Eldense v Granada — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Eldense

15:00

Granada

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

Eldense win

28.0%

model 29.9%

Draw

23.4%

model 24.8%

Granada win

48.6%

model 45.3%

282349

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
0-1 10.6%
1-2 9.1%
1-0 8.3%
0-2 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.4%	Under 2.5	49.6%
BTTS yes	53.6%	BTTS no	46.4%
Eldense 1+	69.2%	Eldense 2+	32.9%
Granada 1+	78.0%	Granada 2+	44.6%

Expected goals 1.18 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

52/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Granada carry the stronger rating, 1475 Elo against 1398.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Granada have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 28.0% for Eldense and 23.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.18 for Eldense and 1.51 for Granada.

Why Eldense

Nothing in the data singles out Eldense.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.4%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Granada can win

Granada carry the stronger rating, 1475 Elo against 1398.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Eldense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Granada, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Eldense: 43% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Granada: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Granada are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	252451	1.04–1.62	0-1 12%	49%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to win	51.2%	51.4%	28.1%	1.83×	1.95
Eldense to win	24.6%	24.5%	45.4%	0.54×	4.09
Draw	24.2%	24.5%	26.6%	0.92×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada & not both score	28.8%	25.2%	13.5%	1.87×	3.97
Granada & both teams score	22.4%	21.9%	14.7%	1.49×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.4%	17.9%	17.6%	1.02×	5.58
Eldense & not both score	13.1%	13.3%	23.7%	0.56×	7.54
Eldense & both teams score	11.5%	13.3%	21.9%	0.61×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.7%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada & over 1.5	39.5%	34.9%	19.5%	1.79×	2.87
Granada & under 3.5	35.4%	34.9%	19.7%	1.77×	2.87
Granada & over 2.5	30.2%	30.9%	16.6%	1.86×	3.24
Granada & under 2.5	20.9%	21.7%	11.6%	1.87×	4.62
Eldense & under 3.5	18.8%	18.0%	32.3%	0.56×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Eldense & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.4%	18.0%	17.6%	1.02×	5.56
Granada & over 3.5	15.7%	18.0%	8.5%	2.11×	5.56
Eldense & over 2.5	13.2%	12.9%	26.2%	0.49×	7.77
Eldense & under 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Granada & under 1.5	11.7%	12.9%	8.7%	1.47×	7.77
Eldense & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	13.0%	0.60×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	9.1%	0.86×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.70
Eldense & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	13.2%	0.59×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (1UP)	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Eldense (1UP)	41.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (2UP)	51.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Eldense (2UP)	24.6%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to win 2nd half	43.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Eldense to win 2nd half	21.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Granada (+1.5)	91.1%	92.1%	80.4%	1.14×	1.09
Granada (+0.5)	75.4%	78.4%	54.6%	1.44×	1.28
Granada (-0.5)	51.2%	52.3%	28.1%	1.86×	1.91
Eldense (+0.5)	48.8%	47.7%	71.9%	0.66×	2.10
Eldense (-0.5)	24.6%	21.6%	45.4%	0.48×	4.63
Eldense (-1.5)	8.9%	7.9%	19.6%	0.41×	12.62
Eldense (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	26.91

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to concede	64.5%	67.3%	77.5%	0.87×	1.49
Granada clean sheet	35.5%	32.7%	22.5%	1.45×	3.06

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada clean sheet in 1st half	64.1%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Granada to concede in 1st half	35.9%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 6.5 corners	91.1%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Granada under 5.5 corners	83.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Granada under 4.5 corners	71.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Granada over 2.5 corners	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Granada under 3.5 corners	55.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Granada over 3.5 corners	44.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Granada under 2.5 corners	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Granada over 4.5 corners	28.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Granada over 5.5 corners	16.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Granada over 6.5 corners	8.9%	10.0%	—	—	10.04

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 3.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	97.0%	0.95×	1.08
Granada over 0.5 goals	80.1%	81.4%	67.3%	1.21×	1.23
Granada under 2.5 goals	78.0%	76.2%	89.2%	0.86×	1.31
Granada under 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.7%	69.5%	0.77×	1.86
Granada over 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.3%	30.5%	1.52×	2.16
Granada over 2.5 goals	22.0%	23.8%	10.8%	2.19×	4.21
Granada under 0.5 goals	19.9%	18.6%	32.7%	0.57×	5.37
Granada over 3.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	3.0%	2.52×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada under 1.5 in 1st half	86.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Granada under 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Granada over 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Granada over 1.5 in 1st half	13.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (away no bet)	50.4%	51.2%	63.1%	0.81×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	49.6%	48.8%	36.9%	1.32×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada even goals	52.0%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.89
Granada odd goals	48.0%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.3%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	—	—	8.07

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.0%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.0%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Granada to score 2+ in a row	40.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Eldense to score 2+ in a row	20.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Granada to score 3+ in a row	15.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Eldense to score 3+ in a row	4.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.72

