Gil Vicente FC v FC Porto — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · POR-Primeira Liga · 2627

Primeira Liga results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Gil Vicente FC

14:00

FC Porto

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,196h before kick-off

Gil Vicente FC win

18.7%

model 19.1%

Draw

22.9%

model 23.8%

FC Porto win

58.4%

model 57.2%

192358

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (2,277 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 15.7%
0-2 11.8%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 9.2%
0-0 8.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.9%	Under 2.5	58.1%
BTTS yes	42.2%	BTTS no	57.8%
Gil Vicente FC 1+	54.0%	Gil Vicente FC 2+	18.3%
FC Porto 1+	79.4%	FC Porto 2+	46.8%

Expected goals 0.78 – 1.58. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

FC Porto carry the stronger rating, 1799 Elo against 1505.
Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

FC Porto have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 22.9% for the draw and 18.7% for Gil Vicente FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.78 for Gil Vicente FC and 1.58 for FC Porto.

Why Gil Vicente FC

Nothing in the data singles out Gil Vicente FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.9%. A combined 2.36 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why FC Porto can win

FC Porto carry the stronger rating, 1799 Elo against 1505. Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Gil Vicente FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Porto, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Gil Vicente FC: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Porto: 51% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 10.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

FC Porto are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 15.7%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	172459	0.68–1.57	0-1 17%	39%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto to win	59.4%	54.1%	31.4%	1.73×	1.85
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	26.6%	0.92×	4.09
Gil Vicente FC to win	16.8%	19.3%	42.2%	0.46×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto & not both score	40.7%	40.0%	19.8%	2.02×	2.50
FC Porto & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	11.7%	1.52×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	14.0%	13.3%	20.4%	0.65×	7.54
Gil Vicente FC & not both score	11.0%	13.3%	26.1%	0.51×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.8%	8.4%	6.3%	1.32×	11.92
Gil Vicente FC & both teams score	5.8%	8.4%	16.2%	0.52×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto & under 3.5	45.7%	45.2%	25.5%	1.77×	2.21
FC Porto & over 1.5	42.2%	40.3%	22.4%	1.80×	2.48
FC Porto & under 2.5	30.1%	30.8%	14.2%	2.17×	3.24
FC Porto & over 2.5	29.2%	26.0%	17.3%	1.50×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
FC Porto & under 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	9.1%	1.97×	5.56
Gil Vicente FC & under 3.5	14.8%	12.9%	29.2%	0.44×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
FC Porto & over 3.5	13.6%	12.9%	6.0%	2.14×	7.77
Gil Vicente FC & under 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	17.6%	0.73×	7.77
Gil Vicente FC & over 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	31.5%	0.25×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.69
Gil Vicente FC & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.70
Gil Vicente FC & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	24.7%	0.32×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	9.6%	0.50×	20.93
Gil Vicente FC & over 3.5	2.1%	4.8%	13.1%	0.36×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (1UP)	69.0%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Gil Vicente FC (1UP)	30.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (2UP)	59.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Gil Vicente FC (2UP)	16.8%	17.4%	—	—	5.73

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto to win 2nd half	48.3%	45.8%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	36.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Gil Vicente FC to win 2nd half	15.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (+2.5)	99.1%	96.3%	89.6%	1.07×	1.04
FC Porto (+1.5)	95.7%	96.3%	77.7%	1.24×	1.04
FC Porto (+0.5)	83.2%	82.4%	57.8%	1.43×	1.21
FC Porto (-0.5)	59.4%	57.0%	31.4%	1.82×	1.75
Gil Vicente FC (+0.5)	40.6%	43.0%	68.6%	0.63×	2.33
Gil Vicente FC (-0.5)	16.8%	17.6%	42.2%	0.42×	5.68
Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)	4.3%	3.7%	22.3%	0.17×	26.77
Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)	0.9%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	27.00

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto clean sheet	50.5%	55.7%	26.0%	2.15×	1.79
FC Porto to concede	49.5%	44.3%	74.0%	0.60×	2.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto clean sheet in 1st half	74.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
FC Porto to concede in 1st half	25.5%	21.9%	—	—	4.57

