FC Cologne v Borussia M.Gladbach — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 02:09

FC Cologne

09:30

Borussia M.Gladbach

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 798h before kick-off

FC Cologne win

51.4%

model 50.4%

Draw

21.3%

model 23.1%

Borussia M.Gladbach win

27.3%

model 26.5%

512127

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.6%
2-1 9.6%
1-0 8.5%
2-0 7.7%
1-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.0%	Under 2.5	41.0%
BTTS yes	59.7%	BTTS no	40.3%
FC Cologne 1+	83.6%	FC Cologne 2+	53.9%
Borussia M.Gladbach 1+	71.4%	Borussia M.Gladbach 2+	35.6%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.25. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

84/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 51%

58.9% fair odds 1.70

moderate signal · 1564 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Cologne not to win both halves

Win both halves · usually 84%

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 589 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Cologne have created 2.23 xG a match over their last five while Borussia M.Gladbach have allowed 2.06.
At home FC Cologne average 2.50 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Cologne have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 27.3% for Borussia M.Gladbach and 21.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for FC Cologne and 1.25 for Borussia M.Gladbach.

Why FC Cologne

FC Cologne have created 2.23 xG a match over their last five while Borussia M.Gladbach have allowed 2.06. At home FC Cologne average 2.50 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Borussia M.Gladbach can win

Borussia M.Gladbach have created 1.41 xG a match over their last five while FC Cologne have allowed 1.94. Away from home Borussia M.Gladbach average 1.10 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: FC Cologne were missing 1.12 expected goal involvements a match against 0.78.

Key players

FC Cologne's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Said El Mala (0.47), Ragnar Ache (0.43), Jakub Kaminski (0.35). Borussia M.Gladbach's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Haris Tabakovic (0.45), Tim Kleindienst (0.41), Franck Honorat (0.28).

Availability

2 of FC Cologne's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of FC Cologne's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Borussia M.Gladbach's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Cologne: 42% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.39 xG a match from set pieces. Borussia M.Gladbach: 52% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 19.5 faced, 0.46 xG a match from set pieces. FC Cologne's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

FC Cologne are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

FC Cologne are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DDWDLDLLWL last 10 scored 18 from 22.3 xG conceded 25 from 19.5 xG

Borussia M.Gladbach are conceding fewer than expected — 3.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DDLDDWLWLL last 10 scored 15 from 14.1 xG conceded 17 from 20.6 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	502327	1.81–1.25	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	502129	2.07–1.55	2-1 9%	70%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to win	54.8%	51.5%	41.6%	1.24×	1.94
Borussia M.Gladbach to win	23.3%	24.5%	33.7%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	22.0%	24.4%	24.8%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne & both teams score	29.0%	25.2%	22.2%	1.14×	3.97
FC Cologne & not both score	25.7%	25.2%	19.6%	1.28×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Borussia M.Gladbach & both teams score	13.3%	13.3%	18.4%	0.72×	7.54
Borussia M.Gladbach & not both score	10.0%	8.4%	15.5%	0.54×	11.92
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	5.9%	0.83×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne & over 1.5	46.4%	45.2%	35.4%	1.27×	2.21
FC Cologne & over 2.5	38.3%	34.9%	29.4%	1.19×	2.87
FC Cologne & under 3.5	31.5%	30.9%	21.5%	1.43×	3.24
FC Cologne & over 3.5	23.3%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Borussia M.Gladbach & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	27.8%	0.65×	5.56
FC Cologne & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.56
Borussia M.Gladbach & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Borussia M.Gladbach & over 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	15.5%	0.83×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.3%	12.9%	15.5%	0.83×	7.77
FC Cologne & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.70
Borussia M.Gladbach & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.70
Borussia M.Gladbach & over 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.70
Borussia M.Gladbach & under 1.5	5.1%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (1UP)	69.8%	70.1%	59.6%	1.18×	1.43
Borussia M.Gladbach (1UP)	43.0%	39.4%	52.9%	0.75×	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (2UP)	54.8%	55.8%	45.0%	1.24×	1.79
Borussia M.Gladbach (2UP)	23.3%	23.7%	36.6%	0.65×	4.21

