Dinamo Moscow v Akhmat Grozny — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 31 October 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Dinamo Moscow

10:30

Akhmat Grozny

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,336h before kick-off

Dinamo Moscow win

59.2%

model 61.1%

Draw

22.5%

model 22.9%

Akhmat Grozny win

18.3%

model 16.0%

592318

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.5%
3-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.6%	Under 2.5	43.4%
BTTS yes	53.8%	BTTS no	46.2%
Dinamo Moscow 1+	86.6%	Dinamo Moscow 2+	59.6%
Akhmat Grozny 1+	61.1%	Akhmat Grozny 2+	24.3%

Expected goals 2.01 – 0.94. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Dinamo Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1612 Elo against 1469.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dinamo Moscow have an estimated 59.2% win probability, against 22.5% for the draw and 18.3% for Akhmat Grozny. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.01 for Dinamo Moscow and 0.94 for Akhmat Grozny.

Why Dinamo Moscow

Dinamo Moscow carry the stronger rating, 1612 Elo against 1469. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Akhmat Grozny can win

Nothing in the data singles out Akhmat Grozny.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dinamo Moscow, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Akhmat Grozny, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dinamo Moscow: 62% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 6.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Akhmat Grozny: 46% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dinamo Moscow's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Dinamo Moscow are the model's most likely outcome at 59.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	572320	2.08–1.18	1-1 10%	63%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to win	57.1%	54.1%	44.2%	1.22×	1.85
Draw	22.8%	24.4%	27.8%	0.88×	4.09
Akhmat Grozny to win	20.1%	24.4%	28.2%	0.87×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow & both teams score	31.2%	29.7%	18.8%	1.58×	3.37
Dinamo Moscow & not both score	25.9%	25.2%	25.6%	0.98×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	20.7%	0.87×	5.58
Akhmat Grozny & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	13.5%	0.98×	7.54
Akhmat Grozny & not both score	7.7%	8.4%	14.9%	0.56×	11.93
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	7.4%	0.66×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow & over 1.5	50.1%	48.6%	33.5%	1.45×	2.06
Dinamo Moscow & over 2.5	41.8%	40.3%	26.0%	1.55×	2.48
Dinamo Moscow & under 3.5	30.9%	30.8%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Dinamo Moscow & over 3.5	26.2%	26.0%	13.5%	1.93×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
Akhmat Grozny & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
Dinamo Moscow & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Akhmat Grozny & over 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	16.6%	0.78×	7.77
Akhmat Grozny & under 3.5	12.9%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.70
Akhmat Grozny & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Dinamo Moscow & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.70
Akhmat Grozny & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	7.4%	0.65×	20.92
Akhmat Grozny & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (1UP)	72.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Akhmat Grozny (1UP)	40.7%	39.0%	—	—	2.57

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (2UP)	57.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Akhmat Grozny (2UP)	20.1%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to win 2nd half	47.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	31.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Akhmat Grozny to win 2nd half	21.8%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (+2.5)	82.2%	82.4%	89.6%	0.92×	1.21
Dinamo Moscow (+0.5)	79.9%	78.5%	71.8%	1.09×	1.27
Akhmat Grozny (+1.5)	64.7%	62.9%	77.3%	0.81×	1.59
Dinamo Moscow (-0.5)	57.1%	57.0%	44.2%	1.29×	1.75
Akhmat Grozny (+0.5)	42.9%	43.0%	55.8%	0.77×	2.33
Dinamo Moscow (-1.5)	35.3%	37.1%	22.7%	1.63×	2.70
Akhmat Grozny (-0.5)	20.1%	21.5%	28.2%	0.76×	4.65
Dinamo Moscow (-2.5)	17.8%	17.6%	10.4%	1.69×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to concede	87.5%	86.4%	77.9%	1.11×	1.16
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet	12.5%	13.6%	22.1%	0.61×	7.38

