Deportivo Riestra v Unión (Santa Fe) — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 18 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627
ARG-Liga Profesional
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyDeportivo Riestra win
33.3%
model 34.1%
Draw
33.3%
model 31.0%
Unión (Santa Fe) win
33.3%
model 35.0%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (8,220 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.9%
- 0-0 13.0%
- 0-1 12.7%
- 1-0 12.5%
- 1-2 7.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 34.4% | Under 2.5 | 65.6% |
| BTTS yes | 42.1% | BTTS no | 57.9% |
| Deportivo Riestra 1+ | 64.3% | Deportivo Riestra 2+ | 27.5% |
| Unión (Santa Fe) 1+ | 64.9% | Unión (Santa Fe) 2+ | 28.1% |
Expected goals 1.03 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
Positive factors
- Unión (Santa Fe) carry the stronger rating, 1508 Elo against 1461.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Unión (Santa Fe) have an estimated 33.3% win probability, against 33.3% for Deportivo Riestra and 33.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.03 for Deportivo Riestra and 1.05 for Unión (Santa Fe).
Why Deportivo Riestra
Nothing in the data singles out Deportivo Riestra.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 33.3%. A combined 2.08 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.03 to 1.05. Draws run at 31% in this competition.
Why Unión (Santa Fe) can win
Unión (Santa Fe) carry the stronger rating, 1508 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Deportivo Riestra, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Unión (Santa Fe), so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Deportivo Riestra: 31% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Unión (Santa Fe): 51% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Unión (Santa Fe) are the model's most likely outcome at 33.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.06–1.01 | 1-1 14% | 34% | 42% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra to win | 35.8% | 36.4% | 41.7% | 0.87× | 2.75 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to win | 33.2% | 30.4% | 27.8% | 1.09× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 31.0% | 30.3% | 30.6% | 0.99× | 3.30 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra & not both score | 23.4% | 21.9% | 27.8% | 0.79× | 4.57 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & not both score | 21.6% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 1.27× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.0% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 1.12× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 0.90× | 7.54 |
| Deportivo Riestra & both teams score | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 0.94× | 7.54 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & both teams score | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 1.24× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra & under 3.5 | 29.7% | 26.0% | 34.9% | 0.75× | 3.84 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & under 3.5 | 27.8% | 26.0% | 23.6% | 1.10× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 26.9% | 26.0% | 28.1% | 0.93× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 26.9% | 26.0% | 28.1% | 0.93× | 3.84 |
| Deportivo Riestra & over 1.5 | 22.9% | 21.7% | 27.6% | 0.78× | 4.62 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & over 1.5 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 1.23× | 4.62 |
| Deportivo Riestra & under 2.5 | 20.1% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 0.92× | 4.62 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & under 2.5 | 18.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 1.23× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.0% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 1.13× | 5.56 |
| Deportivo Riestra & over 2.5 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 0.99× | 5.56 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & over 2.5 | 14.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 0.98× | 7.77 |
| Deportivo Riestra & under 1.5 | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 0.90× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 0.87× | 7.77 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & under 1.5 | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 1.25× | 7.77 |
| Deportivo Riestra & over 3.5 | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.13× | 12.70 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) & over 3.5 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.86× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.81× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.81× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra (1UP) | 49.4% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (1UP) | 47.0% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra (2UP) | 35.8% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (2UP) | 33.2% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.23 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 42.0% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to win 2nd half | 29.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Deportivo Riestra to win 2nd half | 29.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) (+2.5) | 95.7% | 96.3% | 95.0% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (+1.5) | 85.7% | 88.5% | 82.5% | 1.07× | 1.13 |
| Deportivo Riestra (+0.5) | 66.8% | 68.7% | 72.2% | 0.95× | 1.46 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (+0.5) | 64.2% | 62.9% | 58.3% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| Deportivo Riestra (-0.5) | 35.8% | 37.1% | 41.7% | 0.89× | 2.70 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (-0.5) | 33.2% | 31.3% | 27.8% | 1.13× | 3.20 |
| Deportivo Riestra (-1.5) | 14.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 0.66× | 8.69 |
| Deportivo Riestra (-2.5) | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 0.74× | 26.80 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) to concede | 65.4% | 72.5% | 68.1% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet | 34.6% | 27.5% | 31.9% | 0.86× | 3.63 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet in 1st half | 63.3% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to concede in 1st half | 36.7% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.85 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 2.5 corners | 79.5% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 6.5 corners | 77.9% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 5.5 corners | 66.4% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 3.5 corners | 64.1% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 4.5 corners | 52.0% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 4.5 corners | 48.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 3.5 corners | 35.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 5.5 corners | 33.6% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 6.5 corners | 22.1% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 2.5 corners | 20.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 3.5 goals | 98.0% | 97.5% | 98.9% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 2.5 goals | 91.8% | 92.3% | 93.3% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 goals | 73.2% | 72.0% | 78.2% | 0.92× | 1.39 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 goals | 63.6% | 63.0% | 57.6% | 1.09× | 1.59 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 goals | 36.4% | 37.0% | 42.4% | 0.87× | 2.70 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 goals | 26.8% | 28.0% | 21.8% | 1.29× | 3.57 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 2.5 goals | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.15× | 13.03 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 3.5 goals | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.14× | 40.78 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.7% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) under 0.5 in 1st half | 66.7% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 0.5 in 1st half | 33.3% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.3% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.32 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra (away no bet) | 53.6% | 51.3% | 57.7% | 0.89× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 46.4% | 48.7% | 42.3% | 1.15× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) even goals | 56.6% | 56.9% | 58.4% | 0.97× | 1.76 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) odd goals | 43.4% | 43.1% | 41.6% | 1.04× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 92.7% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 7.3% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.63 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 48.4% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 51.6% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 41.7% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Deportivo Riestra to score 2+ in a row | 23.2% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.12 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score 2+ in a row | 21.4% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 11.5% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.23 |
