FC Dallas v Austin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Dallas

20:30

Austin

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 329h before kick-off

FC Dallas win

57.8%

model 56.2%

Draw

21.1%

model 21.8%

Austin win

21.1%

model 22.0%

582121

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 7.8%
1-0 7.1%
3-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	64.6%	Under 2.5	35.4%
BTTS yes	62.7%	BTTS no	37.3%
FC Dallas 1+	87.5%	FC Dallas 2+	61.6%
Austin 1+	71.2%	Austin 2+	35.4%

Expected goals 2.08 – 1.25. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

FC Dallas (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 45%

56.8% fair odds 1.76

moderate signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Dallas carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1428.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Dallas have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 21.1% for Austin and 21.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.08 for FC Dallas and 1.25 for Austin.

Why FC Dallas

FC Dallas carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1428.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Austin can win

Nothing in the data singles out Austin.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Dallas, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Austin, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Dallas: 41% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Austin: 52% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Dallas are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	562222	2.08–1.25	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	631918	2.41–1.22	2-1 9%	70%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to win	63.3%	58.2%	45.4%	1.28×	1.72
Draw	19.1%	19.3%	24.9%	0.78×	5.17
Austin to win	17.6%	19.3%	29.9%	0.65×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas & both teams score	36.7%	33.2%	24.4%	1.36×	3.01
FC Dallas & not both score	26.5%	25.2%	21.1%	1.19×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Austin & both teams score	11.6%	13.2%	17.8%	0.75×	7.55
Austin & not both score	6.0%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.95
Draw & not both score	3.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas & over 1.5	57.2%	55.0%	37.1%	1.48×	1.82
FC Dallas & over 2.5	49.5%	45.3%	30.9%	1.46×	2.21
FC Dallas & over 3.5	33.9%	30.9%	17.2%	1.80×	3.24
FC Dallas & under 3.5	29.4%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Austin & over 1.5	14.7%	12.9%	23.5%	0.55×	7.77
FC Dallas & under 2.5	13.8%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
Austin & over 2.5	12.7%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.78
Austin & under 3.5	10.4%	12.9%	18.8%	0.68×	7.78
Draw & under 2.5	11.1%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	11.1%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.78
Draw & over 2.5	8.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
FC Dallas & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
Austin & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.69
Austin & under 2.5	4.9%	4.8%	9.7%	0.49×	20.92
Draw & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.94
Austin & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (1UP)	77.1%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Austin (1UP)	39.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (2UP)	63.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Austin (2UP)	17.6%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to win 2nd half	52.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	28.1%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Austin to win 2nd half	19.8%	19.4%	—	—	5.15

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (+0.5)	82.4%	82.4%	70.1%	1.18×	1.21
Austin (+2.5)	76.8%	78.5%	89.5%	0.88×	1.28
FC Dallas (-0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	45.4%	1.39×	1.59
Austin (+1.5)	58.1%	57.0%	76.7%	0.74×	1.75
FC Dallas (-1.5)	41.9%	43.0%	23.3%	1.85×	2.33
Austin (+0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	54.6%	0.68×	2.69
FC Dallas (-2.5)	23.3%	21.5%	10.5%	2.04×	4.64
Austin (-0.5)	17.6%	17.6%	29.9%	0.59×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede	91.0%	91.7%	82.0%	1.12×	1.09
Austin clean sheet	9.0%	8.3%	18.0%	0.46×	12.01

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to concede in 1st half	64.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Austin clean sheet in 1st half	35.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 6.5 corners	79.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Austin over 2.5 corners	76.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Austin under 5.5 corners	68.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Austin over 3.5 corners	60.9%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Austin under 4.5 corners	54.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Austin over 4.5 corners	45.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Austin under 3.5 corners	39.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Austin over 5.5 corners	31.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Austin under 2.5 corners	23.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Austin over 6.5 corners	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 3.5 goals	96.4%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Austin under 2.5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Austin over 0.5 goals	70.5%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Austin under 1.5 goals	65.5%	67.9%	61.3%	1.11×	1.47
Austin over 1.5 goals	34.5%	32.1%	38.7%	0.83×	3.12
Austin under 0.5 goals	29.5%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.56
Austin over 2.5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	16.7%	0.72×	8.25
Austin over 3.5 goals	3.6%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	41.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin under 1.5 in 1st half	91.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Austin under 0.5 in 1st half	61.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
Austin over 0.5 in 1st half	38.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81
Austin over 1.5 in 1st half	8.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (away no bet)	76.8%	73.6%	64.6%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.2%	26.4%	35.4%	0.74×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin even goals	54.4%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Austin odd goals	45.6%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.0%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.0%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	79.4%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals	20.6%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
FC Dallas to score 2+ in a row	60.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.3%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
FC Dallas to score 3+ in a row	30.6%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Austin to score 2+ in a row	22.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18
Austin to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.5%	—	—	18.11