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense corners (+3.5)	96.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Eldense corners (+2.5)	93.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Eldense corners (+1.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Eldense corners (-1.5)	63.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Granada corners (+3.5)	58.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Eldense corners (-2.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Granada corners (+2.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Eldense corners (-3.5)	41.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Granada corners (+1.5)	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Granada corners (-1.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Granada corners (-2.5)	6.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Granada corners (-3.5)	3.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	77.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	60.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	50.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	49.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	39.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	39.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	11.7%	11.5%	8.7%	1.31×	8.73
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	11.3%	1.02×	8.73
0-2	9.2%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.48
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.48
0-0	6.7%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.48
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.48
1-3	5.1%	7.4%	3.6%	2.08×	13.48
2-1	6.1%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.48
0-3	5.0%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.46
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.46
0-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.48
1-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.03×	58.48
2-0	3.8%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.47
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.47
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.48
3-0	1.3%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.48
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.48
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.32×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	8.13×	58.49
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.49
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.9%	0.90×	58.49
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.48×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.42×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.13×	58.49
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada leading at HT (DNB)	61.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Eldense leading at HT (DNB)	38.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense or Granada (12)	75.8%	75.5%	73.4%	1.03×	1.32
Granada or draw (X2)	75.4%	75.5%	54.6%	1.38×	1.32
Eldense or draw (1X)	48.8%	48.6%	71.9%	0.68×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada or draw at HT	78.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Eldense or draw at HT	65.4%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Eldense or Granada at HT	56.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada or draw (1UP)	75.4%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Eldense or draw (1UP)	48.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada or draw in 2nd half	78.2%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Eldense or Granada in 2nd half	65.3%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Eldense or draw in 2nd half	56.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.7%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.3%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (DNB)	67.5%	67.2%	38.2%	1.76×	1.49
Eldense (DNB)	32.5%	32.8%	61.8%	0.53×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to score first	56.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Eldense to score first	36.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.3%	51.4%	53.9%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.7%	48.6%	46.1%	1.06×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.8%	38.5%	42.8%	0.90×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	39.1%	38.5%	39.9%	0.97×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.3%	11.3%	1.10×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.4%	6.3%	1.33×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.7%	85.6%	85.7%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.3%	14.4%	14.3%	1.01×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.5%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.5%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.1%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.8%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.1%	—	—	19.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.0%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.0%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	47.7%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.4%	47.4%	41.4%	1.14×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.1%	26.4%	30.7%	0.86×	3.78
4-6 goals	25.6%	26.4%	26.5%	1.00×	3.78
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	1.6%	1.16×	54.61

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to score exactly 1	32.1%	33.8%	36.9%	0.92×	2.96
Granada to score exactly 2	25.9%	27.4%	19.8%	1.39×	3.65
Granada to score 3+	22.0%	22.4%	10.8%	2.07×	4.46
Granada to score exactly 0	19.9%	19.6%	32.7%	0.60×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Eldense to score exactly 0	35.5%	35.6%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Eldense to score exactly 2	19.0%	18.9%	25.0%	0.76×	5.29
Eldense to score 3+	8.7%	10.3%	17.0%	0.60×	9.71

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Granada leading at HT	34.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Eldense leading at HT	21.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada -1: 1	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Granada -1: 2	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Granada -1: X	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:1)	75.4%	73.7%	54.6%	1.35×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	15.7%	17.8%	26.0%	0.68×	5.63
Eldense (0:1)	8.9%	9.2%	19.6%	0.47×	10.83

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:2)	91.1%	90.8%	80.4%	1.13×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.4%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	12.96
Eldense (0:2)	2.5%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.61

