FC Emmen v Almere City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

FC Emmen

10:30

Almere City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,000h before kick-off

FC Emmen win

31.0%

model 32.3%

Draw

22.4%

model 20.5%

Almere City win

46.6%

model 47.2%

312247

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 8.6%
1-1 8.0%
2-2 7.1%
2-1 7.0%
1-3 5.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	71.2%	Under 2.5	28.8%
BTTS yes	69.9%	BTTS no	30.1%
FC Emmen 1+	80.9%	FC Emmen 2+	49.3%
Almere City 1+	86.9%	Almere City 2+	60.2%

Expected goals 1.66 – 2.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

50/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

90%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Almere City have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for FC Emmen and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for FC Emmen and 2.03 for Almere City.

Why FC Emmen

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Almere City can win

Almere City carry the stronger rating, 1554 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Emmen, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Almere City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Emmen: 50% possession, 18.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Almere City: 44% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Emmen's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Almere City are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 8.6%. Confidence 50/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	251857	1.64–2.49	1-2 8%	78%	74%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win	56.7%	54.1%	33.5%	1.62×	1.85
FC Emmen to win	25.1%	27.8%	44.4%	0.63×	3.59
Draw	18.2%	19.4%	22.3%	0.87×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City & both teams score	38.6%	33.2%	19.7%	1.69×	3.01
FC Emmen & both teams score	18.1%	17.9%	21.6%	0.83×	5.58
Almere City & not both score	18.1%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	16.9%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
FC Emmen & not both score	7.0%	8.4%	22.9%	0.37×	11.93
Draw & not both score	1.3%	4.8%	4.7%	1.03×	20.62

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City & over 1.5	52.4%	48.7%	27.2%	1.79×	2.05
Almere City & over 2.5	47.4%	45.2%	23.6%	1.91×	2.21
Almere City & over 3.5	35.1%	34.9%	13.8%	2.53×	2.87
FC Emmen & over 1.5	22.2%	21.6%	36.8%	0.59×	4.62
Almere City & under 3.5	21.6%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.62
FC Emmen & over 2.5	20.0%	21.6%	30.6%	0.71×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
FC Emmen & over 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	18.7%	0.69×	7.77
FC Emmen & under 3.5	11.7%	12.9%	25.9%	0.50×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	8.2%	1.57×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	10.7%	12.9%	8.2%	1.57×	7.77
Almere City & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & under 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.70
FC Emmen & under 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.70
Almere City & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	6.3%	0.75×	20.92
FC Emmen & under 1.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	1.3%	4.8%	4.7%	1.01×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (1UP)	74.1%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
FC Emmen (1UP)	48.9%	43.4%	—	—	2.30

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (2UP)	56.7%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
FC Emmen (2UP)	25.1%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win 2nd half	50.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	25.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
FC Emmen to win 2nd half	23.7%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (+2.5)	95.5%	96.3%	88.1%	1.09×	1.04
Almere City (+1.5)	88.4%	88.5%	75.6%	1.17×	1.13
Almere City (+0.5)	74.9%	73.7%	55.6%	1.33×	1.36
Almere City (-0.5)	56.7%	57.0%	33.5%	1.70×	1.75
FC Emmen (+0.5)	43.3%	43.0%	66.5%	0.65×	2.33
FC Emmen (-0.5)	25.1%	26.3%	44.4%	0.59×	3.80
FC Emmen (-1.5)	11.6%	11.5%	24.4%	0.47×	8.70
FC Emmen (-2.5)	4.5%	3.7%	11.9%	0.31×	26.76

