FC Baltika Kaliningrad v Lokomotiv Moscow — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Baltika Kaliningrad

13:45

Lokomotiv Moscow

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 10h before kick-off

FC Baltika Kaliningrad win

50.0%

model 49.6%

Draw

28.2%

model 28.9%

Lokomotiv Moscow win

21.8%

model 21.5%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.6%
1-0 12.7%
0-0 10.7%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.0%	Under 2.5	58.0%
BTTS yes	46.6%	BTTS no	53.4%
FC Baltika Kaliningrad 1+	77.1%	FC Baltika Kaliningrad 2+	43.3%
Lokomotiv Moscow 1+	58.9%	Lokomotiv Moscow 2+	22.3%

Expected goals 1.47 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 47%

54.1% fair odds 1.85

moderate signal · 1233 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Lokomotiv Moscow not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Baltika Kaliningrad carry the stronger rating, 1569 Elo against 1515.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Baltika Kaliningrad have an estimated 50.0% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 21.8% for Lokomotiv Moscow. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for FC Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.89 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

Why FC Baltika Kaliningrad

FC Baltika Kaliningrad carry the stronger rating, 1569 Elo against 1515. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Lokomotiv Moscow can win

Nothing in the data singles out Lokomotiv Moscow.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Baltika Kaliningrad, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lokomotiv Moscow, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Baltika Kaliningrad: 36% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lokomotiv Moscow: 52% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Baltika Kaliningrad are the model's most likely outcome at 50.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502921	1.47–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	483022	1.36–0.84	1-1 14%	38%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win	47.8%	47.5%	44.2%	1.07×	2.11
Draw	30.3%	30.3%	27.8%	1.09×	3.30
Lokomotiv Moscow to win	21.9%	24.4%	28.2%	0.87×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & not both score	30.8%	29.7%	25.6%	1.16×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	20.7%	0.87×	5.58
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Lokomotiv Moscow & not both score	13.3%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Draw & not both score	12.3%	13.3%	7.4%	1.80×	7.54
Lokomotiv Moscow & both teams score	8.6%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & under 3.5	37.3%	34.9%	30.9%	1.13×	2.87
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & over 1.5	34.0%	30.9%	33.5%	0.92×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	26.2%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	26.2%	26.0%	22.1%	1.18×	3.84
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & under 2.5	24.0%	21.7%	18.4%	1.18×	4.62
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & over 2.5	23.8%	21.7%	26.0%	0.83×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
Lokomotiv Moscow & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & under 1.5	13.8%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Lokomotiv Moscow & over 1.5	13.9%	12.9%	20.7%	0.62×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	7.4%	1.75×	7.77
Lokomotiv Moscow & under 2.5	11.9%	12.9%	11.9%	1.08×	7.77
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & over 3.5	10.5%	12.9%	13.5%	0.95×	7.77
Lokomotiv Moscow & over 2.5	10.0%	7.9%	16.6%	0.48×	12.69
Lokomotiv Moscow & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.1%	4.8%	5.9%	0.81×	20.93
Lokomotiv Moscow & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (1UP)	60.4%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Lokomotiv Moscow (1UP)	37.1%	34.3%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (2UP)	47.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Lokomotiv Moscow (2UP)	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win 2nd half	38.1%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Lokomotiv Moscow to win 2nd half	21.3%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (+2.5)	91.2%	92.1%	89.6%	1.03×	1.09
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (+0.5)	78.1%	78.4%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Lokomotiv Moscow (+1.5)	76.4%	78.4%	77.3%	1.01×	1.28
Lokomotiv Moscow (+0.5)	52.2%	52.3%	55.8%	0.94×	1.91
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (-0.5)	47.8%	47.7%	44.2%	1.08×	2.10
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (-1.5)	23.6%	21.6%	22.7%	0.95×	4.64
Lokomotiv Moscow (-0.5)	21.9%	21.6%	28.2%	0.76×	4.64
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (-2.5)	8.8%	7.9%	10.4%	0.76×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to concede	74.4%	76.5%	77.9%	0.98×	1.31
Lokomotiv Moscow clean sheet	25.6%	23.5%	22.1%	1.06×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow clean sheet in 1st half	55.7%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Lokomotiv Moscow to concede in 1st half	44.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 6.5 corners	86.2%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Lokomotiv Moscow under 5.5 corners	76.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Lokomotiv Moscow over 2.5 corners	72.0%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Lokomotiv Moscow under 4.5 corners	63.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Lokomotiv Moscow over 3.5 corners	53.9%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Lokomotiv Moscow under 3.5 corners	46.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Lokomotiv Moscow over 4.5 corners	36.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Lokomotiv Moscow under 2.5 corners	28.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Lokomotiv Moscow over 5.5 corners	23.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Lokomotiv Moscow over 6.5 corners	13.8%	15.1%	—	—	6.62

