Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Dynamo Dresden

14:00

1. FC Magdeburg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,004h before kick-off

Dynamo Dresden win

46.6%

model 45.7%

Draw

22.4%

model 23.9%

1. FC Magdeburg win

31.0%

model 30.4%

472231

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.8%
2-1 9.2%
1-2 7.3%
1-0 7.2%
2-0 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.0%	Under 2.5	39.0%
BTTS yes	62.6%	BTTS no	37.4%
Dynamo Dresden 1+	82.7%	Dynamo Dresden 2+	52.3%
1. FC Magdeburg 1+	75.3%	1. FC Magdeburg 2+	40.7%

Expected goals 1.75 – 1.40. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Dynamo Dresden.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0041 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Dynamo Dresden have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for 1. FC Magdeburg and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.75 for Dynamo Dresden and 1.40 for 1. FC Magdeburg.

Why Dynamo Dresden

Nothing in the data singles out Dynamo Dresden.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why 1. FC Magdeburg can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Dynamo Dresden, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for 1. FC Magdeburg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Dynamo Dresden: 56% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. 1. FC Magdeburg: 48% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Dynamo Dresden are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	462331	1.89–1.54	1-1 10%	66%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to win	45.7%	47.4%	43.1%	1.10×	2.11
1. FC Magdeburg to win	31.4%	30.3%	31.2%	0.97×	3.30
Draw	22.9%	24.5%	25.9%	0.94×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden & both teams score	27.8%	25.2%	22.2%	1.14×	3.97
1. FC Magdeburg & both teams score	19.8%	17.9%	18.1%	0.99×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	19.7%	0.91×	5.58
Dynamo Dresden & not both score	17.9%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
1. FC Magdeburg & not both score	11.6%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.55
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	6.4%	0.76×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden & over 1.5	39.9%	34.9%	34.3%	1.02×	2.87
Dynamo Dresden & over 2.5	34.1%	30.9%	27.8%	1.11×	3.24
1. FC Magdeburg & over 1.5	26.7%	26.0%	25.9%	1.00×	3.84
Dynamo Dresden & under 3.5	24.2%	21.7%	27.8%	0.78×	4.62
1. FC Magdeburg & over 2.5	22.8%	21.7%	22.2%	0.98×	4.62
Dynamo Dresden & over 3.5	21.6%	21.7%	15.4%	1.40×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.7%	0.92×	5.56
1. FC Magdeburg & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	21.1%	0.85×	5.56
1. FC Magdeburg & over 3.5	13.6%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	16.8%	0.76×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.3%	12.9%	16.8%	0.76×	7.77
Dynamo Dresden & under 2.5	11.6%	12.9%	15.4%	0.83×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	9.5%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.69
1. FC Magdeburg & under 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	9.2%	0.86×	12.69
Dynamo Dresden & under 1.5	5.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.70
1. FC Magdeburg & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.5%	0.88×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden (1UP)	64.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
1. FC Magdeburg (1UP)	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden (2UP)	45.7%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
1. FC Magdeburg (2UP)	31.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to win 2nd half	38.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
1. FC Magdeburg to win 2nd half	30.5%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (+2.5)	88.4%	88.5%	90.6%	0.98×	1.13
1. FC Magdeburg (+1.5)	74.5%	73.7%	77.7%	0.95×	1.36
Dynamo Dresden (+0.5)	68.6%	68.7%	68.8%	1.00×	1.46
1. FC Magdeburg (+0.5)	54.3%	52.4%	56.9%	0.92×	1.91
Dynamo Dresden (-0.5)	45.7%	47.6%	43.1%	1.11×	2.10
1. FC Magdeburg (-0.5)	31.4%	31.3%	31.2%	1.00×	3.20
Dynamo Dresden (-1.5)	25.5%	26.3%	22.3%	1.18×	3.81
Dynamo Dresden (-2.5)	11.6%	11.5%	9.4%	1.23×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to concede	84.8%	81.4%	80.5%	1.01×	1.23
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet	15.2%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to concede in 1st half	55.6%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet in 1st half	44.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg over 2.5 corners	85.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
1. FC Magdeburg over 3.5 corners	72.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
1. FC Magdeburg under 6.5 corners	69.8%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
1. FC Magdeburg over 4.5 corners	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
1. FC Magdeburg under 5.5 corners	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
1. FC Magdeburg under 4.5 corners	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
1. FC Magdeburg over 5.5 corners	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
1. FC Magdeburg over 6.5 corners	30.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
1. FC Magdeburg under 3.5 corners	28.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
1. FC Magdeburg under 2.5 corners	15.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg under 3.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.5%	0.98×	1.08
1. FC Magdeburg under 2.5 goals	79.9%	76.3%	83.6%	0.91×	1.31
1. FC Magdeburg over 0.5 goals	78.5%	76.2%	72.7%	1.05×	1.31
1. FC Magdeburg under 1.5 goals	54.5%	53.7%	60.2%	0.89×	1.86
1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 goals	45.5%	46.3%	39.8%	1.16×	2.16
1. FC Magdeburg under 0.5 goals	21.5%	23.8%	27.3%	0.87×	4.21
1. FC Magdeburg over 2.5 goals	20.1%	23.7%	16.4%	1.45×	4.21
1. FC Magdeburg over 3.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.5%	1.40×	13.04

