Heart of Midlothian v Dundee — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627
SCO-Premiership
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-0 12.8%
- 1-0 12.7%
- 2-1 9.6%
- 1-1 9.5%
- 3-0 8.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 52.2% | Under 2.5 | 47.8% |
| BTTS yes | 45.6% | BTTS no | 54.4% |
| Heart of Midlothian 1+ | 86.7% | Heart of Midlothian 2+ | 59.9% |
| Dundee 1+ | 52.5% | Dundee 2+ | 17.2% |
Expected goals 2.02 – 0.75. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1461.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Heart of Midlothian have an estimated 67.8% win probability, against 21.8% for the draw and 10.4% for Dundee. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.02 for Heart of Midlothian and 0.74 for Dundee.
Why Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian carry the stronger rating, 1695 Elo against 1461. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why Dundee can win
Nothing in the data singles out Dundee.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Heart of Midlothian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dundee, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Heart of Midlothian: 34% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dundee: 39% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Heart of Midlothian are the model's most likely outcome at 67.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.02–0.75 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.12–0.72 | 2-0 13% | 54% | 45% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to win | 69.8% | 65.2% | 45.9% | 1.42× | 1.53 |
| Draw | 18.9% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 0.83× | 5.17 |
| Dundee to win | 11.3% | 13.3% | 30.9% | 0.43× | 7.53 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian & not both score | 43.0% | 40.1% | 27.4% | 1.47× | 2.49 |
| Heart of Midlothian & both teams score | 26.8% | 25.2% | 18.7% | 1.35× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 13.0% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 0.74× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.44× | 11.94 |
| Dundee & not both score | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 0.57× | 11.94 |
| Dundee & both teams score | 5.2% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 0.51× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian & over 1.5 | 57.3% | 54.9% | 36.7% | 1.50× | 1.82 |
| Heart of Midlothian & under 3.5 | 44.4% | 40.3% | 30.1% | 1.34× | 2.48 |
| Heart of Midlothian & over 2.5 | 44.1% | 40.3% | 28.2% | 1.43× | 2.48 |
| Heart of Midlothian & under 2.5 | 25.6% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 1.46× | 3.84 |
| Heart of Midlothian & over 3.5 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 16.0% | 1.63× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 14.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 14.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.77 |
| Heart of Midlothian & under 1.5 | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 1.38× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 13.0% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 0.72× | 7.77 |
| Dundee & under 3.5 | 9.2% | 7.9% | 22.4% | 0.35× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.36× | 12.70 |
| Dundee & over 1.5 | 7.1% | 7.9% | 24.5% | 0.32× | 12.70 |
| Dundee & over 2.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 20.5% | 0.38× | 12.70 |
| Dundee & under 2.5 | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 0.74× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 0.55× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 0.55× | 20.93 |
| Dundee & under 1.5 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 0.72× | 20.93 |
| Dundee & over 3.5 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 0.55× | 20.95 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (1UP) | 78.8% | 79.0% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Dundee (1UP) | 26.6% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (2UP) | 69.8% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Dundee (2UP) | 11.3% | 13.2% | — | — | 7.58 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to win 2nd half | 55.8% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| 2nd half drawn | 31.0% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Dundee to win 2nd half | 13.2% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.09 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (+0.5) | 88.7% | 88.5% | 69.1% | 1.28× | 1.13 |
| Dundee (+2.5) | 76.1% | 78.4% | 87.8% | 0.89× | 1.28 |
| Heart of Midlothian (-0.5) | 69.8% | 68.7% | 45.9% | 1.50× | 1.46 |
| Dundee (+1.5) | 54.8% | 52.4% | 73.4% | 0.71× | 1.91 |
| Heart of Midlothian (-1.5) | 45.2% | 47.6% | 26.6% | 1.79× | 2.10 |
| Dundee (+0.5) | 30.2% | 31.3% | 54.1% | 0.58× | 3.20 |
| Heart of Midlothian (-2.5) | 23.9% | 21.6% | 12.2% | 1.76× | 4.64 |
| Dundee (-0.5) | 11.3% | 11.5% | 30.9% | 0.37× | 8.71 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee to concede | 87.9% | 86.5% | 79.7% | 1.09× | 1.16 |
| Dundee clean sheet | 12.1% | 13.5% | 20.3% | 0.67× | 7.39 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee to concede in 1st half | 59.7% | 58.6% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Dundee clean sheet in 1st half | 40.3% | 41.4% | — | — | 2.41 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee under 6.5 corners | 92.7% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Dundee under 5.5 corners | 85.7% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Dundee under 4.5 corners | 74.2% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Dundee over 2.5 corners | 62.4% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Dundee under 3.5 corners | 57.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Dundee over 3.5 corners | 42.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Dundee under 2.5 corners | 37.6% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Dundee over 4.5 corners | 25.8% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| Dundee over 5.5 corners | 14.3% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.62 |