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.6%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Lokomotiv Moscow under 2.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Lokomotiv Moscow under 1.5 goals	79.4%	76.3%	70.1%	1.09×	1.31
Lokomotiv Moscow over 0.5 goals	56.9%	59.5%	67.3%	0.88×	1.68
Lokomotiv Moscow under 0.5 goals	43.1%	40.5%	32.7%	1.24×	2.47
Lokomotiv Moscow over 1.5 goals	20.6%	23.7%	29.9%	0.80×	4.21
Lokomotiv Moscow over 2.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	11.2%	0.68×	13.06
Lokomotiv Moscow over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.4%	3.1%	0.80×	40.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow under 1.5 in 1st half	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Lokomotiv Moscow under 0.5 in 1st half	71.4%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Lokomotiv Moscow over 0.5 in 1st half	28.6%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Lokomotiv Moscow over 1.5 in 1st half	4.5%	4.4%	—	—	22.68

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (away no bet)	61.2%	62.1%	61.4%	1.01×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.8%	37.9%	38.6%	0.98×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow even goals	59.3%	56.9%	53.4%	1.07×	1.76
Lokomotiv Moscow odd goals	40.7%	43.1%	46.6%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.3%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	—	—	13.07

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	52.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.8%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score 2+ in a row	33.8%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Lokomotiv Moscow to score 2+ in a row	15.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score 3+ in a row	11.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.23
Lokomotiv Moscow to score 3+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.67

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (+3.5)	90.2%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (+3.5)	84.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (+2.5)	83.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (+2.5)	75.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (+1.5)	74.0%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (+1.5)	64.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (-1.5)	35.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (-1.5)	26.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (-2.5)	24.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (-2.5)	16.5%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Lokomotiv Moscow corners (-3.5)	15.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (-3.5)	9.8%	11.4%	—	—	8.80

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	64.8%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
9-11 corners	24.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
12+ corners	10.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	93.2%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Under 11.5 corners	89.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 10.5 corners	83.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 9.5 corners	75.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 8.5 corners	64.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 7.5 corners	52.8%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 7.5 corners	47.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 8.5 corners	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 9.5 corners	24.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 10.5 corners	16.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 11.5 corners	10.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82
Over 12.5 corners	6.8%	13.9%	—	—	7.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.8%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.73
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	14.9%	0.77×	8.73
0-0	12.3%	11.5%	7.4%	1.56×	8.73
2-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.8%	1.47×	8.73
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.48
0-1	8.0%	7.4%	7.8%	0.95×	13.48
1-2	5.3%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
3-0	4.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.46
0-2	3.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.49
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.49
2-2	3.6%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.47
2-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.49
3-1	3.9%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
3-2	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.49
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.48
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.36×	58.49
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad leading at HT (DNB)	66.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Lokomotiv Moscow leading at HT (DNB)	33.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw (1X)	78.1%	75.6%	71.8%	1.05×	1.32
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or Lokomotiv Moscow (12)	69.7%	69.7%	72.2%	0.97×	1.44
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw (X2)	52.2%	52.5%	55.8%	0.94×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw at HT	82.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw at HT	65.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or Lokomotiv Moscow at HT	51.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw (1UP)	78.1%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw (1UP)	52.2%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw in 2nd half	78.7%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw in 2nd half	61.9%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or Lokomotiv Moscow in 2nd half	59.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.0%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (DNB)	68.6%	67.2%	61.0%	1.10×	1.49
Lokomotiv Moscow (DNB)	31.4%	32.8%	39.0%	0.84×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score first	54.2%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
Lokomotiv Moscow to score first	33.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
No goal scored	12.3%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.4%	54.9%	47.4%	1.16×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.6%	45.1%	52.6%	0.86×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.2%	44.3%	37.2%	1.19×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.7%	33.6%	37.8%	0.89×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	14.9%	0.83×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	10.4%	0.80×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.8%	89.1%	86.9%	1.03×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.2%	10.9%	13.1%	0.83×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.1%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.9%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	19.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.7%	5.0%	—	—	20.17

