FC Twente v ADO Den Haag — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Twente

10:30

ADO Den Haag

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 151h before kick-off

FC Twente win

72.6%

model 71.5%

Draw

18.0%

model 17.6%

ADO Den Haag win

9.4%

model 10.9%

73189

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (75 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 9.7%
2-1 9.3%
3-0 8.3%
1-1 8.0%
3-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.5%	Under 2.5	31.5%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
FC Twente 1+	92.4%	FC Twente 2+	72.8%
ADO Den Haag 1+	61.5%	ADO Den Haag 2+	24.8%

Expected goals 2.58 – 0.96. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

FC Twente (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

51.8% fair odds 1.93

strong signal · 897 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

ADO Den Haag not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1664 Elo against 1610.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Twente have an estimated 72.6% win probability, against 18.0% for the draw and 9.4% for ADO Den Haag. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.58 for FC Twente and 0.95 for ADO Den Haag.

Why FC Twente

FC Twente carry the stronger rating, 1664 Elo against 1610. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why ADO Den Haag can win

Nothing in the data singles out ADO Den Haag.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Twente, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for ADO Den Haag, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Twente: 59% possession, 22.4 shots a match, 9.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. ADO Den Haag: 49% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Twente's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Twente are the model's most likely outcome at 72.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 9.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	711811	2.58–0.96	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	74179	2.63–0.85	2-0 11%	68%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win	74.4%	74.1%	44.6%	1.66×	1.35
Draw	16.6%	19.3%	25.3%	0.76×	5.18
ADO Den Haag to win	9.0%	8.2%	30.3%	0.27×	12.26

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & not both score	38.7%	33.2%	23.4%	1.42×	3.01
FC Twente & both teams score	35.7%	33.2%	21.3%	1.56×	3.02
Draw & both teams score	12.7%	13.2%	21.9%	0.60×	7.55
ADO Den Haag & both teams score	5.7%	8.4%	17.3%	0.48×	11.95
Draw & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.49
ADO Den Haag & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	13.2%	0.37×	20.51

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente & over 1.5	67.1%	67.2%	36.4%	1.84×	1.49
FC Twente & over 2.5	56.5%	55.0%	29.1%	1.89×	1.82
FC Twente & over 3.5	38.1%	34.9%	17.2%	2.04×	2.86
FC Twente & under 3.5	36.3%	34.9%	27.6%	1.27×	2.86
FC Twente & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	12.7%	12.9%	21.9%	0.59×	7.78
Draw & under 2.5	11.6%	12.9%	15.0%	0.86×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	11.6%	12.9%	15.0%	0.86×	7.78
FC Twente & under 1.5	7.3%	7.9%	8.3%	0.95×	12.69
ADO Den Haag & over 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	26.3%	0.30×	12.69
ADO Den Haag & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	20.5%	0.38×	12.69
ADO Den Haag & under 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	20.1%	0.39×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.0%	4.8%	10.4%	0.46×	20.92
Draw & over 3.5	5.0%	4.8%	10.4%	0.46×	20.92
Draw & under 1.5	3.9%	4.8%	3.5%	1.36×	20.93
ADO Den Haag & under 2.5	3.0%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.94
ADO Den Haag & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	10.4%	0.46×	20.94
ADO Den Haag & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	4.1%	1.15×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (1UP)	83.8%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
ADO Den Haag (1UP)	27.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.75

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2UP)	74.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
ADO Den Haag (2UP)	9.0%	9.0%	—	—	11.11

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win 2nd half	61.4%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
2nd half drawn	26.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
ADO Den Haag to win 2nd half	12.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.38

