Gimnasia La Plata v Tigre — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627
ARG-Liga Profesional
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.10–1.00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.00–0.96 | 0-0 15% | 31% | 39% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata to win | 35.0% | 36.4% | 41.7% | 0.87× | 2.75 |
| Tigre to win | 32.9% | 30.4% | 27.8% | 1.09× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 32.0% | 30.4% | 30.6% | 0.99× | 3.29 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata & not both score | 23.8% | 21.9% | 27.8% | 0.79× | 4.57 |
| Tigre & not both score | 22.3% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 1.27× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.5% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 1.12× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 14.5% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 0.90× | 7.54 |
| Gimnasia La Plata & both teams score | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 0.94× | 7.55 |
| Tigre & both teams score | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 1.24× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata & under 3.5 | 29.8% | 26.0% | 34.9% | 0.75× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 28.4% | 26.0% | 28.1% | 0.93× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 28.4% | 26.0% | 28.1% | 0.93× | 3.84 |
| Tigre & under 3.5 | 28.2% | 26.0% | 23.6% | 1.10× | 3.84 |
| Gimnasia La Plata & over 1.5 | 21.3% | 21.6% | 27.6% | 0.78× | 4.62 |
| Gimnasia La Plata & under 2.5 | 20.7% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 0.92× | 4.62 |
| Tigre & over 1.5 | 19.8% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 1.03× | 5.56 |
| Tigre & under 2.5 | 19.6% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 1.23× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 1.13× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 0.87× | 7.77 |
| Gimnasia La Plata & under 1.5 | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 0.91× | 7.77 |
| Gimnasia La Plata & over 2.5 | 14.3% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 0.71× | 7.77 |
| Tigre & under 1.5 | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 1.25× | 7.77 |
| Tigre & over 2.5 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 0.98× | 7.77 |
| Gimnasia La Plata & over 3.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.13× | 12.70 |
| Tigre & over 3.5 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.13× | 20.92 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.81× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.81× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata (1UP) | 47.9% | 43.4% | — | — | 2.31 |
| Tigre (1UP) | 46.0% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata (2UP) | 35.0% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Tigre (2UP) | 32.9% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 43.4% | 41.3% | — | — | 2.42 |
| Tigre to win 2nd half | 28.5% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to win 2nd half | 28.1% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (+2.5) | 96.2% | 96.3% | 95.0% | 1.01× | 1.04 |
| Tigre (+1.5) | 86.6% | 88.5% | 82.5% | 1.07× | 1.13 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (+0.5) | 67.1% | 68.7% | 72.2% | 0.95× | 1.46 |
| Tigre (+0.5) | 65.0% | 62.9% | 58.3% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (-0.5) | 35.0% | 37.1% | 41.7% | 0.89× | 2.70 |
| Tigre (-0.5) | 32.9% | 31.3% | 27.8% | 1.13× | 3.19 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (-1.5) | 13.4% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 0.66× | 8.69 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (-2.5) | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 0.74× | 26.80 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre to concede | 63.2% | 67.2% | 68.1% | 0.99× | 1.49 |
| Tigre clean sheet | 36.8% | 32.8% | 31.9% | 1.03× | 3.05 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre clean sheet in 1st half | 65.1% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Tigre to concede in 1st half | 34.9% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.34 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 6.5 corners | 81.9% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Tigre over 2.5 corners | 74.6% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Tigre under 5.5 corners | 71.6% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Tigre over 3.5 corners | 58.0% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Tigre under 4.5 corners | 58.1% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Tigre under 3.5 corners | 42.0% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Tigre over 4.5 corners | 41.9% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Tigre over 5.5 corners | 28.4% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
| Tigre under 2.5 corners | 25.4% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| Tigre over 6.5 corners | 18.1% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 3.5 goals | 98.3% | 97.6% | 98.9% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Tigre under 2.5 goals | 92.7% | 92.3% | 93.3% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Tigre under 1.5 goals | 75.1% | 76.2% | 78.2% | 0.97× | 1.31 |
| Tigre over 0.5 goals | 61.7% | 62.9% | 57.6% | 1.09× | 1.59 |
| Tigre under 0.5 goals | 38.3% | 37.1% | 42.4% | 0.87× | 2.70 |
| Tigre over 1.5 goals | 24.9% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 1.09× | 4.20 |
| Tigre over 2.5 goals | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.15× | 13.07 |
| Tigre over 3.5 goals | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.13× | 40.89 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre under 1.5 in 1st half | 94.3% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Tigre under 0.5 in 1st half | 68.1% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Tigre over 0.5 in 1st half | 31.9% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.16 |
| Tigre over 1.5 in 1st half | 5.7% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.23 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata (away no bet) | 52.2% | 51.3% | 57.7% | 0.89× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 47.8% | 48.8% | 42.3% | 1.15× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre even goals | 57.3% | 56.9% | 58.4% | 0.97× | 1.76 |
| Tigre odd goals | 42.7% | 43.1% | 41.6% | 1.04× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 93.8% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 6.2% | 7.2% | — | — | 13.85 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 54.7% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 45.3% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 39.0% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to score 2+ in a row | 21.5% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.13 |
| Tigre to score 2+ in a row | 20.1% | 19.4% | — | — | 5.14 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 10.3% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.30 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to score 3+ in a row | 5.5% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.92 |