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to concede in 1st half	59.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Akhmat Grozny clean sheet in 1st half	40.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 6.5 corners	83.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Akhmat Grozny over 2.5 corners	75.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Akhmat Grozny under 5.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Akhmat Grozny under 4.5 corners	59.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Akhmat Grozny over 3.5 corners	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Akhmat Grozny under 3.5 corners	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Akhmat Grozny over 4.5 corners	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Akhmat Grozny over 5.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Akhmat Grozny under 2.5 corners	24.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Akhmat Grozny over 6.5 corners	16.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 3.5 goals	96.8%	97.5%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Akhmat Grozny under 2.5 goals	88.3%	87.9%	88.8%	0.99×	1.14
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 goals	69.3%	68.0%	67.3%	1.01×	1.47
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 goals	66.9%	68.0%	70.1%	0.97×	1.47
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 goals	33.1%	32.0%	29.9%	1.07×	3.12
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 goals	30.7%	32.0%	32.7%	0.98×	3.12
Akhmat Grozny over 2.5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	11.2%	1.08×	8.27
Akhmat Grozny over 3.5 goals	3.2%	2.5%	3.1%	0.80×	40.81

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny under 1.5 in 1st half	91.8%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Akhmat Grozny under 0.5 in 1st half	62.3%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Akhmat Grozny over 0.5 in 1st half	37.7%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Akhmat Grozny over 1.5 in 1st half	8.2%	5.9%	—	—	16.96

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (away no bet)	71.5%	68.5%	61.4%	1.12×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.5%	31.5%	38.6%	0.81×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny even goals	54.7%	52.8%	53.4%	0.99×	1.89
Akhmat Grozny odd goals	45.3%	47.2%	46.6%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.6%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.4%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	66.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Dinamo Moscow to score 2+ in a row	52.5%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	29.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dinamo Moscow to score 3+ in a row	24.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Akhmat Grozny to score 2+ in a row	22.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Akhmat Grozny to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow corners (+3.5)	91.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Dinamo Moscow corners (+2.5)	86.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Dinamo Moscow corners (+1.5)	79.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Akhmat Grozny corners (+3.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Akhmat Grozny corners (+2.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Akhmat Grozny corners (+1.5)	51.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Dinamo Moscow corners (-1.5)	48.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Dinamo Moscow corners (-2.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Dinamo Moscow corners (-3.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Akhmat Grozny corners (-1.5)	20.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Akhmat Grozny corners (-2.5)	13.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Akhmat Grozny corners (-3.5)	8.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	31.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	27.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	22.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.4%	14.9%	0.77×	8.74
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.47
1-0	7.0%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.47
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	7.8%	0.96×	13.47
3-1	6.8%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.47
Any other score	6.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.47
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.47
3-0	5.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.50
0-1	3.6%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.50
0-2	2.7%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.51
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.52
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.52
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.51
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.52
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.51
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.52
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.50
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.51
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.52
4-0	3.0%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.51
4-1	3.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.50
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.51
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.52
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.36×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	70.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Akhmat Grozny leading at HT (DNB)	29.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw (1X)	79.9%	75.6%	71.8%	1.05×	1.32
Dinamo Moscow or Akhmat Grozny (12)	77.2%	75.6%	72.2%	1.05×	1.32
Akhmat Grozny or draw (X2)	42.9%	45.9%	55.8%	0.82×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw at HT	81.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Dinamo Moscow or Akhmat Grozny at HT	62.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Akhmat Grozny or draw at HT	56.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw (1UP)	79.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Akhmat Grozny or draw (1UP)	42.9%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow or draw in 2nd half	78.2%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Dinamo Moscow or Akhmat Grozny in 2nd half	68.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Akhmat Grozny or draw in 2nd half	53.0%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (DNB)	73.9%	71.5%	61.0%	1.17×	1.40
Akhmat Grozny (DNB)	26.1%	28.5%	39.0%	0.73×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to score first	60.7%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Akhmat Grozny to score first	34.5%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.6%	56.5%	52.6%	1.07×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.4%	43.5%	47.4%	0.92×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.3%	47.0%	37.8%	1.24×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	26.3%	33.6%	37.2%	0.90×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	12.0%	12.3%	10.4%	1.18×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	14.9%	0.82×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.6%	80.0%	86.9%	0.92×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.4%	20.0%	13.1%	1.53×	5.01

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.8%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Both score 2nd half only	27.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Both score 1st half only	14.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Both score in both halves	7.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.76

