Feyenoord Rotterdam v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 14 October 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627
Champions League
results-only
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 10.3%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 1-2 7.7%
- 1-0 6.9%
- 2-2 6.6%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | Under 2.5 | 37.7% |
| BTTS yes | 63.6% | BTTS no | 36.4% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam 1+ | 82.1% | Feyenoord Rotterdam 2+ | 51.3% |
| Como 1+ | 77.5% | Como 2+ | 43.9% |
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Feyenoord Rotterdam have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for Como and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for Feyenoord Rotterdam and 1.49 for Como.
Why Feyenoord Rotterdam
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.72 to 1.49. Draws run at 16% in this competition.
Why Como can win
Como carry the stronger rating, 1723 Elo against 1689. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five. Away from home Como average 1.85 xG a match.
Key players
Como's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Tasos Douvikas (0.47), Nico Paz (0.38), Lucas Da Cunha (0.31).
Availability
No lineup on record for Feyenoord Rotterdam, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Feyenoord Rotterdam: 57% possession, 23.6 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Como: 59% possession, 19.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.45 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Feyenoord Rotterdam are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.