FC Baltika Kaliningrad v Zenit St Petersburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 16 September 2026 · RUS-Premier League · 2627

RUS-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Baltika Kaliningrad

13:45

Zenit St Petersburg

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 226h before kick-off

FC Baltika Kaliningrad win

22.9%

model 24.8%

Draw

30.2%

model 33.5%

Zenit St Petersburg win

46.9%

model 41.7%

233047

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-0 15.7%
0-1 15.0%
1-1 14.5%
1-0 10.3%
0-2 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	30.6%	Under 2.5	69.4%
BTTS yes	38.8%	BTTS no	61.2%
FC Baltika Kaliningrad 1+	55.4%	FC Baltika Kaliningrad 2+	19.4%
Zenit St Petersburg 1+	67.7%	Zenit St Petersburg 2+	31.2%

Expected goals 0.81 – 1.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

76/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Under 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 35%

55.7% fair odds 1.80

strong signal · 592 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Zenit St Petersburg or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 498 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Zenit St Petersburg carry the stronger rating, 1735 Elo against 1569.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Zenit St Petersburg have an estimated 46.9% win probability, against 30.2% for the draw and 22.9% for FC Baltika Kaliningrad. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.81 for FC Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.13 for Zenit St Petersburg.

Why FC Baltika Kaliningrad

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 30.2%. A combined 1.94 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Zenit St Petersburg can win

Zenit St Petersburg carry the stronger rating, 1735 Elo against 1569. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Baltika Kaliningrad, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Zenit St Petersburg, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Baltika Kaliningrad: 36% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Zenit St Petersburg: 62% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Zenit St Petersburg are the model's most likely outcome at 46.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-0 at 15.7%. Confidence 76/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	253442	0.81–1.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	243937	0.63–0.85	0-0 24%	19%	28%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	39.0%	36.4%	27.8%	1.31×	2.74
Zenit St Petersburg to win	36.9%	36.4%	28.2%	1.29×	2.75
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win	24.1%	24.5%	44.2%	0.55×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg & not both score	29.2%	25.2%	14.9%	1.69×	3.97
Draw & not both score	23.8%	21.9%	7.4%	2.97×	4.57
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & not both score	18.8%	17.9%	25.6%	0.70×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	15.2%	17.9%	20.7%	0.87×	5.58
Zenit St Petersburg & both teams score	7.7%	8.4%	13.5%	0.62×	11.93
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & both teams score	5.3%	8.4%	18.8%	0.45×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	37.3%	34.9%	22.1%	1.58×	2.87
Draw & under 3.5	37.3%	34.9%	22.1%	1.58×	2.87
Zenit St Petersburg & under 3.5	33.8%	30.9%	20.7%	1.49×	3.24
Zenit St Petersburg & under 2.5	26.3%	26.0%	11.9%	2.19×	3.84
Draw & under 1.5	23.8%	21.7%	7.4%	2.94×	4.62
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & under 3.5	22.5%	21.7%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Zenit St Petersburg & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & under 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	18.4%	0.98×	5.56
Zenit St Petersburg & under 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	7.8%	2.31×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.2%	18.0%	20.7%	0.87×	5.56
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & under 1.5	13.1%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & over 1.5	11.0%	12.9%	33.5%	0.38×	7.77
Zenit St Petersburg & over 2.5	10.6%	12.9%	16.6%	0.78×	7.77
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	26.0%	0.30×	12.70
Zenit St Petersburg & over 3.5	3.1%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	1.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.80×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	5.9%	0.80×	20.95
FC Baltika Kaliningrad & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	13.5%	0.35×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (1UP)	46.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (1UP)	34.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (2UP)	36.9%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (2UP)	24.1%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	50.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Zenit St Petersburg to win 2nd half	29.9%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win 2nd half	19.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.22

