FC Volendam v VVV-Venlo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

FC Volendam

14:00

VVV-Venlo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 466h before kick-off

FC Volendam win

62.3%

model 62.0%

Draw

18.8%

model 18.5%

VVV-Venlo win

18.9%

model 19.6%

621919

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.6%
1-1 7.9%
2-0 7.8%
3-1 7.3%
1-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.3%	Under 2.5	31.7%
BTTS yes	63.0%	BTTS no	37.0%
FC Volendam 1+	90.0%	FC Volendam 2+	66.9%
VVV-Venlo 1+	70.5%	VVV-Venlo 2+	34.5%

Expected goals 2.30 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

FC Volendam (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 44%

63.4% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 877 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

FC Volendam or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out FC Volendam.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Volendam have an estimated 62.3% win probability, against 18.9% for VVV-Venlo and 18.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.30 for FC Volendam and 1.22 for VVV-Venlo.

Why FC Volendam

Nothing in the data singles out FC Volendam.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.8%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why VVV-Venlo can win

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for FC Volendam, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for VVV-Venlo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

FC Volendam: 52% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. VVV-Venlo: 44% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 20.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Volendam are the model's most likely outcome at 62.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.6%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	621820	2.30–1.22	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	631819	2.45–1.30	2-1 9%	72%	66%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win	62.9%	58.2%	44.4%	1.31×	1.72
VVV-Venlo to win	19.4%	19.4%	33.5%	0.58×	5.17
Draw	17.7%	19.3%	22.3%	0.87×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & both teams score	37.7%	33.2%	21.6%	1.53×	3.01
FC Volendam & not both score	25.2%	25.2%	22.9%	1.10×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	15.7%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
VVV-Venlo & both teams score	12.7%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
VVV-Venlo & not both score	6.7%	8.4%	13.9%	0.60×	11.93
Draw & not both score	2.0%	4.8%	4.7%	1.03×	20.62

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & over 1.5	56.8%	54.9%	36.8%	1.49×	1.82
FC Volendam & over 2.5	49.7%	45.2%	30.6%	1.48×	2.21
FC Volendam & over 3.5	34.7%	30.9%	18.7%	1.66×	3.24
FC Volendam & under 3.5	28.2%	26.0%	25.9%	1.01×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
VVV-Venlo & over 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	27.2%	0.66×	5.56
VVV-Venlo & over 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	23.6%	0.54×	7.77
FC Volendam & under 2.5	13.2%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
VVV-Venlo & under 3.5	11.2%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.69
Draw & under 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.69
VVV-Venlo & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	13.8%	0.57×	12.70
FC Volendam & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
VVV-Venlo & under 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
VVV-Venlo & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	6.3%	0.75×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	2.0%	4.8%	4.7%	1.01×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1UP)	77.1%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
VVV-Venlo (1UP)	41.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2UP)	62.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
VVV-Venlo (2UP)	19.4%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win 2nd half	51.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	27.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
VVV-Venlo to win 2nd half	21.1%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (+0.5)	80.6%	82.4%	66.5%	1.24×	1.21
VVV-Venlo (+2.5)	77.1%	78.4%	88.1%	0.89×	1.28
FC Volendam (-0.5)	62.9%	62.9%	44.4%	1.42×	1.59
VVV-Venlo (+1.5)	58.8%	57.0%	75.6%	0.75×	1.75
FC Volendam (-1.5)	41.2%	43.0%	24.4%	1.76×	2.33
VVV-Venlo (+0.5)	37.1%	37.1%	55.6%	0.67×	2.70
FC Volendam (-2.5)	22.9%	21.6%	11.9%	1.81×	4.64
VVV-Venlo (-0.5)	19.4%	17.6%	33.5%	0.53×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to concede	91.3%	91.7%	81.5%	1.13×	1.09
VVV-Venlo clean sheet	8.7%	8.3%	18.5%	0.45×	12.11