| Dundee over 6.5 corners | 7.3% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.30 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee under 3.5 goals | 99.4% | 97.6% | 96.3% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Dundee under 2.5 goals | 96.4% | 97.5% | 85.5% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Dundee under 1.5 goals | 83.9% | 81.4% | 63.1% | 1.29× | 1.23 |
| Dundee over 0.5 goals | 51.1% | 53.7% | 67.0% | 0.80× | 1.86 |
| Dundee under 0.5 goals | 48.9% | 46.3% | 33.0% | 1.40× | 2.16 |
| Dundee over 1.5 goals | 16.1% | 18.6% | 36.9% | 0.50× | 5.38 |
| Dundee over 2.5 goals | 3.6% | 2.5% | 14.5% | 0.17× | 40.69 |
| Dundee over 3.5 goals | 0.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 0.66× | 40.85 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.6% | 95.8% | — | — | 1.04 |
| Dundee under 0.5 in 1st half | 75.1% | 75.4% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Dundee over 0.5 in 1st half | 24.9% | 24.6% | — | — | 4.06 |
| Dundee over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.4% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.60 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (away no bet) | 78.7% | 73.7% | 66.2% | 1.11× | 1.36 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 21.3% | 26.3% | 33.8% | 0.78× | 3.81 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee even goals | 62.0% | 59.0% | 57.7% | 1.02× | 1.69 |
| Dundee odd goals | 38.0% | 41.0% | 42.3% | 0.97× | 2.44 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 83.7% | 83.0% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.3% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.88 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 65.9% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 34.1% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 62.8% | 59.9% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Heart of Midlothian to score 2+ in a row | 56.6% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 29.8% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ in a row | 28.3% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Dundee to score 2+ in a row | 10.1% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.26 |
| Dundee to score 3+ in a row | 1.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.64 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian corners (+3.5) | 96.7% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Heart of Midlothian corners (+2.5) | 93.8% | 88.7% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Heart of Midlothian corners (+1.5) | 89.2% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Heart of Midlothian corners (-1.5) | 63.0% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Dundee corners (+3.5) | 60.0% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Heart of Midlothian corners (-2.5) | 51.4% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Dundee corners (+2.5) | 48.6% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Heart of Midlothian corners (-3.5) | 40.0% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Dundee corners (+1.5) | 37.0% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Dundee corners (-1.5) | 10.8% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
| Dundee corners (-2.5) | 6.2% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.82 |
| Dundee corners (-3.5) | 3.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.60 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 42.3% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 9-11 corners | 31.2% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| 12+ corners | 26.5% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.1% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.5% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 68.9% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 64.3% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 57.7% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 53.7% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46.3% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 42.3% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 35.7% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 31.1% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 26.5% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 18.9% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 1.31× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 1.23× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 0.79× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 1.05× | 13.48 |
| 3-0 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.32× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.32× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.28× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.79× | 13.48 |
| 4-0 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.46 |
| 0-1 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 6.6% | 0.26× | 58.47 |
| 0-2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.41× | 58.48 |
| 0-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.52× | 58.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.12× | 58.49 |
| 1-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 8.9% | 0.19× | 58.47 |
| 1-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.49 |
| 1-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.06× | 58.49 |
| 2-2 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 6.6% | 0.26× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.49 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.06× | 58.49 |
| 3-2 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.12× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.18× | 58.47 |
