Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad (Ecuador) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · ECU-LigaPro · 2627

ECU-LigaPro results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Deportivo Cuenca

20:00

Libertad (Ecuador)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 16h before kick-off

Deportivo Cuenca win

40.4%

model 37.3%

Draw

29.3%

model 29.1%

Libertad (Ecuador) win

30.2%

model 33.7%

402930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.8%
1-1 13.0%
0-1 12.9%
0-0 11.9%
2-1 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	34.8%	Under 2.5	65.2%
BTTS yes	41.6%	BTTS no	58.4%
Deportivo Cuenca 1+	66.1%	Deportivo Cuenca 2+	29.4%
Libertad (Ecuador) 1+	63.7%	Libertad (Ecuador) 2+	26.9%

Expected goals 1.08 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 41%

53.5% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 556 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cuenca.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Cuenca have an estimated 40.4% win probability, against 30.2% for Libertad (Ecuador) and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.08 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.01 for Libertad (Ecuador).

Why Deportivo Cuenca

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Cuenca.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. A combined 2.09 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.08 to 1.01. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Libertad (Ecuador) can win

Libertad (Ecuador) carry the stronger rating, 1558 Elo against 1464.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Cuenca, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Libertad (Ecuador), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Cuenca: 51% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Libertad (Ecuador): 29% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportivo Cuenca are the model's most likely outcome at 40.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.8%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	372934	1.08–1.01	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	343037	0.99–1.04	0-1 14%	33%	40%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) to win	36.5%	36.4%	29.6%	1.23×	2.75
Deportivo Cuenca to win	33.8%	30.4%	44.2%	0.69×	3.29
Draw	29.6%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) & not both score	24.5%	21.9%	18.0%	1.21×	4.57
Deportivo Cuenca & not both score	22.6%	21.9%	25.5%	0.86×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	18.6%	0.96×	5.58
Draw & not both score	12.7%	13.3%	8.0%	1.66×	7.54
Libertad (Ecuador) & both teams score	12.0%	13.3%	11.7%	1.13×	7.54
Deportivo Cuenca & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	19.0%	0.70×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) & under 3.5	30.8%	30.9%	22.3%	1.38×	3.24
Deportivo Cuenca & under 3.5	28.7%	26.0%	33.3%	0.78×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.7%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.7%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Libertad (Ecuador) & over 1.5	22.4%	21.7%	19.1%	1.13×	4.62
Libertad (Ecuador) & under 2.5	21.3%	21.7%	15.1%	1.44×	4.62
Deportivo Cuenca & over 1.5	20.4%	21.7%	32.2%	0.67×	4.62
Deportivo Cuenca & under 2.5	19.9%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Libertad (Ecuador) & over 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	14.7%	1.22×	5.56
Deportivo Cuenca & under 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	12.3%	1.05×	7.77
Deportivo Cuenca & over 2.5	14.0%	12.9%	24.5%	0.52×	7.77
Libertad (Ecuador) & under 1.5	14.1%	12.9%	10.6%	1.21×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	12.7%	12.9%	8.0%	1.61×	7.77
Deportivo Cuenca & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	11.2%	0.71×	12.70
Libertad (Ecuador) & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	7.4%	1.06×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	4.5%	1.07×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	4.5%	1.07×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (1UP)	49.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Deportivo Cuenca (1UP)	46.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (2UP)	36.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Deportivo Cuenca (2UP)	33.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	41.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Libertad (Ecuador) to win 2nd half	31.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Deportivo Cuenca to win 2nd half	27.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (+2.5)	96.5%	96.3%	92.2%	1.04×	1.04
Libertad (Ecuador) (+1.5)	87.6%	88.5%	80.5%	1.10×	1.13
Libertad (Ecuador) (+0.5)	66.2%	68.7%	55.8%	1.23×	1.46
Deportivo Cuenca (+0.5)	63.5%	62.9%	70.4%	0.89×	1.59
Libertad (Ecuador) (-0.5)	36.5%	37.1%	29.6%	1.25×	2.70
Deportivo Cuenca (-0.5)	33.8%	31.3%	44.2%	0.71×	3.20
Deportivo Cuenca (-1.5)	12.4%	11.5%	19.5%	0.59×	8.70
Deportivo Cuenca (-2.5)	3.5%	3.7%	7.8%	0.48×	26.85