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.35

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.8%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	36.2%	41.3%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	47.9%	0.88×	2.38
4-6 goals	36.3%	35.0%	25.4%	1.38×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.4%	20.2%	25.6%	0.79×	4.96
7+ goals	4.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	54.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 1	36.2%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 0	30.7%	33.8%	32.7%	1.03×	2.96
Akhmat Grozny to score exactly 2	21.4%	22.4%	18.8%	1.19×	4.46
Akhmat Grozny to score 3+	11.7%	12.8%	11.2%	1.14×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to score 3+	34.5%	32.7%	18.8%	1.74×	3.06
Dinamo Moscow to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.3%	1.09×	3.77
Dinamo Moscow to score exactly 1	26.0%	26.5%	35.2%	0.75×	3.77
Dinamo Moscow to score exactly 0	12.5%	14.3%	22.1%	0.65×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow leading at HT	43.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	37.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Akhmat Grozny leading at HT	18.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow -1: 2	42.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Dinamo Moscow -1: 1	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Dinamo Moscow -1: X	21.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (0:1)	42.9%	42.7%	55.8%	0.76×	2.34
Dinamo Moscow (0:1)	35.3%	37.2%	22.7%	1.64×	2.69
Draw (0:1)	21.8%	24.3%	21.7%	1.12×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (0:2)	64.7%	67.3%	77.3%	0.87×	1.49
Dinamo Moscow (0:2)	17.8%	15.3%	10.4%	1.47×	6.54
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (0:3)	82.2%	85.1%	89.6%	0.95×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.3%	10.0%	5.9%	1.68×	10.02
Dinamo Moscow (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	4.7%	1.24×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny (0:4)	92.5%	94.7%	95.3%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	83.05
Dinamo Moscow (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	1.2%	0.98×	83.30

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (1:0)	79.9%	78.5%	71.8%	1.09×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	12.0%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.81
Akhmat Grozny (1:0)	8.2%	6.9%	11.5%	0.60×	14.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow (2:0)	91.8%	94.0%	88.5%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	7.4%	0.87×	15.54
Akhmat Grozny (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.8%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to concede	69.3%	66.6%	67.3%	0.99×	1.50
Dinamo Moscow clean sheet	30.7%	33.4%	32.7%	1.02×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	62.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Dinamo Moscow to concede in 1st half	37.7%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow over 2.5 corners	88.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Dinamo Moscow over 3.5 corners	76.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Dinamo Moscow under 6.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Dinamo Moscow over 4.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Dinamo Moscow under 5.5 corners	52.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Dinamo Moscow over 5.5 corners	47.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Dinamo Moscow under 4.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Dinamo Moscow over 6.5 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Dinamo Moscow under 3.5 corners	23.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Dinamo Moscow under 2.5 corners	12.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow over 0.5 goals	87.5%	87.2%	77.9%	1.12×	1.15
Dinamo Moscow under 3.5 goals	84.2%	82.1%	92.6%	0.89×	1.22
Dinamo Moscow under 2.5 goals	65.5%	67.8%	81.2%	0.84×	1.47
Dinamo Moscow over 1.5 goals	61.6%	63.4%	42.9%	1.48×	1.58
Dinamo Moscow under 1.5 goals	38.4%	36.6%	57.1%	0.64×	2.73
Dinamo Moscow over 2.5 goals	34.5%	32.2%	18.8%	1.71×	3.11
Dinamo Moscow over 3.5 goals	15.8%	17.9%	7.4%	2.43×	5.60
Dinamo Moscow under 0.5 goals	12.5%	12.8%	22.1%	0.58×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	77.4%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Dinamo Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	59.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Dinamo Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	40.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Dinamo Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	22.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.1%	51.6%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
Akhmat Grozny (home no bet)	46.9%	48.4%	50.4%	0.96×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow even goals	50.8%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Dinamo Moscow odd goals	49.2%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
HT 1-0	22.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	11.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	10.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.71
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.86
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.88
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow at HT / Dinamo Moscow at FT	36.6%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Dinamo Moscow at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	10.5%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.57
Dinamo Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Akhmat Grozny at HT / Dinamo Moscow at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Dinamo Moscow at HT / Akhmat Grozny at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to score last	60.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Akhmat Grozny to score last	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Dinamo Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	72.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Dinamo Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	43.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 1 at any time	40.7%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Dinamo Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 2 at any time	13.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Akhmat Grozny to lead by 3 at any time	3.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.57