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to concede in 1st half	65.0%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 1st half	35.0%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 corners	84.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
VVV-Venlo under 6.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
VVV-Venlo under 5.5 corners	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
VVV-Venlo over 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
VVV-Venlo under 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VVV-Venlo over 5.5 corners	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
VVV-Venlo over 6.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 corners	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.9%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 goals	72.8%	72.0%	72.5%	0.99×	1.39
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.0%	58.1%	1.08×	1.59
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 goals	37.4%	37.0%	41.9%	0.88×	2.70
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 goals	27.2%	28.0%	27.5%	1.02×	3.57
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.1%	18.5%	0.65×	8.24
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.5%	7.0%	0.35×	40.65

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 1st half	90.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 1st half	9.6%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (away no bet)	78.0%	73.7%	66.6%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.0%	26.3%	33.4%	0.79×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo even goals	53.7%	52.8%	57.1%	0.93×	1.89
VVV-Venlo odd goals	46.3%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.2%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	29.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.5%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	73.6%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
FC Volendam to score 2+ in a row	60.5%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	36.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
FC Volendam to score 3+ in a row	30.8%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
VVV-Venlo to score 2+ in a row	24.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
VVV-Venlo to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.79

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam corners (+3.5)	85.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Volendam corners (+2.5)	79.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
VVV-Venlo corners (+3.5)	78.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Volendam corners (+1.5)	70.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
VVV-Venlo corners (+2.5)	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
VVV-Venlo corners (+1.5)	60.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
FC Volendam corners (-1.5)	40.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
FC Volendam corners (-2.5)	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
VVV-Venlo corners (-1.5)	29.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Volendam corners (-3.5)	21.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
VVV-Venlo corners (-2.5)	20.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
VVV-Venlo corners (-3.5)	14.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	39.8%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	70.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	69.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 9.5 corners	60.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	60.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	50.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	49.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	29.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	20.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	11.1%	11.5%	4.7%	2.42×	8.73
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
1-1	7.1%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.48
2-0	7.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.48
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
3-0	5.8%	7.4%	4.1%	1.81×	13.48
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.46
3-2	4.9%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.46
0-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.48
0-1	3.4%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.47
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
1-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.49
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.48
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
4-1	4.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.46
4-2	3.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.47
4-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.48
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT (DNB)	72.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
VVV-Venlo leading at HT (DNB)	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.53

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or VVV-Venlo (12)	82.3%	80.7%	77.7%	1.04×	1.24
FC Volendam or draw (1X)	80.6%	80.6%	66.5%	1.21×	1.24
VVV-Venlo or draw (X2)	37.1%	41.8%	55.6%	0.75×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw at HT	81.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
FC Volendam or VVV-Venlo at HT	66.3%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
VVV-Venlo or draw at HT	51.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1UP)	80.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
VVV-Venlo or draw (1UP)	41.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw in 2nd half	78.9%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
FC Volendam or VVV-Venlo in 2nd half	72.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
VVV-Venlo or draw in 2nd half	48.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	47.8%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	52.2%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (DNB)	76.4%	74.6%	57.0%	1.31×	1.34
VVV-Venlo (DNB)	23.6%	25.4%	43.0%	0.59×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score first	64.0%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
VVV-Venlo to score first	34.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.1%	58.2%	58.7%	0.99×	1.72
Not both teams to score	33.9%	41.8%	41.3%	1.01×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	58.9%	47.3%	49.3%	0.96×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	20.6%	27.7%	28.4%	0.98×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	13.3%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	7.1%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.8%	80.6%	79.0%	1.02×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.2%	19.4%	21.0%	0.92×	5.15

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	15.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.43
Both score in both halves	10.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.3%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.0%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	30.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.62