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Dallas corners (+2.5)	82.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Dallas corners (+1.5)	74.8%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Austin corners (+3.5)	73.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Austin corners (+2.5)	64.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Austin corners (+1.5)	54.7%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
FC Dallas corners (-1.5)	45.3%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
FC Dallas corners (-2.5)	35.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
FC Dallas corners (-3.5)	26.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Austin corners (-1.5)	25.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Austin corners (-2.5)	17.7%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Austin corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.6%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	34.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	73.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	65.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	63.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	46.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	34.3%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	26.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.4%	11.4%	4.7%	2.44×	8.73
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
2-0	7.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.46
1-1	8.1%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.46
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
3-0	6.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.46
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
1-2	4.8%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.56
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.57
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.58
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	3.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.57
4-1	4.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.57
4-2	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.58
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.59
0-0	3.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.58
0-1	2.9%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.58
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.58
0-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.59
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-3	1.9%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.58
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas leading at HT (DNB)	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Austin leading at HT (DNB)	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw (1X)	82.4%	80.7%	70.1%	1.15×	1.24
FC Dallas or Austin (12)	80.9%	80.7%	75.1%	1.07×	1.24
Austin or draw (X2)	36.7%	41.8%	54.6%	0.77×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw at HT	82.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
FC Dallas or Austin at HT	65.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Austin or draw at HT	51.5%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw (1UP)	82.4%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Austin or draw (1UP)	39.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas or draw in 2nd half	80.2%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
FC Dallas or Austin in 2nd half	71.9%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Austin or draw in 2nd half	48.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.07

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.4%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	47.6%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (DNB)	78.2%	74.7%	60.3%	1.24×	1.34
Austin (DNB)	21.8%	25.3%	39.7%	0.64×	3.95

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score first	64.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Austin to score first	32.6%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.10

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.5%	56.5%	61.1%	0.93×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.5%	43.5%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	56.3%	47.2%	50.9%	0.93×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	21.6%	27.7%	29.9%	0.93×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	9.2%	1.35×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.1%	80.0%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	23.9%	20.0%	20.5%	0.98×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	61.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	38.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	45.8%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	29.2%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Both score 1st half only	15.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	9.7%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	75.0%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	25.0%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	68.8%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	31.2%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.6%	42.1%	33.1%	1.27×	2.37
2-3 goals	39.0%	35.0%	42.5%	0.82×	2.86
0-1 goals	12.0%	16.9%	20.5%	0.83×	5.91
7+ goals	7.5%	7.6%	4.1%	1.85×	13.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin to score exactly 1	36.0%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Austin to score exactly 0	29.5%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Austin to score exactly 2	22.0%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.47
Austin to score 3+	12.5%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score 3+	43.2%	35.1%	25.2%	1.39×	2.85
FC Dallas to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
FC Dallas to score exactly 1	21.7%	23.3%	31.0%	0.75×	4.30
FC Dallas to score exactly 0	9.0%	10.3%	18.0%	0.57×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas leading at HT	48.5%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Draw at HT	34.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Austin leading at HT	17.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas -1: 1	41.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
FC Dallas -1: 2	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Dallas -1: X	21.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (0:1)	41.9%	42.7%	23.3%	1.84×	2.34
Austin (0:1)	36.7%	37.3%	54.6%	0.68×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.4%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:2)	58.1%	62.8%	76.7%	0.82×	1.59
FC Dallas (0:2)	23.3%	20.3%	10.5%	1.93×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	18.6%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:3)	76.8%	80.6%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.3%	10.0%	6.6%	1.51×	9.97
FC Dallas (0:3)	10.9%	10.0%	4.0%	2.50×	10.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin (0:4)	89.1%	92.0%	96.0%	0.96×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.5%	4.6%	2.1%	2.24×	21.69
FC Dallas (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	82.95

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (1:0)	82.4%	81.5%	70.1%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	10.7%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.81
Austin (1:0)	6.9%	6.9%	13.2%	0.52×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas (2:0)	93.1%	94.0%	86.8%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	44.10
Austin (2:0)	2.1%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.28

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to concede	70.5%	73.0%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
FC Dallas clean sheet	29.5%	27.0%	26.8%	1.01×	3.70

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas clean sheet in 1st half	61.4%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
FC Dallas to concede in 1st half	38.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas over 2.5 corners	85.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
FC Dallas over 3.5 corners	74.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Dallas under 6.5 corners	65.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
FC Dallas over 4.5 corners	60.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Dallas under 5.5 corners	53.0%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Dallas over 5.5 corners	47.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Dallas under 4.5 corners	39.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
FC Dallas over 6.5 corners	34.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
FC Dallas under 3.5 corners	26.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Dallas under 2.5 corners	14.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas over 0.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	82.0%	1.12×	1.08
FC Dallas under 3.5 goals	77.7%	77.7%	90.6%	0.86×	1.29
FC Dallas over 1.5 goals	69.3%	67.9%	51.1%	1.33×	1.47
FC Dallas under 2.5 goals	56.8%	58.8%	74.8%	0.79×	1.70
FC Dallas over 2.5 goals	43.2%	41.2%	25.2%	1.63×	2.43
FC Dallas under 1.5 goals	30.7%	32.1%	48.9%	0.66×	3.12
FC Dallas over 3.5 goals	22.3%	22.3%	9.4%	2.37×	4.48
FC Dallas under 0.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	18.0%	0.43×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas under 1.5 in 1st half	72.3%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
FC Dallas over 0.5 in 1st half	64.5%	64.7%	—	—	1.54
FC Dallas under 0.5 in 1st half	35.5%	35.3%	—	—	2.84
FC Dallas over 1.5 in 1st half	27.7%	20.7%	—	—	4.83

