Eldense v Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 11 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.6%
- 0-1 9.6%
- 1-2 8.9%
- 1-0 8.3%
- 2-1 7.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 52.6% | Under 2.5 | 47.4% |
| BTTS yes | 55.8% | BTTS no | 44.2% |
| Eldense 1+ | 72.5% | Eldense 2+ | 37.0% |
| Córdoba 1+ | 77.5% | Córdoba 2+ | 43.9% |
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1466 Elo against 1398.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Córdoba have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for Eldense and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Eldense and 1.49 for Córdoba.
Why Eldense
Nothing in the data singles out Eldense.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.29 to 1.49. Draws run at 27% in this competition.
Why Córdoba can win
Córdoba carry the stronger rating, 1466 Elo against 1398.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Eldense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Eldense: 43% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Córdoba: 56% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.22–1.50 | 1-1 12% | 51% | 54% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to win | 44.0% | 43.0% | 28.1% | 1.53× | 2.32 |
| Eldense to win | 31.2% | 30.4% | 45.4% | 0.67× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 24.8% | 24.5% | 26.6% | 0.92× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba & not both score | 23.3% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 1.63× | 4.57 |
| Córdoba & both teams score | 20.7% | 21.9% | 14.7% | 1.49× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.5% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 1.02× | 5.58 |
| Eldense & not both score | 16.1% | 17.9% | 23.7% | 0.76× | 5.59 |
| Eldense & both teams score | 15.1% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 0.82× | 5.59 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 0.92× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba & over 1.5 | 33.7% | 30.9% | 19.5% | 1.59× | 3.24 |
| Córdoba & under 3.5 | 30.4% | 30.8% | 19.7% | 1.57× | 3.24 |
| Córdoba & over 2.5 | 26.3% | 26.0% | 16.6% | 1.57× | 3.84 |
| Eldense & over 1.5 | 22.8% | 21.6% | 32.5% | 0.67× | 4.62 |
| Eldense & under 3.5 | 22.7% | 21.6% | 32.3% | 0.67× | 4.62 |
| Eldense & over 2.5 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 26.2% | 0.69× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 1.02× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.1% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.1% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Córdoba & under 2.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 1.56× | 5.56 |
| Córdoba & over 3.5 | 13.6% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 1.51× | 7.77 |
| Eldense & under 2.5 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 0.67× | 7.77 |
| Córdoba & under 1.5 | 10.2% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 1.47× | 7.77 |
| Eldense & over 3.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 0.59× | 12.70 |
| Eldense & under 1.5 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 0.60× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 0.86× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.23× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.23× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (1UP) | 59.6% | 58.3% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Eldense (1UP) | 48.6% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (2UP) | 44.0% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Eldense (2UP) | 31.2% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to win 2nd half | 38.3% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.75 |
| 2nd half drawn | 34.9% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Eldense to win 2nd half | 26.7% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (+2.5) | 95.8% | 96.3% | 92.3% | 1.04× | 1.04 |
| Córdoba (+1.5) | 87.1% | 88.5% | 80.4% | 1.10× | 1.13 |
| Córdoba (+0.5) | 68.8% | 68.7% | 54.6% | 1.26× | 1.46 |
| Eldense (+0.5) | 56.0% | 57.0% | 71.9% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| Córdoba (-0.5) | 44.0% | 43.0% | 28.1% | 1.53× | 2.33 |
| Eldense (-0.5) | 31.2% | 31.3% | 45.4% | 0.69× | 3.20 |
| Eldense (-1.5) | 12.9% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 0.59× | 8.69 |
| Eldense (-2.5) | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 0.49× | 26.78 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to concede | 70.4% | 76.5% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.31 |
| Córdoba clean sheet | 29.6% | 23.5% | 22.5% | 1.05× | 4.25 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half | 59.2% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Córdoba to concede in 1st half | 40.8% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba over 2.5 corners | 79.9% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Córdoba under 6.5 corners | 77.6% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Córdoba under 5.5 corners | 66.0% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Córdoba over 3.5 corners | 64.6% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Córdoba under 4.5 corners | 51.5% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Córdoba over 4.5 corners | 48.5% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Córdoba under 3.5 corners | 35.4% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Córdoba over 5.5 corners | 34.0% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Córdoba over 6.5 corners | 22.4% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Córdoba under 2.5 corners | 20.1% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba under 3.5 goals | 93.5% | 92.4% | 97.0% | 0.95× | 1.08 |
| Córdoba under 2.5 goals | 81.0% | 81.4% | 89.2% | 0.91× | 1.23 |
| Córdoba over 0.5 goals | 77.6% | 76.2% | 67.3% | 1.13× | 1.31 |
| Córdoba under 1.5 goals | 55.9% | 59.5% | 69.5% | 0.86× | 1.68 |
| Córdoba over 1.5 goals | 44.1% | 40.5% | 30.5% | 1.33× | 2.47 |
| Córdoba under 0.5 goals | 22.4% | 23.8% | 32.7% | 0.73× | 4.21 |
| Córdoba over 2.5 goals | 19.0% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 1.72× | 5.38 |
| Córdoba over 3.5 goals | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.51× | 13.08 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half | 87.9% | 89.4% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half | 55.0% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half | 45.0% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.1% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.46 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense (away no bet) | 55.7% | 57.5% | 63.1% | 0.91× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 44.3% | 42.5% | 36.9% | 1.15× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba even goals | 52.5% | 52.8% | 54.7% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| Córdoba odd goals | 47.5% | 47.2% | 45.3% | 1.04× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.4% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 14.6% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.17 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 63.4% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 36.6% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 55.4% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Córdoba to score 2+ in a row | 35.7% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Eldense to score 2+ in a row | 25.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 19.3% | 16.5% | — | — | 6.08 |
