Hammarby v IK Sirius — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 29 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Hammarby

14:00

IK Sirius

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,292h before kick-off

Hammarby win

59.2%

model 61.5%

Draw

22.5%

model 20.0%

IK Sirius win

18.3%

model 18.5%

592218

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.5%
1-1 8.6%
2-0 7.8%
3-1 7.4%
1-0 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.9%	Under 2.5	31.1%
BTTS yes	64.2%	BTTS no	35.8%
Hammarby 1+	90.2%	Hammarby 2+	67.5%
IK Sirius 1+	70.6%	IK Sirius 2+	34.6%

Expected goals 2.33 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1625.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hammarby have an estimated 59.2% win probability, against 22.5% for the draw and 18.3% for IK Sirius. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.33 for Hammarby and 1.23 for IK Sirius.

Why Hammarby

Hammarby carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1625. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why IK Sirius can win

Nothing in the data singles out IK Sirius.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hammarby, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for IK Sirius, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hammarby: 63% possession, 25.0 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IK Sirius: 51% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Hammarby are the model's most likely outcome at 59.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	562024	2.35–1.52	2-1 9%	74%	71%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win	55.8%	54.0%	40.7%	1.33×	1.85
IK Sirius to win	23.9%	24.5%	36.6%	0.67×	4.09
Draw	20.3%	24.4%	22.9%	1.07×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & both teams score	36.4%	33.2%	17.3%	1.92×	3.01
Hammarby & not both score	19.4%	17.9%	23.7%	0.76×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.8%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
IK Sirius & both teams score	16.9%	17.9%	18.1%	0.99×	5.58
IK Sirius & not both score	7.0%	8.4%	18.8%	0.45×	11.93
Draw & not both score	2.5%	4.9%	5.3%	0.91×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby & over 1.5	51.3%	48.7%	34.6%	1.41×	2.06
Hammarby & over 2.5	45.5%	45.2%	25.4%	1.77×	2.21
Hammarby & over 3.5	32.2%	30.8%	14.8%	2.09×	3.24
Hammarby & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	26.2%	0.83×	4.62
IK Sirius & over 1.5	21.1%	21.6%	27.7%	0.78×	4.62
IK Sirius & over 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	22.9%	0.79×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
IK Sirius & over 3.5	11.8%	12.9%	11.5%	1.12×	7.77
IK Sirius & under 3.5	12.0%	12.9%	25.4%	0.51×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	18.1%	0.71×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	10.4%	12.9%	18.1%	0.71×	7.77
Hammarby & under 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	15.5%	0.83×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	10.0%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	5.1%	1.55×	12.69
IK Sirius & under 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	14.0%	0.56×	12.70
Hammarby & under 1.5	4.5%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.92
Draw & under 1.5	2.5%	4.8%	5.3%	0.89×	20.94
IK Sirius & under 1.5	2.7%	4.8%	9.2%	0.52×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (1UP)	72.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
IK Sirius (1UP)	47.0%	43.3%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (2UP)	55.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
IK Sirius (2UP)	23.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win 2nd half	46.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
2nd half drawn	28.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
IK Sirius to win 2nd half	25.3%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (+2.5)	81.1%	82.4%	88.6%	0.93×	1.21
Hammarby (+0.5)	76.1%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
IK Sirius (+1.5)	64.5%	62.9%	76.3%	0.82×	1.59
Hammarby (-0.5)	55.8%	57.0%	40.7%	1.40×	1.75
IK Sirius (+0.5)	44.2%	43.0%	59.3%	0.73×	2.33
Hammarby (-1.5)	35.5%	37.1%	23.7%	1.57×	2.70
IK Sirius (-0.5)	23.9%	21.6%	36.6%	0.59×	4.64
Hammarby (-2.5)	18.9%	17.6%	11.5%	1.54×	5.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to concede	90.5%	91.7%	76.1%	1.21×	1.09
IK Sirius clean sheet	9.5%	8.3%	23.9%	0.35×	12.04

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to concede in 1st half	63.6%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
IK Sirius clean sheet in 1st half	36.4%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius under 6.5 corners	91.3%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
IK Sirius under 5.5 corners	83.7%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
IK Sirius under 4.5 corners	71.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
IK Sirius over 2.5 corners	64.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
IK Sirius under 3.5 corners	55.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
IK Sirius over 3.5 corners	44.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
IK Sirius under 2.5 corners	35.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
IK Sirius over 4.5 corners	28.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
IK Sirius over 5.5 corners	16.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
IK Sirius over 6.5 corners	8.7%	9.9%	—	—	10.06

