Golden Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · RSA-Premiership · 2627

RSA-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Golden Arrows

09:00

Kaizer Chiefs

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 317h before kick-off

Golden Arrows win

26.7%

model 29.4%

Draw

36.7%

model 35.5%

Kaizer Chiefs win

36.6%

model 35.1%

273737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 16.0%
0-0 15.6%
0-1 11.6%
1-0 10.1%
0-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	33.1%	Under 2.5	66.9%
BTTS yes	43.0%	BTTS no	57.0%
Golden Arrows 1+	61.7%	Golden Arrows 2+	24.9%
Kaizer Chiefs 1+	65.7%	Kaizer Chiefs 2+	29.0%

Expected goals 0.96 – 1.07. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Kaizer Chiefs or draw (X2)

Double chance · usually 58%

72.3% fair odds 1.38

strong signal · 1552 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Golden Arrows not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Golden Arrows.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

The draw is the single most likely outcome at 36.7%, with Golden Arrows at 26.7% and Kaizer Chiefs at 36.6%. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.96 for Golden Arrows and 1.07 for Kaizer Chiefs.

Why Golden Arrows

Nothing in the data singles out Golden Arrows.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 36.7%. A combined 2.03 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 0.96 to 1.07. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Kaizer Chiefs can win

Kaizer Chiefs carry the stronger rating, 1607 Elo against 1534.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Golden Arrows, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kaizer Chiefs, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Golden Arrows: 54% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kaizer Chiefs: 56% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 8.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

A draw is the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 16.0%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	293535	0.96–1.07	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	274034	0.76–0.88	0-0 22%	23%	33%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	39.5%	36.5%	30.7%	1.19×	2.74
Kaizer Chiefs to win	33.6%	30.4%	27.4%	1.11×	3.29
Golden Arrows to win	26.8%	27.9%	42.1%	0.66×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs & not both score	25.0%	25.2%	18.5%	1.36×	3.97
Draw & not both score	21.9%	21.9%	13.0%	1.68×	4.57
Golden Arrows & not both score	19.7%	17.9%	29.9%	0.60×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	17.9%	1.00×	5.58
Kaizer Chiefs & both teams score	8.6%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.94
Golden Arrows & both teams score	7.1%	8.4%	12.4%	0.68×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	37.2%	34.9%	27.8%	1.25×	2.86
Draw & under 3.5	37.2%	34.9%	27.8%	1.25×	2.86
Kaizer Chiefs & under 3.5	30.1%	30.9%	23.0%	1.34×	3.24
Golden Arrows & under 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	35.6%	0.61×	4.62
Kaizer Chiefs & under 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	15.7%	1.38×	4.62
Draw & under 1.5	21.9%	21.6%	13.0%	1.66×	4.62
Kaizer Chiefs & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	17.1%	1.05×	5.56
Golden Arrows & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	26.0%	0.69×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.7%	18.0%	17.9%	1.01×	5.56
Golden Arrows & over 1.5	14.5%	12.9%	26.6%	0.48×	7.77
Kaizer Chiefs & under 1.5	14.7%	12.9%	10.6%	1.22×	7.77
Golden Arrows & under 1.5	12.4%	12.9%	15.7%	0.82×	7.78
Kaizer Chiefs & over 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	12.0%	1.07×	7.78
Golden Arrows & over 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	16.3%	0.48×	12.69
Kaizer Chiefs & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	4.7%	1.02×	20.93
Golden Arrows & over 3.5	2.5%	4.8%	6.7%	0.71×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	2.3%	4.8%	3.0%	1.57×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	3.0%	1.57×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (1UP)	45.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Golden Arrows (1UP)	38.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (2UP)	33.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Golden Arrows (2UP)	26.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	49.2%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Kaizer Chiefs to win 2nd half	28.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Golden Arrows to win 2nd half	22.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (+2.5)	98.0%	96.3%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Kaizer Chiefs (+1.5)	91.0%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
Kaizer Chiefs (+0.5)	73.2%	73.7%	57.9%	1.27×	1.36
Golden Arrows (+0.5)	66.4%	68.7%	72.6%	0.95×	1.46
Kaizer Chiefs (-0.5)	33.6%	31.3%	27.4%	1.14×	3.20
Golden Arrows (-0.5)	26.8%	26.3%	42.1%	0.63×	3.80
Golden Arrows (-1.5)	9.0%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.65
Golden Arrows (-2.5)	2.0%	3.7%	6.3%	0.59×	26.88

