Deportivo Moquegua v Cienciano del Cusco — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 8 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Deportivo Moquegua

14:00

Cienciano del Cusco

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 788h before kick-off

Deportivo Moquegua win

38.9%

model 39.1%

Draw

28.3%

model 25.9%

Cienciano del Cusco win

32.8%

model 35.0%

392833

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-0 10.3%
0-1 9.7%
2-1 8.4%
1-2 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.8%	Under 2.5	52.2%
BTTS yes	52.3%	BTTS no	47.7%
Deportivo Moquegua 1+	73.7%	Deportivo Moquegua 2+	38.6%
Cienciano del Cusco 1+	71.3%	Cienciano del Cusco 2+	35.5%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.25. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Deportivo Moquegua have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.8% for Cienciano del Cusco and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Deportivo Moquegua and 1.25 for Cienciano del Cusco.

Why Deportivo Moquegua

Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.34 to 1.25. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Cienciano del Cusco can win

Cienciano del Cusco carry the stronger rating, 1502 Elo against 1446.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Deportivo Moquegua, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cienciano del Cusco, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Deportivo Moquegua: 41% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cienciano del Cusco: 55% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Deportivo Moquegua are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	402733	1.30–1.15	1-1 13%	44%	49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to win	40.2%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.33
Cienciano del Cusco to win	33.1%	30.4%	25.1%	1.21×	3.29
Draw	26.7%	27.9%	25.1%	1.11×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua & not both score	23.3%	21.9%	26.5%	0.82×	4.57
Cienciano del Cusco & not both score	19.0%	17.9%	12.2%	1.47×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	17.5%	1.03×	5.58
Deportivo Moquegua & both teams score	16.9%	17.9%	23.6%	0.76×	5.58
Cienciano del Cusco & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	13.1%	1.01×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.4%	8.4%	7.8%	1.07×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua & under 3.5	30.3%	30.8%	33.8%	0.91×	3.24
Deportivo Moquegua & over 1.5	28.7%	26.0%	38.2%	0.68×	3.84
Cienciano del Cusco & under 3.5	25.6%	26.0%	19.1%	1.36×	3.84
Cienciano del Cusco & over 1.5	22.9%	21.6%	17.3%	1.25×	4.62
Deportivo Moquegua & over 2.5	21.4%	21.6%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.0%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.0%	21.6%	18.9%	1.14×	4.62
Deportivo Moquegua & under 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Cienciano del Cusco & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Cienciano del Cusco & under 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	10.9%	1.65×	5.56
Deportivo Moquegua & under 1.5	11.5%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.77
Cienciano del Cusco & under 1.5	10.2%	12.9%	8.0%	1.61×	7.77
Deportivo Moquegua & over 3.5	9.9%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Cienciano del Cusco & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	6.2%	1.27×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (1UP)	55.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Cienciano del Cusco (1UP)	48.9%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (2UP)	40.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Cienciano del Cusco (2UP)	33.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Deportivo Moquegua to win 2nd half	32.7%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Cienciano del Cusco to win 2nd half	29.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	88.5%	1.04×	1.09
Cienciano del Cusco (+1.5)	82.1%	82.4%	75.3%	1.09×	1.21
Deportivo Moquegua (+0.5)	66.9%	68.7%	74.9%	0.92×	1.46
Cienciano del Cusco (+0.5)	59.8%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.75
Deportivo Moquegua (-0.5)	40.2%	43.0%	50.0%	0.86×	2.33
Cienciano del Cusco (-0.5)	33.1%	31.3%	25.1%	1.25×	3.19
Deportivo Moquegua (-1.5)	17.9%	17.6%	24.7%	0.71×	5.68
Deportivo Moquegua (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	11.5%	0.69×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to concede	72.7%	76.5%	80.2%	0.95×	1.31
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet	27.3%	23.5%	19.8%	1.19×	4.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Cienciano del Cusco to concede in 1st half	42.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Cienciano del Cusco under 6.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 corners	68.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Cienciano del Cusco under 5.5 corners	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cienciano del Cusco over 4.5 corners	53.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Cienciano del Cusco under 4.5 corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Cienciano del Cusco over 5.5 corners	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 corners	31.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Cienciano del Cusco over 6.5 corners	27.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 corners	17.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 3.5 goals	97.0%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Cienciano del Cusco under 2.5 goals	89.0%	87.9%	92.0%	0.96×	1.14
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 goals	68.3%	68.0%	65.8%	1.03×	1.47
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 goals	68.1%	68.0%	71.6%	0.95×	1.47
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 goals	31.9%	32.0%	28.4%	1.13×	3.12
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 goals	31.7%	32.0%	34.2%	0.94×	3.12
Cienciano del Cusco over 2.5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	8.0%	1.51×	8.27
Cienciano del Cusco over 3.5 goals	3.0%	2.5%	2.5%	0.96×	40.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco under 1.5 in 1st half	92.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Cienciano del Cusco under 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Cienciano del Cusco over 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Cienciano del Cusco over 1.5 in 1st half	7.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (away no bet)	60.1%	62.1%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	39.9%	38.0%	33.4%	1.14×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco even goals	55.0%	56.9%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Cienciano del Cusco odd goals	45.0%	43.1%	43.1%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.4%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.6%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.9%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Deportivo Moquegua to score 2+ in a row	30.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Cienciano del Cusco to score 2+ in a row	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	5.7%	—	—	17.60
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+ in a row	6.7%	5.6%	—	—	17.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+3.5)	94.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+2.5)	89.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Cienciano del Cusco corners (+1.5)	83.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+3.5)	70.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+2.5)	60.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-1.5)	51.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Moquegua corners (+1.5)	48.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-2.5)	39.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Cienciano del Cusco corners (-3.5)	29.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-1.5)	17.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-2.5)	10.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Deportivo Moquegua corners (-3.5)	6.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.3%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	18.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	74.1%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	57.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	42.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	25.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	18.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	12.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.4%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
1-0	11.5%	11.4%	12.0%	0.95×	8.74
0-1	10.2%	11.4%	8.0%	1.43×	8.74
0-0	8.4%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.47
2-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.47
1-2	7.4%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
0-2	5.7%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.47
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.50
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.51
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.52
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.51
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.51
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.51
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.50
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.51
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.52
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.52
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.52
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.67×	58.52
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.52
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.52
Any other score	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT (DNB)	56.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT (DNB)	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or Cienciano del Cusco (12)	73.3%	72.1%	74.9%	0.96×	1.39
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1X)	66.9%	69.6%	74.9%	0.93×	1.44
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (X2)	59.8%	57.0%	50.0%	1.14×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or draw at HT	76.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Cienciano del Cusco or draw at HT	69.7%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Deportivo Moquegua or Cienciano del Cusco at HT	54.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1UP)	66.9%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Cienciano del Cusco or draw (1UP)	59.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua or draw in 2nd half	70.3%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Cienciano del Cusco or draw in 2nd half	67.3%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Deportivo Moquegua or Cienciano del Cusco in 2nd half	62.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.6%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.4%	30.5%	—	—	3.27

