Deportivo Moquegua v Sporting Cristal — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627
PER-Liga 1
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyDeportivo Moquegua win
36.6%
model 35.8%
Draw
26.6%
model 26.4%
Sporting Cristal win
36.8%
model 37.7%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.5%
- 0-1 10.6%
- 1-0 10.3%
- 1-2 8.2%
- 2-1 7.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 45.8% | Under 2.5 | 54.2% |
| BTTS yes | 50.8% | BTTS no | 49.2% |
| Deportivo Moquegua 1+ | 70.9% | Deportivo Moquegua 2+ | 35.0% |
| Sporting Cristal 1+ | 72.0% | Sporting Cristal 2+ | 36.4% |
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Sporting Cristal (DNB)
Draw no bet · usually 33%
53.7% fair odds 1.86
strong signal · 255 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Sporting Cristal (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 75%
83.2% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1446.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Sporting Cristal have an estimated 36.8% win probability, against 36.6% for Deportivo Moquegua and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Deportivo Moquegua and 1.27 for Sporting Cristal.
Why Deportivo Moquegua
Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Moquegua.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.23 to 1.27. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Sporting Cristal can win
Sporting Cristal carry the stronger rating, 1492 Elo against 1446.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Deportivo Moquegua, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Deportivo Moquegua: 41% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 19.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Sporting Cristal are the model's most likely outcome at 36.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.23–1.27 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.20–1.27 | 1-1 13% | 45% | 50% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to win | 38.3% | 36.4% | 25.1% | 1.45× | 2.75 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to win | 35.0% | 36.4% | 50.0% | 0.73× | 2.75 |
| Draw | 26.7% | 27.9% | 25.1% | 1.11× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal & not both score | 21.9% | 21.9% | 12.2% | 1.80× | 4.57 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & not both score | 20.0% | 17.9% | 26.5% | 0.68× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.4% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 1.03× | 5.58 |
| Sporting Cristal & both teams score | 16.4% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 1.37× | 5.58 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & both teams score | 15.1% | 17.9% | 23.6% | 0.76× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 1.07× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal & under 3.5 | 28.9% | 26.0% | 19.1% | 1.36× | 3.84 |
| Sporting Cristal & over 1.5 | 27.2% | 26.0% | 17.3% | 1.51× | 3.84 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & under 3.5 | 26.7% | 26.0% | 33.8% | 0.77× | 3.84 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & over 1.5 | 24.6% | 21.7% | 38.2% | 0.57× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 1.15× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 18.9% | 1.15× | 4.62 |
| Sporting Cristal & over 2.5 | 20.4% | 21.7% | 14.4% | 1.51× | 4.62 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & over 2.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 30.9% | 0.58× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 1.03× | 5.56 |
| Sporting Cristal & under 2.5 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 10.9% | 1.65× | 5.56 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & under 2.5 | 16.6% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.56 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & under 1.5 | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 1.07× | 7.77 |
| Sporting Cristal & under 1.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 1.61× | 7.77 |
| Sporting Cristal & over 3.5 | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.27× | 12.69 |
| Deportivo Moquegua & over 3.5 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 0.48× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 1.01× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (1UP) | 53.6% | 52.7% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (1UP) | 50.7% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (2UP) | 38.3% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (2UP) | 35.0% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.71 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 37.4% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half | 33.6% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to win 2nd half | 29.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (+2.5) | 95.2% | 96.3% | 88.5% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Sporting Cristal (+1.5) | 85.4% | 88.5% | 75.3% | 1.18× | 1.13 |
| Sporting Cristal (+0.5) | 65.0% | 62.9% | 50.0% | 1.26× | 1.59 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (+0.5) | 61.7% | 62.9% | 74.9% | 0.84× | 1.59 |
| Sporting Cristal (-0.5) | 38.3% | 37.1% | 25.1% | 1.48× | 2.70 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (-0.5) | 35.0% | 37.1% | 50.0% | 0.74× | 2.70 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (-1.5) | 14.6% | 11.5% | 24.7% | 0.47× | 8.69 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (-2.5) | 4.8% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 0.33× | 26.76 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to concede | 69.8% | 72.6% | 80.2% | 0.91× | 1.38 |
| Sporting Cristal clean sheet | 30.2% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 1.38× | 3.65 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half | 59.7% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half | 40.3% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.41 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners | 86.2% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners | 74.3% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners | 65.7% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners | 60.5% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners | 53.3% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners | 46.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners | 39.5% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners | 34.3% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners | 25.7% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners | 13.8% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals | 96.0% | 97.5% | 97.5% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals | 86.5% | 87.9% | 92.0% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals | 71.8% | 71.9% | 65.8% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals | 63.9% | 63.0% | 71.6% | 0.88× | 1.59 |
| Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals | 36.1% | 37.0% | 28.4% | 1.31× | 2.70 |
| Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals | 28.2% | 28.1% | 34.2% | 0.82× | 3.56 |
| Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 1.52× | 8.25 |
| Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.97× | 40.67 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.8% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half | 60.3% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half | 39.7% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.2% | 5.9% | — | — | 16.99 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua (away no bet) | 56.8% | 57.5% | 66.6% | 0.86× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 43.2% | 42.5% | 33.4% | 1.27× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal even goals | 54.0% | 52.8% | 56.9% | 0.93× | 1.89 |