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto over 2.5 corners	78.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Porto under 6.5 corners	78.0%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Porto under 5.5 corners	66.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
FC Porto over 3.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Porto under 4.5 corners	52.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
FC Porto over 4.5 corners	47.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Porto under 3.5 corners	36.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Porto over 5.5 corners	33.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
FC Porto over 6.5 corners	22.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
FC Porto under 2.5 corners	21.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto under 3.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	96.1%	0.96×	1.08
FC Porto over 0.5 goals	79.2%	76.3%	67.7%	1.13×	1.31
FC Porto under 2.5 goals	79.1%	76.3%	88.9%	0.86×	1.31
FC Porto under 1.5 goals	53.5%	53.7%	65.4%	0.82×	1.86
FC Porto over 1.5 goals	46.5%	46.3%	34.6%	1.34×	2.16
FC Porto under 0.5 goals	20.8%	23.7%	32.3%	0.74×	4.21
FC Porto over 2.5 goals	20.9%	23.7%	11.1%	2.13×	4.21
FC Porto over 3.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	3.9%	1.98×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto under 1.5 in 1st half	86.9%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
FC Porto under 0.5 in 1st half	53.4%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
FC Porto over 0.5 in 1st half	46.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
FC Porto over 1.5 in 1st half	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	58.6%	57.6%	38.7%	1.49×	1.74
Gil Vicente FC (away no bet)	41.4%	42.4%	61.3%	0.69×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto even goals	52.2%	52.8%	58.6%	0.90×	1.90
FC Porto odd goals	47.8%	47.2%	41.4%	1.14×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.0%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.0%	7.9%	—	—	12.70

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.6%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.4%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	49.0%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
FC Porto to score 2+ in a row	41.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
FC Porto to score 3+ in a row	16.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Gil Vicente FC to score 2+ in a row	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.39

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto corners (+3.5)	89.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
FC Porto corners (+2.5)	82.8%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Gil Vicente FC corners (+3.5)	79.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
FC Porto corners (+1.5)	74.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Gil Vicente FC corners (+2.5)	70.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Gil Vicente FC corners (+1.5)	59.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
FC Porto corners (-1.5)	40.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
FC Porto corners (-2.5)	29.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Gil Vicente FC corners (-1.5)	25.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
FC Porto corners (-3.5)	20.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Gil Vicente FC corners (-2.5)	17.2%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Gil Vicente FC corners (-3.5)	10.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	19.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	80.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	72.8%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	36.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	27.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	19.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.20
Over 12.5 corners	13.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	17.2%	13.8%	9.1%	1.51×	7.27
0-2	12.9%	11.4%	5.3%	2.18×	8.73
1-1	10.6%	11.4%	11.0%	1.04×	8.74
0-0	9.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.47
1-2	8.8%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.47
0-3	6.8%	7.4%	3.9%	1.92×	13.47
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.47
0-4	2.7%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.51
1-3	4.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.50
1-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.58×	58.51
2-0	2.5%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	58.51
2-1	3.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.50
2-2	3.0%	1.7%	8.3%	0.20×	58.51
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.51
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.76×	58.52
3-0	0.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.52
3-1	0.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.52
3-2	0.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.52
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.06×	58.52
4-0	0.1%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.52
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.52
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.76×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.53×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	5.53×	58.52
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	2.9%	0.58×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto leading at HT (DNB)	71.7%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT (DNB)	28.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto or draw (X2)	83.2%	80.7%	57.8%	1.40×	1.24
Gil Vicente FC or FC Porto (12)	76.2%	75.5%	73.4%	1.03×	1.32
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1X)	40.6%	45.9%	68.6%	0.67×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto or draw at HT	85.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Gil Vicente FC or draw at HT	62.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Gil Vicente FC or FC Porto at HT	52.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto or draw (1UP)	83.2%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Gil Vicente FC or draw (1UP)	40.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto or draw in 2nd half	84.9%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Gil Vicente FC or FC Porto in 2nd half	63.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Gil Vicente FC or draw in 2nd half	51.7%	54.2%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.3%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	32.7%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (DNB)	77.9%	74.6%	42.6%	1.75×	1.34
Gil Vicente FC (DNB)	22.1%	25.4%	57.4%	0.44×	3.94

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto to score first	62.8%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Gil Vicente FC to score first	27.4%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
No goal scored	9.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	61.5%	56.5%	51.9%	1.09×	1.77
Both teams to score	38.5%	43.5%	48.1%	0.91×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	50.3%	47.0%	37.9%	1.24×	2.13
Both score & over 2.5	27.9%	33.6%	37.2%	0.90×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	11.2%	12.3%	14.2%	0.87×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	10.6%	12.3%	11.0%	1.12×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.0%	89.1%	85.9%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.0%	10.9%	14.1%	0.77×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.5%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.5%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	71.1%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.34
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.67
Both score in both halves	2.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.2%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	11.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.14