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.0%	42.1%	37.3%	1.13×	2.38
2-3 goals	36.9%	35.1%	41.2%	0.85×	2.85
0-1 goals	11.6%	16.9%	18.5%	0.91×	5.91
7+ goals	8.5%	7.6%	3.2%	2.35×	13.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 1	35.4%	36.0%	30.7%	1.17×	2.78
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 0	27.2%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 2	23.0%	22.4%	23.5%	0.95×	4.46
VVV-Venlo to score 3+	14.3%	12.8%	18.5%	0.69×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score 3+	44.2%	35.0%	25.4%	1.38×	2.86
FC Volendam to score exactly 2	25.9%	26.5%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
FC Volendam to score exactly 1	21.2%	23.2%	30.5%	0.76×	4.30
FC Volendam to score exactly 0	8.7%	10.3%	18.5%	0.56×	9.71

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT	48.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	33.7%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
VVV-Venlo leading at HT	18.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam -1: 1	41.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
FC Volendam -1: 2	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
FC Volendam -1: X	21.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:1)	41.2%	42.7%	24.4%	1.75×	2.34
VVV-Venlo (0:1)	37.1%	37.3%	55.6%	0.67×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.7%	24.3%	20.1%	1.20×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:2)	58.8%	62.9%	75.6%	0.83×	1.59
FC Volendam (0:2)	22.9%	20.3%	11.9%	1.70×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	18.3%	15.3%	12.6%	1.22×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:3)	77.1%	80.4%	88.1%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	10.0%	5.7%	1.75×	10.00
FC Volendam (0:3)	10.8%	10.0%	6.3%	1.57×	10.02

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:4)	89.2%	92.0%	93.7%	0.98×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.4%	4.6%	4.4%	1.07×	21.56
FC Volendam (0:4)	4.4%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.16

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1:0)	80.6%	81.4%	66.5%	1.22×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.7%	12.8%	18.2%	0.71×	7.81
VVV-Venlo (1:0)	7.7%	6.9%	15.4%	0.45×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2:0)	92.3%	93.9%	84.6%	1.11×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	8.8%	0.73×	15.51
VVV-Venlo (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	6.7%	0.34×	44.21

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.1%	24.0%	—	—	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede	72.8%	73.1%	72.5%	1.01×	1.37
FC Volendam clean sheet	27.2%	26.9%	27.5%	0.98×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Volendam to concede in 1st half	40.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 2.5 corners	88.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
FC Volendam over 3.5 corners	76.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
FC Volendam under 6.5 corners	65.0%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
FC Volendam over 4.5 corners	62.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
FC Volendam under 5.5 corners	51.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
FC Volendam over 5.5 corners	48.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
FC Volendam under 4.5 corners	37.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
FC Volendam over 6.5 corners	35.0%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
FC Volendam under 3.5 corners	23.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
FC Volendam under 2.5 corners	11.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 goals	91.3%	92.2%	81.5%	1.13×	1.08
FC Volendam under 3.5 goals	77.0%	77.7%	89.8%	0.87×	1.29
FC Volendam over 1.5 goals	70.1%	74.2%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
FC Volendam under 2.5 goals	55.8%	58.8%	74.6%	0.79×	1.70
FC Volendam over 2.5 goals	44.2%	41.2%	25.4%	1.62×	2.43
FC Volendam under 1.5 goals	29.9%	25.8%	48.9%	0.53×	3.87
FC Volendam over 3.5 goals	23.0%	22.3%	10.2%	2.18×	4.49
FC Volendam under 0.5 goals	8.7%	7.8%	18.5%	0.42×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half	71.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 1st half	65.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 1st half	35.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 1st half	28.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (home no bet)	52.3%	51.6%	60.0%	0.86×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	47.7%	48.4%	40.0%	1.21×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam even goals	50.4%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
FC Volendam odd goals	49.6%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-0	20.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 2-0	11.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	11.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
Any other HT score	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-1	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.50

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam at HT / FC Volendam at FT	41.4%	43.0%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT / FC Volendam at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
VVV-Venlo at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	10.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Draw at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
FC Volendam at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
VVV-Venlo at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
VVV-Venlo at HT / FC Volendam at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
FC Volendam at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score last	63.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
VVV-Venlo to score last	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Volendam to lead by 1 at any time	77.1%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
FC Volendam to lead by 2 at any time	50.0%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
VVV-Venlo to lead by 1 at any time	41.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
FC Volendam to lead by 3 at any time	27.4%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
VVV-Venlo to lead by 2 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
VVV-Venlo to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.7%	—	—	60.25

