2%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.47
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.47
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.51
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.51
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.50
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.52
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.51
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.52
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.52
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.52
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
Any other score	1.0%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima leading at HT (DNB)	52.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
América de Cali leading at HT (DNB)	47.4%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or América de Cali (12)	68.0%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Deportes Tolima or draw (1X)	66.3%	69.6%	75.2%	0.93×	1.44
América de Cali or draw (X2)	65.7%	69.6%	54.1%	1.29×	1.44

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw at HT	76.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
América de Cali or draw at HT	73.6%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Deportes Tolima or América de Cali at HT	50.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima or draw (1UP)	66.3%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
América de Cali or draw (1UP)	65.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali or draw in 2nd half	71.6%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Deportes Tolima or draw in 2nd half	70.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Deportes Tolima or América de Cali in 2nd half	58.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Neither half drawn	30.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (DNB)	50.5%	50.9%	65.0%	0.78×	1.96
América de Cali (DNB)	49.5%	49.1%	35.0%	1.40×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score first	43.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
América de Cali to score first	43.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	12.9%	10.2%	—	—	9.77

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.3%	54.8%	51.2%	1.07×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.7%	45.2%	48.8%	0.93×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.8%	44.3%	43.1%	1.03×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.0%	33.6%	35.9%	0.94×	2.97
Both score & under 2.5	14.7%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.5%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.5%	89.1%	88.7%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.5%	10.9%	11.3%	0.97×	9.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.8%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.2%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	19.4%	15.9%	—	—	6.30
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	2.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.8%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.2%	14.2%	—	—	7.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	42.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.5%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	35.4%	35.0%	31.2%	1.12×	2.86
4-6 goals	16.5%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.95
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	1.5%	1.18×	55.19

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
América de Cali to score exactly 0	34.3%	33.9%	37.8%	0.90×	2.95
América de Cali to score exactly 2	19.6%	19.6%	18.6%	1.05×	5.11
América de Cali to score 3+	9.4%	8.5%	7.1%	1.20×	11.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	34.4%	1.04×	2.81
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 0	33.9%	32.7%	24.2%	1.35×	3.06
Deportes Tolima to score exactly 2	19.9%	18.9%	26.1%	0.72×	5.29
Deportes Tolima to score 3+	9.6%	10.3%	15.6%	0.66×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Tolima leading at HT	26.4%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
América de Cali leading at HT	23.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima -1: 2	65.7%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Deportes Tolima -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Deportes Tolima -1: 1	14.2%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (0:1)	65.7%	65.4%	54.1%	1.21×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.3%	25.6%	0.95×	4.12
Deportes Tolima (0:1)	14.2%	13.9%	20.4%	0.68×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (0:2)	85.8%	86.9%	79.6%	1.09×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	12.4%	0.62×	12.93
Deportes Tolima (0:2)	4.3%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.48

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (0:3)	95.7%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.07
Deportes Tolima (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	1.9%	0.61×	83.52
Deportes Tolima (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.59

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (1:0)	66.3%	69.8%	75.2%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	17.2%	0.99×	5.86
América de Cali (1:0)	13.8%	12.8%	7.7%	1.68×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima (2:0)	86.2%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.6%	6.5%	5.0%	1.29×	15.50
América de Cali (2:0)	4.1%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	44.24

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Halves equal	30.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to concede	65.7%	66.5%	62.2%	1.07×	1.50
Deportes Tolima clean sheet	34.3%	33.5%	37.8%	0.89×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima clean sheet in 1st half	65.2%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Deportes Tolima to concede in 1st half	34.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Tolima under 6.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Deportes Tolima under 5.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 corners	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportes Tolima under 4.5 corners	51.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Deportes Tolima over 4.5 corners	48.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 corners	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportes Tolima over 5.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportes Tolima over 6.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 3.5 goals	97.6%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Deportes Tolima under 2.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 goals	70.5%	74.2%	58.4%	1.27×	1.35
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 goals	66.1%	67.8%	75.8%	0.90×	1.47
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 goals	33.9%	32.2%	24.2%	1.33×	3.11
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 goals	29.5%	25.8%	41.6%	0.62×	3.88
Deportes Tolima over 2.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	15.6%	0.50×	12.90
Deportes Tolima over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Deportes Tolima under 0.5 in 1st half	62.8%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Deportes Tolima over 0.5 in 1st half	37.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Deportes Tolima over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	4.7%	—	—	21.30