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (+2.5)	98.7%	96.3%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Zenit St Petersburg (+1.5)	93.3%	92.1%	77.3%	1.19×	1.09
Zenit St Petersburg (+0.5)	75.9%	78.4%	55.8%	1.40×	1.28
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (+0.5)	63.1%	62.9%	71.8%	0.88×	1.59
Zenit St Petersburg (-0.5)	36.9%	37.1%	28.2%	1.31×	2.70
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (-0.5)	24.1%	21.6%	44.2%	0.49×	4.64
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (-1.5)	6.7%	7.9%	22.7%	0.35×	12.64
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (-2.5)	1.3%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.99

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg clean sheet	53.0%	55.9%	22.1%	2.53×	1.79
Zenit St Petersburg to concede	47.0%	44.1%	77.9%	0.57×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg clean sheet in 1st half	76.1%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Zenit St Petersburg to concede in 1st half	23.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Zenit St Petersburg under 6.5 corners	75.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Zenit St Petersburg over 3.5 corners	67.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Zenit St Petersburg under 5.5 corners	63.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Zenit St Petersburg over 4.5 corners	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Zenit St Petersburg under 4.5 corners	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Zenit St Petersburg over 5.5 corners	36.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Zenit St Petersburg under 3.5 corners	32.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Zenit St Petersburg over 6.5 corners	24.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Zenit St Petersburg under 2.5 corners	17.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.6%	96.9%	1.01×	1.03
Zenit St Petersburg under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	88.8%	1.04×	1.08
Zenit St Petersburg under 1.5 goals	79.0%	76.2%	70.1%	1.09×	1.31
Zenit St Petersburg over 0.5 goals	57.4%	59.5%	67.3%	0.88×	1.68
Zenit St Petersburg under 0.5 goals	42.6%	40.5%	32.7%	1.24×	2.47
Zenit St Petersburg over 1.5 goals	21.0%	23.8%	29.9%	0.80×	4.21
Zenit St Petersburg over 2.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	11.2%	0.68×	13.06
Zenit St Petersburg over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.5%	3.1%	0.80×	40.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Zenit St Petersburg under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Zenit St Petersburg over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Zenit St Petersburg over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.4%	—	—	22.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	61.9%	62.1%	38.6%	1.61×	1.61
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (away no bet)	38.1%	37.9%	61.4%	0.62×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg even goals	59.1%	56.9%	53.4%	1.07×	1.76
Zenit St Petersburg odd goals	40.9%	43.1%	46.6%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	97.2%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Both halves over 1.5 goals	2.8%	2.7%	—	—	37.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	67.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Not both halves under 1.5	32.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	27.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Zenit St Petersburg to score 2+ in a row	18.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.12
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score 2+ in a row	10.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Either team to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.80
Zenit St Petersburg to score 3+ in a row	4.2%	2.6%	—	—	37.98
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score 3+ in a row	1.8%	2.5%	—	—	39.46

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg corners (+3.5)	94.4%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Zenit St Petersburg corners (+2.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Zenit St Petersburg corners (+1.5)	83.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (+3.5)	73.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (+2.5)	62.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (+1.5)	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Zenit St Petersburg corners (-1.5)	49.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Zenit St Petersburg corners (-2.5)	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Zenit St Petersburg corners (-3.5)	26.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (-1.5)	17.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (-2.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
FC Baltika Kaliningrad corners (-3.5)	5.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	56.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	27.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	15.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	89.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	84.3%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	77.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 8.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 7.5 corners	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 10.5 corners	23.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 11.5 corners	15.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	10.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	23.8%	20.2%	7.4%	2.75×	4.94
0-1	18.1%	13.8%	7.8%	1.77×	7.26
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	14.9%	0.77×	8.73
1-0	13.1%	11.5%	10.8%	1.06×	8.73
0-2	8.2%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.48
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.67×	58.49
2-0	4.5%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.46
2-1	3.9%	1.7%	8.8%	0.19×	58.47
2-2	1.7%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.48
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.49
3-0	1.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.48
3-1	0.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.49
3-2	0.3%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.49
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.49
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.49
4-1	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.19×	58.49
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.09×	58.49
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.36×	58.49
Any other score	0.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.49
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.48
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.18×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg leading at HT (DNB)	56.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
FC Baltika Kaliningrad leading at HT (DNB)	43.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg or draw (X2)	75.9%	75.5%	55.8%	1.35×	1.32
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw (1X)	63.1%	63.6%	71.8%	0.89×	1.57
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or Zenit St Petersburg (12)	61.0%	63.6%	72.2%	0.88×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg or draw at HT	82.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw at HT	77.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or Zenit St Petersburg at HT	40.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg or draw (1UP)	75.9%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw (1UP)	63.1%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg or draw in 2nd half	80.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or draw in 2nd half	70.1%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
FC Baltika Kaliningrad or Zenit St Petersburg in 2nd half	49.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	79.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Neither half drawn	21.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (DNB)	60.5%	62.8%	39.0%	1.61×	1.59
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (DNB)	39.5%	37.2%	61.0%	0.61×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg to score first	43.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score first	32.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	23.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	71.8%	62.3%	47.4%	1.31×	1.60
Both teams to score	28.2%	37.7%	52.6%	0.72×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	67.8%	57.4%	37.2%	1.54×	1.74
Both score & over 2.5	14.7%	12.3%	37.8%	0.33×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.3%	14.9%	0.83×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	4.1%	4.7%	10.4%	0.45×	21.50