| Córdoba to score 3+ in a row | 12.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.26 |
| Eldense to score 3+ in a row | 7.2% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.78 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense corners (+3.5) | 88.5% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Eldense corners (+2.5) | 82.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Eldense corners (+1.5) | 74.9% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Córdoba corners (+3.5) | 74.4% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Córdoba corners (+2.5) | 65.4% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Córdoba corners (+1.5) | 55.3% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Eldense corners (-1.5) | 44.7% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Eldense corners (-2.5) | 34.6% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Eldense corners (-3.5) | 25.6% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Córdoba corners (-1.5) | 25.1% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Córdoba corners (-2.5) | 17.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Córdoba corners (-3.5) | 11.5% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 36.9% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 0-8 corners | 32.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.3% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 76.8% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 71.7% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 67.2% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 63.1% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56.9% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 53.4% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 46.6% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 43.1% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 36.9% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 32.8% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 28.3% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 23.2% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 1.02× | 8.74 |
| 0-1 | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 1.31× | 8.74 |
| 1-0 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 0.57× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.05× | 13.47 |
| 0-2 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.52× | 13.47 |
| 2-1 | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 0.74× | 13.47 |
| 2-2 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.31× | 13.47 |
| 0-0 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 0.81× | 13.47 |
| 2-0 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 0.27× | 58.50 |
| 0-3 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.35× | 58.50 |
| 0-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.32× | 58.52 |
| 1-3 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.50 |
| 1-4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.03× | 58.51 |
| 2-3 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.74× | 58.51 |
| 2-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.32× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.56× | 58.51 |
| 3-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 0.38× | 58.51 |
| 3-2 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.51 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.32× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.13× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.48× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.90× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.48× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.42× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.13× | 58.52 |
| Any other score | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.63× | 58.51 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba leading at HT (DNB) | 54.3% | 55.8% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Eldense leading at HT (DNB) | 45.7% | 44.2% | — | — | 2.26 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense or Córdoba (12) | 75.2% | 75.5% | 73.4% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Córdoba or draw (X2) | 68.8% | 69.6% | 54.6% | 1.28× | 1.44 |
| Eldense or draw (1X) | 56.0% | 57.0% | 71.9% | 0.79× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba or draw at HT | 74.2% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Eldense or draw at HT | 69.3% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Eldense or Córdoba at HT | 56.5% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba or draw (1UP) | 68.8% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Eldense or draw (1UP) | 56.0% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba or draw in 2nd half | 73.3% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Eldense or Córdoba in 2nd half | 65.1% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Eldense or draw in 2nd half | 61.7% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 63.6% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 36.4% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (DNB) | 58.5% | 58.3% | 38.2% | 1.53× | 1.72 |
| Eldense (DNB) | 41.5% | 41.7% | 61.8% | 0.68× | 2.40 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to score first | 51.6% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Eldense to score first | 42.0% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.41 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54.3% | 51.5% | 53.9% | 0.95× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 45.7% | 48.5% | 46.1% | 1.05× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.6% | 41.6% | 42.8% | 0.97× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 37.3% | 38.5% | 39.9% | 0.97× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 1.09× | 8.12 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 1.33× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.8% | 83.1% | 85.7% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.2% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 1.18× | 5.92 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 70.5% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.5% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.87 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 57.6% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.1% | 21.0% | — | — | 4.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.9% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.47 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.89 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.7% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.3% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 53.6% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 46.4% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 47.4% | 41.4% | 1.14× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.8% | 26.4% | 26.5% | 1.00× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 24.9% | 22.8% | 30.7% | 0.74× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.15× | 55.04 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to score exactly 1 | 33.5% | 33.9% | 36.9% | 0.92× | 2.95 |
| Córdoba to score exactly 2 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 1.39× | 3.65 |
| Córdoba to score exactly 0 | 22.4% | 22.4% | 32.7% | 0.69× | 4.46 |
