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Getafe v Osasuna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
1.35 – 0.25 xG
Shots
11 – 6
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
7 – 3
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.50 – 0.01
Goals − xG
-0.35 – +0.75
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.11.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Bertug Yildirim 20' — goalAnte Budimir 59' — goal
Getafe 1.35 xGOsasuna 0.25 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Ante Budimir 0' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Christantus Uche 4' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Bertug Yildirim 20' — Goal (0.53 xG, Open Play)Omar Alderete 25' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Ante Budimir 42' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Luis Milla 45' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alex Sola 49' — Saved Shot (0.39 xG, From Corner)Carles Pérez 51' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Christantus Uche 51' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Omar Alderete 53' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Ante Budimir 59' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mauro Arambarri 69' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Alvaro Rodríguez 75' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Pablo Ibáñez 77' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Abel Bretones 79' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Rubén Peña 88' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Carles Pérez 94' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Getafe attacking right Osasuna attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
4' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
20' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.53 Open Play Goal Alex Sola
25' Getafe Omar Alderete 0.02 Set Piece Missed Shot Alex Sola
42' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.01 Set Piece Missed Shot Rubén García
45' Getafe Luis Milla 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Diego Rico
49' Getafe Alex Sola 0.39 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot
51' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Christantus Uche
51' Getafe Christantus Uche 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mauro Arambarri
53' Getafe Omar Alderete 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot
59' Osasuna Ante Budimir 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Goal Bryan Zaragoza
69' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luis Milla
75' Getafe Alvaro Rodríguez 0.03 Set Piece Blocked Shot Juan Iglesias
77' Osasuna Pablo Ibáñez 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ante Budimir
79' Osasuna Abel Bretones 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
88' Osasuna Rubén Peña 0.06 Open Play Missed Shot Abel Bretones
94' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alvaro Rodríguez

Players

Getafe

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mauro Arambarri MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.08 0.17
Omar Alderete DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.00
Carles Pérez MR 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Luis Milla MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.09 0.11
Diego Rico DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.64
David Soria GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juan Berrocal DC 85 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alex Sola ML 76 0 1 1 2 0.39 0.55 0.55
Christantus Uche FW 76 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.05 0.20
Bertug Yildirim FW 48 1 0 1 0 0.53 0.00 0.53
Djené Dakonam DR 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Borja Mayoral Sub 42 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Juan Iglesias Sub 42 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.05
Alvaro Rodríguez Sub 14 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.03 0.03
Alberto Risco Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nabil Aberdin Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03

Osasuna

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ante Budimir FW 90 1 0 3 1 0.12 0.05 0.17
Pablo Ibáñez MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Abel Bretones DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.06 0.07
Sergio Herrera GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jesús Areso DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Enzo Boyomo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Alejandro Catena DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bryan Zaragoza FWL 81 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Aimar Oroz MC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lucas Torró MC 61 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rubén García FWR 60 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.00
Raul García Sub 30 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Moncayola Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rubén Peña Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.07
Moi Gómez Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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