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.8%	47.4%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	34.1%	30.8%	25.6%	1.20×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.4%	20.2%	25.4%	0.80×	4.96
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to score exactly 0	43.1%	37.1%	32.7%	1.13×	2.70
Lokomotiv Moscow to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Lokomotiv Moscow to score exactly 2	15.3%	19.6%	18.8%	1.04×	5.12
Lokomotiv Moscow to score 3+	5.4%	8.4%	11.2%	0.75×	11.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score exactly 1	34.9%	32.7%	35.2%	0.93×	3.06
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score exactly 0	25.6%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score exactly 2	23.8%	23.2%	24.3%	0.96×	4.30
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score 3+	15.8%	18.9%	18.8%	1.00×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
FC Baltika Kaliningrad leading at HT	34.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Lokomotiv Moscow leading at HT	17.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad -1: 2	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
FC Baltika Kaliningrad -1: X	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
FC Baltika Kaliningrad -1: 1	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:1)	52.2%	51.1%	55.8%	0.92×	1.96
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.3%	21.7%	1.12×	4.12
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:1)	23.6%	24.3%	22.7%	1.07×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:2)	76.4%	79.4%	77.3%	1.03×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.8%	11.0%	12.5%	0.88×	9.11
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:2)	8.8%	7.7%	10.4%	0.74×	12.94

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:3)	91.2%	92.6%	89.6%	1.03×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.2%	5.8%	5.9%	0.98×	17.18
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	4.7%	0.50×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	3.7%	0.33×	83.45
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.2%	0.97×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (1:0)	78.1%	78.4%	71.8%	1.09×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.5%	12.8%	17.0%	0.76×	7.80
Lokomotiv Moscow (1:0)	7.4%	6.9%	11.5%	0.60×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (2:0)	92.6%	93.9%	88.5%	1.06×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	7.4%	0.88×	15.51
Lokomotiv Moscow (2:0)	1.8%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	44.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.7%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Halves equal	30.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to concede	56.9%	60.9%	67.3%	0.91×	1.64
FC Baltika Kaliningrad clean sheet	43.1%	39.1%	32.7%	1.19×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad clean sheet in 1st half	71.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to concede in 1st half	28.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 6.5 corners	90.7%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 5.5 corners	82.8%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 4.5 corners	70.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 2.5 corners	65.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 3.5 corners	54.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 3.5 corners	46.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 2.5 corners	34.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 4.5 corners	29.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 5.5 corners	17.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 6.5 corners	9.3%	11.8%	—	—	8.51

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 3.5 goals	95.0%	96.3%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 2.5 goals	84.2%	82.1%	81.2%	1.01×	1.22
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 0.5 goals	74.4%	74.2%	77.9%	0.95×	1.35
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 1.5 goals	60.5%	63.5%	57.1%	1.11×	1.58
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 1.5 goals	39.5%	36.5%	42.9%	0.85×	2.74
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 0.5 goals	25.6%	25.8%	22.1%	1.17×	3.87
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 2.5 goals	15.8%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.59
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 3.5 goals	5.0%	3.7%	7.4%	0.50×	27.39

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 1.5 in 1st half	88.3%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 0.5 in 1st half	55.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 1.5 in 1st half	11.7%	10.2%	—	—	9.79

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	58.1%	56.7%	49.6%	1.14×	1.76
Lokomotiv Moscow (home no bet)	41.9%	43.3%	50.4%	0.86×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad even goals	53.3%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
FC Baltika Kaliningrad odd goals	46.7%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	23.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	8.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 2-0	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 0-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-1	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad at HT / FC Baltika Kaliningrad at FT	28.1%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / FC Baltika Kaliningrad at FT	17.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Lokomotiv Moscow at HT / Lokomotiv Moscow at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Lokomotiv Moscow at FT	9.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
FC Baltika Kaliningrad at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Lokomotiv Moscow at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Lokomotiv Moscow at HT / FC Baltika Kaliningrad at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
FC Baltika Kaliningrad at HT / Lokomotiv Moscow at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score last	54.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Lokomotiv Moscow to score last	33.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	12.3%	9.5%	—	—	10.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	87.7%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to lead by 1 at any time	60.4%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.0%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Lokomotiv Moscow to lead by 1 at any time	37.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to lead by 2 at any time	28.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Lokomotiv Moscow to lead by 2 at any time	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to lead by 3 at any time	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Lokomotiv Moscow to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	—	—	61.91