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A goal in each half	44.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.0%	47.4%	45.8%	1.04×	2.11
0-1 goals	34.9%	30.8%	26.0%	1.19×	3.25
4-6 goals	18.3%	20.2%	27.7%	0.73×	4.95
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	0.9%	1.95×	55.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto to score exactly 1	32.7%	33.8%	33.2%	1.02×	2.96
FC Porto to score exactly 2	25.6%	27.4%	23.6%	1.16×	3.65
FC Porto to score exactly 0	20.8%	22.4%	32.3%	0.69×	4.46
FC Porto to score 3+	20.9%	22.4%	11.1%	2.01×	4.46

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 0	50.5%	43.4%	26.0%	1.67×	2.31
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.7%	31.5%	1.04×	3.06
Gil Vicente FC to score exactly 2	11.8%	14.3%	23.6%	0.61×	6.98
Gil Vicente FC to score 3+	3.2%	6.1%	19.2%	0.32×	16.28

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.2%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
FC Porto leading at HT	37.8%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Gil Vicente FC leading at HT	15.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto -1: 1	40.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
FC Porto -1: 2	31.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
FC Porto -1: X	27.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (0:1)	83.2%	77.7%	57.8%	1.34×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	12.5%	13.8%	20.1%	0.69×	7.22
Gil Vicente FC (0:1)	4.3%	5.8%	22.3%	0.26×	17.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (0:2)	95.7%	94.0%	77.7%	1.21×	1.06
Draw (0:2)	3.5%	3.8%	12.1%	0.31×	26.53
Gil Vicente FC (0:2)	0.9%	3.7%	10.4%	0.36×	26.69

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (0:3)	99.1%	96.6%	89.6%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	42.18
Gil Vicente FC (0:3)	0.1%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (0:4)	99.9%	98.1%	95.5%	1.03×	1.02
Gil Vicente FC (0:4)	0.0%	1.2%	1.4%	0.86×	83.61
Draw (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	3.2%	0.37×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (1:0)	40.6%	42.7%	68.6%	0.62×	2.34
FC Porto (1:0)	31.6%	30.3%	13.8%	2.20×	3.30
Draw (1:0)	27.8%	25.1%	17.8%	1.41×	3.98

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC (2:0)	68.4%	70.6%	86.2%	0.82×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	18.2%	15.7%	7.1%	2.21×	6.36
FC Porto (2:0)	13.4%	10.4%	6.8%	1.53×	9.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to concede	79.2%	76.0%	67.7%	1.12×	1.32
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet	20.8%	24.1%	32.3%	0.74×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet in 1st half	53.4%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Gil Vicente FC to concede in 1st half	46.6%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 6.5 corners	86.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Gil Vicente FC under 5.5 corners	77.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 corners	70.1%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Gil Vicente FC under 4.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 corners	52.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 corners	47.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Gil Vicente FC over 4.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 corners	29.9%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Gil Vicente FC over 5.5 corners	22.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Gil Vicente FC over 6.5 corners	13.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 3.5 goals	99.5%	96.4%	93.5%	1.03×	1.04
Gil Vicente FC under 2.5 goals	96.8%	96.4%	80.8%	1.19×	1.04
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 goals	85.0%	82.1%	57.3%	1.43×	1.22
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 goals	50.5%	53.2%	26.0%	2.05×	1.88
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 goals	49.5%	46.8%	74.0%	0.63×	2.14
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 goals	15.0%	17.9%	42.7%	0.42×	5.60
Gil Vicente FC over 2.5 goals	3.2%	3.6%	19.2%	0.19×	27.44
Gil Vicente FC over 3.5 goals	0.5%	3.6%	6.5%	0.56×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC under 1.5 in 1st half	96.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Gil Vicente FC under 0.5 in 1st half	74.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Gil Vicente FC over 0.5 in 1st half	25.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Gil Vicente FC over 1.5 in 1st half	3.6%	2.7%	—	—	37.11

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto (home no bet)	71.4%	66.4%	54.1%	1.23×	1.51
Draw (home no bet)	28.6%	33.6%	45.9%	0.73×	2.98

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC even goals	62.7%	56.0%	54.6%	1.03×	1.78
Gil Vicente FC odd goals	37.3%	44.0%	45.4%	0.97×	2.28