| Sporting Cristal odd goals | 46.0% | 47.2% | 43.1% | 1.10× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 88.5% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 11.5% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.17 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 57.8% | 60.3% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 42.2% | 39.7% | — | — | 2.52 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 50.2% | 51.2% | — | — | 1.95 |
| Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row | 28.8% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score 2+ in a row | 26.3% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 15.9% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.14 |
| Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row | 8.7% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.59 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ in a row | 7.5% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.68 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5) | 92.2% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5) | 87.4% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5) | 80.7% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Deportivo Moquegua corners (+3.5) | 69.7% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Deportivo Moquegua corners (+2.5) | 59.9% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5) | 51.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Deportivo Moquegua corners (+1.5) | 49.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5) | 40.1% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5) | 30.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Deportivo Moquegua corners (-1.5) | 19.3% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Deportivo Moquegua corners (-2.5) | 12.6% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
| Deportivo Moquegua corners (-3.5) | 7.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 42.5% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.4% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 28.1% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 79.3% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 71.9% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 68.2% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 63.1% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 57.5% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 53.2% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46.8% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 42.5% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 36.9% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 31.8% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 28.1% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 20.7% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 1.02× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 1.43× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 0.95× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 0.95× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 2.40× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.00× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.00× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 0.30× | 58.46 |
| 0-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.47 |
| 0-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.13× | 58.48 |
| 1-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.48 |
| 2-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.34× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.35× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.04× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.67× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.70× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 9.40× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT (DNB) | 50.5% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB) | 49.5% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua or Sporting Cristal (12) | 73.3% | 72.1% | 74.9% | 0.96× | 1.39 |
| Sporting Cristal or draw (X2) | 65.0% | 63.6% | 50.0% | 1.27× | 1.57 |
| Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1X) | 61.7% | 63.6% | 74.9% | 0.85× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua or draw at HT | 73.3% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Sporting Cristal or draw at HT | 72.7% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Deportivo Moquegua or Sporting Cristal at HT | 54.1% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP) | 65.0% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Deportivo Moquegua or draw (1UP) | 61.7% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half | 71.0% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Deportivo Moquegua or draw in 2nd half | 66.4% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Deportivo Moquegua or Sporting Cristal in 2nd half | 62.6% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 66.4% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 33.6% | 30.7% | — | — | 3.26 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (DNB) | 52.2% | 50.9% | 33.4% | 1.52× | 1.96 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (DNB) | 47.8% | 49.1% | 66.6% | 0.74× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to score first | 47.1% | 45.5% | — | — | 2.20 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score first | 44.6% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 8.2% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.25 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 50.1% | 51.4% | 46.2% | 1.11× | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 49.9% | 48.6% | 53.8% | 0.90× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 42.7% | 41.6% | 37.6% | 1.11× | 2.40 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 37.2% | 38.5% | 42.7% | 0.90× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 1.09× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 0.96× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 87.8% | 85.6% | 85.6% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 12.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 1.00× | 6.95 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 73.8% | 74.2% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 26.2% | 25.8% | — | — | 3.87 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 62.0% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 22.0% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.7% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.2% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.85 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.1% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.9% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.70 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 51.3% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A goal in each half | 48.7% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.14 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 47.4% | 44.2% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 29.8% | 26.5% | 27.5% | 0.96× | 3.78 |
| 4-6 goals | 22.2% | 22.8% | 26.9% | 0.85× | 4.39 |
| 7+ goals | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.01× | 54.67 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1 | 35.7% | 36.0% | 37.6% | 0.96× | 2.78 |
| Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0 | 28.2% | 27.4% | 34.2% | 0.80× | 3.65 |
| Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2 | 22.6% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 1.09× | 4.46 |