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam most corners	50.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
VVV-Venlo most corners	38.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.4%	83.5%	86.3%	0.97×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.9%	68.9%	74.1%	0.93×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.7%	63.4%	59.1%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.3%	59.2%	60.3%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
1-3 goals	46.5%	48.7%	55.0%	0.89×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.0%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	41.0%	1.06×	2.30
2-3 goals	36.9%	39.1%	41.2%	0.95×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.9%	35.4%	31.5%	1.12×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.8%	30.2%	33.2%	0.91×	3.31
5-6 goals	23.6%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.09
7+ goals	8.5%	8.7%	3.2%	2.70×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam never behind	56.9%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
VVV-Venlo never behind	20.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	95.5%	95.3%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.4%	87.7%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.4%	82.4%	90.9%	0.91×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	72.2%	72.5%	62.2%	1.17×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	67.9%	66.2%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	51.5%	52.5%	40.4%	1.30×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	48.5%	47.5%	59.6%	0.80×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	32.1%	33.8%	21.3%	1.59×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	27.8%	27.5%	37.8%	0.73×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	17.6%	17.6%	9.1%	1.94×	5.68
Under 1.5 goals	11.6%	12.4%	18.5%	0.67×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	4.5%	4.7%	0.95×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.6%	92.5%	96.6%	0.96×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.2%	86.7%	77.0%	1.13×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	79.4%	75.9%	89.7%	0.85×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.0%	62.1%	51.7%	1.20×	1.61
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	60.2%	62.0%	73.7%	0.84×	1.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	39.8%	38.0%	26.3%	1.44×	2.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.0%	37.9%	48.3%	0.78×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	20.6%	24.1%	10.3%	2.33×	4.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.8%	13.3%	23.0%	0.58×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.4%	7.6%	3.4%	2.20×	13.25

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.5%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.7%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	63.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	37.0%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	11.3%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
FC Volendam not to score in both halves	51.1%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
FC Volendam to score in both halves	48.9%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
VVV-Venlo to score in both halves	22.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.1%	59.5%	58.7%	1.01×	1.68
Only FC Volendam scores	25.2%	26.1%	22.9%	1.14×	3.83
Only VVV-Venlo scores	6.7%	7.2%	13.9%	0.52×	13.92
Neither team scores	2.0%	4.6%	4.7%	0.97×	21.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.7%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
6 or more goals	17.6%	17.4%	9.1%	1.92×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	16.2%	17.4%	19.4%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	14.5%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	9.6%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	2.0%	4.4%	4.7%	0.93×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.8%	58.7%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	25.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goals in 2nd half	11.3%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Volendam not to win both halves	75.2%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
FC Volendam to win both halves	24.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
VVV-Venlo to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	—	—	35.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win either half	75.0%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
VVV-Venlo to win neither half	64.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
VVV-Venlo to win either half	35.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
FC Volendam to win neither half	25.0%	20.6%	—	—	4.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo not to win to nil	93.3%	92.1%	86.1%	1.07×	1.09
FC Volendam not to win to nil	74.8%	75.3%	77.1%	0.98×	1.33
FC Volendam to win to nil	25.2%	24.7%	22.9%	1.08×	4.05
VVV-Venlo to win to nil	6.7%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.58

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam by 3+	22.9%	24.1%	11.9%	2.02×	4.14
FC Volendam by 1	21.7%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
FC Volendam by 2	18.3%	16.9%	12.6%	1.35×	5.91
Draw	17.7%	16.9%	22.3%	0.76×	5.91
VVV-Venlo by 1	11.7%	11.8%	18.2%	0.65×	8.48
VVV-Venlo by 2	5.2%	7.3%	8.8%	0.82×	13.79
VVV-Venlo by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	37.00