| Córdoba to score 3+ | 19.0% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 1.81× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense to score exactly 1 | 36.0% | 35.6% | 35.6% | 1.00× | 2.81 |
| Eldense to score exactly 0 | 29.6% | 26.5% | 22.5% | 1.18× | 3.77 |
| Eldense to score exactly 2 | 21.9% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 0.93× | 4.30 |
| Eldense to score 3+ | 12.4% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 0.84× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.5% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Córdoba leading at HT | 30.7% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
| Eldense leading at HT | 25.8% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba -1: 1 | 56.0% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Córdoba -1: X | 22.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Córdoba -1: 2 | 21.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (0:1) | 68.8% | 65.5% | 54.6% | 1.20× | 1.53 |
| Draw (0:1) | 18.4% | 17.8% | 26.0% | 0.69× | 5.62 |
| Eldense (0:1) | 12.9% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 0.71× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (0:2) | 87.1% | 86.9% | 80.4% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.7% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 0.64× | 12.94 |
| Eldense (0:2) | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 0.49× | 26.49 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (0:3) | 95.8% | 96.6% | 92.3% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 0.44× | 42.07 |
| Eldense (0:3) | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.98× | 42.16 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (0:4) | 98.9% | 98.1% | 97.6% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.57× | 83.51 |
| Eldense (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.84× | 83.59 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense (1:0) | 56.0% | 58.0% | 71.9% | 0.81× | 1.72 |
| Draw (1:0) | 22.5% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 1.21× | 4.60 |
| Córdoba (1:0) | 21.5% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 2.13× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense (2:0) | 78.5% | 80.4% | 89.8% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 1.48× | 9.62 |
| Córdoba (2:0) | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.98× | 15.51 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.5% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.4% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.12 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense to concede | 77.6% | 75.9% | 67.3% | 1.13× | 1.32 |
| Eldense clean sheet | 22.4% | 24.1% | 32.7% | 0.74× | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense clean sheet in 1st half | 55.0% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Eldense to concede in 1st half | 45.0% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense over 2.5 corners | 88.0% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Eldense over 3.5 corners | 76.8% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Eldense under 6.5 corners | 63.8% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Eldense over 4.5 corners | 63.2% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Eldense under 5.5 corners | 50.9% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Eldense over 5.5 corners | 49.2% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Eldense under 4.5 corners | 36.8% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Eldense over 6.5 corners | 36.2% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Eldense under 3.5 corners | 23.2% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Eldense under 2.5 corners | 12.0% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.28 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense under 3.5 goals | 96.5% | 96.4% | 93.7% | 1.03× | 1.04 |
| Eldense under 2.5 goals | 87.6% | 87.2% | 83.0% | 1.05× | 1.15 |
| Eldense over 0.5 goals | 70.4% | 74.2% | 77.5% | 0.96× | 1.35 |
| Eldense under 1.5 goals | 65.6% | 67.8% | 58.0% | 1.17× | 1.47 |
| Eldense over 1.5 goals | 34.4% | 32.2% | 42.0% | 0.77× | 3.11 |
| Eldense under 0.5 goals | 29.6% | 25.8% | 22.5% | 1.15× | 3.88 |
| Eldense over 2.5 goals | 12.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 0.75× | 7.84 |
| Eldense over 3.5 goals | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 0.58× | 27.43 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.3% | 95.2% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Eldense under 0.5 in 1st half | 59.2% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Eldense over 0.5 in 1st half | 40.8% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Eldense over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.7% | 4.8% | — | — | 20.67 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba (home no bet) | 63.9% | 60.2% | 51.3% | 1.17× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 36.1% | 39.8% | 48.7% | 0.82× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense even goals | 54.4% | 50.6% | 51.8% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Eldense odd goals | 45.6% | 49.4% | 48.2% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.5% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.11 |
| HT 0-1 | 19.5% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.31 |
| HT 1-0 | 17.1% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.1% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.13 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.8% | 7.0% | — | — | 14.20 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.73 |
| Any other HT score | 3.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.78 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.84 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.87 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.01 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT | 24.2% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Eldense at HT / Eldense at FT | 17.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT | 16.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.8% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Eldense at FT | 11.8% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Eldense at HT / Draw at FT | 5.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT | 4.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.81 |
| Eldense at HT / Córdoba at FT | 2.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Córdoba at HT / Eldense at FT | 1.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.92 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to score last | 51.6% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Eldense to score last | 42.1% | 40.3% | — | — | 2.48 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.41 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.7% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time | 59.6% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Eldense to lead by 1 at any time | 48.6% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 46.1% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time | 27.8% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
| Eldense to lead by 2 at any time | 18.5% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.67 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 16.1% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time | 10.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.65 |