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg under 1.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
1. FC Magdeburg under 0.5 in 1st half	54.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
1. FC Magdeburg over 0.5 in 1st half	45.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.29
1. FC Magdeburg over 1.5 in 1st half	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden (away no bet)	66.7%	66.4%	62.4%	1.06×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.3%	33.7%	37.6%	0.90×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg even goals	52.3%	52.8%	54.1%	0.98×	1.89
1. FC Magdeburg odd goals	47.7%	47.2%	45.9%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.2%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.8%	18.0%	—	—	5.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	76.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	23.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Dynamo Dresden to score 2+ in a row	45.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
1. FC Magdeburg to score 2+ in a row	33.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Dynamo Dresden to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.12
1. FC Magdeburg to score 3+ in a row	10.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden corners (+3.5)	82.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
1. FC Magdeburg corners (+3.5)	81.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Dynamo Dresden corners (+2.5)	74.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
1. FC Magdeburg corners (+2.5)	74.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Dynamo Dresden corners (+1.5)	65.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
1. FC Magdeburg corners (+1.5)	64.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Dynamo Dresden corners (-1.5)	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
1. FC Magdeburg corners (-1.5)	34.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Dynamo Dresden corners (-2.5)	26.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
1. FC Magdeburg corners (-2.5)	25.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Dynamo Dresden corners (-3.5)	18.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
1. FC Magdeburg corners (-3.5)	17.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
0-8 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	78.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	68.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	51.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	48.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	31.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	10.6%	0.70×	13.48
2-1	8.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	9.0%	0.82×	13.48
2-2	6.9%	7.4%	7.2%	1.03×	13.48
1-0	5.8%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.48
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.48
3-1	5.6%	7.4%	5.5%	1.36×	13.48
Any other score	6.2%	7.4%	5.5%	1.36×	13.48
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.46
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.47
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.47
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.47
1-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	58.48
2-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.47
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.48
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.47
3-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.46
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.48
3-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	58.49
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.83×	58.48
4-1	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.47
4-2	2.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.19×	58.48
4-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.48
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.48×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden leading at HT (DNB)	59.4%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
1. FC Magdeburg leading at HT (DNB)	40.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden or 1. FC Magdeburg (12)	77.1%	75.5%	74.1%	1.02×	1.32
Dynamo Dresden or draw (1X)	68.6%	69.7%	68.8%	1.01×	1.44
1. FC Magdeburg or draw (X2)	54.3%	52.6%	56.9%	0.92×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden or draw at HT	74.7%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
1. FC Magdeburg or draw at HT	63.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Dynamo Dresden or 1. FC Magdeburg at HT	62.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden or draw (1UP)	68.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
1. FC Magdeburg or draw (1UP)	54.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden or draw in 2nd half	69.5%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Dynamo Dresden or 1. FC Magdeburg in 2nd half	69.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
1. FC Magdeburg or draw in 2nd half	61.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	56.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	43.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden (DNB)	59.3%	58.3%	58.0%	1.01×	1.72
1. FC Magdeburg (DNB)	40.7%	41.7%	42.0%	0.99×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to score first	53.1%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
1. FC Magdeburg to score first	43.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.9%	58.2%	59.6%	0.98×	1.72
Not both teams to score	33.1%	41.8%	40.4%	1.03×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.2%	47.2%	49.1%	0.96×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	23.8%	27.7%	30.7%	0.90×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	10.6%	0.79×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	9.3%	8.4%	9.8%	0.85×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	74.4%	80.6%	80.5%	1.00×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	25.6%	19.4%	19.5%	0.99×	5.17