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius under 3.5 goals	93.2%	92.4%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
IK Sirius under 2.5 goals	80.4%	81.4%	81.7%	1.00×	1.23
IK Sirius over 0.5 goals	78.1%	76.2%	71.2%	1.07×	1.31
IK Sirius under 1.5 goals	55.2%	59.5%	60.8%	0.98×	1.68
IK Sirius over 1.5 goals	44.8%	40.5%	39.2%	1.03×	2.47
IK Sirius under 0.5 goals	21.9%	23.8%	28.8%	0.83×	4.21
IK Sirius over 2.5 goals	19.6%	18.6%	18.3%	1.01×	5.38
IK Sirius over 3.5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	4.8%	1.58×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
IK Sirius under 0.5 in 1st half	54.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
IK Sirius over 0.5 in 1st half	45.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
IK Sirius over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.45

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (away no bet)	73.3%	68.6%	64.0%	1.07×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.7%	31.4%	36.0%	0.87×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius even goals	52.4%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.90
IK Sirius odd goals	47.6%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	68.4%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.6%	27.6%	—	—	3.63

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	82.5%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	17.5%	22.7%	—	—	4.41

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	74.2%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Hammarby to score 2+ in a row	57.0%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	35.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
IK Sirius to score 2+ in a row	30.9%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Hammarby to score 3+ in a row	27.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
IK Sirius to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.63

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby corners (+3.5)	97.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Hammarby corners (+2.5)	94.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby corners (+1.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby corners (-1.5)	68.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Hammarby corners (-2.5)	58.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
IK Sirius corners (+3.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Hammarby corners (-3.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
IK Sirius corners (+2.5)	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
IK Sirius corners (+1.5)	31.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
IK Sirius corners (-1.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
IK Sirius corners (-2.5)	5.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
IK Sirius corners (-3.5)	2.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.1%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	33.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	27.9%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.7%	11.4%	4.1%	2.81×	8.74
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	5.9%	1.27×	13.47
1-1	7.9%	7.4%	13.0%	0.57×	13.47
2-2	6.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.82×	13.47
3-1	6.9%	7.4%	2.8%	2.65×	13.47
1-2	5.7%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.47
2-0	5.8%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.47
3-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.6%	2.08×	13.47
0-0	2.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.51
0-1	2.7%	1.7%	9.2%	0.19×	58.51
0-2	2.4%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	58.51
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.52
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
1-0	4.5%	1.7%	6.4%	0.27×	58.50
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.51
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.50
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.52
3-0	4.5%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.50
3-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.0%	1.68×	58.51
3-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.52
4-0	2.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.51
4-1	4.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.50
4-2	3.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.51
4-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.52
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.36×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT (DNB)	67.3%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
IK Sirius leading at HT (DNB)	32.7%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or IK Sirius (12)	79.7%	75.6%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
Hammarby or draw (1X)	76.1%	75.5%	63.4%	1.19×	1.32
IK Sirius or draw (X2)	44.2%	46.0%	59.3%	0.78×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw at HT	78.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Hammarby or IK Sirius at HT	65.9%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
IK Sirius or draw at HT	55.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw (1UP)	76.1%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
IK Sirius or draw (1UP)	47.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby or draw in 2nd half	74.7%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Hammarby or IK Sirius in 2nd half	71.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
IK Sirius or draw in 2nd half	53.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	52.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	47.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (DNB)	70.0%	71.4%	52.6%	1.36×	1.40
IK Sirius (DNB)	30.0%	28.6%	47.4%	0.60×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score first	59.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
IK Sirius to score first	38.2%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	2.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	71.1%	62.3%	52.7%	1.18×	1.61
Not both teams to score	28.9%	37.7%	47.3%	0.80×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	63.2%	50.1%	39.9%	1.25×	2.00
Not both score & under 2.5	17.9%	21.8%	34.4%	0.63×	4.60
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	13.2%	0.93×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	7.9%	8.4%	13.0%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	69.5%	71.1%	84.2%	0.84×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	30.5%	28.9%	15.8%	1.83×	3.46

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.7%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.3%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	39.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Both score 2nd half only	31.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	16.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score in both halves	12.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.48