| Tigre to score 3+ in a row | 4.9% | 2.7% | — | — | 37.45 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata corners (+3.5) | 86.9% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Gimnasia La Plata corners (+2.5) | 80.2% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Tigre corners (+3.5) | 79.8% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Gimnasia La Plata corners (+1.5) | 71.5% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Tigre corners (+2.5) | 71.3% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Tigre corners (+1.5) | 61.2% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Gimnasia La Plata corners (-1.5) | 38.8% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Gimnasia La Plata corners (-2.5) | 28.7% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Tigre corners (-1.5) | 28.5% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Gimnasia La Plata corners (-3.5) | 20.2% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Tigre corners (-2.5) | 19.8% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Tigre corners (-3.5) | 13.1% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 46.4% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| 9-11 corners | 28.9% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| 12+ corners | 24.7% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 82.2% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.3% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 66.9% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 64.6% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 57.1% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 53.6% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 46.4% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42.9% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 35.4% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 33.1% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 24.7% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 17.8% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 0.77× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 0.81× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 0.85× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 1.11× | 8.73 |
| 2-0 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 0.78× | 13.47 |
| 2-1 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 0.85× | 13.47 |
| 0-2 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.66× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.04× | 13.47 |
| 0-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.51 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.98× | 58.52 |
| 1-3 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.88× | 58.51 |
| 1-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.97× | 58.52 |
| 2-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.51 |
| 2-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.52 |
| 2-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 14.90× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.62× | 58.51 |
| 3-1 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.51 |
| 3-2 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.15× | 58.52 |
| 3-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.97× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 14.90× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.49× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.13× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 4.97× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.45× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 7.45× | 58.52 |
| Any other score | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.86× | 58.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata leading at HT (DNB) | 53.4% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Tigre leading at HT (DNB) | 46.6% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata or Tigre (12) | 68.0% | 69.6% | 69.4% | 1.00× | 1.44 |
| Gimnasia La Plata or draw (1X) | 67.1% | 69.6% | 72.2% | 0.96× | 1.44 |
| Tigre or draw (X2) | 65.0% | 63.6% | 58.3% | 1.09× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata or draw at HT | 77.7% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Tigre or draw at HT | 74.4% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Gimnasia La Plata or Tigre at HT | 47.9% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata or draw (1UP) | 67.1% | 75.7% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Tigre or draw (1UP) | 65.0% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre or draw in 2nd half | 71.9% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Gimnasia La Plata or draw in 2nd half | 71.5% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Gimnasia La Plata or Tigre in 2nd half | 56.6% | 58.7% | — | — | 1.70 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 72.5% | 71.0% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Neither half drawn | 27.5% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata (DNB) | 51.6% | 50.9% | 60.1% | 0.85× | 1.96 |
| Tigre (DNB) | 48.4% | 49.1% | 39.9% | 1.23× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata to score first | 43.6% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Tigre to score first | 41.9% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 14.5% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.37 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 60.6% | 56.5% | 59.5% | 0.95× | 1.77 |
| Both teams to score | 39.4% | 43.5% | 40.5% | 1.08× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 54.9% | 47.1% | 52.9% | 0.89× | 2.12 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 25.4% | 33.6% | 27.2% | 1.24× | 2.98 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 0.92× | 8.12 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 1.24× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 93.4% | 89.1% | 94.2% | 0.95× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 6.6% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.86× | 9.19 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 80.9% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 19.1% | 27.6% | — | — | 3.63 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 71.8% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 17.0% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.35 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.1% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.69 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.1% | 4.8% | — | — | 20.70 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 88.8% | 86.1% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 11.2% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.18 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 61.9% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| A goal in each half | 38.1% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.42 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.1% | 47.4% | 47.4% | 1.00× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 41.4% | 42.1% | 39.1% | 1.08× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 13.1% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 1.27× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 3.95× | 55.22 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre to score exactly 0 | 38.3% | 36.0% | 42.4% | 0.85× | 2.78 |
| Tigre to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 36.0% | 35.9% | 1.00× | 2.78 |
| Tigre to score exactly 2 | 17.6% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 1.28× | 5.12 |
| Tigre to score 3+ | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 1.27× | 11.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 0 | 36.8% | 35.6% | 31.9% | 1.12× | 2.81 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 35.6% | 36.6% | 0.97× | 2.81 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to score exactly 2 | 18.4% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 0.87× | 5.30 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to score 3+ | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 1.03× | 9.71 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 52.1% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Gimnasia La Plata leading at HT | 25.6% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