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to concede	53.1%	55.9%	68.7%	0.81×	1.79
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet	46.9%	44.1%	31.3%	1.41×	2.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet in 1st half	72.2%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Kaizer Chiefs to concede in 1st half	27.8%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs under 6.5 corners	87.0%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Kaizer Chiefs under 5.5 corners	78.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Kaizer Chiefs under 4.5 corners	67.2%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Kaizer Chiefs over 2.5 corners	65.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Kaizer Chiefs under 3.5 corners	52.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Kaizer Chiefs over 3.5 corners	48.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Kaizer Chiefs under 2.5 corners	34.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Kaizer Chiefs over 4.5 corners	32.8%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Kaizer Chiefs over 5.5 corners	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Kaizer Chiefs over 6.5 corners	13.0%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.6%	98.0%	1.00×	1.03
Kaizer Chiefs under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.4%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Kaizer Chiefs under 1.5 goals	78.1%	76.2%	78.3%	0.97×	1.31
Kaizer Chiefs over 0.5 goals	58.4%	59.6%	57.3%	1.04×	1.68
Kaizer Chiefs under 0.5 goals	41.6%	40.4%	42.7%	0.95×	2.48
Kaizer Chiefs over 1.5 goals	21.9%	23.8%	21.7%	1.09×	4.21
Kaizer Chiefs over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.08
Kaizer Chiefs over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.4%	2.0%	1.20×	41.13

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Kaizer Chiefs under 0.5 in 1st half	70.4%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Kaizer Chiefs over 0.5 in 1st half	29.6%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Kaizer Chiefs over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.5%	—	—	22.24

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	59.6%	57.5%	42.2%	1.36×	1.74
Golden Arrows (away no bet)	40.4%	42.5%	57.8%	0.73×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs even goals	58.6%	56.9%	58.5%	0.97×	1.76
Kaizer Chiefs odd goals	41.4%	43.1%	41.5%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	96.3%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
Both halves over 1.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	—	—	27.82

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	62.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Not both halves under 1.5	37.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	31.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Kaizer Chiefs to score 2+ in a row	18.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.08
Golden Arrows to score 2+ in a row	14.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Either team to score 3+ in a row	7.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.96
Kaizer Chiefs to score 3+ in a row	4.3%	2.7%	—	—	37.47
Golden Arrows to score 3+ in a row	2.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows corners (+3.5)	89.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Golden Arrows corners (+2.5)	82.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Kaizer Chiefs corners (+3.5)	77.6%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Golden Arrows corners (+1.5)	74.7%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Kaizer Chiefs corners (+2.5)	68.7%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Kaizer Chiefs corners (+1.5)	58.2%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Golden Arrows corners (-1.5)	41.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Golden Arrows corners (-2.5)	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Kaizer Chiefs corners (-1.5)	25.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Golden Arrows corners (-3.5)	22.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Kaizer Chiefs corners (-2.5)	17.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Kaizer Chiefs corners (-3.5)	11.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.7%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
9-11 corners	25.4%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	18.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.6%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	74.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 8.5 corners	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 7.5 corners	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 7.5 corners	44.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 8.5 corners	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	25.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	13.4%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	21.9%	20.1%	13.0%	1.55×	4.96
1-1	15.3%	13.7%	15.0%	0.91×	7.28
0-1	14.7%	11.5%	10.6%	1.08×	8.73
1-0	12.4%	11.5%	15.7%	0.73×	8.73
0-2	7.5%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.46
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.46
2-0	5.6%	7.4%	10.6%	0.70×	13.46
2-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.56
0-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.58
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.59
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.58
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.59
2-2	2.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.60×	58.58
2-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.10×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.59
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.58
3-1	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.59
3-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.59
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.59
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.40×	58.59
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.80×	58.59
4-1	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.59
4-2	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.59
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.20×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.40×	58.59
Any other score	0.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs leading at HT (DNB)	52.2%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Golden Arrows leading at HT (DNB)	47.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw (X2)	73.2%	72.1%	57.9%	1.25×	1.39
Golden Arrows or draw (1X)	66.4%	69.6%	72.6%	0.96×	1.44
Golden Arrows or Kaizer Chiefs (12)	60.5%	63.5%	69.3%	0.92×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw at HT	79.8%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Golden Arrows or draw at HT	77.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Golden Arrows or Kaizer Chiefs at HT	42.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw (1UP)	73.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Golden Arrows or draw (1UP)	66.4%	75.8%	—	—	1.32