| Deportivo Riestra to score 3+ in a row | 6.2% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.79 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score 3+ in a row | 5.4% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.85 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+3.5) | 88.6% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+2.5) | 82.1% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Deportivo Riestra corners (+3.5) | 80.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) corners (+1.5) | 73.3% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Deportivo Riestra corners (+2.5) | 71.7% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Deportivo Riestra corners (+1.5) | 61.0% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-1.5) | 39.0% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-2.5) | 28.3% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Deportivo Riestra corners (-1.5) | 26.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) corners (-3.5) | 19.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Deportivo Riestra corners (-2.5) | 17.9% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Deportivo Riestra corners (-3.5) | 11.4% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 50.4% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 20.7% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 85.7% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 79.3% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 71.2% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 61.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 61.3% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 50.4% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 49.6% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 38.7% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 28.8% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 20.7% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 14.3% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.87 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 0.85× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 13.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 0.77× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 0.81× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 1.11× | 8.73 |
| 1-2 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.04× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 0.78× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 0.85× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.66× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.98× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.88× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.97× | 58.49 |
| 2-2 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 14.91× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.62× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.48 |
| 3-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.97× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 14.91× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.49× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.13× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.97× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.45× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.45× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.86× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra leading at HT (DNB) | 53.7% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) leading at HT (DNB) | 46.3% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra or Unión (Santa Fe) (12) | 69.0% | 69.7% | 69.4% | 1.00× | 1.44 |
| Deportivo Riestra or draw (1X) | 66.8% | 69.6% | 72.2% | 0.96× | 1.44 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) or draw (X2) | 64.2% | 63.6% | 58.3% | 1.09× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra or draw at HT | 77.1% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) or draw at HT | 73.5% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Deportivo Riestra or Unión (Santa Fe) at HT | 49.4% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra or draw (1UP) | 66.8% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) or draw (1UP) | 64.2% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) or draw in 2nd half | 71.0% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Deportivo Riestra or draw in 2nd half | 71.0% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Deportivo Riestra or Unión (Santa Fe) in 2nd half | 58.0% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.70 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 70.9% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Neither half drawn | 29.1% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra (DNB) | 51.9% | 50.9% | 60.1% | 0.85× | 1.96 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (DNB) | 48.1% | 49.1% | 39.9% | 1.23× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra to score first | 44.6% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score first | 42.4% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 13.0% | 10.3% | — | — | 9.74 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 58.0% | 54.9% | 59.5% | 0.92× | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 42.0% | 45.1% | 40.5% | 1.11× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 51.8% | 47.1% | 52.9% | 0.89× | 2.13 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 28.1% | 33.6% | 27.2% | 1.24× | 2.98 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 0.92× | 8.10 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 1.24× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 92.3% | 89.1% | 94.2% | 0.95× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 7.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.86× | 9.18 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 79.2% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 20.8% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.09 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 69.5% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 18.3% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.38 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.7% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.61 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.5% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.21 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 87.7% | 86.1% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 12.3% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.21 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 59.3% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A goal in each half | 40.7% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.1% | 47.4% | 47.4% | 1.00× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 38.3% | 35.1% | 39.1% | 0.90× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 15.1% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 1.52× | 4.96 |
