Everton v Universidad Católica — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Everton

17:30

Universidad Católica

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23

Everton win

46.6%

model 49.5%

Draw

22.4%

model 20.2%

Universidad Católica win

31.0%

model 30.3%

472231

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 10.8%
2-1 9.4%
1-1 9.3%
0-1 8.5%
2-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.4%	Under 2.5	43.6%
BTTS yes	56.4%	BTTS no	43.6%
Everton 1+	81.5%	Everton 2+	50.3%
Universidad Católica 1+	71.4%	Universidad Católica 2+	35.6%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.25. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 64%

69.2% fair odds 1.45

moderate signal · 2188 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Everton over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 79%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Everton have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for Universidad Católica and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.69 for Everton and 1.25 for Universidad Católica.

Why Everton

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad Católica can win

Universidad Católica carry the stronger rating, 1635 Elo against 1591.

Key players

Everton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (0.32), Thierno Barry (0.31), Iliman Ndiaye (0.29).

Availability

No lineup on record for Universidad Católica, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Everton: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.34 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad Católica: 47% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Everton are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 10.8%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Everton have scored 15 from 13.7 expected and conceded 18 from 18.2 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DLLDDLLWDD last 10 scored 15 from 13.7 xG conceded 18 from 18.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502030	1.69–1.25	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	452034	1.65–1.39	1-0 10%	59%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win	45.4%	47.4%	48.9%	0.97×	2.11
Universidad Católica to win	34.4%	30.4%	30.1%	1.01×	3.29
Draw	20.2%	24.4%	21.3%	1.15×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton & both teams score	23.5%	21.9%	22.5%	0.97×	4.57
Everton & not both score	21.9%	21.9%	26.7%	0.82×	4.57
Universidad Católica & both teams score	18.1%	17.9%	13.4%	1.33×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	16.6%	1.08×	5.58
Universidad Católica & not both score	16.4%	17.9%	16.9%	1.06×	5.58
Draw & not both score	2.9%	4.9%	4.9%	0.99×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton & over 1.5	35.6%	34.9%	35.9%	0.97×	2.87
Everton & over 2.5	29.2%	26.0%	29.1%	0.89×	3.84
Everton & under 3.5	28.8%	26.0%	34.0%	0.77×	3.84
Universidad Católica & over 1.5	25.9%	26.0%	20.0%	1.30×	3.84
Universidad Católica & under 3.5	23.0%	21.7%	23.5%	0.92×	4.62
Universidad Católica & over 2.5	21.2%	21.7%	16.6%	1.30×	4.62
Everton & over 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	15.2%	1.19×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.56
Everton & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Universidad Católica & under 2.5	13.2%	12.9%	13.7%	0.94×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.1%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	12.1%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
Universidad Católica & over 3.5	11.4%	12.9%	6.8%	1.88×	7.77
Everton & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.70
Universidad Católica & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (1UP)	61.8%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Universidad Católica (1UP)	52.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (2UP)	45.4%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Universidad Católica (2UP)	34.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win 2nd half	36.9%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	31.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Universidad Católica to win 2nd half	31.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (+2.5)	90.7%	92.1%	89.7%	1.03×	1.09
Universidad Católica (+1.5)	77.6%	78.4%	77.0%	1.02×	1.28
Everton (+0.5)	65.6%	68.7%	69.9%	0.98×	1.46
Universidad Católica (+0.5)	54.6%	52.4%	51.1%	1.02×	1.91
Everton (-0.5)	45.4%	47.6%	48.9%	0.97×	2.10
Universidad Católica (-0.5)	34.4%	31.3%	30.1%	1.04×	3.20
Everton (-1.5)	22.4%	21.6%	23.0%	0.94×	4.64
Everton (-2.5)	9.3%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede	80.7%	81.3%	78.5%	1.04×	1.23
Universidad Católica clean sheet	19.3%	18.7%	21.5%	0.87×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 1st half	49.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Universidad Católica to concede in 1st half	50.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 6.5 corners	78.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Universidad Católica over 2.5 corners	77.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Universidad Católica under 5.5 corners	67.8%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Universidad Católica over 3.5 corners	61.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Universidad Católica under 4.5 corners	54.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Universidad Católica over 4.5 corners	46.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Universidad Católica under 3.5 corners	38.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Universidad Católica over 5.5 corners	32.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Universidad Católica under 2.5 corners	22.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Universidad Católica over 6.5 corners	21.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Universidad Católica under 2.5 goals	83.5%	81.4%	88.3%	0.92×	1.23
Universidad Católica over 0.5 goals	75.2%	76.2%	68.7%	1.11×	1.31
Universidad Católica under 1.5 goals	59.4%	59.5%	68.5%	0.87×	1.68
Universidad Católica over 1.5 goals	40.6%	40.5%	31.5%	1.28×	2.47
Universidad Católica under 0.5 goals	24.8%	23.8%	31.3%	0.76×	4.20
Universidad Católica over 2.5 goals	16.5%	18.6%	11.7%	1.58×	5.38
Universidad Católica over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	2.9%	2.61×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 1st half	89.2%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 1st half	10.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.21