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) to concede	62.8%	67.2%	74.2%	0.91×	1.49
Libertad (Ecuador) clean sheet	37.2%	32.8%	25.8%	1.27×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) clean sheet in 1st half	65.4%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Libertad (Ecuador) to concede in 1st half	34.6%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) under 6.5 corners	96.0%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Libertad (Ecuador) under 5.5 corners	91.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Libertad (Ecuador) under 4.5 corners	82.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Libertad (Ecuador) under 3.5 corners	68.7%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Libertad (Ecuador) over 2.5 corners	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Libertad (Ecuador) under 2.5 corners	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Libertad (Ecuador) over 3.5 corners	31.3%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Libertad (Ecuador) over 4.5 corners	17.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Libertad (Ecuador) over 5.5 corners	8.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Libertad (Ecuador) over 6.5 corners	4.0%	8.2%	—	—	12.22

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) under 3.5 goals	97.8%	97.5%	96.8%	1.01×	1.03
Libertad (Ecuador) under 2.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Libertad (Ecuador) under 1.5 goals	72.1%	71.9%	73.8%	0.98×	1.39
Libertad (Ecuador) over 0.5 goals	64.7%	63.0%	66.7%	0.94×	1.59
Libertad (Ecuador) under 0.5 goals	35.3%	37.0%	33.3%	1.11×	2.70
Libertad (Ecuador) over 1.5 goals	27.9%	28.1%	26.2%	1.07×	3.57
Libertad (Ecuador) over 2.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	10.2%	0.75×	13.02
Libertad (Ecuador) over 3.5 goals	2.2%	2.5%	3.2%	0.78×	40.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Libertad (Ecuador) under 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Libertad (Ecuador) over 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.14
Libertad (Ecuador) over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.28

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca (away no bet)	53.3%	51.2%	62.6%	0.82×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	46.7%	48.8%	37.4%	1.30×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) even goals	56.2%	56.9%	51.7%	1.10×	1.76
Libertad (Ecuador) odd goals	43.8%	43.1%	48.3%	0.89×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.1%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.9%	7.2%	—	—	13.81

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	46.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	40.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Libertad (Ecuador) to score 2+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Deportivo Cuenca to score 2+ in a row	20.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Libertad (Ecuador) to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.6%	—	—	17.81
Deportivo Cuenca to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca corners (+3.5)	97.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Cuenca corners (+2.5)	95.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Cuenca corners (+1.5)	91.2%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Deportivo Cuenca corners (-1.5)	65.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Libertad (Ecuador) corners (+3.5)	58.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Cuenca corners (-2.5)	53.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Libertad (Ecuador) corners (+2.5)	46.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Deportivo Cuenca corners (-3.5)	41.3%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Libertad (Ecuador) corners (+1.5)	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Libertad (Ecuador) corners (-1.5)	8.9%	11.4%	—	—	8.81
Libertad (Ecuador) corners (-2.5)	4.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Libertad (Ecuador) corners (-3.5)	2.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	53.0%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	28.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	18.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	73.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 7.5 corners	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	53.0%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 8.5 corners	47.0%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 7.5 corners	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 10.5 corners	26.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	12.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	14.1%	11.5%	10.6%	1.08×	8.73
1-0	13.5%	11.5%	12.3%	0.93×	8.73
1-1	13.1%	11.5%	14.3%	0.80×	8.73
0-0	12.7%	11.5%	8.0%	1.43×	8.73
0-2	7.1%	7.4%	4.6%	1.60×	13.48
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.48
2-1	6.7%	7.4%	10.4%	0.71×	13.48
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.48
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.92×	58.48
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.49
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.49
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.47
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.48
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.49
3-0	2.1%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.48
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.48
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.48
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.20×	58.49
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.49
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.60×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.30×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.20×	58.49
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca leading at HT (DNB)	50.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Libertad (Ecuador) leading at HT (DNB)	49.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca or Libertad (Ecuador) (12)	70.4%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Libertad (Ecuador) or draw (X2)	66.2%	69.6%	55.8%	1.25×	1.44
Deportivo Cuenca or draw (1X)	63.5%	63.6%	70.4%	0.90×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca or draw at HT	75.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Libertad (Ecuador) or draw at HT	75.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Cuenca or Libertad (Ecuador) at HT	49.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) or draw (1UP)	66.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Deportivo Cuenca or draw (1UP)	63.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) or draw in 2nd half	72.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Deportivo Cuenca or draw in 2nd half	69.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Deportivo Cuenca or Libertad (Ecuador) in 2nd half	58.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (DNB)	51.9%	50.9%	40.1%	1.27×	1.96
Deportivo Cuenca (DNB)	48.1%	49.1%	60.0%	0.82×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) to score first	44.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Deportivo Cuenca to score first	42.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	12.7%	10.2%	—	—	9.82