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	97.2%	91.8%	86.9%	1.06×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	2.8%	8.2%	13.1%	0.63×	12.13

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	87.4%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both teams to score in 2nd half	12.6%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	81.2%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both score 2nd half only	11.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score 1st half only	6.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.79
Both score in both halves	0.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.59

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	92.9%	93.1%	—	—	1.08
Both teams to score by HT	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.42

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	72.7%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
A goal in each half	27.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	55.0%	41.6%	25.6%	1.63×	2.41
2-3 goals	38.6%	35.1%	47.9%	0.73×	2.85
4-6 goals	6.3%	7.6%	25.4%	0.30×	13.21
7+ goals	0.1%	1.8%	1.6%	1.12×	54.80

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg to score exactly 0	42.6%	37.0%	32.7%	1.13×	2.70
Zenit St Petersburg to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Zenit St Petersburg to score exactly 2	15.5%	19.6%	18.8%	1.04×	5.11
Zenit St Petersburg to score 3+	5.5%	8.4%	11.2%	0.75×	11.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score exactly 0	53.0%	43.7%	22.1%	1.98×	2.29
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score exactly 1	33.6%	32.7%	35.2%	0.93×	3.06
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score exactly 2	10.7%	14.3%	24.3%	0.59×	6.99
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score 3+	2.7%	6.1%	18.8%	0.33×	16.34

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	59.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Zenit St Petersburg leading at HT	22.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
FC Baltika Kaliningrad leading at HT	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg -1: 1	63.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Zenit St Petersburg -1: X	23.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Zenit St Petersburg -1: 2	13.1%	13.9%	—	—	7.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (0:1)	75.9%	73.7%	55.8%	1.32×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	17.4%	17.8%	21.7%	0.82×	5.63
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:1)	6.7%	9.2%	22.7%	0.40×	10.89

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (0:2)	93.3%	90.9%	77.3%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	12.5%	0.62×	12.97
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:2)	1.3%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.68

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (0:3)	98.7%	96.6%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	5.9%	0.40×	42.22
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:3)	0.2%	2.4%	4.7%	0.50×	42.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg (0:4)	99.8%	98.1%	95.3%	1.03×	1.02
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.2%	0.97×	83.68
Draw (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	3.7%	0.32×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (1:0)	63.1%	65.1%	71.8%	0.91×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	23.8%	21.8%	17.0%	1.28×	4.59
Zenit St Petersburg (1:0)	13.1%	12.8%	11.5%	1.12×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad (2:0)	86.9%	88.4%	88.5%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.8%	6.5%	7.4%	0.88×	15.46
Zenit St Petersburg (2:0)	3.3%	2.3%	4.3%	0.53×	44.16