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (away no bet)	69.2%	66.4%	69.7%	0.95×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.8%	33.6%	30.3%	1.11×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica even goals	53.1%	52.8%	53.5%	0.99×	1.89
Universidad Católica odd goals	46.9%	47.2%	46.5%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.83

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.2%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Everton to score 2+ in a row	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Universidad Católica to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	23.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Everton to score 3+ in a row	14.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Universidad Católica to score 3+ in a row	9.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.54

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton corners (+3.5)	86.7%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Everton corners (+2.5)	80.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Universidad Católica corners (+3.5)	77.0%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Everton corners (+1.5)	72.1%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Universidad Católica corners (+2.5)	68.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Universidad Católica corners (+1.5)	58.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Everton corners (-1.5)	41.3%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Everton corners (-2.5)	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Universidad Católica corners (-1.5)	27.9%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Everton corners (-3.5)	23.0%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Universidad Católica corners (-2.5)	19.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Universidad Católica corners (-3.5)	13.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
12+ corners	31.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	29.2%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	70.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	60.7%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	59.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Under 9.5 corners	49.6%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	40.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	39.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	31.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	29.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	8.5%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
1-0	9.7%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.48
1-1	9.1%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.48
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.48
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.48
2-0	6.5%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
2-2	6.3%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.48
0-2	4.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.46
3-1	5.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.46
0-0	2.9%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.47
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.49
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.47
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.48
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.47
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.48
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.47
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.47
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.48
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	6.99×	58.49
Any other score	4.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton leading at HT (DNB)	57.8%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Universidad Católica leading at HT (DNB)	42.2%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or Universidad Católica (12)	79.8%	75.6%	78.7%	0.96×	1.32
Everton or draw (1X)	65.6%	69.6%	69.9%	1.00×	1.44
Universidad Católica or draw (X2)	54.6%	52.6%	51.1%	1.03×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw at HT	74.6%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Universidad Católica or draw at HT	65.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Everton or Universidad Católica at HT	60.1%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw (1UP)	65.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Universidad Católica or draw (1UP)	54.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton or draw in 2nd half	68.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Everton or Universidad Católica in 2nd half	68.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Universidad Católica or draw in 2nd half	63.1%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.1%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (DNB)	56.9%	58.2%	61.9%	0.94×	1.72
Universidad Católica (DNB)	43.1%	41.8%	38.1%	1.10×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score first	52.5%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Universidad Católica to score first	44.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	2.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.46

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.8%	54.9%	52.1%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.2%	45.1%	47.9%	0.94×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.7%	44.3%	43.0%	1.03×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	32.3%	34.3%	38.1%	0.90×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	9.1%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	10.0%	0.83×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.1%	83.0%	84.6%	0.98×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.9%	17.0%	15.4%	1.10×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	33.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	52.3%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.42