| 7+ goals | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 3.98× | 54.75 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 36.0% | 35.9% | 1.00× | 2.78 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 0 | 36.4% | 36.0% | 42.4% | 0.85× | 2.78 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score exactly 2 | 18.6% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 1.28× | 5.11 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score 3+ | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 1.27× | 11.82 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 35.6% | 36.6% | 0.97× | 2.81 |
| Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 0 | 34.6% | 32.7% | 31.9% | 1.02× | 3.06 |
| Deportivo Riestra to score exactly 2 | 19.5% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 0.87× | 5.29 |
| Deportivo Riestra to score 3+ | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 1.03× | 9.70 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 50.6% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Deportivo Riestra leading at HT | 26.5% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) leading at HT | 22.9% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra -1: 2 | 64.2% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Deportivo Riestra -1: X | 21.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Deportivo Riestra -1: 1 | 14.3% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.15 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) (0:1) | 64.2% | 61.5% | 58.3% | 1.06× | 1.63 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.5% | 24.3% | 24.3% | 1.00× | 4.12 |
| Deportivo Riestra (0:1) | 14.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 0.79× | 7.21 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) (0:2) | 85.7% | 86.9% | 82.5% | 1.05× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 0.87× | 9.13 |
| Deportivo Riestra (0:2) | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 0.75× | 26.50 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) (0:3) | 95.7% | 96.6% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 0.69× | 42.12 |
| Deportivo Riestra (0:3) | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.38× | 42.22 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) (0:4) | 99.0% | 98.1% | 98.3% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.95× | 83.59 |
| Deportivo Riestra (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.08× | 83.66 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra (1:0) | 66.8% | 69.9% | 72.2% | 0.97× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 20.5% | 21.8% | 18.7% | 1.16× | 4.60 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (1:0) | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 1.40× | 7.81 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra (2:0) | 87.3% | 88.4% | 90.8% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 1.03× | 15.47 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) (2:0) | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.76× | 44.14 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.9% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
| Halves equal | 30.1% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra to concede | 63.6% | 63.4% | 57.6% | 1.10× | 1.58 |
| Deportivo Riestra clean sheet | 36.4% | 36.6% | 42.4% | 0.86× | 2.73 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra clean sheet in 1st half | 66.7% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Deportivo Riestra to concede in 1st half | 33.3% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra under 6.5 corners | 85.0% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 5.5 corners | 75.2% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 2.5 corners | 72.7% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 4.5 corners | 61.7% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 3.5 corners | 55.1% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 3.5 corners | 44.9% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 4.5 corners | 38.3% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 2.5 corners | 27.3% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 5.5 corners | 24.8% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 6.5 corners | 15.0% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.28 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra under 3.5 goals | 97.7% | 96.4% | 97.1% | 0.99× | 1.04 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 2.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.2% | 90.0% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 goals | 71.3% | 74.2% | 68.3% | 1.09× | 1.35 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 goals | 65.4% | 67.9% | 68.1% | 1.00× | 1.47 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 goals | 34.6% | 32.1% | 31.9% | 1.01× | 3.11 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 goals | 28.7% | 25.8% | 31.7% | 0.82× | 3.87 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 2.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 0.78× | 12.89 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 3.5 goals | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.27× | 27.51 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.3% | 95.4% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Deportivo Riestra under 0.5 in 1st half | 63.3% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 0.5 in 1st half | 36.7% | 35.2% | — | — | 2.84 |
| Deportivo Riestra over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.7% | 4.6% | — | — | 21.61 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) (home no bet) | 51.7% | 51.6% | 47.5% | 1.09× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 48.3% | 48.4% | 52.5% | 0.92× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra even goals | 56.0% | 55.4% | 55.7% | 0.99× | 1.80 |
| Deportivo Riestra odd goals | 44.0% | 44.6% | 44.3% | 1.01× | 2.24 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 42.3% | 41.3% | — | — | 2.42 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.2% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 0-1 | 17.0% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.29 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.36 |
| Any other HT score | 1.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.47 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.49 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.58 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 21.7% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Deportivo Riestra at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT | 19.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT | 17.0% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT | 14.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT | 14.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Deportivo Riestra at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Deportivo Riestra at HT / Unión (Santa Fe) at FT | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.90 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) at HT / Deportivo Riestra at FT | 1.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra to score last | 44.6% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.49 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score last | 42.4% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 13.0% | 9.7% | — | — | 10.36 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 87.0% | 90.5% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Deportivo Riestra to lead by 1 at any time | 49.4% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 1 at any time | 47.0% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 34.8% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
| Deportivo Riestra to lead by 2 at any time | 18.3% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 2 at any time | 16.6% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.71 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 9.8% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.95 |