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	38.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Halves equal	38.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
1st half highest scoring	23.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to concede	57.4%	61.0%	67.3%	0.91×	1.64
FC Baltika Kaliningrad clean sheet	42.6%	39.0%	32.7%	1.19×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to concede in 1st half	28.9%	31.9%	—	—	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 6.5 corners	92.6%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 5.5 corners	85.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 4.5 corners	74.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 2.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 3.5 corners	57.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 3.5 corners	42.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 2.5 corners	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 4.5 corners	25.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 5.5 corners	14.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 6.5 corners	7.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.37

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 3.5 goals	99.6%	96.4%	92.6%	1.04×	1.04
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 2.5 goals	97.3%	96.4%	81.2%	1.19×	1.04
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 1.5 goals	86.7%	87.3%	57.1%	1.53×	1.15
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 0.5 goals	53.0%	53.3%	22.1%	2.41×	1.88
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 0.5 goals	47.0%	46.7%	77.9%	0.60×	2.14
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.7%	42.9%	0.30×	7.85
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 2.5 goals	2.7%	3.6%	18.8%	0.19×	27.49
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 3.5 goals	0.4%	3.6%	7.4%	0.49×	27.59

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 1.5 in 1st half	96.9%	97.5%	—	—	1.03
FC Baltika Kaliningrad under 0.5 in 1st half	76.1%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 0.5 in 1st half	23.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.36
FC Baltika Kaliningrad over 1.5 in 1st half	3.1%	2.5%	—	—	40.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	51.4%	51.6%	49.6%	1.04×	1.94
Zenit St Petersburg (home no bet)	48.6%	48.4%	50.4%	0.96×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad even goals	64.1%	56.1%	50.5%	1.11×	1.78
FC Baltika Kaliningrad odd goals	35.9%	43.9%	49.5%	0.89×	2.28

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	54.3%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
HT 0-1	18.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	14.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	5.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-0	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-1	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
Any other HT score	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	31.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Zenit St Petersburg at HT / Zenit St Petersburg at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Zenit St Petersburg at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
FC Baltika Kaliningrad at HT / FC Baltika Kaliningrad at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / FC Baltika Kaliningrad at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Baltika Kaliningrad at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Zenit St Petersburg at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
FC Baltika Kaliningrad at HT / Zenit St Petersburg at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Zenit St Petersburg at HT / FC Baltika Kaliningrad at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg to score last	43.8%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score last	32.4%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	23.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	76.2%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Zenit St Petersburg to lead by 1 at any time	46.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to lead by 1 at any time	34.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Zenit St Petersburg to lead by 2 at any time	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to lead by 2 at any time	8.6%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	5.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
Zenit St Petersburg to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.7%	—	—	60.56
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to lead by 3 at any time	1.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.77

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg most corners	62.0%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
FC Baltika Kaliningrad most corners	26.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	75.7%	78.6%	87.5%	0.90×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.4%	72.4%	79.6%	0.91×	1.38
1-3 goals	69.8%	69.0%	66.1%	1.04×	1.45
1-2 goals	57.4%	59.2%	44.8%	1.32×	1.69
2-6 goals	44.9%	43.6%	73.0%	0.60×	2.30
2-5 goals	44.6%	43.6%	69.3%	0.63×	2.30
2-4 goals	43.2%	43.6%	61.4%	0.71×	2.30
2-3 goals	38.6%	39.2%	47.9%	0.82×	2.55
3-6 goals	18.7%	18.6%	46.6%	0.40×	5.37
3-5 goals	18.4%	18.6%	42.9%	0.43×	5.37
3-4 goals	17.0%	18.6%	35.0%	0.53×	5.37
4-6 goals	6.3%	8.7%	25.4%	0.34×	11.46
4-5 goals	6.0%	8.7%	21.7%	0.40×	11.46
5-6 goals	1.7%	2.5%	11.9%	0.21×	39.26
7+ goals	0.1%	2.5%	1.6%	1.55×	39.33