| Tigre leading at HT | 22.3% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata -1: 2 | 65.0% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Gimnasia La Plata -1: X | 21.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Gimnasia La Plata -1: 1 | 13.4% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.17 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:1) | 65.0% | 61.4% | 58.3% | 1.05× | 1.63 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.6% | 24.3% | 24.3% | 1.00× | 4.12 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (0:1) | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 0.79× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:2) | 86.6% | 86.9% | 82.5% | 1.05× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 9.6% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 0.61× | 12.94 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (0:2) | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 0.75× | 26.51 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:3) | 96.2% | 96.6% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 0.69× | 42.08 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (0:3) | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.38× | 42.17 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (0:4) | 99.1% | 98.1% | 98.3% | 1.00× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.95× | 83.53 |
| Gimnasia La Plata (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.09× | 83.60 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata (1:0) | 67.1% | 69.9% | 72.2% | 0.97× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 20.7% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 1.16× | 4.60 |
| Tigre (1:0) | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 1.40× | 7.81 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata (2:0) | 87.8% | 88.4% | 90.8% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 1.02× | 15.51 |
| Tigre (2:0) | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.76× | 44.29 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.1% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Halves equal | 31.2% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 25.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata to concede | 61.7% | 63.4% | 57.6% | 1.10× | 1.58 |
| Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet | 38.3% | 36.6% | 42.4% | 0.86× | 2.73 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet in 1st half | 68.1% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to concede in 1st half | 31.9% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata over 2.5 corners | 80.1% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 6.5 corners | 75.4% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 3.5 corners | 65.4% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 5.5 corners | 64.0% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 4.5 corners | 50.0% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 4.5 corners | 50.0% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 5.5 corners | 36.0% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 3.5 corners | 34.6% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 6.5 corners | 24.6% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 2.5 corners | 19.9% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 96.4% | 97.1% | 0.99× | 1.04 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 2.5 goals | 92.0% | 92.3% | 90.0% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 goals | 73.6% | 74.2% | 68.3% | 1.09× | 1.35 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 goals | 63.2% | 63.4% | 68.1% | 0.93× | 1.58 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 goals | 36.8% | 36.6% | 31.9% | 1.15× | 2.74 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 goals | 26.4% | 25.8% | 31.7% | 0.81× | 3.88 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 2.5 goals | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 0.78× | 12.92 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.27× | 27.50 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.0% | 95.4% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Gimnasia La Plata under 0.5 in 1st half | 65.1% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 0.5 in 1st half | 34.9% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.19 |
| Gimnasia La Plata over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.0% | 4.6% | — | — | 21.68 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre (home no bet) | 50.7% | 51.6% | 47.5% | 1.08× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 49.3% | 48.4% | 52.5% | 0.92× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata even goals | 56.8% | 55.5% | 55.7% | 1.00× | 1.80 |
| Gimnasia La Plata odd goals | 43.2% | 44.5% | 44.3% | 1.01× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 44.4% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.0% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.32 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.9% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.4% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.17 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.76 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.82 |
| Any other HT score | 1.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.95 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.97 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.95 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.05 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 23.0% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT | 19.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Tigre at HT / Tigre at FT | 16.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Tigre at FT | 14.6% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT | 14.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Tigre at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Gimnasia La Plata at HT / Tigre at FT | 1.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.93 |
| Tigre at HT / Gimnasia La Plata at FT | 1.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.94 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata to score last | 43.6% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.48 |
| Tigre to score last | 41.9% | 40.3% | — | — | 2.48 |
| No goal scored | 14.5% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.93 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 85.5% | 90.2% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 1 at any time | 47.9% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Tigre to lead by 1 at any time | 46.0% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 32.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 2 at any time | 17.1% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.68 |
| Tigre to lead by 2 at any time | 15.7% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 8.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.16 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to lead by 3 at any time | 4.7% | 1.6% | — | — | 61.79 |