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to win 2nd half	46.6%	45.4%	37.1%	1.22×	2.20
2nd half drawn	31.0%	34.5%	33.4%	1.03×	2.90
Borussia M.Gladbach to win 2nd half	22.4%	23.1%	29.6%	0.78×	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (+2.5)	84.7%	82.4%	88.3%	0.93×	1.21
FC Cologne (+0.5)	76.7%	78.4%	66.3%	1.18×	1.28
Borussia M.Gladbach (+1.5)	68.0%	68.7%	75.3%	0.91×	1.46
FC Cologne (-0.5)	54.8%	52.4%	41.6%	1.26×	1.91
Borussia M.Gladbach (+0.5)	45.2%	47.6%	58.4%	0.82×	2.10
FC Cologne (-1.5)	32.0%	31.3%	24.7%	1.27×	3.20
Borussia M.Gladbach (-0.5)	23.3%	21.6%	33.7%	0.64×	4.64
FC Cologne (-2.5)	15.3%	17.6%	11.7%	1.50×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach to concede	85.8%	86.4%	78.8%	1.10×	1.16
Borussia M.Gladbach clean sheet	14.2%	13.6%	21.2%	0.64×	7.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach clean sheet in 1st half	45.3%	50.6%	48.2%	1.05×	1.98
Borussia M.Gladbach to concede in 1st half	54.7%	49.4%	51.8%	0.95×	2.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	92.6%	1.05×	1.03
Borussia M.Gladbach under 2.5 goals	87.9%	87.9%	79.0%	1.11×	1.14
Borussia M.Gladbach over 0.5 goals	70.0%	68.0%	74.7%	0.91×	1.47
Borussia M.Gladbach under 1.5 goals	66.1%	67.9%	57.1%	1.19×	1.47
Borussia M.Gladbach over 1.5 goals	33.9%	32.1%	42.9%	0.75×	3.12
Borussia M.Gladbach under 0.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	25.3%	1.26×	3.12
Borussia M.Gladbach over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	21.0%	0.58×	8.26
Borussia M.Gladbach over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	7.4%	0.33×	40.70

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.1%	85.7%	1.10×	1.06
Borussia M.Gladbach under 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	64.0%	54.4%	1.18×	1.56
Borussia M.Gladbach over 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.0%	45.6%	0.79×	2.78
Borussia M.Gladbach over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	5.9%	14.3%	0.41×	17.01

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (away no bet)	71.4%	68.5%	62.6%	1.09×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	28.6%	31.5%	37.4%	0.84×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach even goals	54.5%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.89
Borussia M.Gladbach odd goals	45.5%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.4%	82.3%	75.8%	1.09×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.6%	17.7%	24.2%	0.73×	5.65

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.0%	67.3%	72.3%	0.93×	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.0%	32.7%	27.7%	1.18×	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.2%	60.0%	66.9%	0.90×	1.67
FC Cologne to score 2+ in a row	48.9%	46.0%	42.3%	1.09×	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.7%	25.0%	29.5%	0.85×	4.00
Borussia M.Gladbach to score 2+ in a row	23.6%	19.6%	34.7%	0.56×	5.11
FC Cologne to score 3+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	17.6%	1.11×	5.13
Borussia M.Gladbach to score 3+ in a row	6.0%	5.6%	12.8%	0.44×	17.80