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Golden Arrows or draw in 2nd half	71.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Golden Arrows or Kaizer Chiefs in 2nd half	50.8%	54.1%	—	—	1.85

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	76.2%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Neither half drawn	23.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (DNB)	55.6%	58.1%	39.5%	1.47×	1.72
Golden Arrows (DNB)	44.4%	41.9%	60.5%	0.69×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to score first	41.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Golden Arrows to score first	36.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	21.9%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	66.6%	58.1%	61.0%	0.95×	1.72
Both teams to score	33.4%	41.9%	39.0%	1.07×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	62.1%	50.0%	54.3%	0.92×	2.00
Both score & over 2.5	18.1%	21.8%	24.2%	0.90×	4.59
Both score & under 2.5	15.3%	21.7%	15.0%	1.45×	4.60
Not both score & over 2.5	4.5%	4.7%	6.9%	0.68×	21.35

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	96.1%	91.7%	94.3%	0.97×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	3.9%	8.3%	5.7%	1.45×	12.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	84.8%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	15.2%	24.4%	—	—	4.11

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	77.4%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both score 2nd half only	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Both score 1st half only	7.5%	6.7%	—	—	14.92
Both score in both halves	1.2%	4.8%	—	—	20.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	91.4%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both teams to score by HT	8.6%	8.2%	—	—	12.14

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	68.5%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	49.0%	47.4%	38.8%	1.22×	2.11
2-3 goals	42.7%	42.1%	47.4%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	8.2%	7.6%	13.0%	0.59×	13.12
7+ goals	0.2%	1.8%	1.2%	1.48×	55.43

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to score exactly 0	41.6%	37.0%	42.7%	0.87×	2.71
Kaizer Chiefs to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	35.8%	1.01×	2.78
Kaizer Chiefs to score exactly 2	16.0%	19.5%	14.4%	1.35×	5.12
Kaizer Chiefs to score 3+	5.9%	8.5%	7.5%	1.13×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to score exactly 0	46.9%	36.7%	31.3%	1.17×	2.72
Golden Arrows to score exactly 1	35.5%	35.6%	38.6%	0.92×	2.81
Golden Arrows to score exactly 2	13.5%	14.4%	20.3%	0.71×	6.97
Golden Arrows to score 3+	4.2%	6.2%	10.2%	0.61×	16.18

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	57.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Kaizer Chiefs leading at HT	22.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.01
Golden Arrows leading at HT	20.2%	19.9%	—	—	5.03

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs -1: 1	66.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Kaizer Chiefs -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Kaizer Chiefs -1: 2	12.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.19

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (0:1)	73.2%	71.0%	57.9%	1.23×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	23.0%	0.77×	5.62
Golden Arrows (0:1)	9.0%	9.3%	19.3%	0.48×	10.79

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (0:2)	91.0%	90.8%	80.7%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	13.2%	0.58×	12.98
Golden Arrows (0:2)	2.0%	3.8%	6.3%	0.60×	26.57

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (0:3)	98.0%	96.6%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	5.3%	0.45×	42.07
Golden Arrows (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	1.2%	1.95×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs (0:4)	99.6%	98.1%	98.8%	0.99×	1.02
Golden Arrows (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.6%	1.96×	83.47
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.8%	1.47×	83.44

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows (1:0)	66.4%	69.8%	72.6%	0.96×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	21.1%	21.7%	16.3%	1.34×	4.61
Kaizer Chiefs (1:0)	12.6%	12.8%	11.4%	1.13×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows (2:0)	87.4%	88.3%	88.6%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.3%	6.5%	7.7%	0.84×	15.47
Kaizer Chiefs (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	3.9%	0.59×	44.20

