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Espanyol v Celta Vigo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 30 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

3–1
1.50 – 1.56 xG
Shots
9 – 16
On target
5 – 2
Shots in box
6 – 11
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 0.90
Goals − xG
+1.50 – -0.56
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Irvin Cardona 39' — goalLeandro Cabrera 52' — goalIago Aspas 82' — goalWalid Cheddira 86' — goal
Espanyol 1.50 xGCelta Vigo 1.56 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Leandro Cabrera 7' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Javier Rodríguez 14' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Tasos Douvikas 16' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Hugo Álvarez 23' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jofre Carreras 23' — Missed Shot (0.50 xG, Open Play)Hugo Álvarez 38' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Irvin Cardona 39' — Goal (0.07 xG, Open Play)Iago Aspas 41' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jofre Carreras 45' — Missed Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Ilaix Moriba 47' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ilaix Moriba 48' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Jofre Carreras 51' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Leandro Cabrera 52' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Leandro Cabrera 52' — Goal (0.08 xG, From Corner)Óscar Mingueza 55' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Marcos Alonso 59' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Jofre Carreras 63' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Óscar Mingueza 68' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Iago Aspas 71' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Iago Aspas 74' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Marcos Alonso 74' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Williot Swedberg 75' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jonathan Bamba 77' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Iago Aspas 82' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Walid Cheddira 86' — Goal (0.39 xG, Open Play)
Espanyol attacking right Celta Vigo attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
7' Espanyol Leandro Cabrera 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Pol Lozano
14' Celta Vigo Javier Rodríguez 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Óscar Mingueza
16' Celta Vigo Tasos Douvikas 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ilaix Moriba
23' Celta Vigo Hugo Álvarez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jonathan Bamba
23' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
38' Celta Vigo Hugo Álvarez 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Iago Aspas
39' Espanyol Irvin Cardona 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Goal Leandro Cabrera
41' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ilaix Moriba
45' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.27 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Leandro Cabrera
47' Celta Vigo Ilaix Moriba 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
48' Celta Vigo Ilaix Moriba 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Borja Iglesias
51' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Omar El Hilali
52' Espanyol Leandro Cabrera 0.04 From Corner Blocked Shot Pol Lozano
52' Espanyol Leandro Cabrera 0.08 From Corner Left Foot Goal
55' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
59' Celta Vigo Marcos Alonso 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Damián Rodríguez
63' Espanyol Jofre Carreras 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Javi Puado
68' Celta Vigo Óscar Mingueza 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ilaix Moriba
71' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Óscar Mingueza
74' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Carl Starfelt
74' Celta Vigo Marcos Alonso 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
75' Celta Vigo Williot Swedberg 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Óscar Mingueza
77' Celta Vigo Jonathan Bamba 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iago Aspas
82' Celta Vigo Iago Aspas 0.74 Left Foot Goal
86' Espanyol Walid Cheddira 0.39 Open Play Left Foot Goal Javi Puado

Players

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Iago Aspas AMC 90 1 0 4 2 0.95 0.06 0.39
Óscar Mingueza MC 90 0 0 2 3 0.14 0.17 0.45
Javier Rodríguez DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.42
Jonathan Bamba DMR 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.28
Vicente Guaita GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Carl Starfelt DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.38
Marcos Alonso DC 85 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.42
Ilaix Moriba MC 85 0 0 2 3 0.06 0.28 0.56
Damián Rodríguez MC 72 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.25
Tasos Douvikas FW 51 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.18
Hugo Álvarez DML 51 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.22
Williot Swedberg Sub 39 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.05
Borja Iglesias Sub 39 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.07
Hugo Sotelo Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Alfon Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javier Manquillo Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Espanyol

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Leandro Cabrera DC 90 1 1 3 2 0.16 0.34 0.42
Omar El Hilali DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.30
Joan García GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javi Puado ML 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.47 0.97
Brian Oliván DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Alex Kral MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Marash Kumbulla DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.66
Jofre Carreras MR 89 0 0 4 0 0.88 0.00 0.88
Irvin Cardona FW 72 1 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.15
Pol Lozano DMC 72 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.09 0.36
Justin Smith MC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rafael Bauza Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Walid Cheddira Sub 18 1 0 1 0 0.39 0.00 0.39
Carlos Romero Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tejero Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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