Fortaleza CEIF v Atlético Junior — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Fortaleza CEIF

15:00

Atlético Junior

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 347h before kick-off

Fortaleza CEIF win

28.3%

model 30.3%

Draw

27.6%

model 29.2%

Atlético Junior win

44.1%

model 40.5%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
0-1 10.0%
0-0 9.4%
1-2 8.6%
1-0 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.6%	Under 2.5	54.4%
BTTS yes	51.7%	BTTS no	48.3%
Fortaleza CEIF 1+	68.1%	Fortaleza CEIF 2+	31.6%
Atlético Junior 1+	74.3%	Atlético Junior 2+	39.3%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.36. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Atlético Junior (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 35%

63.3% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 271 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.0% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Atlético Junior carry the stronger rating, 1549 Elo against 1431.
They have had 22 days' rest to Fortaleza CEIF's 19.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Junior have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.3% for Fortaleza CEIF and 27.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.14 for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.36 for Atlético Junior.

Why Fortaleza CEIF

Nothing in the data singles out Fortaleza CEIF.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.14 to 1.36. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Atlético Junior can win

Atlético Junior carry the stronger rating, 1549 Elo against 1431. They have had 22 days' rest to Fortaleza CEIF's 19.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Fortaleza CEIF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Junior, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Fortaleza CEIF: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Junior: 53% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Atlético Junior are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302941	1.14–1.36	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	293041	1.05–1.29	1-1 14%	41%	48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior to win	40.7%	43.0%	24.8%	1.74×	2.33
Draw	30.3%	30.4%	29.5%	1.03×	3.29
Fortaleza CEIF to win	29.0%	27.9%	45.9%	0.61×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior & not both score	24.2%	21.9%	13.5%	1.62×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.4%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Fortaleza CEIF & not both score	16.7%	17.9%	27.1%	0.66×	5.58
Atlético Junior & both teams score	16.6%	17.9%	11.4%	1.57×	5.58
Fortaleza CEIF & both teams score	12.3%	13.3%	18.9%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.9%	13.3%	10.8%	1.22×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior & under 3.5	31.1%	30.8%	19.9%	1.55×	3.24
Atlético Junior & over 1.5	29.5%	26.0%	16.4%	1.59×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.1%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.1%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Fortaleza CEIF & under 3.5	22.9%	21.6%	35.7%	0.61×	4.62
Atlético Junior & over 2.5	21.5%	21.6%	12.8%	1.69×	4.62
Fortaleza CEIF & over 1.5	20.1%	21.6%	33.9%	0.64×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.4%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Atlético Junior & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.56
Fortaleza CEIF & over 2.5	14.8%	12.9%	25.6%	0.50×	7.77
Fortaleza CEIF & under 2.5	14.2%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Atlético Junior & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	8.5%	1.52×	7.77
Fortaleza CEIF & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.70
Atlético Junior & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.70
Fortaleza CEIF & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.1%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (1UP)	55.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Fortaleza CEIF (1UP)	45.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (2UP)	40.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Fortaleza CEIF (2UP)	29.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.4%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Atlético Junior to win 2nd half	35.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Fortaleza CEIF to win 2nd half	25.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (+2.5)	96.6%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Atlético Junior (+1.5)	88.5%	88.5%	79.6%	1.11×	1.13
Atlético Junior (+0.5)	71.0%	73.7%	54.1%	1.36×	1.36
Fortaleza CEIF (+0.5)	59.3%	57.0%	75.2%	0.76×	1.75
Atlético Junior (-0.5)	40.7%	43.0%	24.8%	1.74×	2.33
Fortaleza CEIF (-0.5)	29.0%	26.3%	45.9%	0.57×	3.80
Fortaleza CEIF (-1.5)	11.5%	11.5%	20.4%	0.56×	8.70
Fortaleza CEIF (-2.5)	3.4%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	26.83

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior to concede	64.9%	67.3%	75.8%	0.89×	1.49
Atlético Junior clean sheet	35.1%	32.7%	24.2%	1.35×	3.06

