FC Den Bosch v Helmond Sport — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Den Bosch

14:00

Helmond Sport

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 298h before kick-off

FC Den Bosch win

54.9%

model 54.6%

Draw

22.5%

model 21.9%

Helmond Sport win

22.6%

model 23.5%

552323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 10.3%
1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 8.9%
0-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.0%	Under 2.5	44.0%
BTTS yes	55.5%	BTTS no	44.5%
FC Den Bosch 1+	83.8%	FC Den Bosch 2+	54.3%
Helmond Sport 1+	66.9%	Helmond Sport 2+	30.3%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.11. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Den Bosch carry the stronger rating, 1417 Elo against 1322.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Den Bosch have an estimated 54.9% win probability, against 22.6% for Helmond Sport and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for FC Den Bosch and 1.10 for Helmond Sport.

Why FC Den Bosch

FC Den Bosch carry the stronger rating, 1417 Elo against 1322.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Helmond Sport can win

Nothing in the data singles out Helmond Sport.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Den Bosch, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Helmond Sport, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Den Bosch: 49% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 19.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Helmond Sport: 44% possession, 8.4 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Den Bosch are the model's most likely outcome at 54.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 10.3%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	552223	1.82–1.11	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522424	1.59–1.00	1-0 13%	48%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win	51.8%	51.4%	44.4%	1.16×	1.95
Helmond Sport to win	24.3%	24.5%	33.5%	0.73×	4.09
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & not both score	30.0%	25.2%	22.9%	1.10×	3.97
FC Den Bosch & both teams score	21.8%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Helmond Sport & not both score	13.4%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54
Helmond Sport & both teams score	10.9%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.9%	8.4%	4.7%	1.77×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch & over 1.5	39.3%	34.9%	36.8%	0.95×	2.87
FC Den Bosch & under 3.5	36.6%	34.9%	25.9%	1.35×	2.87
FC Den Bosch & over 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	30.6%	0.85×	3.84
FC Den Bosch & under 2.5	22.1%	21.7%	13.9%	1.55×	4.62
Helmond Sport & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.8%	0.91×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.3%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
Helmond Sport & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	27.2%	0.66×	5.56
FC Den Bosch & over 3.5	15.2%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
FC Den Bosch & under 1.5	12.5%	12.9%	7.7%	1.67×	7.77
Helmond Sport & over 2.5	12.5%	12.9%	23.6%	0.54×	7.77
Helmond Sport & under 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.77
Helmond Sport & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	4.7%	1.67×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Helmond Sport & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	13.8%	0.57×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1UP)	65.0%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Helmond Sport (1UP)	40.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2UP)	51.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Helmond Sport (2UP)	24.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win 2nd half	41.2%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	35.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Helmond Sport to win 2nd half	23.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (+2.5)	88.8%	88.5%	88.1%	1.01×	1.13
FC Den Bosch (+0.5)	75.7%	78.4%	66.5%	1.18×	1.28
Helmond Sport (+1.5)	73.1%	73.7%	75.6%	0.97×	1.36
FC Den Bosch (-0.5)	51.8%	52.3%	44.4%	1.18×	1.91
Helmond Sport (+0.5)	48.2%	47.7%	55.6%	0.86×	2.10
FC Den Bosch (-1.5)	26.9%	26.3%	24.4%	1.08×	3.80
Helmond Sport (-0.5)	24.3%	21.6%	33.5%	0.64×	4.64
FC Den Bosch (-2.5)	11.2%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to concede	79.6%	79.1%	81.5%	0.97×	1.27
Helmond Sport clean sheet	20.4%	20.9%	18.5%	1.13×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to concede in 1st half	49.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Helmond Sport clean sheet in 1st half	50.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport over 2.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Helmond Sport over 3.5 corners	73.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Helmond Sport under 6.5 corners	68.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Helmond Sport over 4.5 corners	59.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Helmond Sport under 5.5 corners	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Helmond Sport over 5.5 corners	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Helmond Sport under 4.5 corners	40.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Helmond Sport over 6.5 corners	31.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Helmond Sport under 3.5 corners	26.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Helmond Sport under 2.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Helmond Sport under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
Helmond Sport under 1.5 goals	73.7%	72.0%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
Helmond Sport over 0.5 goals	63.1%	63.0%	72.5%	0.87×	1.59
Helmond Sport under 0.5 goals	36.9%	37.0%	27.5%	1.35×	2.70
Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals	26.3%	28.0%	41.9%	0.67×	3.57
Helmond Sport over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	18.5%	0.41×	13.03
Helmond Sport over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	7.0%	0.35×	40.78

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Helmond Sport under 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Helmond Sport over 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Helmond Sport over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.33

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (away no bet)	68.4%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	31.6%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport even goals	56.8%	56.9%	57.1%	1.00×	1.76
Helmond Sport odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	42.9%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.9%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	—	—	8.10