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.0%	11.5%	9.8%	1.17×	8.73
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.48
1-0	8.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
2-0	8.1%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.48
0-1	5.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.48
1-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.48
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
3-0	5.3%	7.4%	2.7%	2.76×	13.48
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.48
Any other score	5.6%	7.4%	5.4%	1.38×	13.48
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.47
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.47
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
1-3	2.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.48
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.49
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
3-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.49
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.47
4-1	3.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.47
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.48
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.80×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne leading at HT (DNB)	64.9%	66.2%	55.5%	1.19×	1.51
Borussia M.Gladbach leading at HT (DNB)	35.1%	33.8%	44.5%	0.76×	2.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or Borussia M.Gladbach (12)	78.0%	75.6%	75.2%	1.01×	1.32
FC Cologne or draw (1X)	76.7%	75.5%	66.3%	1.14×	1.32
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw (X2)	45.2%	48.5%	58.4%	0.83×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw at HT	78.8%	79.9%	70.7%	1.13×	1.25
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw at HT	60.7%	62.0%	63.4%	0.98×	1.61
FC Cologne or Borussia M.Gladbach at HT	60.5%	62.0%	65.8%	0.94×	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw (1UP)	76.7%	83.9%	73.5%	1.14×	1.19
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw (1UP)	45.2%	52.5%	65.1%	0.81×	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne or draw in 2nd half	77.6%	76.9%	70.4%	1.09×	1.30
FC Cologne or Borussia M.Gladbach in 2nd half	69.0%	65.5%	66.6%	0.98×	1.53
Borussia M.Gladbach or draw in 2nd half	53.4%	54.6%	62.9%	0.87×	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	58.1%	53.7%	1.08×	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.7%	41.9%	46.3%	0.91×	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (DNB)	70.2%	71.3%	55.3%	1.29×	1.40
Borussia M.Gladbach (DNB)	29.9%	28.7%	44.7%	0.64×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to score first	59.2%	62.0%	50.7%	1.22×	1.61
Borussia M.Gladbach to score first	36.5%	32.8%	43.6%	0.75×	3.05
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	5.9%	0.73×	23.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.0%	56.5%	59.3%	0.95×	1.77
Not both teams to score	40.0%	43.5%	40.7%	1.07×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.0%	47.0%	49.7%	0.95×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	28.9%	33.6%	28.2%	1.19×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	12.7%	0.97×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	12.3%	9.8%	1.26×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	83.0%	79.7%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	17.0%	20.3%	0.84×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.3%	67.5%	65.6%	1.03×	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.7%	32.5%	34.4%	0.95×	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.3%	55.8%	51.7%	1.08×	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	26.5%	27.7%	0.96×	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.1%	10.8%	14.1%	0.76×	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.5%	6.8%	6.8%	1.00×	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.5%	81.5%	79.2%	1.03×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.5%	18.5%	20.8%	0.89×	5.42

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.3%	58.8%	66.9%	0.88×	1.70
A half without a goal	38.7%	41.2%	33.1%	1.24×	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.6%	42.1%	38.8%	1.09×	2.38
4-6 goals	34.5%	30.8%	39.9%	0.77×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.7%	20.2%	17.9%	1.13×	4.96
7+ goals	4.2%	1.8%	3.8%	0.48×	54.37

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	32.0%	1.13×	2.78
Borussia M.Gladbach to score exactly 0	30.0%	33.8%	25.3%	1.33×	2.96
Borussia M.Gladbach to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46
Borussia M.Gladbach to score 3+	12.1%	12.8%	21.0%	0.61×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to score 3+	31.0%	32.6%	27.4%	1.19×	3.06
FC Cologne to score exactly 1	27.7%	26.5%	29.1%	0.91×	3.77
FC Cologne to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	22.6%	1.17×	3.77
FC Cologne to score exactly 0	14.2%	14.3%	21.2%	0.68×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.5%	38.0%	34.2%	1.11×	2.63
FC Cologne leading at HT	39.3%	38.0%	36.6%	1.04×	2.63
Borussia M.Gladbach leading at HT	21.2%	20.1%	29.3%	0.68×	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne -1: 2	45.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Cologne -1: 1	32.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
FC Cologne -1: X	22.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:1)	45.2%	45.9%	58.4%	0.79×	2.18
FC Cologne (0:1)	32.0%	30.0%	24.7%	1.22×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	22.8%	24.3%	17.1%	1.42×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:2)	68.0%	72.2%	75.3%	0.96×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	16.7%	15.3%	13.1%	1.16×	6.55
FC Cologne (0:2)	15.3%	15.3%	11.7%	1.30×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:3)	84.7%	85.2%	88.3%	0.96×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.2%	5.8%	5.1%	1.15×	17.13
FC Cologne (0:3)	6.1%	5.8%	6.8%	0.86×	17.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (0:4)	93.9%	94.7%	93.2%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.0%	1.2%	5.2%	0.23×	83.20
FC Cologne (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	1.7%	0.69×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (1:0)	76.7%	78.4%	66.3%	1.18×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.0%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.80
Borussia M.Gladbach (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	17.4%	0.40×	14.41

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne (2:0)	90.7%	93.9%	82.6%	1.14×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.3%	6.5%	10.0%	0.65×	15.50
Borussia M.Gladbach (2:0)	2.9%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	44.19

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.2%	46.9%	1.07×	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Halves equal	22.6%	24.1%	26.9%	0.89×	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to concede	70.0%	66.6%	74.7%	0.89×	1.50
FC Cologne clean sheet	30.0%	33.4%	25.3%	1.32×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne clean sheet in 1st half	60.7%	64.1%	54.4%	1.18×	1.56
FC Cologne to concede in 1st half	39.3%	35.9%	45.6%	0.79×	2.78