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.1%	51.6%	45.4%	1.14×	1.94
Austin (home no bet)	47.9%	48.4%	54.6%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas even goals	50.4%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
FC Dallas odd goals	49.6%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	22.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-0	21.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 2-0	11.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.05
HT 1-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 0-1	10.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
Any other HT score	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.2%	—	—	44.83

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas at HT / FC Dallas at FT	41.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT / FC Dallas at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Austin at HT / Austin at FT	9.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Draw at HT / Austin at FT	6.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
FC Dallas at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Austin at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.11
Austin at HT / FC Dallas at FT	3.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
FC Dallas at HT / Austin at FT	1.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.21

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to score last	64.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Austin to score last	32.6%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	3.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.10

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Dallas to lead by 1 at any time	77.1%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.6%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
FC Dallas to lead by 2 at any time	50.3%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Austin to lead by 1 at any time	39.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
FC Dallas to lead by 3 at any time	27.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Austin to lead by 2 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Austin to lead by 3 at any time	3.6%	1.6%	—	—	62.26

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas most corners	55.7%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Austin most corners	34.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	10.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.1%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.5%	75.5%	1.11×	1.20
2-5 goals	72.1%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	67.1%	69.0%	73.1%	0.94×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.7%	63.5%	55.9%	1.14×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.2%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.3%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
1-3 goals	47.9%	48.7%	57.2%	0.85×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.6%	43.6%	33.1%	1.32×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.29
2-3 goals	39.0%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.1%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
1-2 goals	26.8%	30.2%	34.4%	0.88×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.4%	24.4%	17.2%	1.42×	4.09
7+ goals	7.5%	8.7%	4.1%	2.12×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas never behind	58.0%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Austin never behind	19.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.5%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.5%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.0%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.0%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.0%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.0%	87.7%	79.5%	1.10×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	84.1%	82.4%	88.9%	0.93×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	70.2%	72.5%	59.9%	1.21×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	70.1%	72.5%	78.8%	0.92×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	50.9%	52.4%	62.9%	0.83×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	49.1%	47.6%	37.1%	1.28×	2.10
Under 2.5 goals	29.8%	27.5%	40.1%	0.69×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	29.9%	27.5%	21.2%	1.30×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	15.9%	17.6%	11.1%	1.59×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	12.0%	12.3%	20.5%	0.60×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	3.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.8%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	85.4%	86.7%	74.5%	1.16×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.5%	81.1%	87.6%	0.93×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	63.0%	62.1%	74.8%	0.83×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.2%	62.1%	48.1%	1.29×	1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.8%	37.9%	51.9%	0.73×	2.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.0%	37.9%	25.2%	1.50×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.5%	18.9%	12.4%	1.53×	5.30
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	14.6%	13.3%	25.5%	0.52×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.2%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.26

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.2%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	54.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	45.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.8%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	64.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	35.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to score in both halves	80.0%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
FC Dallas not to score in both halves	51.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
FC Dallas to score in both halves	48.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Austin to score in both halves	20.0%	21.5%	—	—	4.65

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.5%	60.3%	61.1%	0.99×	1.66
Only FC Dallas scores	26.5%	26.1%	21.1%	1.24×	3.82
Only Austin scores	6.0%	7.2%	12.3%	0.58×	13.95
Neither team scores	3.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.76

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.5%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	17.8%	17.5%	19.7%	0.89×	5.73
6 or more goals	15.9%	17.4%	11.1%	1.57×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	13.9%	12.1%	10.2%	1.18×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	9.0%	7.6%	14.8%	0.52×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.63

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	62.3%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.4%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
No goals in 2nd half	12.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.92

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win both halves	96.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Dallas not to win both halves	74.7%	73.2%	—	—	1.37
FC Dallas to win both halves	25.3%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
Austin to win both halves	3.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.30

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas to win either half	75.2%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Austin to win neither half	66.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Austin to win either half	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
FC Dallas to win neither half	24.8%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Austin not to win to nil	94.0%	92.1%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
FC Dallas not to win to nil	73.5%	75.3%	78.9%	0.95×	1.33
FC Dallas to win to nil	26.5%	24.7%	21.1%	1.17×	4.04
Austin to win to nil	6.0%	7.9%	12.3%	0.65×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Dallas by 3+	23.3%	24.1%	10.5%	2.29×	4.14
FC Dallas by 1	21.4%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Draw	19.1%	16.9%	24.9%	0.68×	5.90
FC Dallas by 2	18.6%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.90
Austin by 1	10.7%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.47
Austin by 2	4.8%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	36.92
Austin by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.00