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (+0.5)	91.0%	92.1%	69.7%	1.32×	1.09
FC Twente (-0.5)	74.4%	73.7%	44.6%	1.65×	1.36
ADO Den Haag (+2.5)	67.2%	68.7%	86.7%	0.79×	1.46
FC Twente (-1.5)	54.0%	52.4%	25.4%	2.06×	1.91
ADO Den Haag (+1.5)	46.0%	47.6%	74.6%	0.64×	2.10
FC Twente (-2.5)	32.8%	31.3%	13.3%	2.35×	3.20
ADO Den Haag (+0.5)	25.6%	26.3%	55.4%	0.47×	3.80
ADO Den Haag (-0.5)	9.0%	7.9%	30.3%	0.26×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede	92.8%	91.8%	83.5%	1.10×	1.09
ADO Den Haag clean sheet	7.2%	8.2%	16.5%	0.50×	12.14

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to concede in 1st half	67.7%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
ADO Den Haag clean sheet in 1st half	32.3%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 corners	80.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
ADO Den Haag under 6.5 corners	75.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 corners	66.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
ADO Den Haag under 5.5 corners	63.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
ADO Den Haag over 4.5 corners	50.5%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
ADO Den Haag under 4.5 corners	49.5%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
ADO Den Haag over 5.5 corners	36.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 corners	33.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
ADO Den Haag over 6.5 corners	24.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 corners	19.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.6%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
ADO Den Haag under 2.5 goals	94.5%	92.4%	85.0%	1.09×	1.08
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 goals	78.9%	76.2%	58.2%	1.31×	1.31
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 goals	57.4%	59.6%	73.2%	0.81×	1.68
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 goals	42.6%	40.4%	26.8%	1.51×	2.48
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals	21.1%	23.8%	41.8%	0.57×	4.21
ADO Den Haag over 2.5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	15.0%	0.51×	13.09
ADO Den Haag over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.4%	5.7%	0.43×	41.14

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag under 1.5 in 1st half	95.3%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
ADO Den Haag under 0.5 in 1st half	71.1%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
ADO Den Haag over 0.5 in 1st half	28.9%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
ADO Den Haag over 1.5 in 1st half	4.7%	4.5%	—	—	22.42

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (away no bet)	81.8%	82.7%	63.8%	1.30×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	18.2%	17.3%	36.2%	0.48×	5.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag even goals	59.1%	57.0%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
ADO Den Haag odd goals	40.9%	43.0%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	74.2%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals	25.8%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	77.5%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	22.5%	27.3%	—	—	3.67

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.4%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
FC Twente to score 2+ in a row	67.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
FC Twente to score 3+ in a row	38.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
ADO Den Haag to score 2+ in a row	12.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
ADO Den Haag to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.6%	—	—	38.83

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente corners (+3.5)	83.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
ADO Den Haag corners (+3.5)	81.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
FC Twente corners (+2.5)	76.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
ADO Den Haag corners (+2.5)	73.9%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
FC Twente corners (+1.5)	67.4%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
ADO Den Haag corners (+1.5)	64.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
FC Twente corners (-1.5)	35.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
ADO Den Haag corners (-1.5)	32.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
FC Twente corners (-2.5)	26.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
ADO Den Haag corners (-2.5)	23.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
FC Twente corners (-3.5)	18.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
ADO Den Haag corners (-3.5)	16.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.7%	35.2%	—	—	2.85
12+ corners	31.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	30.1%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.8%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	61.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Under 10.5 corners	59.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Under 9.5 corners	49.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Over 10.5 corners	40.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Over 11.5 corners	31.2%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	12.7%	11.5%	6.6%	1.74×	8.73
2-0	10.6%	11.5%	7.5%	1.53×	8.73
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.46
3-0	9.3%	7.4%	4.3%	1.73×	13.46
1-0	7.3%	7.4%	8.3%	0.90×	13.46
1-1	7.7%	7.4%	11.6%	0.64×	13.46
3-1	8.0%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.46
4-0	6.1%	7.4%	1.8%	4.04×	13.46
4-1	5.2%	7.4%	3.2%	2.31×	13.46
0-0	3.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.57
0-1	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.58
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.59
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.59
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.59
1-2	2.9%	1.7%	8.1%	0.21×	58.58
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.59
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.59
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	8.6%	0.20×	58.57
2-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.59
3-2	3.4%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.57
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.59
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.59
4-2	2.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.58
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.15×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente leading at HT (DNB)	83.6%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
ADO Den Haag leading at HT (DNB)	16.4%	13.2%	—	—	7.60