| Deportivo Riestra to lead by 3 at any time | 5.3% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.17 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to lead by 3 at any time | 4.5% | 1.7% | — | — | 59.88 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) most corners | 50.8% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Deportivo Riestra most corners | 37.4% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.54 |
| Corners level | 11.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.1% | 87.4% | 84.3% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.1% | 83.5% | 80.0% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 71.4% | 72.4% | 71.7% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 61.2% | 63.4% | 60.6% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 59.8% | 59.2% | 60.0% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 2-4 goals | 55.8% | 59.2% | 55.7% | 1.06× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 52.7% | 53.2% | 51.5% | 1.03× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.1% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 33.8% | 35.4% | 33.5% | 1.06× | 2.83 |
| 3-5 goals | 32.4% | 35.4% | 32.9% | 1.07× | 2.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 28.4% | 30.3% | 28.7% | 1.06× | 3.31 |
| 4-6 goals | 15.1% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 1.40× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 1.17× | 6.72 |
| 5-6 goals | 5.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.77× | 11.46 |
| 7+ goals | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 5.55× | 39.31 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra never behind | 40.0% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) never behind | 37.6% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.4% | 50.8% | 49.1% | 1.04× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.6% | 49.2% | 50.9% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 59.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 40.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 54.7% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 45.3% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 98.1% | 95.5% | 99.0% | 0.97× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94.1% | 92.3% | 94.7% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 87.0% | 87.6% | 85.2% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84.4% | 82.4% | 86.4% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65.7% | 66.2% | 66.2% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61.7% | 61.8% | 60.9% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38.3% | 38.3% | 39.1% | 0.98× | 2.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34.3% | 33.8% | 33.8% | 1.00× | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15.6% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.29× | 5.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 0.84× | 8.09 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.47× | 12.93 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 1.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 4.36× | 22.23 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.4% | 97.2% | 99.5% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 98.0% | 97.2% | 98.9% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 93.4% | 92.5% | 94.2% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 80.8% | 81.0% | 82.9% | 0.98× | 1.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 52.7% | 51.8% | 53.6% | 0.97× | 1.93 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 47.3% | 48.2% | 46.4% | 1.04× | 2.08 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 19.2% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 1.11× | 5.27 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.31× | 13.27 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.57× | 36.16 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 5.99× | 36.21 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 94.3% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 78.6% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 57.7% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 42.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 21.4% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.73 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 5.7% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.96 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 87.7% | 85.4% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 70.1% | 77.6% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 65.7% | 67.4% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 34.3% | 32.6% | — | — | 3.07 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 29.9% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.46 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 12.3% | 14.6% | — | — | 6.83 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) not to score in both halves | 84.9% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Deportivo Riestra not to score in both halves | 83.4% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Deportivo Riestra to score in both halves | 16.6% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.38 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to score in both halves | 15.1% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 42.0% | 46.6% | 40.5% | 1.15× | 2.15 |
| Only Deportivo Riestra scores | 23.4% | 22.3% | 27.8% | 0.81× | 4.48 |
| Only Unión (Santa Fe) scores | 21.6% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 1.30× | 4.48 |
| Neither team scores | 13.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 0.74× | 9.14 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 27.4% | 25.0% | 27.2% | 0.92× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 25.3% | 25.0% | 24.4% | 1.02× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 18.7% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 0.86× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 13.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 0.82× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 0.90× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.01× | 22.66 |
| 6 or more goals | 1.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 4.27× | 22.69 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 35.8% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 34.3% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 29.9% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) not to win both halves | 93.3% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Deportivo Riestra not to win both halves | 92.3% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Deportivo Riestra to win both halves | 7.7% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.50 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to win both halves | 6.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.58 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) to win neither half | 54.8% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Deportivo Riestra to win neither half | 52.2% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Deportivo Riestra to win either half | 47.8% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to win either half | 45.2% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión (Santa Fe) not to win to nil | 78.4% | 78.1% | 82.8% | 0.94× | 1.28 |
| Deportivo Riestra not to win to nil | 76.6% | 78.0% | 72.2% | 1.08× | 1.28 |
| Deportivo Riestra to win to nil | 23.4% | 22.0% | 27.8% | 0.79× | 4.55 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) to win to nil | 21.6% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 1.28× | 4.56 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 31.0% | 27.6% | 30.6% | 0.90× | 3.63 |
| Deportivo Riestra by 1 | 21.5% | 24.1% | 24.3% | 0.99× | 4.14 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) by 1 | 20.5% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 1.29× | 4.14 |
| Deportivo Riestra by 2 | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 0.93× | 8.48 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) by 2 | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 1.15× | 13.77 |
| Deportivo Riestra by 3+ | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 0.54× | 36.95 |
| Unión (Santa Fe) by 3+ | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.91× | 36.97 |