Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Deportivo Garcilaso

19:00

Universitario

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 327h before kick-off

Deportivo Garcilaso win

46.9%

model 45.6%

Draw

26.6%

model 28.2%

Universitario win

26.5%

model 26.2%

472727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.7%
0-0 11.3%
0-1 10.5%
2-0 9.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.6%	Under 2.5	63.4%
BTTS yes	42.0%	BTTS no	58.0%
Deportivo Garcilaso 1+	72.0%	Deportivo Garcilaso 2+	36.3%
Universitario 1+	58.7%	Universitario 2+	22.2%

Expected goals 1.27 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 35%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

strong signal · 556 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Universitario not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Garcilaso have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.5% for Universitario. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.89 for Universitario.

Why Deportivo Garcilaso

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. A combined 2.16 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Universitario can win

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1650 Elo against 1610. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Garcilaso, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universitario, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Garcilaso: 42% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universitario: 47% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportivo Garcilaso are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.0%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462826	1.27–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	433027	1.17–0.86	1-0 16%	33%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to win	43.3%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.32
Draw	29.5%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Universitario to win	27.1%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & not both score	29.5%	25.2%	26.5%	0.95×	3.97
Universitario & not both score	18.1%	17.9%	12.2%	1.47×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	16.6%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Deportivo Garcilaso & both teams score	13.8%	13.3%	23.6%	0.56×	7.55
Draw & not both score	12.9%	13.2%	7.8%	1.69×	7.55
Universitario & both teams score	9.0%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 3.5	36.0%	34.9%	33.8%	1.03×	2.86
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 1.5	27.7%	26.0%	38.2%	0.68×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.8%	26.0%	18.9%	1.38×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.8%	26.0%	18.9%	1.38×	3.84
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 2.5	24.7%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.62
Universitario & under 3.5	23.4%	21.6%	19.1%	1.13×	4.62
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	30.9%	0.58×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Deportivo Garcilaso & under 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	12.0%	1.50×	5.56
Universitario & over 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	17.3%	1.04×	5.56
Universitario & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	10.9%	1.65×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	12.9%	12.9%	7.8%	1.65×	7.78
Universitario & under 1.5	11.6%	12.9%	8.0%	1.61×	7.78
Universitario & over 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	14.4%	0.90×	7.78
Deportivo Garcilaso & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Universitario & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1UP)	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Universitario (1UP)	40.6%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2UP)	43.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Universitario (2UP)	27.1%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.0%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Deportivo Garcilaso to win 2nd half	33.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Universitario to win 2nd half	24.1%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (+2.5)	93.9%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Universitario (+1.5)	81.5%	82.4%	75.3%	1.09×	1.21
Deportivo Garcilaso (+0.5)	72.9%	73.7%	74.9%	0.98×	1.36
Universitario (+0.5)	56.7%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.75
Deportivo Garcilaso (-0.5)	43.3%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.33
Universitario (-0.5)	27.1%	26.3%	25.1%	1.05×	3.80
Deportivo Garcilaso (-1.5)	18.5%	17.6%	24.7%	0.71×	5.68
Deportivo Garcilaso (-2.5)	6.1%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to concede	69.0%	72.6%	80.2%	0.90×	1.38
Universitario clean sheet	31.0%	27.4%	19.8%	1.38×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 1st half	60.5%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Universitario to concede in 1st half	39.5%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario over 2.5 corners	82.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Universitario over 3.5 corners	69.6%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Universitario under 6.5 corners	69.6%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Universitario under 5.5 corners	58.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Universitario over 4.5 corners	55.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Universitario under 4.5 corners	44.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Universitario over 5.5 corners	42.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Universitario under 3.5 corners	30.4%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Universitario over 6.5 corners	30.4%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Universitario under 2.5 corners	17.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Universitario under 2.5 goals	94.4%	92.4%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Universitario under 1.5 goals	78.8%	76.2%	71.6%	1.06×	1.31
Universitario over 0.5 goals	57.6%	59.6%	65.8%	0.91×	1.68
Universitario under 0.5 goals	42.4%	40.4%	34.2%	1.18×	2.48
Universitario over 1.5 goals	21.2%	23.8%	28.4%	0.84×	4.21
Universitario over 2.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	8.0%	0.96×	13.09
Universitario over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.4%	2.5%	0.95×	41.14

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Universitario under 0.5 in 1st half	71.0%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Universitario over 0.5 in 1st half	29.0%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Universitario over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.5%	—	—	22.40

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (away no bet)	59.5%	57.5%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.5%	42.5%	33.4%	1.27×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario even goals	59.0%	57.0%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Universitario odd goals	41.0%	43.0%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	46.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	41.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 2+ in a row	27.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Universitario to score 2+ in a row	16.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+ in a row	8.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.87
Universitario to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	37.97