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.8%	54.9%	51.1%	1.07×	1.82
Both teams to score	40.2%	45.1%	48.9%	0.92×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.8%	47.1%	42.6%	1.11×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	27.1%	33.6%	34.8%	0.97×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	13.1%	12.3%	14.3%	0.86×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.0%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.7%	89.1%	90.0%	0.99×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.3%	10.9%	10.0%	1.08×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.1%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.63
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.25

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	11.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	39.3%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.9%	42.1%	47.0%	0.90×	2.37
0-1 goals	40.3%	42.1%	30.5%	1.38×	2.38
4-6 goals	14.3%	17.0%	21.4%	0.79×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.5%	1.23×	54.76

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	40.7%	0.88×	2.78
Libertad (Ecuador) to score exactly 0	35.3%	36.0%	33.3%	1.08×	2.78
Libertad (Ecuador) to score exactly 2	19.1%	19.6%	16.2%	1.21×	5.11
Libertad (Ecuador) to score 3+	8.8%	8.5%	10.2%	0.83×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca to score exactly 0	37.2%	35.6%	25.8%	1.38×	2.81
Deportivo Cuenca to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	35.1%	1.01×	2.81
Deportivo Cuenca to score exactly 2	18.2%	18.9%	24.5%	0.77×	5.29
Deportivo Cuenca to score 3+	7.8%	10.3%	14.9%	0.69×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Deportivo Cuenca leading at HT	24.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Libertad (Ecuador) leading at HT	24.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) -1: 1	63.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Libertad (Ecuador) -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Libertad (Ecuador) -1: 2	14.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (0:1)	66.2%	65.4%	55.8%	1.17×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.3%	24.9%	0.97×	4.12
Deportivo Cuenca (0:1)	12.4%	13.8%	19.5%	0.71×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (0:2)	87.6%	86.9%	80.5%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.9%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.93
Deportivo Cuenca (0:2)	3.5%	3.8%	7.8%	0.48×	26.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (0:3)	96.5%	96.6%	92.2%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.6%	0.51×	42.14
Deportivo Cuenca (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	96.7%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.2%	0.54×	83.61
Deportivo Cuenca (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.92×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca (1:0)	63.5%	65.1%	70.4%	0.92×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	22.5%	21.8%	18.2%	1.20×	4.59
Libertad (Ecuador) (1:0)	14.0%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca (2:0)	86.0%	88.4%	88.5%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.5%	7.4%	0.87×	15.46
Libertad (Ecuador) (2:0)	4.2%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	44.11

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.4%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Halves equal	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca to concede	64.7%	63.4%	66.7%	0.95×	1.58
Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet	35.3%	36.6%	33.3%	1.10×	2.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet in 1st half	65.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Deportivo Cuenca to concede in 1st half	34.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca over 2.5 corners	88.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Cuenca over 3.5 corners	76.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Cuenca under 6.5 corners	64.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Cuenca over 4.5 corners	63.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Cuenca under 5.5 corners	51.2%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Deportivo Cuenca over 5.5 corners	48.8%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Deportivo Cuenca under 4.5 corners	37.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Deportivo Cuenca over 6.5 corners	35.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Deportivo Cuenca under 3.5 corners	23.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Deportivo Cuenca under 2.5 corners	11.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.4%	94.6%	1.02×	1.04
Deportivo Cuenca under 2.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	85.1%	1.08×	1.08
Deportivo Cuenca under 1.5 goals	74.0%	74.2%	60.8%	1.22×	1.35
Deportivo Cuenca over 0.5 goals	62.8%	63.5%	74.2%	0.86×	1.58
Deportivo Cuenca under 0.5 goals	37.2%	36.5%	25.8%	1.41×	2.74
Deportivo Cuenca over 1.5 goals	26.0%	25.8%	39.2%	0.66×	3.87
Deportivo Cuenca over 2.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	14.9%	0.52×	12.91
Deportivo Cuenca over 3.5 goals	1.8%	3.6%	5.4%	0.67×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Deportivo Cuenca under 0.5 in 1st half	65.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Deportivo Cuenca over 0.5 in 1st half	34.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Deportivo Cuenca over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	4.6%	—	—	21.95