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne under 3.5 goals	86.6%	87.3%	88.6%	0.98×	1.15
FC Cologne over 0.5 goals	85.8%	87.2%	78.8%	1.11×	1.15
FC Cologne under 2.5 goals	69.0%	67.9%	72.6%	0.93×	1.47
FC Cologne over 1.5 goals	58.0%	58.8%	49.8%	1.18×	1.70
FC Cologne under 1.5 goals	42.0%	41.2%	50.2%	0.82×	2.43
FC Cologne over 2.5 goals	31.0%	32.1%	27.4%	1.17×	3.11
FC Cologne under 0.5 goals	14.2%	12.8%	21.2%	0.60×	7.84
FC Cologne over 3.5 goals	13.4%	12.7%	11.4%	1.12×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne under 1.5 in 1st half	81.1%	84.2%	80.8%	1.04×	1.19
FC Cologne under 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	50.8%	48.2%	1.05×	1.97
FC Cologne over 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	49.2%	51.8%	0.95×	2.03
FC Cologne over 1.5 in 1st half	18.9%	15.8%	19.2%	0.83×	6.32

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach (home no bet)	51.5%	51.6%	57.6%	0.90×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.5%	48.4%	42.4%	1.14×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne even goals	51.0%	50.6%	52.5%	0.96×	1.98
FC Cologne odd goals	49.0%	49.4%	47.5%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.5%	28.8%	23.3%	1.24×	3.47
HT 1-0	21.8%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
HT 0-1	13.7%	10.9%	16.5%	0.66×	9.14
HT 1-1	10.9%	10.9%	9.8%	1.11×	9.17
HT 2-0	8.6%	7.1%	9.5%	0.75×	14.03
Any other HT score	6.0%	7.1%	6.7%	1.07×	14.07
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.3%	4.3%	0.54×	43.29
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.36
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.3%	3.5%	0.66×	43.41
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	1.3%	1.81×	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne at HT / FC Cologne at FT	32.7%	32.9%	28.1%	1.17×	3.04
Draw at HT / FC Cologne at FT	18.4%	16.8%	10.6%	1.58×	5.96
Borussia M.Gladbach at HT / Borussia M.Gladbach at FT	12.7%	12.7%	20.3%	0.62×	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.7%	13.9%	0.91×	7.89
Draw at HT / Borussia M.Gladbach at FT	8.8%	6.0%	10.0%	0.60×	16.62
Borussia M.Gladbach at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.77
FC Cologne at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	5.1%	0.69×	28.78
Borussia M.Gladbach at HT / FC Cologne at FT	3.6%	3.5%	3.3%	1.04×	28.82
FC Cologne at HT / Borussia M.Gladbach at FT	1.8%	3.5%	3.8%	0.91×	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to score last	59.2%	56.6%	49.8%	1.14×	1.77
Borussia M.Gladbach to score last	36.5%	38.5%	44.5%	0.86×	2.60
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	5.9%	0.73×	23.23

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
FC Cologne to lead by 1 at any time	69.8%	69.6%	59.6%	1.17×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.4%	50.7%	55.9%	0.91×	1.97
Borussia M.Gladbach to lead by 1 at any time	43.0%	39.3%	52.9%	0.74×	2.55
FC Cologne to lead by 2 at any time	39.6%	34.9%	33.1%	1.05×	2.86
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.9%	19.6%	25.7%	0.76×	5.10
FC Cologne to lead by 3 at any time	18.5%	14.9%	15.5%	0.96×	6.70
Borussia M.Gladbach to lead by 2 at any time	15.1%	14.9%	23.6%	0.63×	6.72
Borussia M.Gladbach to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	10.3%	0.16×	60.05

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.7%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.1%	78.6%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.6%	72.4%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	71.2%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.0%	59.2%	50.8%	1.17×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.9%	59.2%	58.5%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.0%	53.2%	51.3%	1.04×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.6%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	40.3%	0.97×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.7%	35.4%	32.1%	1.10×	2.83
4-6 goals	34.5%	35.4%	39.9%	0.89×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.7%	30.3%	32.6%	0.93×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.9%	18.6%	18.4%	1.01×	5.37
7+ goals	4.2%	2.6%	3.8%	0.67×	39.14

