Gamba Osaka v Kyoto Sanga — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Gamba Osaka

03:00

Kyoto Sanga

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,161h before kick-off

Gamba Osaka win

51.4%

model 50.7%

Draw

22.2%

model 22.6%

Kyoto Sanga win

26.5%

model 26.7%

512226

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
2-1 9.6%
1-0 8.3%
2-0 7.5%
1-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.2%	Under 2.5	39.8%
BTTS yes	60.5%	BTTS no	39.5%
Gamba Osaka 1+	84.1%	Gamba Osaka 2+	54.8%
Kyoto Sanga 1+	72.1%	Kyoto Sanga 2+	36.5%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Gamba Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1461.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gamba Osaka have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 26.5% for Kyoto Sanga and 22.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Gamba Osaka and 1.28 for Kyoto Sanga.

Why Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1461.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Kyoto Sanga can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kyoto Sanga.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kyoto Sanga, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gamba Osaka: 56% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kyoto Sanga: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Gamba Osaka are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	512227	1.89–1.31	1-1 10%	62%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win	51.2%	51.4%	42.9%	1.20×	1.95
Kyoto Sanga to win	26.6%	27.9%	31.0%	0.90×	3.59
Draw	22.2%	24.5%	26.3%	0.93×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka & both teams score	28.1%	25.2%	18.0%	1.40×	3.97
Gamba Osaka & not both score	23.1%	21.9%	25.0%	0.88×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	17.9%	19.3%	0.93×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & both teams score	15.5%	17.9%	13.4%	1.33×	5.58
Kyoto Sanga & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	17.7%	0.75×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka & over 1.5	43.3%	40.3%	30.2%	1.33×	2.48
Gamba Osaka & over 2.5	36.0%	34.9%	23.1%	1.51×	2.87
Gamba Osaka & under 3.5	29.3%	26.0%	33.1%	0.79×	3.84
Gamba Osaka & over 3.5	21.8%	21.7%	10.0%	2.17×	4.62
Kyoto Sanga & over 1.5	21.1%	21.7%	21.2%	1.02×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & over 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	17.9%	1.01×	5.56
Kyoto Sanga & under 3.5	17.1%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Gamba Osaka & under 2.5	15.2%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.0%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.0%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
Kyoto Sanga & under 2.5	9.0%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.69
Kyoto Sanga & over 3.5	9.5%	7.9%	7.8%	1.02×	12.69
Gamba Osaka & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	12.8%	0.61×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Kyoto Sanga & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1UP)	67.3%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Kyoto Sanga (1UP)	46.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2UP)	51.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Kyoto Sanga (2UP)	26.6%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half	42.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	31.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Kyoto Sanga to win 2nd half	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (+2.5)	86.6%	88.5%	93.8%	0.94×	1.13
Gamba Osaka (+0.5)	73.4%	73.7%	69.0%	1.07×	1.36
Kyoto Sanga (+1.5)	71.1%	73.7%	82.0%	0.90×	1.36
Gamba Osaka (-0.5)	51.2%	52.3%	42.9%	1.22×	1.91
Kyoto Sanga (+0.5)	48.8%	47.7%	57.1%	0.83×	2.10
Gamba Osaka (-1.5)	28.9%	26.3%	18.0%	1.46×	3.80
Kyoto Sanga (-0.5)	26.6%	26.3%	31.0%	0.85×	3.80
Gamba Osaka (-2.5)	13.4%	11.5%	6.2%	1.86×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede	84.8%	81.4%	75.3%	1.08×	1.23
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet	15.2%	18.6%	24.7%	0.76×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to concede in 1st half	55.6%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet in 1st half	44.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 6.5 corners	85.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Kyoto Sanga under 5.5 corners	74.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Kyoto Sanga under 4.5 corners	60.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 corners	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 corners	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Kyoto Sanga over 4.5 corners	39.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Kyoto Sanga over 5.5 corners	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Kyoto Sanga over 6.5 corners	15.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 3.5 goals	95.6%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Kyoto Sanga under 2.5 goals	85.6%	87.9%	87.8%	1.00×	1.14
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 goals	72.9%	72.0%	68.0%	1.06×	1.39
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 goals	62.5%	63.0%	68.2%	0.92×	1.59
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals	37.5%	37.0%	31.8%	1.16×	2.70
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 goals	27.1%	28.0%	32.0%	0.88×	3.57
Kyoto Sanga over 2.5 goals	14.4%	12.1%	12.2%	1.00×	8.24
Kyoto Sanga over 3.5 goals	4.4%	2.5%	4.1%	0.60×	40.65

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Kyoto Sanga under 0.5 in 1st half	59.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Kyoto Sanga over 0.5 in 1st half	40.7%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (away no bet)	69.7%	66.4%	62.0%	1.07×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.3%	33.6%	38.0%	0.88×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga even goals	53.7%	52.8%	54.4%	0.97×	1.89
Kyoto Sanga odd goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.6%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	78.6%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	21.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.64