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	71.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	29.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.4%	42.1%	26.2%	1.61×	2.38
2-3 goals	36.2%	35.0%	49.1%	0.71×	2.85
0-1 goals	9.7%	7.6%	20.4%	0.38×	13.10
7+ goals	9.7%	7.6%	4.8%	1.58×	13.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius to score exactly 1	33.3%	33.9%	32.3%	1.05×	2.95
IK Sirius to score exactly 2	25.3%	27.4%	21.1%	1.30×	3.65
IK Sirius to score exactly 0	21.9%	22.4%	28.8%	0.78×	4.46
IK Sirius to score 3+	19.6%	19.6%	18.3%	1.07×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score 3+	41.8%	34.9%	21.6%	1.61×	2.86
Hammarby to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	22.1%	1.20×	3.77
Hammarby to score exactly 1	22.4%	23.3%	32.8%	0.71×	4.30
Hammarby to score exactly 0	9.5%	10.3%	23.9%	0.43×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby leading at HT	44.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	34.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
IK Sirius leading at HT	21.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby -1: 2	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Hammarby -1: 1	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Hammarby -1: X	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:1)	44.2%	42.7%	59.3%	0.72×	2.34
Hammarby (0:1)	35.5%	37.2%	23.7%	1.57×	2.69
Draw (0:1)	20.3%	24.3%	17.3%	1.40×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:2)	64.5%	67.3%	76.3%	0.88×	1.49
Hammarby (0:2)	18.9%	15.3%	11.5%	1.34×	6.53
Draw (0:2)	16.6%	15.3%	12.5%	1.23×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:3)	81.1%	85.1%	88.6%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	10.3%	10.0%	6.9%	1.45×	10.02
Hammarby (0:3)	8.6%	5.8%	4.8%	1.21×	17.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (0:4)	91.4%	94.6%	95.2%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.2%	4.6%	3.8%	1.21×	21.65
Hammarby (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	1.3%	0.94×	83.22

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (1:0)	76.1%	78.4%	63.4%	1.24×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.0%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.80
IK Sirius (1:0)	10.9%	12.8%	16.5%	0.77×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby (2:0)	89.1%	88.4%	83.5%	1.06×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	6.9%	6.4%	10.4%	0.62×	15.53
IK Sirius (2:0)	4.0%	2.3%	6.4%	0.36×	44.25

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.8%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	20.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to concede	78.1%	75.9%	71.2%	1.07×	1.32
Hammarby clean sheet	21.9%	24.1%	28.8%	0.84×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby clean sheet in 1st half	54.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Hammarby to concede in 1st half	45.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 2.5 corners	93.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Hammarby over 3.5 corners	86.4%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Hammarby over 4.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Hammarby over 5.5 corners	64.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Hammarby over 6.5 corners	51.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Hammarby under 6.5 corners	48.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Hammarby under 5.5 corners	35.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Hammarby under 4.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Hammarby under 3.5 corners	13.6%	13.7%	—	—	7.28
Hammarby under 2.5 corners	6.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.38

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby over 0.5 goals	90.5%	92.2%	76.1%	1.21×	1.08
Hammarby under 3.5 goals	78.9%	77.7%	90.6%	0.86×	1.29
Hammarby over 1.5 goals	68.1%	67.9%	43.5%	1.56×	1.47
Hammarby under 2.5 goals	58.2%	58.8%	78.4%	0.75×	1.70
Hammarby over 2.5 goals	41.8%	41.2%	21.6%	1.90×	2.43
Hammarby under 1.5 goals	31.9%	32.1%	56.5%	0.57×	3.11
Hammarby over 3.5 goals	21.1%	22.3%	9.4%	2.37×	4.49
Hammarby under 0.5 goals	9.5%	7.8%	23.9%	0.32×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby under 1.5 in 1st half	73.1%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Hammarby over 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Hammarby under 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.81
Hammarby over 1.5 in 1st half	26.9%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius (home no bet)	54.0%	51.6%	61.5%	0.84×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.0%	48.4%	38.5%	1.26×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby even goals	50.5%	50.6%	53.9%	0.94×	1.98
Hammarby odd goals	49.5%	49.4%	46.1%	1.07×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	20.0%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 0-0	19.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	12.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-1	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-1	6.2%	7.0%	—	—	14.19
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
HT 2-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.93

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby at HT / Hammarby at FT	36.2%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Hammarby at FT	15.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
IK Sirius at HT / IK Sirius at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.1%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / IK Sirius at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.55
Hammarby at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
IK Sirius at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
IK Sirius at HT / Hammarby at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Hammarby at HT / IK Sirius at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to score last	59.3%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
IK Sirius to score last	38.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
No goal scored	2.5%	4.3%	—	—	23.44