| Sporting Cristal to score 3+ | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 1.60× | 7.80 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 1 | 36.2% | 35.6% | 32.9% | 1.08× | 2.81 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 0 | 30.2% | 32.6% | 19.8% | 1.65× | 3.06 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score exactly 2 | 21.7% | 23.2% | 25.1% | 0.93× | 4.30 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score 3+ | 12.0% | 14.3% | 22.5% | 0.64× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 45.9% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Deportivo Moquegua leading at HT | 27.3% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
| Sporting Cristal leading at HT | 26.7% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal -1: 1 | 61.7% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Sporting Cristal -1: X | 21.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Sporting Cristal -1: 2 | 16.7% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.72 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (0:1) | 65.0% | 61.5% | 50.0% | 1.23× | 1.63 |
| Draw (0:1) | 20.4% | 24.3% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.12 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (0:1) | 14.6% | 13.9% | 24.7% | 0.56× | 7.21 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (0:2) | 85.4% | 86.9% | 75.3% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.8% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 0.58× | 12.93 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (0:2) | 4.8% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 0.33× | 26.47 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (0:3) | 95.2% | 96.6% | 88.5% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.5% | 2.4% | 7.6% | 0.31× | 42.11 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (0:3) | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.59× | 42.21 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (0:4) | 98.7% | 98.1% | 96.0% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.47× | 83.57 |
| Deportivo Moquegua (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.73× | 83.65 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua (1:0) | 61.7% | 65.1% | 74.9% | 0.87× | 1.54 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.6% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 1.23× | 4.59 |
| Sporting Cristal (1:0) | 16.7% | 17.0% | 7.6% | 2.23× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua (2:0) | 83.3% | 84.5% | 92.4% | 0.92× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.0% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 1.84× | 9.65 |
| Sporting Cristal (2:0) | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 2.96× | 15.51 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 47.0% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 26.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua to concede | 71.8% | 73.1% | 65.8% | 1.11× | 1.37 |
| Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet | 28.2% | 26.9% | 34.2% | 0.79× | 3.71 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet in 1st half | 60.3% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to concede in 1st half | 39.7% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua under 6.5 corners | 86.4% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 5.5 corners | 77.3% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 corners | 69.8% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 4.5 corners | 64.4% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 corners | 51.9% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 corners | 48.1% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 4.5 corners | 35.6% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 corners | 30.2% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 5.5 corners | 22.7% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 6.5 corners | 13.6% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.28 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua under 3.5 goals | 96.6% | 96.4% | 92.4% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 2.5 goals | 88.0% | 87.3% | 77.5% | 1.13× | 1.15 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 goals | 69.8% | 67.9% | 80.2% | 0.85× | 1.47 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 goals | 66.3% | 67.9% | 52.5% | 1.29× | 1.47 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 goals | 33.7% | 32.1% | 47.5% | 0.68× | 3.11 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 goals | 30.2% | 32.1% | 19.8% | 1.62× | 3.11 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 2.5 goals | 12.0% | 12.7% | 22.5% | 0.57× | 7.85 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 3.5 goals | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 0.48× | 27.46 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.5% | 95.2% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Deportivo Moquegua under 0.5 in 1st half | 59.7% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 0.5 in 1st half | 40.3% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Deportivo Moquegua over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.5% | 4.8% | — | — | 20.97 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (home no bet) | 58.9% | 56.7% | 50.0% | 1.13× | 1.76 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 41.1% | 43.3% | 50.0% | 0.87× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua even goals | 54.6% | 50.6% | 50.5% | 1.00× | 1.97 |
| Deportivo Moquegua odd goals | 45.4% | 49.4% | 49.5% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 36.0% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.6% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 0-1 | 18.3% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.26 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.27 |
| Any other HT score | 3.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.39 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.44 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.57 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT | 20.4% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT | 19.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 16.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT | 15.6% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT | 13.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT | 4.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.78 |
| Deportivo Moquegua at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT | 2.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Sporting Cristal at HT / Deportivo Moquegua at FT | 1.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to score last | 47.1% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score last | 44.6% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.49 |
| No goal scored | 8.2% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.25 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.8% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time | 53.6% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 1 at any time | 50.7% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 41.7% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time | 22.1% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 2 at any time | 19.8% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.68 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 13.3% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.53 |
| Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time | 7.2% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.07 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to lead by 3 at any time | 6.1% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.12 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal most corners | 61.9% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Deportivo Moquegua most corners | 27.9% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Corners level | 10.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.62 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.8% | 87.4% | 87.1% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.4% | 83.5% | 78.0% | 1.07× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 68.9% | 69.0% | 70.9% | 0.97× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 68.3% | 69.0% | 63.8% | 1.08× | 1.45 |
| 2-5 goals | 66.3% | 68.9% | 67.5% | 1.02× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.8% | 59.2% | 58.4% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 47.1% | 48.7% | 41.1% | 1.18× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.8% | 48.7% | 44.2% | 1.10× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 43.4% | 43.6% | 49.6% | 0.88× | 2.30 |
| 3-5 goals | 40.7% | 43.6% | 46.2% | 0.94× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 34.3% | 35.4% | 37.1% | 0.95× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 22.2% | 24.5% | 26.9% | 0.91× | 4.09 |
| 4-5 goals | 19.5% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 0.79× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 0.69× | 11.44 |
| 7+ goals | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.40× | 39.27 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal never behind | 41.0% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Deportivo Moquegua never behind | 38.2% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.8% | 50.8% | 46.9% | 1.08× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.2% | 49.2% | 53.1% | 0.93× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.4% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.6% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.6% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.4% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.0% | 95.5% | 94.7% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.8% | 92.3% | 92.2% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89.6% | 87.7% | 85.6% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76.5% | 77.3% | 71.5% | 1.08× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.3% | 72.5% | 72.5% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55.3% | 58.8% | 48.7% | 1.21× | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.7% | 41.2% | 51.3% | 0.80× | 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29.8% | 27.5% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.5% | 22.7% | 28.5% | 0.79× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.86× | 8.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 0.99× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 0.85× | 22.20 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.6% | 97.2% | 98.1% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 95.8% | 97.2% | 94.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 88.0% | 86.7% | 83.3% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 70.2% | 72.5% | 63.1% | 1.15× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 60.0% | 62.0% | 65.1% | 0.95× | 1.61 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 40.0% | 38.0% | 34.9% | 1.09× | 2.64 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 29.8% | 27.5% | 36.9% | 0.74× | 3.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 0.79× | 7.55 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 0.48× | 36.10 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.47× | 36.18 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 91.6% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 72.8% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 64.0% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 36.0% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 27.2% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 8.4% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.58 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 82.3% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 76.5% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 57.8% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 42.2% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 23.5% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 17.7% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua not to score in both halves | 80.1% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves | 78.9% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Sporting Cristal to score in both halves | 21.1% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.61 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to score in both halves | 19.9% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.33 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 49.9% | 50.5% | 53.8% | 0.94× | 1.98 |
| Only Sporting Cristal scores | 21.9% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 1.83× | 4.48 |
| Only Deportivo Moquegua scores | 20.0% | 16.1% | 26.5% | 0.61× | 6.21 |
| Neither team scores | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 0.92× | 13.90 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.6% | 25.0% | 21.5% | 1.16× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 21.5% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 1.14× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.2% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 0.99× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 13.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 0.84× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 0.98× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 0.82× | 13.09 |
| 6 or more goals | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 0.84× | 22.66 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 42.2% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.3% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 23.5% | 23.2% | — | — | 4.32 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua not to win both halves | 92.1% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Sporting Cristal not to win both halves | 91.1% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Sporting Cristal to win both halves | 8.9% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.42 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to win both halves | 7.9% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.49 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua to win neither half | 51.5% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Sporting Cristal to win either half | 51.4% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Sporting Cristal to win neither half | 48.6% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to win either half | 48.5% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua not to win to nil | 80.0% | 83.0% | 73.5% | 1.13× | 1.21 |
| Sporting Cristal not to win to nil | 78.1% | 78.1% | 87.8% | 0.89× | 1.28 |
| Sporting Cristal to win to nil | 21.9% | 21.9% | 12.2% | 1.80× | 4.56 |
| Deportivo Moquegua to win to nil | 20.0% | 17.0% | 26.5% | 0.64× | 5.88 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% | 27.8% | 25.1% | 1.11× | 3.59 |
| Sporting Cristal by 1 | 21.6% | 24.1% | 17.6% | 1.37× | 4.14 |
| Deportivo Moquegua by 1 | 20.4% | 24.1% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.14 |
| Sporting Cristal by 2 | 11.0% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 2.09× | 8.48 |
| Deportivo Moquegua by 2 | 9.8% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 0.54× | 13.77 |
| Sporting Cristal by 3+ | 5.7% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 3.32× | 13.79 |
| Deportivo Moquegua by 3+ | 4.8% | 2.7% | 11.5% | 0.24× | 36.93 |