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (DNB)	54.8%	51.0%	66.6%	0.77×	1.96
Cienciano del Cusco (DNB)	45.2%	49.0%	33.4%	1.47×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score first	48.6%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Cienciano del Cusco to score first	43.1%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	8.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.6%	51.4%	46.2%	1.11×	1.94
Both teams to score	49.4%	48.6%	53.8%	0.90×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	43.1%	41.6%	37.6%	1.11×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	36.7%	38.5%	42.7%	0.90×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	11.3%	1.09×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.4%	8.7%	0.96×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.1%	85.7%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.9%	14.3%	14.4%	1.00×	6.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	62.4%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	21.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	11.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Both score in both halves	4.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.25

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	84.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	15.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A goal in each half	48.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.4%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.1%	30.7%	27.5%	1.12×	3.25
4-6 goals	21.8%	22.8%	26.9%	0.85×	4.38
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.8%	1.00×	55.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 0	31.7%	33.8%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Cienciano del Cusco to score exactly 2	20.9%	22.4%	20.5%	1.09×	4.46
Cienciano del Cusco to score 3+	11.0%	12.8%	8.0%	1.60×	7.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	32.9%	1.08×	2.81
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 0	27.3%	26.5%	19.8%	1.34×	3.77
Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 2	23.0%	23.3%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+	14.2%	14.4%	22.5%	0.64×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT	30.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Cienciano del Cusco leading at HT	23.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua -1: 2	59.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Deportivo Moquegua -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Deportivo Moquegua -1: 1	17.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:1)	59.8%	55.9%	50.0%	1.12×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12
Deportivo Moquegua (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	24.7%	0.72×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:2)	82.1%	82.8%	75.3%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	13.5%	0.82×	9.11
Deportivo Moquegua (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:3)	93.7%	92.6%	88.5%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	7.6%	0.31×	42.01
Deportivo Moquegua (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (0:4)	98.2%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	2.5%	0.47×	83.45
Deportivo Moquegua (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	1.6%	0.73×	83.57

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (1:0)	66.9%	69.8%	74.9%	0.93×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.1%	17.6%	0.97×	5.86
Cienciano del Cusco (1:0)	13.4%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua (2:0)	86.6%	88.4%	92.4%	0.96×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.2%	6.5%	5.6%	1.14×	15.50
Cienciano del Cusco (2:0)	4.2%	2.3%	2.2%	1.04×	44.24