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.7%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.38
4-6 goals	32.6%	30.7%	26.9%	1.14×	3.25
0-1 goals	21.2%	22.8%	27.9%	0.82×	4.39
7+ goals	3.5%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.44

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.8%	37.4%	0.90×	2.96
Universidad Católica to score exactly 0	24.8%	22.4%	31.3%	0.72×	4.46
Universidad Católica to score exactly 2	24.1%	22.4%	20.0%	1.12×	4.46
Universidad Católica to score 3+	16.5%	19.6%	11.7%	1.67×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score exactly 1	31.8%	32.6%	31.8%	1.03×	3.06
Everton to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	26.4%	1.00×	3.77
Everton to score 3+	22.8%	23.2%	20.8%	1.12×	4.30
Everton to score exactly 0	19.3%	18.9%	21.5%	0.88×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.9%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Everton leading at HT	34.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Universidad Católica leading at HT	25.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton -1: 2	54.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Everton -1: X	23.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Everton -1: 1	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:1)	54.6%	51.2%	51.1%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.3%	26.2%	0.93×	4.12
Everton (0:1)	22.4%	24.3%	23.0%	1.06×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:2)	77.6%	79.4%	77.0%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	13.1%	11.0%	13.0%	0.85×	9.12
Everton (0:2)	9.3%	7.7%	10.3%	0.75×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:3)	90.7%	92.6%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	5.1%	1.13×	17.18
Everton (0:3)	3.2%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:4)	96.8%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.3%	1.2%	4.2%	0.29×	83.41
Everton (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	1.5%	0.82×	83.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (1:0)	65.6%	69.9%	69.9%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.7%	17.0%	20.0%	0.85×	5.87
Universidad Católica (1:0)	14.7%	12.8%	10.3%	1.25×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (2:0)	85.3%	88.4%	89.7%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.4%	6.5%	6.4%	1.02×	15.46
Universidad Católica (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	4.2%	1.55×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.9%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to concede	75.2%	75.9%	68.7%	1.10×	1.32
Everton clean sheet	24.8%	24.1%	31.3%	0.77×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton clean sheet in 1st half	57.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Everton to concede in 1st half	42.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton over 2.5 corners	83.6%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Everton over 3.5 corners	70.6%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Everton under 6.5 corners	69.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Everton under 5.5 corners	57.6%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Everton over 4.5 corners	56.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Everton under 4.5 corners	43.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Everton over 5.5 corners	42.4%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Everton over 6.5 corners	30.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Everton under 3.5 corners	29.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Everton under 2.5 corners	16.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 3.5 goals	91.5%	92.2%	91.0%	1.01×	1.08
Everton over 0.5 goals	80.7%	82.1%	78.5%	1.05×	1.22
Everton under 2.5 goals	77.2%	77.7%	79.2%	0.98×	1.29
Everton under 1.5 goals	51.1%	53.2%	53.1%	1.00×	1.88
Everton over 1.5 goals	48.9%	46.8%	46.9%	1.00×	2.14
Everton over 2.5 goals	22.8%	22.3%	20.8%	1.07×	4.49
Everton under 0.5 goals	19.3%	17.9%	21.5%	0.83×	5.59
Everton over 3.5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	9.0%	0.86×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 1.5 in 1st half	84.2%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Everton under 0.5 in 1st half	49.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Everton over 0.5 in 1st half	50.7%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Everton over 1.5 in 1st half	15.8%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (home no bet)	63.0%	60.2%	58.6%	1.03×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	37.0%	39.8%	41.4%	0.96×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton even goals	51.9%	50.6%	54.5%	0.93×	1.98
Everton odd goals	48.1%	49.4%	45.5%	1.09×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.9%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	20.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 0-1	16.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	10.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.32
HT 1-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton at HT / Everton at FT	26.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Everton at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Everton at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Universidad Católica at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Everton at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Universidad Católica at HT / Everton at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score last	52.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Universidad Católica to score last	44.6%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	2.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.46