| Tigre to lead by 3 at any time | 4.1% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.33 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata most corners | 50.0% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Tigre most corners | 38.8% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Corners level | 11.2% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.39 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 84.0% | 83.5% | 84.3% | 0.99× | 1.20 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.6% | 83.5% | 80.0% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 72.0% | 72.4% | 71.7% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 58.2% | 59.2% | 60.6% | 0.98× | 1.69 |
| 2-5 goals | 57.1% | 59.2% | 60.0% | 0.99× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 54.3% | 53.2% | 51.5% | 1.03× | 1.88 |
| 2-4 goals | 53.8% | 53.2% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.1% | 48.7% | 47.4% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 30.8% | 35.4% | 33.5% | 1.06× | 2.83 |
| 3-5 goals | 29.7% | 30.2% | 32.9% | 0.92× | 3.31 |
| 3-4 goals | 26.3% | 30.2% | 28.7% | 1.05× | 3.31 |
| 4-6 goals | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 1.12× | 6.72 |
| 4-5 goals | 12.0% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 1.17× | 6.73 |
| 5-6 goals | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 0.52× | 39.31 |
| 7+ goals | 0.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 5.52× | 39.50 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia La Plata never behind | 39.5% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| Tigre never behind | 37.6% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.2% | 50.8% | 49.1% | 1.04× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.8% | 49.2% | 50.9% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 60.0% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 40.0% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 55.3% | 59.0% | — | — | 1.70 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 44.7% | 41.0% | — | — | 2.44 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 98.5% | 95.5% | 99.0% | 0.97× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95.1% | 95.5% | 94.7% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86.5% | 87.6% | 86.4% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 85.5% | 87.6% | 85.2% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 66.2% | 66.2% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58.6% | 58.8% | 60.9% | 0.97× | 1.70 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 41.4% | 41.2% | 39.1% | 1.05× | 2.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31.2% | 33.8% | 33.8% | 1.00× | 2.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 0.84× | 8.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 0.91× | 8.09 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 0.85× | 22.21 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 1.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 4.35× | 22.27 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.6% | 97.3% | 99.5% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 98.4% | 97.3% | 98.9% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 94.6% | 92.5% | 94.2% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 83.6% | 81.1% | 82.9% | 0.98× | 1.23 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 57.0% | 55.5% | 53.6% | 1.04× | 1.80 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 43.0% | 44.5% | 46.4% | 0.96× | 2.25 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 16.4% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 1.11× | 5.29 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.31× | 13.29 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.55× | 36.37 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 5.95× | 36.41 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 95.1% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 80.3% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 55.6% | 63.5% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 44.4% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 19.7% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.28 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 4.9% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.82 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 89.1% | 85.4% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 68.1% | 67.1% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 68.0% | 67.1% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 32.0% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 31.9% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 10.9% | 14.6% | — | — | 6.83 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre not to score in both halves | 86.1% | 85.9% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Gimnasia La Plata not to score in both halves | 84.8% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to score in both halves | 15.2% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Tigre to score in both halves | 13.9% | 14.1% | — | — | 7.11 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 39.4% | 39.9% | 40.5% | 0.99× | 2.51 |
| Only Gimnasia La Plata scores | 23.8% | 22.4% | 27.8% | 0.81× | 4.47 |
| Only Tigre scores | 22.3% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 1.30× | 4.48 |
| Neither team scores | 14.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 0.74× | 9.13 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 27.4% | 24.9% | 27.2% | 0.92× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 26.8% | 24.9% | 24.4% | 1.02× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 17.7% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 0.86× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 14.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 0.82× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 0.90× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.01× | 22.69 |
| 6 or more goals | 1.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 4.27× | 22.72 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 36.2% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 32.0% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 31.9% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre not to win both halves | 93.6% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Gimnasia La Plata not to win both halves | 92.8% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to win both halves | 7.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.61 |
| Tigre to win both halves | 6.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.68 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre to win neither half | 55.6% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to win neither half | 53.5% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to win either half | 46.5% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Tigre to win either half | 44.4% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre not to win to nil | 77.7% | 78.0% | 82.8% | 0.94× | 1.28 |
| Gimnasia La Plata not to win to nil | 76.2% | 78.0% | 72.2% | 1.08× | 1.28 |
| Gimnasia La Plata to win to nil | 23.8% | 22.0% | 27.8% | 0.79× | 4.55 |
| Tigre to win to nil | 22.3% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 1.28× | 4.55 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 32.0% | 27.6% | 30.6% | 0.90× | 3.62 |
| Gimnasia La Plata by 1 | 21.6% | 24.1% | 24.3% | 0.99× | 4.14 |
| Tigre by 1 | 20.7% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 1.29× | 4.14 |
| Gimnasia La Plata by 2 | 9.6% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 0.57× | 13.79 |
| Tigre by 2 | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 1.15× | 13.79 |
| Gimnasia La Plata by 3+ | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 0.54× | 37.01 |
| Tigre by 3+ | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.91× | 37.03 |