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.7%	38.7%	—	—	2.58
HT 0-1	25.1%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
HT 1-0	11.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	7.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.16
HT 1-1	7.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.85
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 2-0	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.94
HT 2-1	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.99
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	44.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto at HT / FC Porto at FT	33.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Draw at HT / FC Porto at FT	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Draw at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Gil Vicente FC at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
FC Porto at HT / Draw at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Gil Vicente FC at HT / FC Porto at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
FC Porto at HT / Gil Vicente FC at FT	0.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto to score last	62.7%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Gil Vicente FC to score last	27.5%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
No goal scored	9.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
FC Porto to lead by 1 at any time	69.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.9%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
FC Porto to lead by 2 at any time	36.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 1 at any time	30.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
FC Porto to lead by 3 at any time	15.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 2 at any time	6.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.26
Gil Vicente FC to lead by 3 at any time	1.2%	1.5%	—	—	65.39

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto most corners	52.0%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Gil Vicente FC most corners	36.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	90.0%	0.97×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.4%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.1%	72.4%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.3%	63.4%	73.3%	0.87×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.4%	63.4%	70.3%	0.90×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.3%	59.2%	63.5%	0.93×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.0%	53.2%	42.5%	1.25×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.0%	48.7%	45.8%	1.06×	2.06
3-6 goals	38.3%	39.2%	50.5%	0.78×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.4%	39.2%	47.6%	0.82×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.3%	35.4%	40.8%	0.87×	2.83
4-6 goals	18.3%	18.6%	27.7%	0.67×	5.37
4-5 goals	16.4%	18.6%	24.7%	0.75×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.0%	8.7%	9.9%	0.88×	11.44
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	0.9%	2.73×	39.48

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto never behind	59.9%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Gil Vicente FC never behind	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.2%	50.8%	50.1%	1.01×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.8%	49.2%	49.9%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.3%	95.5%	96.1%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	89.3%	1.03×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	93.7%	0.99×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	80.9%	82.4%	71.6%	1.15×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	65.1%	66.2%	74.0%	0.89×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	60.9%	61.7%	48.7%	1.27×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	39.1%	38.3%	51.3%	0.75×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	34.9%	33.8%	26.0%	1.30×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	19.1%	17.6%	28.4%	0.62×	5.67
Under 0.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	6.3%	1.22×	12.93
Over 4.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	10.7%	0.72×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.5%	3.9%	1.16×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.1%	97.3%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.1%	97.2%	95.9%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.2%	92.5%	87.0%	1.06×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.1%	75.9%	63.1%	1.20×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.9%	51.8%	66.4%	0.78×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.1%	48.2%	33.6%	1.43×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.9%	24.1%	36.9%	0.65×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.8%	7.5%	13.0%	0.58×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.9%	2.8%	4.1%	0.66×	36.33
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.9%	2.7%	1.0%	2.88×	36.40

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.4%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.6%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.4%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	13.99

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.2%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC not to score in both halves	91.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
FC Porto not to score in both halves	71.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
FC Porto to score in both halves	28.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Gil Vicente FC to score in both halves	8.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only FC Porto scores	40.7%	46.6%	19.8%	2.35×	2.15
Both teams score	38.5%	39.9%	48.1%	0.83×	2.51
Only Gil Vicente FC scores	11.0%	10.9%	26.1%	0.42×	9.15
Neither team scores	9.8%	7.2%	6.3%	1.14×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	24.9%	22.9%	1.09×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	25.1%	24.9%	19.8%	1.26×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	20.0%	22.6%	23.0%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	11.3%	12.1%	17.9%	0.67×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	9.8%	7.6%	6.3%	1.21×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	5.1%	7.6%	7.0%	1.10×	13.10
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.4%	3.9%	1.14×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.2%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	26.2%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
FC Porto not to win both halves	81.9%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
FC Porto to win both halves	18.1%	15.9%	—	—	6.28
Gil Vicente FC to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.13

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC to win neither half	72.1%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
FC Porto to win either half	68.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
FC Porto to win neither half	32.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Gil Vicente FC to win either half	27.9%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gil Vicente FC not to win to nil	89.0%	88.2%	73.9%	1.19×	1.13
FC Porto not to win to nil	59.4%	58.9%	80.2%	0.73×	1.70
FC Porto to win to nil	40.7%	41.1%	19.8%	2.08×	2.44
Gil Vicente FC to win to nil	11.0%	11.8%	26.1%	0.45×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Porto by 1	27.8%	27.8%	17.8%	1.57×	3.60
Draw	23.8%	24.2%	26.6%	0.91×	4.14
FC Porto by 2	18.2%	17.0%	7.1%	2.38×	5.90
FC Porto by 3+	13.4%	11.8%	6.8%	1.74×	8.47
Gil Vicente FC by 1	12.5%	11.8%	20.1%	0.59×	8.47
Gil Vicente FC by 2	3.5%	2.7%	12.1%	0.22×	37.03
Gil Vicente FC by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	10.4%	0.26×	37.11