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
FC Den Bosch to score 2+ in a row	39.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Helmond Sport to score 2+ in a row	19.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
FC Den Bosch to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Helmond Sport to score 3+ in a row	4.3%	2.6%	—	—	37.93

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch corners (+3.5)	84.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Helmond Sport corners (+3.5)	78.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Den Bosch corners (+2.5)	77.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Helmond Sport corners (+2.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Den Bosch corners (+1.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Helmond Sport corners (+1.5)	61.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
FC Den Bosch corners (-1.5)	38.9%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Helmond Sport corners (-1.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
FC Den Bosch corners (-2.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Helmond Sport corners (-2.5)	22.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
FC Den Bosch corners (-3.5)	21.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Helmond Sport corners (-3.5)	15.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	25.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	74.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	64.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	54.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	45.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	35.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	25.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	17.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	12.5%	11.5%	7.7%	1.49×	8.73
1-1	11.3%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.73
2-0	9.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
0-0	6.9%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.81×	13.48
3-1	5.0%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.48
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.7%	0.25×	58.46
0-2	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
1-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.49
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.48
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
4-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
4-1	2.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch leading at HT (DNB)	66.5%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Helmond Sport leading at HT (DNB)	33.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or Helmond Sport (12)	76.1%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
FC Den Bosch or draw (1X)	75.7%	75.5%	66.5%	1.14×	1.32
Helmond Sport or draw (X2)	48.2%	48.6%	55.6%	0.87×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw at HT	81.1%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Helmond Sport or draw at HT	62.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
FC Den Bosch or Helmond Sport at HT	56.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw (1UP)	75.7%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Helmond Sport or draw (1UP)	48.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch or draw in 2nd half	76.8%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
FC Den Bosch or Helmond Sport in 2nd half	64.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Helmond Sport or draw in 2nd half	58.8%	59.0%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.3%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (DNB)	68.1%	67.2%	57.0%	1.18×	1.49
Helmond Sport (DNB)	31.9%	32.8%	43.0%	0.76×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score first	57.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Helmond Sport to score first	35.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.3%	51.4%	41.3%	1.24×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.7%	48.6%	58.7%	0.83×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.8%	41.6%	28.4%	1.47×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	38.3%	38.5%	49.3%	0.78×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.6%	85.6%	79.0%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.4%	14.4%	21.0%	0.68×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.5%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.4%	5.0%	—	—	19.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	48.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.5%	26.4%	18.5%	1.43×	3.78
4-6 goals	24.5%	22.8%	37.3%	0.61×	4.38
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	3.2%	0.57×	54.63

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport to score exactly 0	36.9%	36.0%	27.5%	1.31×	2.78
Helmond Sport to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	30.7%	1.17×	2.78
Helmond Sport to score exactly 2	18.3%	19.6%	23.5%	0.83×	5.11
Helmond Sport to score 3+	8.0%	8.5%	18.5%	0.46×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 1	32.4%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
FC Den Bosch to score 3+	21.5%	23.2%	25.4%	0.92×	4.30
FC Den Bosch to score exactly 0	20.4%	23.2%	18.5%	1.25×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
FC Den Bosch leading at HT	37.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Helmond Sport leading at HT	18.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch -1: 2	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Den Bosch -1: 1	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Den Bosch -1: X	24.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (0:1)	48.2%	46.0%	55.6%	0.83×	2.18
FC Den Bosch (0:1)	26.9%	27.0%	24.4%	1.11×	3.71
Draw (0:1)	24.9%	24.3%	20.1%	1.21×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (0:2)	73.1%	75.7%	75.6%	1.00×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.7%	15.3%	12.6%	1.22×	6.55
FC Den Bosch (0:2)	11.2%	11.0%	11.9%	0.92×	9.13

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (0:3)	88.8%	90.8%	88.1%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.4%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.16
FC Den Bosch (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (0:4)	96.2%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.7%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.36
FC Den Bosch (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.55

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (1:0)	75.7%	78.4%	66.5%	1.18×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	15.8%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.88
Helmond Sport (1:0)	8.5%	6.9%	15.4%	0.45×	14.42

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch (2:0)	91.5%	93.9%	84.6%	1.11×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.1%	6.5%	8.8%	0.73×	15.50
Helmond Sport (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	6.7%	0.34×	44.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.4%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to concede	63.1%	63.4%	72.5%	0.87×	1.58
FC Den Bosch clean sheet	36.9%	36.6%	27.5%	1.33×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch clean sheet in 1st half	67.1%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
FC Den Bosch to concede in 1st half	32.9%	31.4%	—	—	3.18