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw (1X)	91.0%	91.8%	69.7%	1.32×	1.09
FC Twente or ADO Den Haag (12)	83.4%	80.7%	74.7%	1.08×	1.24
ADO Den Haag or draw (X2)	25.6%	25.9%	55.4%	0.47×	3.86

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw at HT	89.0%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
FC Twente or ADO Den Haag at HT	67.0%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
ADO Den Haag or draw at HT	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw (1UP)	91.0%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
ADO Den Haag or draw (1UP)	27.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente or draw in 2nd half	87.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
FC Twente or ADO Den Haag in 2nd half	73.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
ADO Den Haag or draw in 2nd half	38.6%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	49.7%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	50.3%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (DNB)	89.2%	87.6%	59.5%	1.47×	1.14
ADO Den Haag (DNB)	10.8%	12.4%	40.5%	0.31×	8.08

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score first	72.6%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
ADO Den Haag to score first	23.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.34
No goal scored	3.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.96

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.1%	51.5%	60.2%	0.86×	1.94
Not both teams to score	45.9%	48.5%	39.8%	1.22×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.4%	44.2%	48.7%	0.91×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	24.7%	27.7%	28.8%	0.96×	3.60
Not both score & over 2.5	21.2%	27.7%	11.2%	2.48×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	7.7%	8.4%	11.6%	0.72×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.5%	83.2%	80.6%	1.03×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.6%	16.8%	19.4%	0.86×	5.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	25.3%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.99

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	19.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	67.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	32.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.1%	42.1%	46.9%	0.90×	2.38
4-6 goals	39.6%	35.0%	33.7%	1.04×	2.86
0-1 goals	13.0%	16.9%	15.6%	1.08×	5.91
7+ goals	6.3%	7.6%	4.1%	1.84×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 0	42.6%	37.0%	26.8%	1.38×	2.70
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
ADO Den Haag to score exactly 2	15.5%	19.5%	27.0%	0.72×	5.12
ADO Den Haag to score 3+	5.6%	8.5%	15.0%	0.56×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score 3+	48.8%	36.9%	23.7%	1.55×	2.71
FC Twente to score exactly 2	25.0%	23.3%	27.0%	0.86×	4.30
FC Twente to score exactly 1	19.0%	18.9%	33.1%	0.57×	5.30
FC Twente to score exactly 0	7.2%	10.3%	16.5%	0.62×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente leading at HT	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Draw at HT	33.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
ADO Den Haag leading at HT	11.0%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente -1: 1	54.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Twente -1: 2	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
FC Twente -1: X	20.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (0:1)	54.0%	51.2%	25.4%	2.01×	1.95
ADO Den Haag (0:1)	25.6%	27.0%	55.4%	0.49×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	20.5%	24.3%	19.3%	1.26×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (0:2)	46.0%	51.1%	74.6%	0.68×	1.96
FC Twente (0:2)	32.8%	28.6%	13.3%	2.15×	3.49
Draw (0:2)	21.2%	20.3%	12.3%	1.66×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (0:3)	67.2%	71.9%	86.7%	0.83×	1.39
FC Twente (0:3)	16.9%	16.1%	5.7%	2.84×	6.22
Draw (0:3)	15.9%	16.0%	7.8%	2.05×	6.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag (0:4)	83.1%	87.1%	94.3%	0.92×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	9.4%	4.7%	2.6%	1.79×	21.43
FC Twente (0:4)	7.5%	4.6%	3.2%	1.44×	21.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (1:0)	91.0%	92.7%	69.7%	1.33×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.1%	6.9%	14.9%	0.46×	14.51
ADO Den Haag (1:0)	2.9%	3.2%	15.6%	0.20×	31.62