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to concede	80.6%	81.3%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
Almere City clean sheet	19.4%	18.7%	18.5%	1.01×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City clean sheet in 1st half	49.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Almere City to concede in 1st half	50.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 2.5 corners	82.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Almere City under 6.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Almere City over 3.5 corners	68.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Almere City under 5.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Almere City over 4.5 corners	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Almere City under 4.5 corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Almere City over 5.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Almere City under 3.5 corners	31.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Almere City over 6.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Almere City under 2.5 corners	17.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City over 0.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	72.5%	1.27×	1.08
Almere City under 3.5 goals	76.0%	76.2%	93.0%	0.82×	1.31
Almere City over 1.5 goals	71.1%	71.9%	41.9%	1.72×	1.39
Almere City under 2.5 goals	54.6%	53.7%	81.5%	0.66×	1.86
Almere City over 2.5 goals	45.4%	46.3%	18.5%	2.50×	2.16
Almere City under 1.5 goals	28.9%	28.1%	58.1%	0.48×	3.56
Almere City over 3.5 goals	24.0%	23.8%	7.0%	3.41×	4.21
Almere City under 0.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	27.5%	0.28×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City under 1.5 in 1st half	73.7%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Almere City over 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Almere City under 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Almere City over 1.5 in 1st half	26.3%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (away no bet)	58.0%	57.5%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.0%	42.5%	33.4%	1.27×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City even goals	50.3%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
Almere City odd goals	49.7%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	64.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Both halves over 1.5 goals	35.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	85.0%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals	15.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	77.1%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Almere City to score 2+ in a row	59.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	38.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
FC Emmen to score 2+ in a row	33.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Almere City to score 3+ in a row	29.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
FC Emmen to score 3+ in a row	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.30

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen corners (+3.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Emmen corners (+2.5)	80.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Almere City corners (+3.5)	76.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Emmen corners (+1.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Almere City corners (+2.5)	67.8%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Almere City corners (+1.5)	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Emmen corners (-1.5)	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Emmen corners (-2.5)	32.2%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Almere City corners (-1.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Emmen corners (-3.5)	23.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Almere City corners (-2.5)	19.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Almere City corners (-3.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	69.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	59.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	50.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	40.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	30.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	13.0%	11.5%	4.7%	2.42×	8.73
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.47
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
1-3	6.8%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.47
2-1	5.4%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.47
2-3	5.6%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.47
1-1	6.2%	7.4%	9.6%	0.78×	13.47
0-2	5.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.50
1-4	4.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.50
2-0	2.2%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.51
2-4	3.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.50
3-0	1.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.52
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.51
3-2	3.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.50
3-3	3.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.51
3-4	1.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.51
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.52
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.52
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.52
4-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.43×	58.52
4-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.1%	13.74×	58.52
0-0	1.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.52
0-1	4.3%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.50
0-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.50
0-4	2.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.51
1-0	2.9%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City leading at HT (DNB)	62.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
FC Emmen leading at HT (DNB)	37.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen or Almere City (12)	81.8%	80.6%	77.7%	1.04×	1.24
Almere City or draw (X2)	74.9%	72.2%	55.6%	1.30×	1.39
FC Emmen or draw (1X)	43.3%	46.0%	66.5%	0.69×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw at HT	74.8%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
FC Emmen or Almere City at HT	66.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
FC Emmen or draw at HT	58.6%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw (1UP)	74.9%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
FC Emmen or draw (1UP)	48.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City or draw in 2nd half	76.3%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
FC Emmen or Almere City in 2nd half	74.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
FC Emmen or draw in 2nd half	49.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	51.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	49.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (DNB)	69.3%	67.2%	43.0%	1.56×	1.49
FC Emmen (DNB)	30.7%	32.8%	57.0%	0.57×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score first	59.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
FC Emmen to score first	39.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	1.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.65

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	73.7%	62.5%	58.7%	1.06×	1.60
Not both teams to score	26.3%	37.5%	41.3%	0.91×	2.66

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	67.4%	57.4%	49.3%	1.16×	1.74
Not both score & under 2.5	15.7%	21.7%	28.4%	0.77×	4.61
Not both score & over 2.5	10.7%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	6.2%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	65.3%	70.2%	79.0%	0.89×	1.43
Both teams to score 2+	34.7%	29.8%	21.0%	1.42×	3.35

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	53.0%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Both teams to score in 2nd half	47.0%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	36.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Both score 2nd half only	32.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.63
Both score 1st half only	16.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
Both score in both halves	15.1%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	68.1%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Both teams to score by HT	31.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	74.5%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
A half without a goal	25.6%	26.9%	—	—	3.72

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	46.8%	47.4%	37.3%	1.27×	2.11
2-3 goals	32.2%	30.8%	41.2%	0.75×	3.25
7+ goals	12.4%	16.9%	3.2%	5.24×	5.90
0-1 goals	8.5%	7.6%	18.5%	0.41×	13.13