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Everton to lead by 1 at any time	61.8%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Universidad Católica to lead by 1 at any time	52.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Everton to lead by 2 at any time	29.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Universidad Católica to lead by 2 at any time	21.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Everton to lead by 3 at any time	11.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Universidad Católica to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton most corners	51.9%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Universidad Católica most corners	37.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	10.5%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.3%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.9%	78.6%	81.2%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.3%	78.6%	69.9%	1.12×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.0%	72.4%	64.3%	1.13×	1.38
1-3 goals	60.9%	63.4%	66.3%	0.96×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.7%	59.2%	58.2%	1.02×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.0%	59.2%	50.6%	1.17×	1.69
3-5 goals	49.8%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.4%	39.2%	38.9%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	38.5%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.6%	35.4%	26.9%	1.31×	2.83
4-5 goals	27.4%	30.2%	21.3%	1.42×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.6%	18.6%	12.0%	1.55×	5.37
7+ goals	3.5%	2.6%	2.4%	1.04×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton never behind	44.6%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Universidad Católica never behind	35.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.4%	50.8%	45.0%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.6%	49.2%	55.0%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.1%	95.5%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	80.9%	82.4%	85.8%	0.96×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.8%	77.4%	72.1%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	63.9%	61.8%	70.9%	0.87×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.5%	58.8%	52.8%	1.11×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	41.5%	41.2%	47.2%	0.87×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	36.1%	38.2%	29.1%	1.31×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	21.2%	22.6%	27.9%	0.81×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	19.1%	17.6%	14.2%	1.24×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	2.9%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.3%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.2%	92.4%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	77.0%	75.9%	83.3%	0.91×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	73.4%	72.6%	65.5%	1.11×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.4%	51.8%	61.9%	0.84×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.6%	48.2%	38.1%	1.26×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	26.6%	27.4%	34.5%	0.79×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.0%	24.1%	16.7%	1.44×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.8%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.24
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.7%	2.8%	2.6%	1.07×	36.11

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	86.5%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	64.2%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	35.8%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	13.5%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.7%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica not to score in both halves	75.8%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Everton not to score in both halves	69.2%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Everton to score in both halves	30.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Universidad Católica to score in both halves	24.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.8%	58.4%	52.1%	1.12×	1.71
Only Everton scores	21.9%	22.3%	26.7%	0.84×	4.48
Only Universidad Católica scores	16.4%	16.1%	16.9%	0.95×	6.22
Neither team scores	2.9%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.87

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.0%	0.94×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.3%	22.6%	19.6%	1.16×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.3%	17.4%	23.2%	0.75×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	17.0%	17.4%	15.2%	1.15×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	6.4%	1.90×	8.28
6 or more goals	8.8%	7.6%	8.1%	0.95×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	2.9%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.3%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	16.3%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica not to win both halves	92.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Everton not to win both halves	87.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Everton to win both halves	12.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Universidad Católica to win both halves	7.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to win either half	59.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Universidad Católica to win neither half	51.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Universidad Católica to win either half	49.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Everton to win neither half	40.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica not to win to nil	83.6%	83.0%	83.1%	1.00×	1.20
Everton not to win to nil	78.1%	78.1%	73.4%	1.06×	1.28
Everton to win to nil	21.9%	21.9%	26.7%	0.82×	4.56
Universidad Católica to win to nil	16.4%	17.0%	16.9%	1.01×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton by 1	23.0%	24.1%	26.2%	0.92×	4.14
Draw	20.2%	24.1%	21.3%	1.14×	4.14
Universidad Católica by 1	19.7%	16.9%	20.0%	0.84×	5.91
Everton by 2	13.1%	11.8%	13.0%	0.91×	8.47
Universidad Católica by 2	9.4%	7.3%	6.4%	1.14×	13.77
Everton by 3+	9.3%	7.3%	10.3%	0.71×	13.77
Universidad Católica by 3+	5.3%	7.3%	4.2%	1.74×	13.79