| Eldense to lead by 3 at any time | 5.7% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.32 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense most corners | 55.4% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Córdoba most corners | 34.3% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.3% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.9% | 87.4% | 85.8% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 79.8% | 78.6% | 78.1% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 73.0% | 72.4% | 67.8% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.3% | 69.0% | 64.2% | 1.07× | 1.45 |
| 1-3 goals | 64.8% | 63.4% | 63.0% | 1.01× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.1% | 63.4% | 56.6% | 1.12× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 48.9% | 48.7% | 47.5% | 1.02× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 48.7% | 41.4% | 1.17× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 45.2% | 48.7% | 44.0% | 1.11× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 42.7% | 43.6% | 42.0% | 1.04× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.1% | 39.2% | 36.3% | 1.08× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 26.8% | 30.2% | 26.5% | 1.14× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.1% | 24.5% | 22.9% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.8% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 1.31× | 6.73 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.61× | 39.42 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba never behind | 45.1% | 56.4% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Eldense never behind | 34.1% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.6% | 50.8% | 48.5% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.4% | 49.2% | 51.5% | 0.95× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.2% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.8% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.2% | 92.3% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 90.9% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86.1% | 87.6% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% | 77.4% | 69.3% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.1% | 72.5% | 72.0% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.0% | 52.4% | 49.0% | 1.07× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.0% | 47.6% | 51.0% | 0.93× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.9% | 27.5% | 28.0% | 0.98× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24.9% | 22.6% | 30.7% | 0.74× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 0.84× | 12.95 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.8% | 97.2% | 98.4% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.7% | 92.5% | 94.4% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 83.6% | 81.1% | 84.9% | 0.96× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 67.2% | 67.4% | 61.5% | 1.10× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 62.9% | 62.1% | 64.6% | 0.96× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 37.1% | 37.9% | 35.4% | 1.07× | 2.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 32.9% | 32.6% | 38.5% | 0.85× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 1.25× | 5.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.35× | 13.28 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.68× | 36.36 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.6% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 69.1% | 69.2% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.5% | 69.1% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.5% | 30.9% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 30.9% | 30.8% | — | — | 3.24 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.4% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.20 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 79.8% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 78.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.9% | 53.4% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.1% | 46.6% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 21.5% | 20.0% | — | — | 4.99 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 20.2% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense not to score in both halves | 79.6% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Córdoba not to score in both halves | 73.3% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Córdoba to score in both halves | 26.7% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
| Eldense to score in both halves | 20.4% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.62 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 54.3% | 53.9% | 53.9% | 1.00× | 1.85 |
| Only Córdoba scores | 23.3% | 22.4% | 13.5% | 1.66× | 4.47 |
| Only Eldense scores | 16.1% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 0.68× | 6.22 |
| Neither team scores | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 0.79× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 24.1% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.1% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 1.07× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 18.6% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 0.81× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.0% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 0.79× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 0.98× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 0.83× | 13.10 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.48× | 13.10 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 47.1% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.6% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.97 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 20.2% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense not to win both halves | 93.1% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Córdoba not to win both halves | 88.3% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Córdoba to win both halves | 11.7% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Eldense to win both halves | 6.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Córdoba to win either half | 57.3% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Eldense to win neither half | 54.3% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Eldense to win either half | 45.7% | 44.9% | — | — | 2.23 |
| Córdoba to win neither half | 42.7% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense not to win to nil | 83.9% | 83.0% | 76.3% | 1.09× | 1.20 |
| Córdoba not to win to nil | 76.7% | 78.0% | 86.5% | 0.90× | 1.28 |
| Córdoba to win to nil | 23.3% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 1.63× | 4.55 |
| Eldense to win to nil | 16.1% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 0.72× | 5.89 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% | 24.2% | 26.6% | 0.91× | 4.14 |
| Córdoba by 1 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.34× | 4.14 |
| Eldense by 1 | 18.4% | 17.0% | 26.0% | 0.65× | 5.90 |
| Córdoba by 2 | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 1.68× | 8.47 |
| Eldense by 2 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 0.60× | 13.79 |
| Córdoba by 3+ | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.22× | 13.79 |
| Eldense by 3+ | 4.2% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 0.35× | 37.00 |