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score 3+	45.4%	42.9%	18.5%	2.31×	2.33
Almere City to score exactly 2	25.7%	27.4%	23.5%	1.17×	3.65
Almere City to score exactly 1	20.6%	22.4%	30.7%	0.73×	4.47
Almere City to score exactly 0	8.3%	8.5%	27.5%	0.31×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to score exactly 1	31.8%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
FC Emmen to score exactly 2	26.1%	26.5%	25.9%	1.02×	3.77
FC Emmen to score 3+	22.8%	23.3%	25.4%	0.92×	4.30
FC Emmen to score exactly 0	19.4%	18.9%	18.5%	1.02×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City leading at HT	41.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Draw at HT	33.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
FC Emmen leading at HT	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City -1: 1	43.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Almere City -1: 2	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Almere City -1: X	20.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:1)	74.9%	71.0%	55.6%	1.28×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	13.6%	13.9%	20.1%	0.69×	7.21
FC Emmen (0:1)	11.6%	13.8%	24.4%	0.57×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:2)	88.4%	87.0%	75.6%	1.15×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.1%	7.7%	12.6%	0.61×	12.96
FC Emmen (0:2)	4.5%	3.8%	11.9%	0.32×	26.47

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:3)	95.5%	96.6%	88.1%	1.10×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.08
FC Emmen (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.15

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.49
FC Emmen (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.57

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (1:0)	43.3%	43.0%	66.5%	0.65×	2.33
Almere City (1:0)	36.3%	37.3%	15.4%	2.42×	2.68
Draw (1:0)	20.4%	21.7%	18.2%	1.20×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen (2:0)	63.7%	67.0%	84.6%	0.79×	1.49
Almere City (2:0)	19.9%	15.8%	6.7%	2.35×	6.34
Draw (2:0)	16.4%	15.7%	8.8%	1.78×	6.38

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.2%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	18.8%	18.9%	—	—	5.31

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to concede	91.7%	93.0%	72.5%	1.28×	1.08
FC Emmen clean sheet	8.3%	7.0%	27.5%	0.25×	14.35

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen to concede in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
FC Emmen clean sheet in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen over 2.5 corners	88.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Emmen over 3.5 corners	77.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Emmen under 6.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Emmen over 4.5 corners	63.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Emmen under 5.5 corners	50.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
FC Emmen over 5.5 corners	49.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Emmen under 4.5 corners	36.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Emmen over 6.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Emmen under 3.5 corners	22.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Emmen under 2.5 corners	11.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 3.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
FC Emmen over 0.5 goals	80.6%	82.1%	81.5%	1.01×	1.22
FC Emmen under 2.5 goals	77.3%	77.7%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
FC Emmen under 1.5 goals	51.2%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
FC Emmen over 1.5 goals	48.9%	46.8%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
FC Emmen over 2.5 goals	22.8%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.49
FC Emmen under 0.5 goals	19.4%	17.9%	18.5%	0.97×	5.59
FC Emmen over 3.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	10.2%	0.76×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen under 1.5 in 1st half	84.2%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
FC Emmen under 0.5 in 1st half	49.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Emmen over 0.5 in 1st half	50.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
FC Emmen over 1.5 in 1st half	15.8%	15.4%	—	—	6.49

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City (home no bet)	75.7%	78.4%	60.0%	1.31×	1.28
Draw (home no bet)	24.3%	21.6%	40.0%	0.54×	4.64

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen even goals	51.9%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
FC Emmen odd goals	48.1%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	18.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 0-0	18.1%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 1-0	12.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.10
HT 1-1	12.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-2	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
HT 1-2	6.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.19
HT 2-0	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.73
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.73
HT 2-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City at HT / Almere City at FT	34.5%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Draw at HT / Almere City at FT	17.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
FC Emmen at HT / FC Emmen at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Draw at HT / FC Emmen at FT	8.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
FC Emmen at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
FC Emmen at HT / Almere City at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Almere City at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Almere City at HT / FC Emmen at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to score last	59.5%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Emmen to score last	39.2%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	1.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.65

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Almere City to lead by 1 at any time	74.1%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	65.8%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
FC Emmen to lead by 1 at any time	48.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Almere City to lead by 2 at any time	46.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Almere City to lead by 3 at any time	25.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
FC Emmen to lead by 2 at any time	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
FC Emmen to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.24