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Zenit St Petersburg never behind	41.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
FC Baltika Kaliningrad never behind	29.6%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	45.0%	50.8%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	55.0%	49.2%	51.1%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	65.1%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Odd goals in 1st half	34.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	59.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Odd goals in 2nd half	40.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.6%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	98.2%	95.5%	86.7%	1.10×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	93.6%	92.3%	73.2%	1.26×	1.08
Under 2.5 goals	81.2%	82.4%	51.9%	1.59×	1.21
Over 0.5 goals	76.2%	77.3%	92.6%	0.83×	1.29
Under 1.5 goals	55.0%	52.5%	25.6%	2.05×	1.91
Over 1.5 goals	45.0%	47.5%	74.4%	0.64×	2.11
Under 0.5 goals	23.8%	22.7%	7.4%	3.08×	4.41
Over 2.5 goals	18.8%	17.6%	48.1%	0.37×	5.67
Over 3.5 goals	6.4%	7.7%	26.8%	0.29×	12.93
Over 4.5 goals	1.8%	4.5%	13.3%	0.34×	22.24
Over 5.5 goals	0.4%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.9%	97.2%	98.3%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.6%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	98.1%	97.2%	84.6%	1.15×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	92.7%	92.5%	66.0%	1.40×	1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.5%	72.6%	34.7%	2.09×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.5%	27.4%	65.3%	0.42×	3.65
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	7.3%	7.5%	34.0%	0.22×	13.26
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	1.9%	2.8%	15.4%	0.18×	36.17
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.4%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.21
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.1%	2.8%	1.7%	1.63×	36.22

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	97.6%	97.9%	—	—	1.02
Under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
Over 2.5 in 1st half	2.5%	2.1%	—	—	47.95

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	94.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	77.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	22.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	5.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad not to score in both halves	92.8%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Zenit St Petersburg not to score in both halves	88.4%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Zenit St Petersburg to score in both halves	11.6%	14.1%	—	—	7.07
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to score in both halves	7.2%	9.6%	—	—	10.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Zenit St Petersburg scores	29.2%	26.1%	14.9%	1.75×	3.83
Both teams score	28.2%	26.1%	52.6%	0.50×	3.83
Neither team scores	23.8%	22.3%	7.4%	3.03×	4.48
Only FC Baltika Kaliningrad scores	18.8%	16.1%	25.6%	0.63×	6.22

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	31.2%	25.2%	18.4%	1.37×	3.96
Exactly 2 goals	26.2%	25.0%	26.6%	0.94×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	23.8%	22.6%	7.4%	3.07×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	12.4%	12.1%	21.5%	0.56×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	4.6%	4.4%	13.7%	0.32×	22.65
Exactly 5 goals	1.4%	4.4%	8.2%	0.54×	22.70
6 or more goals	0.4%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	42.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
2+ goals in 2nd half	22.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Zenit St Petersburg not to win both halves	93.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Zenit St Petersburg to win both halves	7.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.77

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win neither half	66.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Zenit St Petersburg to win neither half	54.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Zenit St Petersburg to win either half	45.7%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win either half	33.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Baltika Kaliningrad not to win to nil	81.2%	83.0%	74.4%	1.12×	1.21
Zenit St Petersburg not to win to nil	70.8%	75.3%	85.1%	0.88×	1.33
Zenit St Petersburg to win to nil	29.2%	24.7%	14.9%	1.66×	4.05
FC Baltika Kaliningrad to win to nil	18.8%	17.0%	25.6%	0.66×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	39.0%	35.0%	27.8%	1.26×	2.86
Zenit St Petersburg by 1	23.8%	24.2%	17.0%	1.42×	4.14
FC Baltika Kaliningrad by 1	17.4%	16.9%	21.7%	0.78×	5.91
Zenit St Petersburg by 2	9.8%	7.3%	7.4%	0.99×	13.77
FC Baltika Kaliningrad by 2	5.4%	7.3%	12.5%	0.58×	13.79
Zenit St Petersburg by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	4.3%	0.63×	36.98
FC Baltika Kaliningrad by 3+	1.3%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	37.04