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.5%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Hammarby to lead by 1 at any time	72.9%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.1%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
IK Sirius to lead by 1 at any time	47.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Hammarby to lead by 2 at any time	45.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	29.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Hammarby to lead by 3 at any time	23.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
IK Sirius to lead by 2 at any time	18.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
IK Sirius to lead by 3 at any time	6.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.29

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby most corners	78.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.35
IK Sirius most corners	14.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Corners level	7.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.5%	83.5%	75.1%	1.11×	1.20
1-5 goals	78.0%	78.6%	86.8%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.8%	72.4%	71.8%	1.01×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.5%	63.4%	48.3%	1.31×	1.58
1-4 goals	62.9%	63.4%	78.4%	0.81×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.7%	59.2%	63.4%	0.93×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	45.0%	1.18×	1.88
4-6 goals	44.4%	43.6%	26.2%	1.66×	2.29
1-3 goals	43.4%	43.6%	64.1%	0.68×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.7%	39.2%	36.6%	1.07×	2.55
2-3 goals	36.2%	39.2%	49.1%	0.80×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.6%	35.4%	22.9%	1.54×	2.83
5-6 goals	24.8%	24.5%	12.0%	2.05×	4.09
1-2 goals	23.3%	24.5%	42.0%	0.58×	4.09
7+ goals	9.7%	8.8%	4.8%	1.81×	11.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby never behind	50.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
IK Sirius never behind	24.6%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.1%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.9%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.5%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	79.6%	1.16×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	80.5%	82.4%	91.9%	0.90×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	74.2%	72.5%	52.9%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	65.4%	66.2%	83.5%	0.79×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	54.1%	52.5%	30.8%	1.70×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	45.9%	47.5%	69.2%	0.69×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	34.6%	33.8%	16.5%	2.04×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	25.8%	27.5%	47.1%	0.58×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	19.5%	17.6%	8.1%	2.17×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	20.4%	0.38×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	2.5%	4.5%	5.3%	0.84×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.2%	86.8%	95.0%	0.91×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	88.4%	86.7%	72.2%	1.20×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.1%	75.9%	91.1%	0.83×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.7%	67.4%	39.5%	1.70×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	57.1%	55.5%	80.7%	0.69×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	42.9%	44.5%	19.3%	2.31×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.3%	32.6%	60.5%	0.54×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.9%	24.1%	8.9%	2.71×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	11.6%	13.3%	27.8%	0.48×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.8%	13.2%	5.0%	2.65×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.8%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.2%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.9%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	60.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	39.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius not to score in both halves	72.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Hammarby not to score in both halves	53.0%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Hammarby to score in both halves	47.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
IK Sirius to score in both halves	27.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	71.1%	66.1%	52.7%	1.26×	1.51
Only Hammarby scores	19.4%	16.1%	23.7%	0.68×	6.21
Only IK Sirius scores	7.0%	7.2%	18.8%	0.38×	13.91
Neither team scores	2.5%	4.6%	5.3%	0.86×	21.86

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.2%	22.6%	22.4%	1.01×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.4%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
6 or more goals	19.5%	17.4%	8.1%	2.14×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.0%	17.4%	27.0%	0.65×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	15.1%	17.4%	8.7%	2.02×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	7.2%	7.6%	15.3%	0.50×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	2.5%	4.4%	5.3%	0.82×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
1 goal in 2nd half	23.4%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
No goals in 2nd half	10.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius not to win both halves	94.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Hammarby not to win both halves	79.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
Hammarby to win both halves	20.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
IK Sirius to win both halves	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby to win either half	70.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
IK Sirius to win neither half	58.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
IK Sirius to win either half	41.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Hammarby to win neither half	29.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
IK Sirius not to win to nil	93.0%	92.0%	81.2%	1.13×	1.09
Hammarby not to win to nil	80.6%	83.0%	76.3%	1.09×	1.21
Hammarby to win to nil	19.4%	17.0%	23.7%	0.72×	5.88
IK Sirius to win to nil	7.0%	8.0%	18.8%	0.42×	12.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hammarby by 1	20.3%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
Draw	20.3%	24.1%	22.9%	1.05×	4.14
Hammarby by 3+	18.9%	17.0%	11.5%	1.48×	5.90
Hammarby by 2	16.6%	16.9%	12.5%	1.36×	5.90
IK Sirius by 1	13.0%	11.8%	20.4%	0.58×	8.47
IK Sirius by 2	6.9%	7.2%	10.4%	0.69×	13.80
IK Sirius by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	6.4%	0.42×	37.01