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row	46.5%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Kyoto Sanga to score 2+ in a row	26.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row	19.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+ in a row	7.4%	5.7%	—	—	17.69

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5)	81.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga corners (+3.5)	69.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Kyoto Sanga corners (+2.5)	59.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5)	51.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Kyoto Sanga corners (+1.5)	48.4%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5)	40.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5)	30.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Kyoto Sanga corners (-1.5)	18.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Kyoto Sanga corners (-2.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Kyoto Sanga corners (-3.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	31.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	73.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	41.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	37.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	31.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	26.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.0%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
2-1	9.5%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.48
1-2	6.6%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
2-0	7.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-1	5.5%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
3-1	6.0%	7.4%	3.0%	2.47×	13.48
Any other score	5.3%	7.4%	3.2%	2.34×	13.48
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.47
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
0-3	1.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.47
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.47
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.48
3-0	4.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.46
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.47
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.49
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.48
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.47
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	64.4%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT (DNB)	35.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or Kyoto Sanga (12)	77.8%	75.6%	73.7%	1.02×	1.32
Gamba Osaka or draw (1X)	73.4%	72.1%	69.0%	1.05×	1.39
Kyoto Sanga or draw (X2)	48.8%	48.6%	57.1%	0.85×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw at HT	78.2%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Gamba Osaka or Kyoto Sanga at HT	61.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Kyoto Sanga or draw at HT	60.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP)	73.4%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Kyoto Sanga or draw (1UP)	48.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half	73.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Gamba Osaka or Kyoto Sanga in 2nd half	68.3%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Kyoto Sanga or draw in 2nd half	58.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (DNB)	65.8%	67.1%	58.0%	1.16×	1.49
Kyoto Sanga (DNB)	34.2%	32.9%	42.0%	0.78×	3.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score first	56.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Kyoto Sanga to score first	39.3%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.7%	56.5%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.3%	43.5%	49.5%	0.88×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.7%	47.1%	37.2%	1.27×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	28.1%	33.6%	40.0%	0.84×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.0%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.1%	12.3%	9.7%	1.28×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.9%	80.0%	86.2%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.1%	20.0%	13.8%	1.46×	4.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.2%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.7%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.69

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.4%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	62.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	37.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	43.1%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.38
4-6 goals	35.2%	35.0%	21.0%	1.67×	2.85
0-1 goals	17.3%	20.2%	29.6%	0.68×	4.96
7+ goals	4.4%	1.8%	2.5%	0.73×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 1	35.4%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 0	27.1%	27.4%	32.0%	0.86×	3.65
Kyoto Sanga to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.4%	19.8%	1.13×	4.46
Kyoto Sanga to score 3+	14.4%	12.8%	12.2%	1.05×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score 3+	29.3%	26.5%	14.9%	1.78×	3.77
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1	28.6%	26.5%	36.4%	0.73×	3.77
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0	15.2%	18.9%	24.7%	0.77×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka leading at HT	39.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Draw at HT	38.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Kyoto Sanga leading at HT	21.8%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka -1: 2	48.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gamba Osaka -1: 1	28.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Gamba Osaka -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:1)	48.8%	46.0%	57.1%	0.81×	2.18
Gamba Osaka (0:1)	28.9%	27.0%	18.0%	1.50×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	25.0%	0.97×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:2)	71.1%	75.6%	82.0%	0.92×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	15.5%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.55
Gamba Osaka (0:2)	13.4%	11.0%	6.2%	1.78×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:3)	86.6%	90.8%	93.8%	0.97×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	5.8%	4.3%	1.37×	17.14
Gamba Osaka (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	2.1%	2.83×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (0:4)	94.8%	94.7%	97.9%	0.97×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.27
Gamba Osaka (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	0.8%	1.51×	83.48

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1:0)	73.4%	72.6%	69.0%	1.05×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.4%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.88
Kyoto Sanga (1:0)	11.2%	12.8%	11.9%	1.08×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2:0)	88.8%	88.4%	88.1%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.4%	6.5%	6.0%	1.07×	15.49
Kyoto Sanga (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.13

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.9%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede	72.9%	73.1%	68.0%	1.07×	1.37
Gamba Osaka clean sheet	27.1%	26.9%	32.0%	0.84×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	59.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half	40.7%	37.5%	—	—	2.67