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow most corners	59.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Akhmat Grozny most corners	29.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.0%	83.5%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.8%	78.6%	73.0%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.4%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.2%	72.4%	79.6%	0.91×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.6%	63.4%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.5%	59.2%	46.6%	1.27×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.1%	53.2%	66.1%	0.80×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.1%	53.2%	42.9%	1.24×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	47.9%	0.91×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	35.0%	1.25×	2.30
4-6 goals	36.3%	39.2%	25.4%	1.54×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.9%	35.4%	44.8%	0.79×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.9%	30.2%	21.7%	1.39×	3.31
5-6 goals	18.2%	18.6%	11.9%	1.57×	5.37
7+ goals	4.8%	2.5%	1.6%	1.56×	39.29

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow never behind	54.6%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Akhmat Grozny never behind	23.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.8%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.2%	51.1%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.6%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.4%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	92.6%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.7%	87.7%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.6%	82.4%	74.4%	1.11×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	76.9%	77.4%	86.7%	0.89×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.3%	61.7%	48.1%	1.28×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.8%	58.8%	73.2%	0.80×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	41.2%	41.2%	26.8%	1.54×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	36.7%	38.3%	51.9%	0.74×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	23.1%	22.6%	13.3%	1.70×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	15.4%	17.6%	25.6%	0.69×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	11.3%	12.3%	5.3%	2.32×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	7.4%	0.61×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.8%	92.5%	98.3%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.2%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.5%	81.1%	65.3%	1.24×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.8%	72.6%	84.6%	0.86×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	52.9%	51.8%	34.0%	1.52×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.1%	48.2%	66.0%	0.73×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.2%	27.4%	15.4%	1.78×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.5%	18.9%	34.7%	0.55×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.8%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.2%	7.5%	1.7%	4.43×	13.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.1%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.1%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.9%	13.5%	—	—	7.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.5%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.8%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.5%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny not to score in both halves	80.9%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Dinamo Moscow not to score in both halves	58.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Dinamo Moscow to score in both halves	41.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Akhmat Grozny to score in both halves	19.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.6%	60.2%	52.6%	1.15×	1.66
Only Dinamo Moscow scores	25.9%	26.1%	25.6%	1.02×	3.83
Only Akhmat Grozny scores	7.7%	7.2%	14.9%	0.48×	13.91
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	7.4%	0.62×	21.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	21.5%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.3%	22.6%	26.6%	0.85×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.1%	17.4%	13.7%	1.27×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	11.8%	12.1%	8.2%	1.48×	8.29
6 or more goals	11.3%	12.1%	5.3%	2.27×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	10.6%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.4%	7.4%	0.60×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
1 goal in 2nd half	27.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Dinamo Moscow not to win both halves	79.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Dinamo Moscow to win both halves	20.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
Akhmat Grozny to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.32

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dinamo Moscow to win either half	70.0%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Akhmat Grozny to win neither half	63.9%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Akhmat Grozny to win either half	36.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Dinamo Moscow to win neither half	30.0%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Akhmat Grozny not to win to nil	92.3%	92.0%	85.1%	1.08×	1.09
Dinamo Moscow not to win to nil	74.1%	75.3%	74.4%	1.01×	1.33
Dinamo Moscow to win to nil	25.9%	24.7%	25.6%	0.97×	4.05
Akhmat Grozny to win to nil	7.7%	8.0%	14.9%	0.53×	12.55

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.8%	24.2%	27.8%	0.87×	4.14
Dinamo Moscow by 1	21.8%	24.1%	21.7%	1.11×	4.14
Dinamo Moscow by 2	17.6%	17.0%	12.5%	1.36×	5.90
Dinamo Moscow by 3+	17.8%	17.0%	10.4%	1.63×	5.90
Akhmat Grozny by 1	12.0%	11.8%	17.0%	0.70×	8.47
Akhmat Grozny by 2	5.7%	7.2%	7.4%	0.98×	13.81
Akhmat Grozny by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.06