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne never behind	52.7%	61.9%	47.1%	1.32×	1.62
Borussia M.Gladbach never behind	26.0%	30.0%	40.4%	0.74×	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	44.8%	1.14×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	55.2%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	52.6%	0.98×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	47.4%	1.02×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	52.9%	0.98×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	47.1%	1.02×	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.5%	94.1%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.0%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.3%	82.4%	82.1%	1.00×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	78.9%	77.4%	78.0%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.3%	61.7%	56.5%	1.09×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	61.0%	61.7%	62.2%	0.99×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.0%	38.3%	37.8%	1.01×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.7%	38.3%	43.5%	0.88×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.1%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.7%	17.6%	17.9%	0.99×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	10.0%	12.3%	11.1%	1.11×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.5%	5.9%	0.77×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.6%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.7%	86.8%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.5%	75.9%	77.7%	0.98×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.4%	72.6%	72.0%	1.01×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.2%	51.8%	46.5%	1.11×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.8%	48.2%	53.5%	0.90×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.6%	27.4%	28.0%	0.98×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.5%	24.1%	22.3%	1.08×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.3%	13.2%	12.4%	1.07×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.4%	2.8%	4.1%	0.68×	36.09

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.9%	88.9%	84.8%	1.05×	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.5%	71.2%	76.7%	0.93×	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	63.0%	63.7%	58.8%	1.08×	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.0%	36.3%	41.2%	0.88×	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.5%	28.8%	23.3%	1.24×	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.1%	11.1%	15.2%	0.73×	9.03

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	82.9%	84.3%	0.98×	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.4%	77.7%	73.4%	1.06×	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	54.8%	55.3%	0.99×	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	45.2%	44.7%	1.01×	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.6%	22.3%	26.6%	0.84×	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach not to score in both halves	80.1%	84.2%	72.4%	1.16×	1.19
FC Cologne not to score in both halves	62.5%	63.4%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
FC Cologne to score in both halves	37.5%	36.6%	35.2%	1.04×	2.73
Borussia M.Gladbach to score in both halves	19.9%	15.8%	27.6%	0.57×	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.0%	60.2%	59.3%	1.01×	1.66
Only FC Cologne scores	25.7%	26.1%	19.6%	1.33×	3.83
Only Borussia M.Gladbach scores	10.0%	7.2%	15.5%	0.46×	13.89
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.6%	5.9%	0.78×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	18.8%	1.20×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.2%	22.6%	20.1%	1.13×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.6%	17.4%	21.7%	0.80×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	13.5%	12.1%	12.2%	0.99×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	11.1%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.28
6 or more goals	10.0%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.4%	5.9%	0.75×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.5%	53.2%	55.3%	0.96×	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	28.9%	29.9%	29.2%	1.02×	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.5%	17.1%	15.7%	1.09×	5.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach not to win both halves	95.2%	97.2%	90.5%	1.07×	1.03
FC Cologne not to win both halves	81.7%	84.1%	84.2%	1.00×	1.19
FC Cologne to win both halves	18.3%	15.9%	15.8%	1.00×	6.31
Borussia M.Gladbach to win both halves	4.8%	2.8%	9.5%	0.30×	35.25

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne to win either half	67.6%	67.9%	57.8%	1.17×	1.47
Borussia M.Gladbach to win neither half	61.1%	65.0%	50.6%	1.29×	1.54
Borussia M.Gladbach to win either half	38.9%	35.0%	49.4%	0.71×	2.86
FC Cologne to win neither half	32.4%	32.1%	42.2%	0.76×	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Borussia M.Gladbach not to win to nil	90.0%	92.0%	84.5%	1.09×	1.09
FC Cologne not to win to nil	74.3%	75.3%	80.4%	0.94×	1.33
FC Cologne to win to nil	25.7%	24.7%	19.6%	1.26×	4.05
Borussia M.Gladbach to win to nil	10.0%	8.0%	15.5%	0.52×	12.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Cologne by 1	22.8%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.14
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	24.8%	0.97×	4.14
FC Cologne by 2	16.7%	16.9%	13.1%	1.29×	5.91
FC Cologne by 3+	15.3%	16.9%	11.7%	1.45×	5.91
Borussia M.Gladbach by 1	14.0%	11.8%	16.5%	0.72×	8.47
Borussia M.Gladbach by 2	6.3%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.79
Borussia M.Gladbach by 3+	2.9%	2.7%	7.6%	0.36×	36.99