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior clean sheet in 1st half	63.7%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Atlético Junior to concede in 1st half	36.3%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior under 6.5 corners	87.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Atlético Junior under 5.5 corners	79.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Junior under 4.5 corners	67.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Atlético Junior over 2.5 corners	66.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Atlético Junior under 3.5 corners	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Atlético Junior over 3.5 corners	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Junior under 2.5 corners	33.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Atlético Junior over 4.5 corners	32.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Atlético Junior over 5.5 corners	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Atlético Junior over 6.5 corners	12.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior under 3.5 goals	95.8%	97.5%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Atlético Junior under 2.5 goals	86.0%	87.9%	92.9%	0.95×	1.14
Atlético Junior over 0.5 goals	72.4%	71.9%	62.2%	1.16×	1.39
Atlético Junior under 1.5 goals	63.1%	62.9%	74.4%	0.85×	1.59
Atlético Junior over 1.5 goals	36.9%	37.1%	25.6%	1.45×	2.70
Atlético Junior under 0.5 goals	27.6%	28.1%	37.8%	0.74×	3.56
Atlético Junior over 2.5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	7.1%	1.71×	8.25
Atlético Junior over 3.5 goals	4.2%	2.5%	1.9%	1.26×	40.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior under 1.5 in 1st half	90.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Atlético Junior under 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Atlético Junior over 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Atlético Junior over 1.5 in 1st half	9.5%	5.9%	—	—	16.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	51.1%	51.2%	39.1%	1.31×	1.95
Fortaleza CEIF (away no bet)	48.9%	48.8%	60.9%	0.80×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior even goals	53.8%	52.8%	57.4%	0.92×	1.89
Atlético Junior odd goals	46.2%	47.2%	42.6%	1.11×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.38

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	55.6%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both halves under 1.5 goals	44.4%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.7%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Atlético Junior to score 2+ in a row	30.2%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Fortaleza CEIF to score 2+ in a row	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Atlético Junior to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.7%	—	—	17.59
Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.92

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+3.5)	91.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+2.5)	85.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Fortaleza CEIF corners (+1.5)	78.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Junior corners (+3.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Atlético Junior corners (+2.5)	63.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Atlético Junior corners (+1.5)	52.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-1.5)	47.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-2.5)	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Fortaleza CEIF corners (-3.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlético Junior corners (-1.5)	21.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Atlético Junior corners (-2.5)	14.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Atlético Junior corners (-3.5)	8.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	22.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	61.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.2%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	39.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	22.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.3%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
0-1	11.2%	11.4%	8.5%	1.35×	8.74
0-0	10.9%	11.4%	10.8%	1.06×	8.74
1-0	8.9%	7.4%	12.1%	0.61×	13.47
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.47
0-2	8.0%	7.4%	3.8%	1.98×	13.47
2-1	6.8%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.47
2-0	5.3%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.50
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.50
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.50
2-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.51
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.51
3-1	2.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.52
3-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.52
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.52
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.52
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
Any other score	1.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior leading at HT (DNB)	54.2%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT (DNB)	45.8%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior or draw (X2)	71.0%	72.1%	54.1%	1.33×	1.39
Fortaleza CEIF or Atlético Junior (12)	69.7%	69.6%	70.5%	0.99×	1.44
Fortaleza CEIF or draw (1X)	59.3%	57.0%	75.2%	0.76×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior or draw at HT	76.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Fortaleza CEIF or draw at HT	71.7%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Fortaleza CEIF or Atlético Junior at HT	52.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior or draw (1UP)	71.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Fortaleza CEIF or draw (1UP)	59.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior or draw in 2nd half	75.0%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Fortaleza CEIF or draw in 2nd half	64.4%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Fortaleza CEIF or Atlético Junior in 2nd half	60.6%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.9%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (DNB)	58.4%	58.3%	35.0%	1.66×	1.72
Fortaleza CEIF (DNB)	41.6%	41.7%	65.0%	0.64×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior to score first	49.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Fortaleza CEIF to score first	40.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	10.9%	9.7%	—	—	10.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	51.8%	51.4%	51.2%	1.01×	1.94
Both teams to score	48.2%	48.6%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.4%	41.6%	43.1%	0.97×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.0%	34.3%	35.9%	0.96×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	14.3%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.4%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.6%	85.7%	88.7%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.4%	14.3%	11.3%	1.27×	6.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	75.4%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	24.6%	24.6%	—	—	4.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	21.1%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	11.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.50
Both score in both halves	3.5%	4.9%	—	—	20.38