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 corners	89.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 corners	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Den Bosch over 4.5 corners	64.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Den Bosch under 6.5 corners	62.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Den Bosch over 5.5 corners	50.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
FC Den Bosch under 5.5 corners	49.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Den Bosch over 6.5 corners	37.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Den Bosch under 4.5 corners	35.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 corners	21.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 corners	11.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 goals	79.6%	77.8%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
FC Den Bosch under 2.5 goals	78.5%	77.8%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 goals	52.8%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 goals	47.2%	46.8%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
FC Den Bosch over 2.5 goals	21.5%	22.2%	25.4%	0.88×	4.50
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 goals	20.4%	22.2%	18.5%	1.20×	4.50
FC Den Bosch over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	10.2%	0.76×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch under 1.5 in 1st half	85.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
FC Den Bosch over 0.5 in 1st half	49.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
FC Den Bosch under 0.5 in 1st half	50.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
FC Den Bosch over 1.5 in 1st half	15.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport (home no bet)	50.4%	51.6%	60.0%	0.86×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.6%	48.4%	40.0%	1.21×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch even goals	52.1%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
FC Den Bosch odd goals	47.9%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.7%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	23.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-0	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.32
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	31.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Helmond Sport at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	10.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
FC Den Bosch at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Helmond Sport at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Helmond Sport at HT / FC Den Bosch at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
FC Den Bosch at HT / Helmond Sport at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to score last	57.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Helmond Sport to score last	35.9%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	6.9%	7.5%	—	—	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
FC Den Bosch to lead by 1 at any time	65.0%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Helmond Sport to lead by 1 at any time	40.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
FC Den Bosch to lead by 2 at any time	32.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
FC Den Bosch to lead by 3 at any time	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Helmond Sport to lead by 2 at any time	12.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Helmond Sport to lead by 3 at any time	3.3%	1.6%	—	—	61.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch most corners	49.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Helmond Sport most corners	40.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.3%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.5%	74.1%	1.13×	1.20
2-6 goals	70.8%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	67.6%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.9%	69.0%	55.0%	1.25×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.4%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.2%	48.7%	59.1%	0.82×	2.06
1-2 goals	45.2%	48.7%	33.2%	1.47×	2.06
3-5 goals	43.1%	43.6%	53.2%	0.82×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.8%	39.1%	41.0%	0.95×	2.56
4-6 goals	24.5%	24.5%	37.3%	0.66×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.3%	24.5%	31.5%	0.78×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.4%	14.9%	18.2%	0.82×	6.73
7+ goals	1.7%	2.5%	3.2%	0.79×	39.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch never behind	52.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Helmond Sport never behind	28.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	90.9%	1.05×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.9%	87.6%	78.7%	1.11×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	73.8%	72.5%	59.6%	1.22×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	72.5%	72.5%	81.5%	0.89×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.1%	52.5%	37.8%	1.39×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	47.9%	47.5%	62.2%	0.76×	2.10
Under 1.5 goals	27.5%	27.5%	18.5%	1.48×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	26.2%	27.5%	40.4%	0.68×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.1%	12.4%	21.3%	0.58×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	4.7%	1.64×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	9.1%	0.50×	22.18

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.8%	92.5%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.9%	86.7%	73.7%	1.18×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.6%	67.4%	48.3%	1.39×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.5%	62.1%	77.0%	0.81×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.5%	37.9%	23.0%	1.65×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.4%	32.6%	51.7%	0.63×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.1%	13.3%	26.3%	0.50×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.2%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	3.4%	0.80×	36.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.6%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport not to score in both halves	85.2%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
FC Den Bosch not to score in both halves	70.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
FC Den Bosch to score in both halves	29.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Helmond Sport to score in both halves	14.8%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.7%	50.5%	58.7%	0.86×	1.98
Only FC Den Bosch scores	30.0%	26.1%	22.9%	1.14×	3.83
Only Helmond Sport scores	13.4%	10.9%	13.9%	0.79×	9.14
Neither team scores	6.9%	7.2%	4.7%	1.52×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.6%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	20.6%	22.6%	13.9%	1.62×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	14.1%	12.1%	19.3%	0.63×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	7.3%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.9%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.09
6 or more goals	4.8%	4.4%	9.1%	0.49×	22.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	33.8%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport not to win both halves	95.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Den Bosch not to win both halves	84.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Den Bosch to win both halves	15.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Helmond Sport to win both halves	4.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.42

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch to win either half	63.4%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Helmond Sport to win neither half	62.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Helmond Sport to win either half	37.8%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
FC Den Bosch to win neither half	36.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Helmond Sport not to win to nil	86.6%	88.2%	86.1%	1.02×	1.13
FC Den Bosch not to win to nil	70.0%	75.3%	77.1%	0.98×	1.33
FC Den Bosch to win to nil	30.0%	24.7%	22.9%	1.08×	4.04
Helmond Sport to win to nil	13.4%	11.8%	13.9%	0.85×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Den Bosch by 1	24.9%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
Draw	23.9%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
Helmond Sport by 1	15.8%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.91
FC Den Bosch by 2	15.7%	16.9%	12.6%	1.35×	5.91
FC Den Bosch by 3+	11.2%	11.8%	11.9%	0.99×	8.48
Helmond Sport by 2	6.1%	7.3%	8.8%	0.82×	13.79
Helmond Sport by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	37.01