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente (2:0)	97.1%	96.9%	84.4%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	8.9%	0.25×	44.27
ADO Den Haag (2:0)	0.7%	2.3%	6.9%	0.33×	44.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to concede	57.4%	61.0%	73.2%	0.83×	1.64
FC Twente clean sheet	42.6%	39.0%	26.8%	1.46×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente clean sheet in 1st half	71.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
FC Twente to concede in 1st half	28.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 2.5 corners	82.2%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
FC Twente under 6.5 corners	73.5%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
FC Twente over 3.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
FC Twente under 5.5 corners	61.5%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
FC Twente over 4.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
FC Twente under 4.5 corners	47.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
FC Twente over 5.5 corners	38.5%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
FC Twente under 3.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
FC Twente over 6.5 corners	26.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
FC Twente under 2.5 corners	17.9%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente over 0.5 goals	92.8%	92.2%	83.5%	1.11×	1.08
FC Twente over 1.5 goals	73.8%	74.2%	50.5%	1.47×	1.35
FC Twente under 3.5 goals	73.0%	74.2%	89.1%	0.83×	1.35
FC Twente under 2.5 goals	51.2%	53.3%	76.3%	0.70×	1.88
FC Twente over 2.5 goals	48.8%	46.7%	23.7%	1.97×	2.14
FC Twente over 3.5 goals	27.0%	25.8%	10.9%	2.37×	3.88
FC Twente under 1.5 goals	26.2%	25.8%	49.5%	0.52×	3.88
FC Twente under 0.5 goals	7.2%	7.8%	16.5%	0.47×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente under 1.5 in 1st half	68.8%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
FC Twente over 0.5 in 1st half	67.7%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
FC Twente under 0.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
FC Twente over 1.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.7%	60.2%	45.5%	1.32×	1.66
ADO Den Haag (home no bet)	35.3%	39.8%	54.5%	0.73×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente even goals	50.3%	50.6%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
FC Twente odd goals	49.7%	49.4%	48.9%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	25.8%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 0-0	23.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 2-0	14.7%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
Any other HT score	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.06
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-1	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 2-1	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
HT 0-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.83
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente at HT / FC Twente at FT	51.4%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Draw at HT / FC Twente at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.51
ADO Den Haag at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	4.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
FC Twente at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Draw at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
ADO Den Haag at HT / FC Twente at FT	3.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.15
ADO Den Haag at HT / Draw at FT	3.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.16
FC Twente at HT / ADO Den Haag at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.25

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to score last	72.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
ADO Den Haag to score last	23.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
No goal scored	3.9%	4.4%	—	—	22.96

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
FC Twente to lead by 1 at any time	83.8%	87.4%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
FC Twente to lead by 2 at any time	60.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	37.7%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
FC Twente to lead by 3 at any time	36.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
ADO Den Haag to lead by 1 at any time	27.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
ADO Den Haag to lead by 2 at any time	6.4%	6.5%	—	—	15.38
ADO Den Haag to lead by 3 at any time	1.3%	1.5%	—	—	64.72