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.8%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	15.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	10.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.34

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.4%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.6%	20.0%	—	—	5.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	34.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.2%	42.1%	45.1%	0.93×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.7%	35.1%	30.6%	1.15×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.1%	16.9%	20.4%	0.83×	5.90
7+ goals	5.9%	7.6%	4.2%	1.80×	13.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg to score exactly 1	33.0%	33.8%	33.1%	1.02×	2.96
1. FC Magdeburg to score exactly 2	25.4%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
1. FC Magdeburg to score exactly 0	21.5%	22.4%	27.3%	0.82×	4.47
1. FC Magdeburg to score 3+	20.1%	22.4%	16.4%	1.37×	4.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to score 3+	29.2%	26.5%	22.6%	1.17×	3.77
Dynamo Dresden to score exactly 1	28.6%	26.5%	31.8%	0.83×	3.77
Dynamo Dresden to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.4%	1.01×	3.77
Dynamo Dresden to score exactly 0	15.2%	18.9%	19.5%	0.97×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	37.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Dynamo Dresden leading at HT	37.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
1. FC Magdeburg leading at HT	25.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden -1: 2	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Dynamo Dresden -1: 1	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Dynamo Dresden -1: X	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (0:1)	54.3%	51.2%	56.9%	0.90×	1.95
Dynamo Dresden (0:1)	25.5%	27.0%	22.3%	1.21×	3.71
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.3%	20.9%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (0:2)	74.5%	75.7%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	13.9%	11.0%	13.1%	0.84×	9.11
Dynamo Dresden (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	9.4%	1.17×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (0:3)	88.4%	90.8%	90.6%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.2%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.16
Dynamo Dresden (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	3.6%	0.66×	42.07

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (0:4)	95.6%	98.1%	96.4%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.0%	1.2%	2.0%	0.59×	83.33
Dynamo Dresden (0:4)	1.4%	1.2%	1.7%	0.70×	83.52

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden (1:0)	68.6%	70.0%	68.8%	1.02×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	16.5%	17.0%	18.1%	0.94×	5.87
1. FC Magdeburg (1:0)	14.9%	12.8%	13.3%	0.97×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden (2:0)	85.1%	88.4%	86.7%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.2%	6.5%	7.2%	0.90×	15.46
1. FC Magdeburg (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	6.2%	1.03×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to concede	78.5%	76.0%	72.7%	1.05×	1.32
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet	21.5%	24.0%	27.3%	0.88×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet in 1st half	54.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Dynamo Dresden to concede in 1st half	45.9%	43.8%	—	—	2.29

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden over 2.5 corners	85.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Dynamo Dresden over 3.5 corners	72.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Dynamo Dresden under 6.5 corners	69.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Dynamo Dresden over 4.5 corners	58.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Dynamo Dresden under 5.5 corners	56.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Dynamo Dresden over 5.5 corners	43.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Dynamo Dresden under 4.5 corners	42.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Dynamo Dresden over 6.5 corners	30.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Dynamo Dresden under 3.5 corners	27.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Dynamo Dresden under 2.5 corners	14.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden under 3.5 goals	87.7%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Dynamo Dresden over 0.5 goals	84.8%	82.1%	80.5%	1.02×	1.22
Dynamo Dresden under 2.5 goals	70.8%	74.2%	77.4%	0.96×	1.35
Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 goals	56.2%	58.8%	48.8%	1.20×	1.70
Dynamo Dresden under 1.5 goals	43.8%	41.2%	51.2%	0.81×	2.43
Dynamo Dresden over 2.5 goals	29.2%	25.8%	22.6%	1.14×	3.87
Dynamo Dresden under 0.5 goals	15.2%	17.9%	19.5%	0.92×	5.60
Dynamo Dresden over 3.5 goals	12.3%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden under 1.5 in 1st half	80.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Dynamo Dresden over 0.5 in 1st half	55.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Dynamo Dresden under 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 in 1st half	19.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg (home no bet)	57.9%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.1%	43.3%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden even goals	51.2%	50.6%	50.9%	1.00×	1.98
Dynamo Dresden odd goals	48.8%	49.4%	49.1%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	19.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	14.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	12.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	7.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.25
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.50