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow most corners	48.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
FC Baltika Kaliningrad most corners	37.9%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	13.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.2%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.5%	79.6%	1.05×	1.20
1-3 goals	69.6%	69.0%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
2-6 goals	65.2%	68.9%	73.0%	0.94×	1.45
2-5 goals	63.4%	63.4%	69.3%	0.91×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.6%	59.2%	61.4%	0.96×	1.69
1-2 goals	49.9%	48.7%	44.8%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.8%	48.7%	47.9%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.1%	39.1%	46.6%	0.84×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.3%	39.1%	42.9%	0.91×	2.56
3-4 goals	30.6%	35.4%	35.0%	1.01×	2.83
4-6 goals	17.4%	18.6%	25.4%	0.73×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.6%	18.6%	21.7%	0.86×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.5%	8.7%	11.9%	0.74×	11.45
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.6%	1.56×	39.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad never behind	50.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Lokomotiv Moscow never behind	27.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.9%	50.8%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.1%	49.2%	51.1%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.5%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	86.7%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	87.7%	87.6%	92.6%	0.95×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.8%	82.4%	73.2%	1.13×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	65.9%	66.2%	74.4%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	62.1%	61.8%	51.9%	1.19×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.9%	38.2%	48.1%	0.80×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	34.1%	33.8%	25.6%	1.32×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	18.2%	17.6%	26.8%	0.66×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	12.3%	12.4%	7.4%	1.68×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	13.3%	0.58×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	2.5%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.4%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.8%	92.5%	84.6%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.4%	75.9%	66.0%	1.15×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.6%	51.8%	65.3%	0.79×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.4%	48.2%	34.7%	1.39×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.6%	24.1%	34.0%	0.71×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.2%	7.5%	15.4%	0.49×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.6%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.14
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.7%	1.63×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.3%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.2%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.7%	7.2%	—	—	13.82

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.1%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.2%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.9%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow not to score in both halves	88.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
FC Baltika Kaliningrad not to score in both halves	76.0%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score in both halves	24.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Lokomotiv Moscow to score in both halves	11.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.6%	46.6%	52.6%	0.89×	2.15
Only FC Baltika Kaliningrad scores	30.8%	33.3%	25.6%	1.30×	3.00
Only Lokomotiv Moscow scores	13.3%	10.9%	14.9%	0.73×	9.14
Neither team scores	12.3%	10.9%	7.4%	1.49×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.1%	25.0%	26.6%	0.94×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.8%	22.6%	18.4%	1.23×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.7%	17.4%	21.5%	0.81×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	12.3%	12.1%	7.4%	1.64×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	10.9%	12.1%	13.7%	0.88×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.8%	4.4%	8.2%	0.54×	22.64
6 or more goals	2.5%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	34.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	28.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Baltika Kaliningrad not to win both halves	86.7%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win both halves	13.3%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Lokomotiv Moscow to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow to win neither half	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win either half	59.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win neither half	40.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Lokomotiv Moscow to win either half	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.10

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Lokomotiv Moscow not to win to nil	86.7%	88.2%	85.1%	1.04×	1.13
FC Baltika Kaliningrad not to win to nil	69.2%	69.7%	74.4%	0.94×	1.44
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win to nil	30.8%	30.3%	25.6%	1.19×	3.30
Lokomotiv Moscow to win to nil	13.3%	11.8%	14.9%	0.79×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.3%	27.6%	27.8%	0.99×	3.63
FC Baltika Kaliningrad by 1	24.2%	24.2%	21.7%	1.11×	4.14
FC Baltika Kaliningrad by 2	14.8%	11.8%	12.5%	0.95×	8.47
Lokomotiv Moscow by 1	14.5%	11.8%	17.0%	0.70×	8.47
FC Baltika Kaliningrad by 3+	8.8%	7.3%	10.4%	0.70×	13.78
Lokomotiv Moscow by 2	5.6%	7.3%	7.4%	0.99×	13.79
Lokomotiv Moscow by 3+	1.8%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	37.03