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente most corners	46.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
ADO Den Haag most corners	43.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Corners level	10.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.2%	83.5%	87.6%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	80.7%	83.5%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
2-5 goals	73.1%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
1-4 goals	69.1%	69.0%	75.8%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	61.3%	63.5%	55.7%	1.14×	1.58
2-4 goals	60.0%	59.2%	63.7%	0.93×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.6%	53.1%	50.8%	1.05×	1.88
1-3 goals	50.2%	53.1%	59.0%	0.90×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.1%	43.6%	46.9%	0.93×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	39.1%	1.12×	2.29
4-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	33.7%	1.16×	2.55
4-5 goals	32.0%	35.4%	28.8%	1.23×	2.83
1-2 goals	28.6%	30.2%	36.9%	0.82×	3.31
5-6 goals	20.8%	24.4%	16.8%	1.45×	4.09
7+ goals	6.3%	8.7%	4.1%	2.11×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente never behind	69.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
ADO Den Haag never behind	12.4%	12.8%	—	—	7.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.8%	49.0%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.2%	51.0%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.1%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.1%	95.5%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	87.0%	87.7%	84.4%	1.04×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	86.1%	87.7%	91.0%	0.96×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	72.9%	72.5%	79.2%	0.92×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	67.6%	66.3%	59.7%	1.11×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	54.1%	52.4%	62.3%	0.84×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	45.9%	47.6%	37.7%	1.26×	2.10
Under 2.5 goals	32.4%	33.7%	40.3%	0.84×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	27.1%	27.5%	20.8%	1.32×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	13.9%	12.3%	9.0%	1.37×	8.11
Under 1.5 goals	13.0%	12.3%	15.6%	0.79×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	3.9%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.2%	92.5%	95.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	84.0%	81.1%	89.8%	0.90×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	83.9%	81.1%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	66.7%	67.3%	75.0%	0.90×	1.49
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.6%	55.5%	48.3%	1.15×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.4%	44.5%	51.7%	0.86×	2.25
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	33.3%	32.7%	25.0%	1.30×	3.06
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	16.1%	18.9%	20.7%	0.91×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	16.0%	18.9%	10.2%	1.84×	5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.8%	7.5%	4.3%	1.73×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.6%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.9%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	56.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	43.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
Over 2.5 in 1st half	18.4%	13.6%	—	—	7.35

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	67.4%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	40.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	32.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to score in both halves	88.4%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
FC Twente to score in both halves	52.6%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
FC Twente not to score in both halves	47.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
ADO Den Haag to score in both halves	11.6%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.1%	54.0%	60.2%	0.90×	1.85
Only FC Twente scores	38.7%	39.9%	23.4%	1.70×	2.51
Neither team scores	3.9%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.72
Only ADO Den Haag scores	3.4%	4.6%	13.2%	0.35×	21.74

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.7%	22.6%	22.2%	1.02×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.4%	17.5%	24.8%	0.70×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	18.9%	17.5%	17.0%	1.03×	5.73
6 or more goals	13.9%	12.1%	9.0%	1.34×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	13.1%	12.1%	11.9%	1.01×	8.29
Exactly 1 goals	9.1%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	3.9%	4.4%	3.5%	1.26×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	26.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
No goals in 2nd half	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to win both halves	98.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Twente not to win both halves	65.4%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
FC Twente to win both halves	34.6%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
ADO Den Haag to win both halves	1.4%	2.8%	—	—	36.18

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente to win either half	82.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
ADO Den Haag to win neither half	78.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
ADO Den Haag to win either half	21.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
FC Twente to win neither half	17.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
ADO Den Haag not to win to nil	96.6%	96.2%	86.8%	1.11×	1.04
FC Twente not to win to nil	61.3%	66.8%	76.6%	0.87×	1.50
FC Twente to win to nil	38.7%	33.2%	23.4%	1.42×	3.01
ADO Den Haag to win to nil	3.4%	3.9%	13.2%	0.29×	25.97

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Twente by 3+	32.8%	27.6%	13.3%	2.07×	3.62
FC Twente by 2	21.2%	24.1%	12.3%	1.97×	4.14
FC Twente by 1	20.5%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.14
Draw	16.6%	16.9%	25.3%	0.67×	5.90
ADO Den Haag by 1	6.1%	7.2%	14.9%	0.49×	13.81
ADO Den Haag by 2	2.2%	2.7%	8.9%	0.30×	37.00
ADO Den Haag by 3+	0.7%	2.7%	6.9%	0.39×	37.05