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) (home no bet)	55.2%	56.7%	52.8%	1.07×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.8%	43.3%	47.2%	0.92×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca even goals	56.9%	55.5%	54.3%	1.02×	1.80
Deportivo Cuenca odd goals	43.1%	44.5%	45.7%	0.97×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
HT 1-0	18.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	18.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	7.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.32
Any other HT score	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Libertad (Ecuador) at HT / Libertad (Ecuador) at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Deportivo Cuenca at HT / Deportivo Cuenca at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Libertad (Ecuador) at FT	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Deportivo Cuenca at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Deportivo Cuenca at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Libertad (Ecuador) at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Deportivo Cuenca at HT / Libertad (Ecuador) at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Libertad (Ecuador) at HT / Deportivo Cuenca at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) to score last	44.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
Deportivo Cuenca to score last	42.6%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	12.7%	9.6%	—	—	10.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.3%	90.5%	—	—	1.11
Libertad (Ecuador) to lead by 1 at any time	49.4%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Deportivo Cuenca to lead by 1 at any time	46.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.40
Libertad (Ecuador) to lead by 2 at any time	17.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Deportivo Cuenca to lead by 2 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Libertad (Ecuador) to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.18
Deportivo Cuenca to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	—	—	60.05

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca most corners	76.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Libertad (Ecuador) most corners	15.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Corners level	8.8%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	89.0%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.8%	83.5%	81.8%	1.02×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.5%	72.4%	69.5%	1.04×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.2%	59.2%	68.2%	0.87×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.0%	59.2%	66.5%	0.89×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.2%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-4 goals	54.2%	53.2%	59.3%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.9%	43.6%	47.0%	0.93×	2.30
3-6 goals	32.7%	35.4%	42.0%	0.84×	2.83
3-5 goals	31.4%	35.4%	40.3%	0.88×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.6%	30.2%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.3%	14.9%	21.4%	0.70×	6.72
4-5 goals	13.1%	14.9%	19.7%	0.76×	6.72
5-6 goals	5.1%	8.7%	9.1%	0.96×	11.47
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	1.5%	1.71×	39.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Libertad (Ecuador) never behind	40.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Deportivo Cuenca never behind	37.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.5%	96.8%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.3%	87.6%	92.0%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	77.3%	1.13×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	66.9%	66.2%	56.7%	1.17×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.7%	58.9%	69.5%	0.85×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	40.3%	41.1%	30.5%	1.35×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	33.1%	33.8%	43.3%	0.78×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	22.7%	0.55×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	12.7%	12.4%	8.0%	1.55×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.5%	3.2%	1.42×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	98.5%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.2%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.9%	92.5%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.8%	81.1%	71.4%	1.13×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.8%	51.8%	41.3%	1.26×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.2%	48.2%	58.7%	0.82×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.2%	19.0%	28.6%	0.66×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.1%	7.5%	11.9%	0.64×	13.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.8%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	1.5%	1.83×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.6%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.5%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca not to score in both halves	85.1%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Libertad (Ecuador) not to score in both halves	84.2%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Libertad (Ecuador) to score in both halves	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
Deportivo Cuenca to score in both halves	14.9%	14.4%	—	—	6.95

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	40.2%	46.5%	48.9%	0.95×	2.15
Only Libertad (Ecuador) scores	24.5%	22.3%	18.0%	1.24×	4.48
Only Deportivo Cuenca scores	22.6%	22.3%	25.5%	0.88×	4.48
Neither team scores	12.7%	10.9%	8.0%	1.37×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	27.6%	25.0%	22.7%	1.10×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	26.6%	25.0%	26.4%	0.95×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	18.3%	17.4%	20.8%	0.84×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	12.7%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	9.3%	7.6%	12.5%	0.61×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.4%	7.4%	0.59×	22.66
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.4%	3.2%	1.39×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.5%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.2%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	30.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca not to win both halves	93.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Libertad (Ecuador) not to win both halves	92.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Libertad (Ecuador) to win both halves	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Deportivo Cuenca to win both halves	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca to win neither half	54.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Libertad (Ecuador) to win neither half	52.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Libertad (Ecuador) to win either half	47.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Deportivo Cuenca to win either half	45.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Cuenca not to win to nil	77.4%	78.0%	74.5%	1.05×	1.28
Libertad (Ecuador) not to win to nil	75.5%	78.0%	82.0%	0.95×	1.28
Libertad (Ecuador) to win to nil	24.5%	22.0%	18.0%	1.22×	4.55
Deportivo Cuenca to win to nil	22.6%	22.0%	25.5%	0.86×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.6%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Libertad (Ecuador) by 1	22.5%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.14
Deportivo Cuenca by 1	21.4%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Libertad (Ecuador) by 2	9.9%	7.3%	7.4%	0.98×	13.77
Deportivo Cuenca by 2	8.9%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.77
Libertad (Ecuador) by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	36.95
Deportivo Cuenca by 3+	3.5%	2.7%	7.8%	0.35×	36.97