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	38.8%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Halves equal	37.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
1st half highest scoring	23.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to concede	58.4%	61.0%	57.3%	1.06×	1.64
Golden Arrows clean sheet	41.6%	39.0%	42.7%	0.91×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows clean sheet in 1st half	70.4%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Golden Arrows to concede in 1st half	29.6%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows under 6.5 corners	77.6%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Golden Arrows over 2.5 corners	75.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Golden Arrows under 5.5 corners	67.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Golden Arrows over 3.5 corners	60.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Golden Arrows under 4.5 corners	54.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Golden Arrows over 4.5 corners	45.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Golden Arrows under 3.5 corners	39.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Golden Arrows over 5.5 corners	32.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Golden Arrows under 2.5 corners	24.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Golden Arrows over 6.5 corners	22.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows under 3.5 goals	99.2%	96.4%	96.5%	1.00×	1.04
Golden Arrows under 2.5 goals	95.8%	96.3%	89.8%	1.07×	1.04
Golden Arrows under 1.5 goals	82.4%	82.1%	69.7%	1.18×	1.22
Golden Arrows over 0.5 goals	53.1%	53.3%	68.7%	0.78×	1.88
Golden Arrows under 0.5 goals	46.9%	46.7%	31.3%	1.49×	2.14
Golden Arrows over 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.9%	30.3%	0.59×	5.60
Golden Arrows over 2.5 goals	4.2%	3.7%	10.2%	0.36×	27.38
Golden Arrows over 3.5 goals	0.8%	3.6%	3.5%	1.05×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows under 1.5 in 1st half	95.7%	96.8%	—	—	1.03
Golden Arrows under 0.5 in 1st half	72.2%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Golden Arrows over 0.5 in 1st half	27.8%	20.7%	—	—	4.83
Golden Arrows over 1.5 in 1st half	4.3%	3.2%	—	—	31.68

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.0%	51.6%	52.8%	0.98×	1.94
Kaizer Chiefs (home no bet)	46.0%	48.4%	47.2%	1.03×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows even goals	61.0%	55.9%	53.7%	1.04×	1.79
Golden Arrows odd goals	39.0%	44.1%	46.3%	0.95×	2.27

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	51.2%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
HT 0-1	17.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-0	16.2%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	6.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
HT 2-0	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.73
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 2-1	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87
Any other HT score	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.93

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	30.6%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Kaizer Chiefs at HT / Kaizer Chiefs at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Kaizer Chiefs at FT	15.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Golden Arrows at HT / Golden Arrows at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Golden Arrows at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Golden Arrows at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Kaizer Chiefs at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Golden Arrows at HT / Kaizer Chiefs at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.24
Kaizer Chiefs at HT / Golden Arrows at FT	0.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.25

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs to score last	42.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
Golden Arrows to score last	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	21.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	78.1%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Kaizer Chiefs to lead by 1 at any time	45.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Golden Arrows to lead by 1 at any time	38.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	26.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Kaizer Chiefs to lead by 2 at any time	15.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Golden Arrows to lead by 2 at any time	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	6.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.39
Kaizer Chiefs to lead by 3 at any time	3.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.03
Golden Arrows to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	—	—	63.43

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows most corners	53.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
Kaizer Chiefs most corners	35.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	11.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	77.5%	78.6%	85.0%	0.93×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.6%	78.6%	81.1%	0.97×	1.27
1-3 goals	69.8%	69.0%	73.2%	0.94×	1.45
1-2 goals	55.5%	59.2%	56.3%	1.05×	1.69
2-6 goals	50.9%	53.1%	60.2%	0.88×	1.88
2-5 goals	50.4%	53.1%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
2-4 goals	48.5%	48.7%	55.3%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	42.7%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.29
3-6 goals	22.4%	24.4%	29.9%	0.82×	4.09
3-5 goals	21.9%	24.4%	28.9%	0.85×	4.09
3-4 goals	20.0%	24.4%	25.0%	0.98×	4.09
4-6 goals	8.2%	8.7%	13.0%	0.67×	11.44
4-5 goals	7.7%	8.7%	12.0%	0.73×	11.44
5-6 goals	2.4%	2.5%	5.1%	0.50×	39.47
7+ goals	0.2%	2.5%	1.2%	2.07×	39.58