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden at HT / Dynamo Dresden at FT	28.2%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
1. FC Magdeburg at HT / 1. FC Magdeburg at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Dynamo Dresden at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / 1. FC Magdeburg at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Dynamo Dresden at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
1. FC Magdeburg at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
1. FC Magdeburg at HT / Dynamo Dresden at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Dynamo Dresden at HT / 1. FC Magdeburg at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to score last	53.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
1. FC Magdeburg to score last	43.3%	40.1%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Dynamo Dresden to lead by 1 at any time	64.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	56.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
1. FC Magdeburg to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Dynamo Dresden to lead by 2 at any time	34.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
1. FC Magdeburg to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Dynamo Dresden to lead by 3 at any time	14.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
1. FC Magdeburg to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	—	—	15.03

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden most corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
1. FC Magdeburg most corners	44.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.2%	83.5%	84.6%	0.99×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.0%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	70.5%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	70.4%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.5%	63.4%	54.8%	1.16×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.2%	61.5%	0.96×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.2%	53.2%	49.8%	1.07×	1.88
1-3 goals	51.7%	53.2%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.2%	43.6%	45.1%	0.97×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	40.7%	1.07×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.7%	39.2%	30.6%	1.28×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.4%	35.4%	25.6%	1.38×	2.83
1-2 goals	29.9%	30.3%	34.9%	0.87×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.1%	24.5%	14.2%	1.72×	4.09
7+ goals	5.9%	8.7%	4.2%	2.07×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden never behind	44.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1. FC Magdeburg never behind	32.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	93.6%	1.02×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	86.8%	87.6%	90.8%	0.97×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.9%	87.6%	79.6%	1.10×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.0%	72.5%	81.7%	0.89×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.5%	66.2%	58.8%	1.13×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.3%	58.8%	65.4%	0.90×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	44.7%	41.2%	34.6%	1.19×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	33.5%	33.8%	41.2%	0.82×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	26.0%	27.5%	18.3%	1.50×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	14.1%	12.4%	20.4%	0.60×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	13.2%	12.4%	9.2%	1.34×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	6.4%	0.70×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.6%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.8%	81.1%	89.9%	0.90×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	82.5%	81.1%	74.2%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.0%	67.4%	78.2%	0.86×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	57.1%	55.4%	45.7%	1.21×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	42.9%	44.6%	54.3%	0.82×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	32.0%	32.6%	21.8%	1.49×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	17.5%	18.9%	25.8%	0.73×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	15.2%	18.9%	10.1%	1.87×	5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.4%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.9%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.1%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg not to score in both halves	72.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Dynamo Dresden not to score in both halves	63.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Dynamo Dresden to score in both halves	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
1. FC Magdeburg to score in both halves	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.9%	59.5%	59.6%	1.00×	1.68
Only Dynamo Dresden scores	17.9%	16.1%	21.1%	0.76×	6.22
Only 1. FC Magdeburg scores	11.6%	10.9%	13.3%	0.82×	9.15
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	6.4%	0.72×	21.84

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.4%	17.4%	20.9%	0.83×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.7%	17.4%	16.5%	1.05×	5.74
6 or more goals	13.2%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	9.2%	1.31×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	10.5%	12.1%	14.2%	0.85×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.4%	6.4%	0.69×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	26.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg not to win both halves	92.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Dynamo Dresden not to win both halves	85.7%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Dynamo Dresden to win both halves	14.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
1. FC Magdeburg to win both halves	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Dynamo Dresden to win either half	61.2%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
1. FC Magdeburg to win neither half	51.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
1. FC Magdeburg to win either half	48.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Dynamo Dresden to win neither half	38.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1. FC Magdeburg not to win to nil	88.4%	88.2%	86.7%	1.02×	1.13
Dynamo Dresden not to win to nil	82.1%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Dynamo Dresden to win to nil	17.9%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.89
1. FC Magdeburg to win to nil	11.6%	11.8%	13.3%	0.89×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	22.9%	24.1%	25.9%	0.93×	4.14
Dynamo Dresden by 1	20.3%	24.1%	20.9%	1.15×	4.14
1. FC Magdeburg by 1	16.5%	16.9%	18.1%	0.94×	5.91
Dynamo Dresden by 2	13.9%	11.8%	13.1%	0.90×	8.47
Dynamo Dresden by 3+	11.6%	11.8%	9.4%	1.26×	8.48
1. FC Magdeburg by 2	9.2%	7.3%	7.2%	1.01×	13.77
1. FC Magdeburg by 3+	5.7%	7.3%	6.2%	1.16×	13.79