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario corners (+3.5)	95.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Universitario corners (+2.5)	91.9%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Universitario corners (+1.5)	86.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+3.5)	65.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Universitario corners (-1.5)	57.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+2.5)	54.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Universitario corners (-2.5)	45.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (+1.5)	42.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Universitario corners (-3.5)	34.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-1.5)	13.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-2.5)	8.1%	11.3%	—	—	8.81
Deportivo Garcilaso corners (-3.5)	4.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.53

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	25.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	18.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	74.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	66.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	54.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Under 7.5 corners	45.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	33.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	25.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	12.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.7%	13.7%	12.0%	1.15×	7.28
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-0	12.9%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
0-1	11.6%	11.5%	8.0%	1.43×	8.73
2-0	9.0%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.46
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.46
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.46
0-2	4.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.56
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.59
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.58
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.57
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.57
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.58
3-2	1.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.59
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.59
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.59
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.59
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.69×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	9.39×	58.59
Any other score	0.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.59
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.56×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT (DNB)	61.5%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Universitario leading at HT (DNB)	38.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1X)	72.9%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Deportivo Garcilaso or Universitario (12)	70.5%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Universitario or draw (X2)	56.7%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw at HT	80.9%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Universitario or draw at HT	69.6%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Deportivo Garcilaso or Universitario at HT	49.5%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1UP)	72.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Universitario or draw (1UP)	56.7%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw in 2nd half	75.9%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Universitario or draw in 2nd half	66.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Deportivo Garcilaso or Universitario in 2nd half	58.0%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.6%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (DNB)	61.5%	62.8%	66.6%	0.94×	1.59
Universitario (DNB)	38.5%	37.2%	33.4%	1.11×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first	50.3%	54.1%	—	—	1.85
Universitario to score first	36.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	12.9%	10.3%	—	—	9.70

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.6%	56.5%	46.2%	1.22×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.4%	43.5%	53.8%	0.81×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.0%	47.1%	37.6%	1.25×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	26.5%	33.6%	42.7%	0.79×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.6%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.1%	89.1%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.9%	10.9%	14.4%	0.76×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.5%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.71

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both score 2nd half only	17.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.39
Both score 1st half only	9.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.82
Both score in both halves	2.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.50

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.6%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.4%	14.3%	—	—	7.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	39.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.1%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
0-1 goals	40.2%	42.1%	27.5%	1.53×	2.38
4-6 goals	14.3%	17.0%	26.9%	0.63×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	1.8%	0.99×	55.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score exactly 0	42.4%	37.0%	34.2%	1.08×	2.70
Universitario to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Universitario to score exactly 2	15.6%	19.5%	20.5%	0.95×	5.12
Universitario to score 3+	5.6%	8.5%	8.0%	1.06×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.6%	32.9%	1.08×	2.81
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 0	31.0%	32.6%	19.8%	1.65×	3.06
Deportivo Garcilaso to score exactly 2	21.2%	23.3%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Deportivo Garcilaso to score 3+	11.4%	14.3%	22.5%	0.64×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	50.5%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
Deportivo Garcilaso leading at HT	30.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Universitario leading at HT	19.1%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 2	56.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: X	24.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Deportivo Garcilaso -1: 1	18.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:1)	56.7%	55.8%	50.0%	1.12×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.8%	24.3%	25.5%	0.96×	4.11
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:1)	18.5%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:2)	81.5%	82.7%	75.3%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.4%	11.0%	13.5%	0.82×	9.09
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:2)	6.1%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:3)	93.9%	92.7%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	41.94
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.33
Deportivo Garcilaso (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (1:0)	72.9%	72.5%	74.9%	0.97×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.3%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
Universitario (1:0)	8.9%	6.9%	7.6%	0.91×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso (2:0)	91.1%	93.9%	92.4%	1.02×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.7%	6.5%	5.6%	1.14×	15.50
Universitario (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	2.2%	1.04×	44.27

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Halves equal	29.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede	57.6%	61.0%	65.8%	0.93×	1.64
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet	42.4%	39.0%	34.2%	1.14×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet in 1st half	71.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Deportivo Garcilaso to concede in 1st half	29.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 6.5 corners	93.9%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Deportivo Garcilaso under 5.5 corners	88.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Deportivo Garcilaso under 4.5 corners	79.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 corners	64.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 corners	35.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Deportivo Garcilaso over 4.5 corners	21.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Deportivo Garcilaso over 5.5 corners	11.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Deportivo Garcilaso over 6.5 corners	6.1%	11.7%	—	—	8.56

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 3.5 goals	96.9%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Deportivo Garcilaso under 2.5 goals	88.6%	87.2%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 goals	69.0%	67.9%	80.2%	0.85×	1.47
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 goals	67.4%	67.9%	52.5%	1.29×	1.47
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 goals	32.7%	32.1%	47.5%	0.68×	3.12
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 goals	31.0%	32.1%	19.8%	1.62×	3.12
Deportivo Garcilaso over 2.5 goals	11.4%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.84
Deportivo Garcilaso over 3.5 goals	3.1%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.42