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali (home no bet)	51.3%	51.6%	45.6%	1.13×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.7%	48.4%	54.4%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima even goals	55.7%	55.4%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Deportes Tolima odd goals	44.3%	44.6%	46.6%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.1%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
HT 1-0	18.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-1	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.16
HT 2-0	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.74
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.93
Any other HT score	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.91
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.94
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	44.04

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Deportes Tolima at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
América de Cali at HT / América de Cali at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / América de Cali at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportes Tolima at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
América de Cali at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Deportes Tolima at HT / América de Cali at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
América de Cali at HT / Deportes Tolima at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima to score last	43.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
América de Cali to score last	43.3%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	12.9%	9.6%	—	—	10.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.1%	90.5%	—	—	1.11
Deportes Tolima to lead by 1 at any time	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
América de Cali to lead by 1 at any time	48.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.3%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Deportes Tolima to lead by 2 at any time	18.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
América de Cali to lead by 2 at any time	18.0%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.65
Deportes Tolima to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.34
América de Cali to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.34

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima most corners	59.0%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
América de Cali most corners	29.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.9%	83.5%	85.7%	0.98×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.0%	69.0%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-6 goals	64.0%	63.4%	67.5%	0.94×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.4%	63.4%	65.4%	0.97×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.9%	59.2%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	50.7%	53.2%	45.3%	1.17×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.5%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	35.8%	39.2%	42.6%	0.92×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.2%	35.4%	40.5%	0.87×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.7%	30.2%	34.8%	0.87×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.5%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37
4-5 goals	14.9%	14.9%	17.4%	0.86×	6.72
5-6 goals	6.1%	8.7%	7.9%	1.10×	11.45
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.49

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportes Tolima never behind	38.9%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
América de Cali never behind	38.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.9%	82.4%	79.1%	1.04×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	64.6%	61.7%	68.8%	0.90×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.5%	61.7%	56.1%	1.10×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.5%	38.3%	44.0%	0.87×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.4%	38.3%	31.2%	1.23×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.1%	17.6%	20.9%	0.84×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	10.8%	1.14×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.6%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.5%	92.5%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.7%	75.9%	72.9%	1.04×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.8%	51.8%	58.5%	0.88×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.2%	48.2%	41.5%	1.16×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.3%	24.1%	27.1%	0.89×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.5%	7.5%	10.5%	0.72×	13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.4%	2.8%	3.8%	0.72×	36.35
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.7%	1.6%	1.76×	36.40

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.8%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	58.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.2%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.8%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali not to score in both halves	83.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.18
Deportes Tolima not to score in both halves	82.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportes Tolima to score in both halves	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
América de Cali to score in both halves	16.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.7%	46.6%	48.8%	0.96×	2.15
Only Deportes Tolima scores	21.4%	22.3%	27.1%	0.82×	4.48
Only América de Cali scores	21.0%	22.3%	13.5%	1.66×	4.48
Neither team scores	12.9%	10.9%	10.8%	1.01×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.2%	25.0%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	22.5%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.3%	17.4%	23.2%	0.75×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.9%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	10.4%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	4.5%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.67
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
1 goal in 2nd half	34.9%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	28.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali not to win both halves	92.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Tolima not to win both halves	92.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Deportes Tolima to win both halves	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
América de Cali to win both halves	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.61

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali to win neither half	53.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportes Tolima to win neither half	52.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportes Tolima to win either half	47.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
América de Cali to win either half	46.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
América de Cali not to win to nil	79.0%	78.0%	86.5%	0.90×	1.28
Deportes Tolima not to win to nil	78.6%	78.0%	72.9%	1.07×	1.28
Deportes Tolima to win to nil	21.4%	22.0%	27.1%	0.81×	4.55
América de Cali to win to nil	21.0%	22.0%	13.5%	1.63×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.0%	27.6%	29.5%	0.94×	3.62
Deportes Tolima by 1	20.2%	24.1%	25.6%	0.94×	4.14
América de Cali by 1	19.9%	17.0%	17.2%	0.98×	5.90
Deportes Tolima by 2	9.9%	7.3%	12.4%	0.59×	13.79
América de Cali by 2	9.6%	7.3%	5.0%	1.45×	13.79
Deportes Tolima by 3+	4.3%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.00
América de Cali by 3+	4.1%	2.7%	2.8%	0.97×	37.00