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kaizer Chiefs never behind	39.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Golden Arrows never behind	32.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	56.7%	50.2%	52.2%	0.96×	1.99
Odd number of goals	43.3%	49.8%	47.8%	1.04×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	63.7%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Odd goals in 1st half	36.3%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	59.0%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Odd goals in 2nd half	41.0%	37.8%	—	—	2.64

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	99.3%	95.5%	97.8%	0.98×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	97.4%	95.5%	93.9%	1.02×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	86.0%	1.07×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	78.1%	77.4%	87.0%	0.89×	1.29
Under 2.5 goals	77.4%	77.4%	69.1%	1.12×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	51.0%	52.4%	61.2%	0.86×	1.91
Under 1.5 goals	49.0%	47.6%	38.8%	1.23×	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	22.6%	22.6%	30.9%	0.73×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	21.9%	22.6%	13.0%	1.74×	4.42
Over 3.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	14.0%	0.55×	12.94
Over 4.5 goals	2.6%	4.5%	6.1%	0.74×	22.21
Over 5.5 goals	0.7%	4.5%	2.2%	2.01×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.8%	97.3%	98.8%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	99.3%	97.3%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	97.3%	97.3%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	90.2%	92.4%	83.1%	1.11×	1.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.4%	67.3%	55.7%	1.21×	1.49
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.6%	32.7%	44.3%	0.74×	3.06
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	9.8%	7.6%	16.9%	0.45×	13.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	2.7%	2.8%	6.6%	0.42×	36.36
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	0.7%	2.7%	2.3%	1.18×	36.43
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.2%	2.7%	1.2%	2.23×	36.44

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	96.9%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	84.8%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Under 0.5 in 1st half	51.2%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Over 0.5 in 1st half	48.8%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Over 1.5 in 1st half	15.2%	13.5%	—	—	7.43
Over 2.5 in 1st half	3.1%	2.7%	—	—	37.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	92.7%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.3%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.7%	22.0%	—	—	4.54
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	7.3%	10.3%	—	—	9.68

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows not to score in both halves	90.2%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Kaizer Chiefs not to score in both halves	87.9%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Kaizer Chiefs to score in both halves	12.1%	14.1%	—	—	7.11
Golden Arrows to score in both halves	9.8%	10.2%	—	—	9.76

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	33.4%	33.4%	39.0%	0.86×	3.00
Only Kaizer Chiefs scores	25.0%	26.1%	18.5%	1.41×	3.83
Neither team scores	21.9%	22.4%	13.0%	1.72×	4.47
Only Golden Arrows scores	19.7%	16.1%	29.9%	0.54×	6.20

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	28.4%	25.0%	30.5%	0.82×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	27.1%	25.0%	26.0%	0.96×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	21.9%	22.6%	13.0%	1.74×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	14.2%	12.1%	17.1%	0.71×	8.29
Exactly 4 goals	5.8%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	1.9%	4.4%	4.1%	1.09×	22.64
6 or more goals	0.7%	4.4%	2.2%	1.97×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 2nd half	39.1%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	25.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows not to win both halves	95.3%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
Kaizer Chiefs not to win both halves	93.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Kaizer Chiefs to win both halves	6.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Golden Arrows to win both halves	4.7%	2.9%	—	—	34.75

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows to win neither half	62.3%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Kaizer Chiefs to win neither half	55.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Kaizer Chiefs to win either half	44.1%	40.6%	—	—	2.46
Golden Arrows to win either half	37.7%	34.7%	—	—	2.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Golden Arrows not to win to nil	80.3%	83.0%	70.1%	1.18×	1.21
Kaizer Chiefs not to win to nil	75.0%	75.3%	81.5%	0.92×	1.33
Kaizer Chiefs to win to nil	25.0%	24.7%	18.5%	1.34×	4.05
Golden Arrows to win to nil	19.7%	17.0%	29.9%	0.57×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	39.5%	35.0%	30.7%	1.14×	2.86
Kaizer Chiefs by 1	21.1%	24.1%	16.3%	1.48×	4.14
Golden Arrows by 1	17.9%	16.9%	23.0%	0.74×	5.90
Kaizer Chiefs by 2	9.3%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.80
Golden Arrows by 2	6.9%	7.2%	13.2%	0.55×	13.81
Kaizer Chiefs by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	3.9%	0.70×	36.97
Golden Arrows by 3+	2.0%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	37.00