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.2%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.8%	14.5%	—	—	6.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.1%	30.7%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.8%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.95
7+ goals	1.0%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	55.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior to score exactly 1	35.5%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
Atlético Junior to score exactly 0	27.6%	27.4%	37.8%	0.72×	3.65
Atlético Junior to score exactly 2	22.9%	22.4%	18.6%	1.20×	4.46
Atlético Junior to score 3+	14.0%	12.8%	7.1%	1.81×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	34.4%	1.04×	2.81
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 0	35.1%	35.6%	24.2%	1.47×	2.81
Fortaleza CEIF to score exactly 2	19.3%	18.9%	26.1%	0.72×	5.30
Fortaleza CEIF to score 3+	8.9%	10.3%	15.6%	0.66×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Junior leading at HT	28.3%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Fortaleza CEIF leading at HT	23.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior -1: 1	59.3%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Atlético Junior -1: X	21.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Atlético Junior -1: 2	19.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (0:1)	71.0%	70.9%	54.1%	1.31×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.5%	17.8%	25.6%	0.70×	5.62
Fortaleza CEIF (0:1)	11.5%	13.8%	20.4%	0.68×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (0:2)	88.5%	87.0%	79.6%	1.09×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.1%	7.7%	12.4%	0.62×	12.95
Fortaleza CEIF (0:2)	3.4%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (0:3)	96.6%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.10
Fortaleza CEIF (0:3)	0.8%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (0:4)	99.2%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.9%	0.61×	83.54
Fortaleza CEIF (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (1:0)	59.3%	58.2%	75.2%	0.77×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	21.8%	21.7%	17.2%	1.26×	4.60
Atlético Junior (1:0)	19.0%	17.0%	7.7%	2.23×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF (2:0)	81.0%	84.5%	92.4%	0.92×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.3%	10.4%	5.0%	2.08×	9.62
Atlético Junior (2:0)	6.7%	6.4%	2.8%	2.31×	15.53

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	29.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to concede	72.4%	73.0%	62.2%	1.17×	1.37
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet	27.6%	27.0%	37.8%	0.71×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet in 1st half	59.7%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Fortaleza CEIF to concede in 1st half	40.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 corners	81.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Fortaleza CEIF under 6.5 corners	71.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 corners	67.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Fortaleza CEIF under 5.5 corners	60.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Fortaleza CEIF over 4.5 corners	53.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Fortaleza CEIF under 4.5 corners	46.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Fortaleza CEIF over 5.5 corners	39.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 corners	32.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Fortaleza CEIF over 6.5 corners	28.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 corners	18.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Fortaleza CEIF under 2.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 goals	71.8%	74.2%	58.4%	1.27×	1.35
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 goals	64.9%	63.5%	75.8%	0.84×	1.58
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 goals	35.1%	36.5%	24.2%	1.51×	2.74
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 goals	28.2%	25.8%	41.6%	0.62×	3.88
Fortaleza CEIF over 2.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	15.6%	0.50×	12.91
Fortaleza CEIF over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Fortaleza CEIF under 0.5 in 1st half	63.7%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Fortaleza CEIF over 0.5 in 1st half	36.3%	35.5%	—	—	2.81
Fortaleza CEIF over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	4.7%	—	—	21.46

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior (home no bet)	57.4%	56.7%	45.6%	1.24×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.6%	43.3%	54.4%	0.80×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF even goals	56.1%	55.4%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Fortaleza CEIF odd goals	43.9%	44.6%	46.6%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 0-1	19.4%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-0	16.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-1	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
HT 0-2	5.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
HT 2-0	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.78
Any other HT score	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.87
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	44.03