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.18
Eldense (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.4%	0.98×	42.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.63
Eldense (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.4%	2.84×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (1:0)	48.8%	49.8%	71.9%	0.69×	2.01
Granada (1:0)	26.9%	25.1%	10.2%	2.46×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	24.3%	21.8%	18.0%	1.21×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense (2:0)	73.1%	76.5%	89.8%	0.85×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	15.5%	15.6%	7.0%	2.22×	6.40
Granada (2:0)	11.3%	10.4%	3.3%	3.18×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense to concede	80.1%	80.7%	67.3%	1.20×	1.24
Eldense clean sheet	19.9%	19.3%	32.7%	0.59×	5.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense clean sheet in 1st half	52.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Eldense to concede in 1st half	47.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense over 2.5 corners	90.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Eldense over 3.5 corners	81.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Eldense over 4.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Eldense under 6.5 corners	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Eldense over 5.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Eldense under 5.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Eldense over 6.5 corners	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Eldense under 4.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Eldense under 3.5 corners	18.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Eldense under 2.5 corners	9.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 3.5 goals	97.9%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Eldense under 2.5 goals	91.3%	92.2%	83.0%	1.11×	1.08
Eldense under 1.5 goals	72.3%	74.2%	58.0%	1.28×	1.35
Eldense over 0.5 goals	64.5%	63.5%	77.5%	0.82×	1.58
Eldense under 0.5 goals	35.5%	36.5%	22.5%	1.62×	2.74
Eldense over 1.5 goals	27.7%	25.8%	42.0%	0.62×	3.87
Eldense over 2.5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	17.0%	0.46×	12.90
Eldense over 3.5 goals	2.1%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense under 1.5 in 1st half	92.6%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Eldense under 0.5 in 1st half	64.1%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Eldense over 0.5 in 1st half	35.9%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Eldense over 1.5 in 1st half	7.4%	4.6%	—	—	21.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada (home no bet)	67.9%	63.9%	51.3%	1.25×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	32.1%	36.1%	48.7%	0.74×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense even goals	56.3%	55.4%	51.8%	1.07×	1.80
Eldense odd goals	43.7%	44.6%	48.2%	0.93×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 0-1	21.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	15.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 0-2	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada at HT / Granada at FT	28.9%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / Granada at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Eldense at HT / Eldense at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Eldense at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Eldense at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Granada at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Eldense at HT / Granada at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Granada at HT / Eldense at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to score last	56.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Eldense to score last	36.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Granada to lead by 1 at any time	64.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Eldense to lead by 1 at any time	41.7%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Granada to lead by 2 at any time	33.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Eldense to lead by 2 at any time	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Granada to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Eldense to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	60.80

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense most corners	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Granada most corners	18.3%	19.2%	—	—	5.21
Corners level	8.6%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.5%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.0%	72.4%	67.8%	1.07×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.6%	69.0%	64.2%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.8%	68.9%	63.0%	1.09×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.4%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.5%	48.7%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.4%	48.7%	41.4%	1.17×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.1%	43.6%	44.0%	0.99×	2.30
1-2 goals	43.9%	43.6%	42.0%	1.04×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.4%	39.1%	36.3%	1.08×	2.56
4-6 goals	25.6%	30.2%	26.5%	1.14×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.2%	24.5%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.1%	14.9%	11.4%	1.31×	6.73
7+ goals	1.9%	2.5%	1.6%	1.62×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada never behind	51.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Eldense never behind	28.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.6%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.4%	49.2%	51.5%	0.95×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	87.2%	1.01×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.9%	72.5%	69.3%	1.05×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.5%	72.5%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.6%	52.5%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	49.4%	47.5%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	27.5%	27.5%	28.0%	0.98×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	26.1%	27.5%	30.7%	0.89×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	12.8%	0.96×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	5.2%	1.50×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.1%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.3%	92.5%	94.4%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.8%	81.1%	84.9%	0.96×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.4%	67.4%	61.5%	1.10×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.8%	62.1%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.2%	37.9%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.6%	32.6%	38.5%	0.85×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.2%	18.9%	15.1%	1.25×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.7%	7.5%	5.6%	1.35×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.9%	2.8%	1.6%	1.69×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.3%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to score in both halves	84.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Granada not to score in both halves	70.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Granada to score in both halves	29.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Eldense to score in both halves	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.3%	53.9%	53.9%	1.00×	1.86
Only Granada scores	28.8%	26.1%	13.5%	1.94×	3.83
Only Eldense scores	13.1%	10.9%	23.7%	0.46×	9.14
Neither team scores	6.7%	7.2%	9.1%	0.79×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.4%	17.4%	21.7%	0.80×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.5%	12.1%	15.2%	0.79×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	7.8%	0.98×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.09
6 or more goals	5.3%	7.6%	5.2%	1.48×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.1%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	20.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win both halves	95.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Granada not to win both halves	85.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Granada to win both halves	15.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
Eldense to win both halves	4.7%	2.8%	—	—	35.29

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada to win either half	63.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Eldense to win neither half	61.4%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Eldense to win either half	38.6%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Granada to win neither half	36.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eldense not to win to nil	86.9%	88.2%	76.3%	1.16×	1.13
Granada not to win to nil	71.2%	75.3%	86.5%	0.87×	1.33
Granada to win to nil	28.8%	24.7%	13.5%	1.84×	4.05
Eldense to win to nil	13.1%	11.8%	23.7%	0.50×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Granada by 1	24.3%	24.2%	18.0%	1.34×	4.14
Draw	24.2%	24.2%	26.6%	0.91×	4.14
Eldense by 1	15.7%	16.9%	26.0%	0.65×	5.91
Granada by 2	15.5%	16.9%	7.0%	2.40×	5.91
Granada by 3+	11.3%	11.8%	3.3%	3.62×	8.48
Eldense by 2	6.4%	7.3%	12.0%	0.61×	13.79
Eldense by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	37.00