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to concede	68.3%	66.6%	65.8%	1.01×	1.50
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet	31.7%	33.4%	34.2%	0.98×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 6.5 corners	91.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Deportivo Moquegua under 5.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Deportivo Moquegua under 4.5 corners	73.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 corners	61.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 corners	38.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Deportivo Moquegua over 4.5 corners	26.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Deportivo Moquegua over 5.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Deportivo Moquegua over 6.5 corners	8.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 goals	95.7%	96.3%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 goals	85.8%	87.2%	77.5%	1.13×	1.15
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 goals	72.7%	74.2%	80.2%	0.93×	1.35
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 goals	62.8%	63.4%	52.5%	1.21×	1.58
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 goals	37.2%	36.6%	47.5%	0.77×	2.74
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 goals	27.3%	25.8%	19.8%	1.30×	3.88
Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 goals	14.2%	12.8%	22.5%	0.57×	7.83
Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 goals	4.3%	3.7%	7.6%	0.48×	27.39

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.0%	—	—	10.00

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco (home no bet)	55.3%	56.7%	50.0%	1.13×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.7%	43.3%	50.0%	0.87×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua even goals	53.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Deportivo Moquegua odd goals	46.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
HT 1-0	20.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	16.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-1	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 2-0	5.6%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 0-2	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.78
Any other HT score	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.84
HT 2-1	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.88
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.91
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	44.03

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	15.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Cienciano del Cusco at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Cienciano del Cusco at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua to score last	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Cienciano del Cusco to score last	43.1%	40.3%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	8.4%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 1 at any time	55.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 1 at any time	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 2 at any time	23.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.21
Cienciano del Cusco to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.5%	—	—	15.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco most corners	63.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Deportivo Moquegua most corners	25.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.8%	87.4%	87.1%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.4%	83.5%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.6%	69.0%	70.9%	0.97×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.5%	69.0%	63.8%	1.08×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.0%	69.0%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.7%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
1-2 goals	47.4%	48.7%	41.1%	1.18×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	49.6%	0.88×	2.30
3-5 goals	40.4%	43.6%	46.2%	0.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.1%	35.4%	37.1%	0.95×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.8%	24.5%	26.9%	0.91×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.3%	18.6%	23.5%	0.79×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.9%	8.8%	12.7%	0.69×	11.42
7+ goals	1.3%	2.5%	1.8%	1.39×	39.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Deportivo Moquegua never behind	42.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Cienciano del Cusco never behind	36.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.1%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	92.2%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.8%	87.7%	85.6%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.9%	77.4%	71.5%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.9%	66.2%	72.5%	0.91×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	55.7%	58.8%	48.7%	1.21×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	44.3%	41.2%	51.3%	0.80×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	30.1%	33.8%	27.5%	1.23×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	23.1%	22.6%	28.5%	0.79×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	10.2%	12.3%	14.4%	0.86×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	7.8%	0.99×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.3%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.9%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.3%	86.7%	83.3%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.7%	72.6%	63.1%	1.15×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.5%	55.5%	65.1%	0.85×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.5%	44.5%	34.9%	1.28×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.3%	27.4%	36.9%	0.74×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.7%	13.3%	16.7%	0.79×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.1%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.7%	1.9%	1.46×	36.38

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	73.0%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.0%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.4%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to score in both halves	81.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves	77.7%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Deportivo Moquegua to score in both halves	22.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Cienciano del Cusco to score in both halves	18.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.4%	50.4%	53.8%	0.94×	1.98
Only Deportivo Moquegua scores	23.3%	22.4%	26.5%	0.84×	4.47
Only Cienciano del Cusco scores	19.0%	16.1%	12.2%	1.32×	6.21
Neither team scores	8.4%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	24.9%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.7%	22.6%	19.8%	1.14×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.9%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	8.4%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	6.3%	7.6%	9.3%	0.82×	13.10
6 or more goals	3.9%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	41.7%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
1 goal in 2nd half	34.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	23.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.32

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to win both halves	93.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Deportivo Moquegua not to win both halves	90.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Deportivo Moquegua to win both halves	9.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Cienciano del Cusco to win both halves	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco to win neither half	53.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportivo Moquegua to win either half	53.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Deportivo Moquegua to win neither half	46.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Cienciano del Cusco to win either half	46.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cienciano del Cusco not to win to nil	81.0%	83.0%	87.8%	0.95×	1.21
Deportivo Moquegua not to win to nil	76.7%	78.0%	73.5%	1.06×	1.28
Deportivo Moquegua to win to nil	23.3%	22.0%	26.5%	0.83×	4.55
Cienciano del Cusco to win to nil	19.0%	17.0%	12.2%	1.39×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.7%	27.8%	25.1%	1.11×	3.60
Deportivo Moquegua by 1	22.2%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Cienciano del Cusco by 1	19.7%	17.0%	17.6%	0.96×	5.90
Deportivo Moquegua by 2	11.6%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.47
Cienciano del Cusco by 2	9.2%	7.3%	5.6%	1.29×	13.79
Deportivo Moquegua by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	11.5%	0.63×	13.80
Cienciano del Cusco by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.00