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners	89.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners	64.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners	62.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners	50.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners	49.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners	37.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners	35.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners	10.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals	87.7%	87.3%	94.9%	0.92×	1.15
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals	84.8%	82.1%	75.3%	1.09×	1.22
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals	70.7%	74.2%	85.1%	0.87×	1.35
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals	56.2%	58.8%	39.1%	1.50×	1.70
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals	43.8%	41.2%	60.9%	0.68×	2.43
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals	29.3%	25.8%	14.9%	1.74×	3.87
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals	15.2%	17.9%	24.7%	0.72×	5.60
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals	12.3%	12.7%	5.1%	2.52×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	80.5%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	55.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	44.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	19.5%	15.9%	—	—	6.30

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga (home no bet)	54.5%	51.7%	54.1%	0.95×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.5%	48.3%	45.9%	1.05×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka even goals	51.1%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.98
Gamba Osaka odd goals	48.9%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	26.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	21.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	10.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Kyoto Sanga at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Gamba Osaka at HT / Kyoto Sanga at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score last	56.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Kyoto Sanga to score last	39.3%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	67.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 1 at any time	46.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	36.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 2 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	16.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Kyoto Sanga to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.15

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka most corners	62.7%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Kyoto Sanga most corners	27.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	87.5%	1.00×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.3%	78.6%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.2%	72.4%	81.8%	0.89×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.2%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.4%	59.3%	1.07×	1.58
3-6 goals	57.5%	59.2%	44.3%	1.34×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.4%	59.2%	69.6%	0.85×	1.69
3-5 goals	51.4%	53.2%	41.3%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.1%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.1%	43.6%	35.6%	1.22×	2.30
4-6 goals	35.2%	39.1%	21.0%	1.86×	2.56
1-2 goals	34.2%	35.4%	46.4%	0.76×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.1%	30.3%	18.0%	1.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	17.4%	18.6%	8.9%	2.10×	5.37
7+ goals	4.4%	2.6%	2.5%	1.01×	39.13

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka never behind	49.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Kyoto Sanga never behind	28.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.32

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	46.8%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	53.2%	0.92×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	92.9%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	89.6%	87.7%	94.5%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	82.7%	82.4%	70.4%	1.17×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	78.2%	77.4%	88.8%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	61.9%	61.8%	46.7%	1.32×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	60.4%	61.7%	76.6%	0.81×	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39.6%	38.3%	23.4%	1.63×	2.61
Under 2.5 goals	38.1%	38.2%	53.3%	0.72×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	21.8%	22.7%	11.2%	2.02×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.3%	17.6%	29.6%	0.60×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	10.4%	12.3%	5.5%	2.23×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.3%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.2%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.1%	75.9%	61.2%	1.24×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	73.5%	72.6%	87.2%	0.83×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.9%	51.8%	30.5%	1.70×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.1%	48.2%	69.5%	0.69×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	26.5%	27.4%	12.8%	2.14×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.9%	24.1%	38.8%	0.62×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.8%	13.3%	5.9%	2.26×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.7%	2.8%	2.6%	1.06×	36.08

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	73.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	61.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	38.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	26.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.33

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.5%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.5%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to score in both halves	77.9%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves	63.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Gamba Osaka to score in both halves	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Kyoto Sanga to score in both halves	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.7%	60.2%	50.5%	1.19×	1.66
Only Gamba Osaka scores	23.1%	22.3%	25.0%	0.89×	4.48
Only Kyoto Sanga scores	11.2%	10.9%	17.7%	0.62×	9.15
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	7.1%	0.64×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.8%	22.6%	23.9%	0.95×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.8%	17.4%	12.3%	1.41×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	13.3%	12.1%	22.6%	0.53×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	11.4%	12.1%	5.9%	2.06×	8.28
6 or more goals	10.4%	12.1%	5.5%	2.18×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	7.1%	0.62×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	29.1%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win both halves	94.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Gamba Osaka not to win both halves	83.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Gamba Osaka to win both halves	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
Kyoto Sanga to win both halves	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.65

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win either half	64.9%	65.2%	—	—	1.54
Kyoto Sanga to win neither half	57.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Kyoto Sanga to win either half	42.4%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Gamba Osaka to win neither half	35.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kyoto Sanga not to win to nil	88.8%	88.2%	82.3%	1.07×	1.13
Gamba Osaka not to win to nil	76.9%	78.0%	75.0%	1.04×	1.28
Gamba Osaka to win to nil	23.1%	22.0%	25.0%	0.88×	4.55
Kyoto Sanga to win to nil	11.2%	11.8%	17.7%	0.66×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka by 1	22.2%	24.1%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
Draw	22.2%	24.1%	26.3%	0.92×	4.14
Kyoto Sanga by 1	15.4%	16.9%	19.3%	0.88×	5.91
Gamba Osaka by 2	15.5%	16.9%	12.0%	1.41×	5.91
Gamba Osaka by 3+	13.4%	11.8%	6.2%	1.91×	8.47
Kyoto Sanga by 2	7.4%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.78
Kyoto Sanga by 3+	3.8%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.96