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior at HT / Atlético Junior at FT	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Atlético Junior at FT	16.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	11.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Atlético Junior at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Fortaleza CEIF at HT / Atlético Junior at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Atlético Junior at HT / Fortaleza CEIF at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior to score last	49.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Fortaleza CEIF to score last	39.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	10.9%	9.1%	—	—	11.01

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.1%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
Atlético Junior to lead by 1 at any time	55.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 1 at any time	45.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Atlético Junior to lead by 2 at any time	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 2 at any time	15.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	12.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Atlético Junior to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.20
Fortaleza CEIF to lead by 3 at any time	4.4%	1.6%	—	—	62.08

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF most corners	58.8%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Atlético Junior most corners	30.6%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.9%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.3%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.3%	69.0%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.9%	69.0%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.8%	69.0%	65.4%	1.06×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.1%	63.4%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	47.8%	48.7%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	40.3%	43.6%	42.6%	1.02×	2.30
3-5 goals	38.2%	39.2%	40.5%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.5%	35.4%	34.8%	1.02×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.8%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.6%	18.6%	17.4%	1.07×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.8%	8.7%	7.9%	1.10×	11.43
7+ goals	1.0%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.47

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Junior never behind	44.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Fortaleza CEIF never behind	33.6%	35.8%	—	—	2.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.8%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.1%	87.7%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.2%	77.4%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.9%	66.2%	68.8%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.8%	56.1%	1.05×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.2%	44.0%	0.94×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	31.1%	33.8%	31.2%	1.08×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	20.8%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	10.9%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.2%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.6%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.0%	92.5%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	73.8%	72.6%	72.9%	1.00×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.1%	55.5%	58.5%	0.95×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.9%	44.5%	41.5%	1.07×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	26.2%	27.4%	27.1%	1.01×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	10.0%	7.5%	10.5%	0.72×	13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.4%	2.8%	3.8%	0.72×	36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.7%	1.6%	1.76×	36.39

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.6%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.4%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.88

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	74.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.8%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.2%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	25.8%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to score in both halves	83.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Junior not to score in both halves	78.3%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Atlético Junior to score in both halves	21.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Fortaleza CEIF to score in both halves	16.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.43

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	48.2%	50.4%	48.8%	1.03×	1.98
Only Atlético Junior scores	24.2%	22.4%	13.5%	1.66×	4.47
Only Fortaleza CEIF scores	16.7%	16.1%	27.1%	0.59×	6.22
Neither team scores	10.9%	10.9%	10.8%	1.01×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	25.0%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	20.2%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.0%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	10.9%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	5.6%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.10
6 or more goals	3.2%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
1 goal in 2nd half	34.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	25.8%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to win both halves	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Atlético Junior not to win both halves	89.7%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Atlético Junior to win both halves	10.3%	11.9%	—	—	8.40
Fortaleza CEIF to win both halves	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.70

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF to win neither half	57.2%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Atlético Junior to win either half	53.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Atlético Junior to win neither half	46.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Fortaleza CEIF to win either half	42.8%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Fortaleza CEIF not to win to nil	83.3%	83.0%	72.9%	1.14×	1.20
Atlético Junior not to win to nil	75.8%	78.0%	86.5%	0.90×	1.28
Atlético Junior to win to nil	24.2%	22.0%	13.5%	1.63×	4.55
Fortaleza CEIF to win to nil	16.7%	17.0%	27.1%	0.63×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.3%	27.6%	29.5%	0.94×	3.63
Atlético Junior by 1	21.8%	24.1%	17.2%	1.40×	4.14
Fortaleza CEIF by 1	17.5%	17.0%	25.6%	0.66×	5.90
Atlético Junior by 2	12.3%	11.8%	5.0%	2.36×	8.47
Fortaleza CEIF by 2	8.1%	7.2%	12.4%	0.59×	13.80
Atlético Junior by 3+	6.7%	7.2%	2.8%	2.60×	13.80
Fortaleza CEIF by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.03