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen most corners	52.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Almere City most corners	36.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	75.2%	78.6%	86.3%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	67.9%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
3-6 goals	65.7%	69.0%	59.1%	1.17×	1.45
1-4 goals	59.0%	59.2%	74.1%	0.80×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.5%	53.2%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
2-4 goals	51.8%	53.2%	60.3%	0.88×	1.88
4-6 goals	46.8%	48.7%	37.3%	1.30×	2.06
1-3 goals	39.5%	39.2%	55.0%	0.71×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-5 goals	35.7%	39.2%	31.5%	1.24×	2.55
2-3 goals	32.2%	35.4%	41.2%	0.86×	2.83
5-6 goals	27.3%	30.2%	18.2%	1.66×	3.31
1-2 goals	20.6%	24.5%	33.2%	0.74×	4.09
7+ goals	12.4%	14.9%	3.2%	4.60×	6.72

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City never behind	49.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
FC Emmen never behind	24.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.7%	95.5%	95.3%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	78.1%	77.4%	62.2%	1.24×	1.29
Under 5.5 goals	76.4%	77.4%	90.9%	0.85×	1.29
Under 4.5 goals	60.3%	61.7%	78.7%	0.78×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	59.2%	58.8%	40.4%	1.46×	1.70
Under 3.5 goals	40.8%	41.2%	59.6%	0.69×	2.43
Over 4.5 goals	39.7%	38.3%	21.3%	1.80×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	23.6%	22.6%	9.1%	2.49×	4.42
Under 2.5 goals	21.9%	22.6%	37.8%	0.60×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	18.5%	0.42×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	1.3%	4.5%	4.7%	0.95×	22.27

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	90.1%	92.5%	77.0%	1.20×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	86.0%	86.7%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.0%	72.6%	51.7%	1.41×	1.38
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	71.9%	72.6%	89.7%	0.81×	1.38
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	50.7%	51.8%	73.7%	0.70×	1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	49.3%	48.2%	26.3%	1.83×	2.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	28.1%	27.4%	10.3%	2.65×	3.65
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	27.0%	27.4%	48.3%	0.57×	3.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	14.0%	13.3%	3.4%	3.86×	7.54
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	9.9%	7.5%	23.0%	0.33×	13.25

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	81.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	75.6%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 1.5 in 1st half	50.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Under 1.5 in 1st half	49.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Over 2.5 in 1st half	24.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	91.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	69.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	56.2%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	43.8%	45.4%	—	—	2.21
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	30.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen not to score in both halves	69.2%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Almere City not to score in both halves	51.0%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Almere City to score in both halves	49.0%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
FC Emmen to score in both halves	30.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	73.7%	66.6%	58.7%	1.13×	1.50
Only Almere City scores	18.1%	16.1%	13.9%	1.15×	6.22
Only FC Emmen scores	7.0%	7.2%	22.9%	0.31×	13.91
Neither team scores	1.3%	4.6%	4.7%	0.97×	21.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	23.6%	22.6%	9.1%	2.49×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.4%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	18.9%	17.4%	21.9%	0.80×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.1%	17.4%	12.3%	1.42×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	13.4%	12.1%	19.4%	0.62×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	7.3%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	1.3%	4.4%	4.7%	0.93×	22.72

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	69.7%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
1 goal in 2nd half	21.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.35
No goals in 2nd half	8.7%	10.3%	—	—	9.70

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen not to win both halves	94.1%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Almere City not to win both halves	79.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Almere City to win both halves	20.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
FC Emmen to win both halves	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.71

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City to win either half	71.0%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
FC Emmen to win neither half	57.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
FC Emmen to win either half	43.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
Almere City to win neither half	29.0%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Emmen not to win to nil	93.0%	92.0%	77.1%	1.19×	1.09
Almere City not to win to nil	81.9%	83.0%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
Almere City to win to nil	18.1%	17.0%	13.9%	1.22×	5.89
FC Emmen to win to nil	7.0%	8.0%	22.9%	0.35×	12.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Almere City by 1	20.4%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.14
Almere City by 3+	19.9%	17.0%	6.7%	2.52×	5.90
Draw	18.2%	17.0%	22.3%	0.76×	5.90
Almere City by 2	16.4%	16.9%	8.8%	1.92×	5.90
FC Emmen by 1	13.6%	11.8%	20.1%	0.59×	8.47
FC Emmen by 2	7.1%	7.2%	12.6%	0.58×	13.80
FC Emmen by 3+	4.5%	2.7%	11.9%	0.23×	36.99