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 in 1st half	90.9%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Deportivo Garcilaso under 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Deportivo Garcilaso over 1.5 in 1st half	9.1%	4.6%	—	—	21.64

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.1%	51.6%	50.0%	1.03×	1.94
Universitario (home no bet)	47.9%	48.4%	50.0%	0.97×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso even goals	54.8%	50.7%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
Deportivo Garcilaso odd goals	45.2%	49.3%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.9%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
HT 1-0	21.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	14.8%	11.1%	—	—	9.02
HT 1-1	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 2-0	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.74
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.79
Any other HT score	2.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.78
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.84
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	24.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.9%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Universitario at HT / Universitario at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Universitario at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Universitario at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Universitario at HT / Deportivo Garcilaso at FT	1.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.22
Deportivo Garcilaso at HT / Universitario at FT	1.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso to score last	50.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Universitario to score last	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	12.9%	9.7%	—	—	10.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.1%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 1 at any time	55.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Universitario to lead by 1 at any time	40.6%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 2 at any time	22.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Universitario to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Deportivo Garcilaso to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.5%	—	—	15.34
Universitario to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	63.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario most corners	68.5%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Garcilaso most corners	21.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Corners level	10.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.87

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.4%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.6%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.3%	72.4%	63.8%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.4%	59.2%	70.9%	0.84×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.1%	59.2%	67.5%	0.88×	1.69
2-4 goals	54.3%	53.2%	58.4%	0.91×	1.88
1-2 goals	54.0%	53.1%	41.1%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.1%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	32.6%	35.4%	49.6%	0.71×	2.83
3-5 goals	31.3%	35.4%	46.2%	0.77×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.6%	30.2%	37.1%	0.81×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.3%	14.9%	26.9%	0.55×	6.73
4-5 goals	13.0%	14.9%	23.5%	0.63×	6.73
5-6 goals	5.0%	8.7%	12.7%	0.69×	11.46
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	1.8%	1.39×	39.56

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Garcilaso never behind	46.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Universitario never behind	31.8%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	53.1%	0.96×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	46.9%	1.05×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 1st half	40.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.1%	87.7%	92.2%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.2%	87.7%	71.5%	1.23×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	48.7%	1.36×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	59.8%	58.8%	72.5%	0.81×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	40.2%	41.2%	27.5%	1.50×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	51.3%	0.66×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	14.8%	12.3%	28.5%	0.43×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	12.9%	12.3%	7.8%	1.58×	8.11
Over 4.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	14.4%	0.54×	12.96
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.3%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.2%	97.3%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.9%	92.5%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.9%	81.1%	63.1%	1.29×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.8%	51.8%	34.9%	1.49×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.2%	48.2%	65.1%	0.74×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.1%	18.9%	36.9%	0.51×	5.30
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.1%	7.5%	16.7%	0.45×	13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.8%	2.7%	5.8%	0.47×	36.39
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.7%	1.9%	1.46×	36.43

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.6%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.3%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.7%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.4%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.4%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.6%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.6%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario not to score in both halves	88.3%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Deportivo Garcilaso not to score in both halves	80.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Garcilaso to score in both halves	19.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Universitario to score in both halves	11.7%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	39.4%	39.9%	53.8%	0.74×	2.51
Only Deportivo Garcilaso scores	29.5%	26.2%	26.5%	0.99×	3.82
Only Universitario scores	18.1%	16.1%	12.2%	1.32×	6.20
Neither team scores	12.9%	10.9%	7.8%	1.40×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	27.3%	25.0%	19.8%	1.26×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	25.0%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	18.3%	17.5%	22.9%	0.76×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	12.9%	12.1%	7.8%	1.54×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	9.3%	7.6%	14.4%	0.53×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.4%	9.3%	0.48×	22.61
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.0%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	30.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario not to win both halves	95.4%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win both halves	89.7%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Deportivo Garcilaso to win both halves	10.3%	11.8%	—	—	8.44
Universitario to win both halves	4.6%	2.9%	—	—	34.82

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win neither half	61.4%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Deportivo Garcilaso to win either half	54.0%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Deportivo Garcilaso to win neither half	46.0%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Universitario to win either half	38.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario not to win to nil	81.9%	83.0%	87.8%	0.94×	1.21
Deportivo Garcilaso not to win to nil	70.5%	75.2%	73.5%	1.02×	1.33
Deportivo Garcilaso to win to nil	29.5%	24.8%	26.5%	0.93×	4.04
Universitario to win to nil	18.1%	17.0%	12.2%	1.40×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.5%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59
Deportivo Garcilaso by 1	24.8%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Universitario by 1	18.3%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.90
Deportivo Garcilaso by 2	12.4%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.46
Universitario by 2	6.7%	7.2%	5.6%	1.29×	13.81
Deportivo Garcilaso by 3+	6.1%	7.2%	11.5%	0.63×	13.81
Universitario by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.00