| 4-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.75× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.06× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 8.24× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian leading at HT (DNB) | 81.6% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Dundee leading at HT (DNB) | 18.4% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.31 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian or draw (1X) | 88.7% | 86.7% | 69.1% | 1.26× | 1.15 |
| Heart of Midlothian or Dundee (12) | 81.1% | 80.7% | 76.6% | 1.05× | 1.24 |
| Dundee or draw (X2) | 30.2% | 34.8% | 54.1% | 0.64× | 2.87 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian or draw at HT | 88.7% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Heart of Midlothian or Dundee at HT | 61.3% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Dundee or draw at HT | 50.0% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian or draw (1UP) | 88.7% | 91.9% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Dundee or draw (1UP) | 30.2% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian or draw in 2nd half | 86.8% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Heart of Midlothian or Dundee in 2nd half | 69.0% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Dundee or draw in 2nd half | 44.2% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.48 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 57.6% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 42.4% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (DNB) | 86.0% | 87.1% | 59.7% | 1.46× | 1.15 |
| Dundee (DNB) | 14.0% | 12.9% | 40.3% | 0.32× | 7.75 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to score first | 70.3% | 74.5% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Dundee to score first | 23.8% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.33 |
| No goal scored | 5.9% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.40 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 55.0% | 54.9% | 47.5% | 1.15× | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 45.0% | 45.1% | 52.5% | 0.86× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 37.3% | 38.5% | 33.8% | 1.14× | 2.60 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 36.0% | 38.5% | 43.4% | 0.89× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 17.8% | 21.7% | 13.9% | 1.56× | 4.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 0.90× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.9% | 85.6% | 83.8% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 0.89× | 6.96 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 75.5% | 75.1% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 24.5% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.01 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 64.3% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.8% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.82 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.2% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.32 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.6% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.97 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 85.1% | 85.7% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 14.9% | 14.3% | — | — | 7.01 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 56.2% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 43.8% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.0% | 47.4% | 45.9% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.9% | 26.5% | 31.3% | 0.84× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 22.5% | 22.8% | 21.4% | 1.07× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.98× | 54.54 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee to score exactly 0 | 48.9% | 43.0% | 33.0% | 1.30× | 2.33 |
| Dundee to score exactly 1 | 35.0% | 33.8% | 30.3% | 1.12× | 2.96 |
| Dundee to score exactly 2 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 0.57× | 7.80 |
| Dundee to score 3+ | 3.6% | 4.5% | 14.5% | 0.31× | 22.06 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to score 3+ | 35.4% | 35.6% | 23.9% | 1.49× | 2.81 |
| Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.5% | 25.1% | 1.06× | 3.77 |
| Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 1 | 25.5% | 26.5% | 31.1% | 0.85× | 3.77 |
| Heart of Midlothian to score exactly 0 | 12.1% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 0.70× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian leading at HT | 50.0% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Draw at HT | 38.7% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Dundee leading at HT | 11.3% | 11.7% | — | — | 8.57 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian -1: 1 | 45.2% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Heart of Midlothian -1: 2 | 30.2% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.33 |
| Heart of Midlothian -1: X | 24.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (0:1) | 45.2% | 45.9% | 26.6% | 1.73× | 2.18 |
| Dundee (0:1) | 30.2% | 30.0% | 54.1% | 0.55× | 3.34 |
| Draw (0:1) | 24.6% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 1.25× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee (0:2) | 54.8% | 58.6% | 73.4% | 0.80× | 1.71 |
| Heart of Midlothian (0:2) | 23.9% | 20.4% | 12.2% | 1.66× | 4.91 |
| Draw (0:2) | 21.3% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 1.40× | 4.92 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee (0:3) | 76.1% | 80.4% | 87.8% | 0.92× | 1.24 |
| Draw (0:3) | 13.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.46× | 9.98 |
| Heart of Midlothian (0:3) | 10.5% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.78× | 10.03 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee (0:4) | 89.5% | 92.1% | 94.4% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.97× | 21.55 |
| Heart of Midlothian (0:4) | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.16× | 83.22 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (1:0) | 88.7% | 86.4% | 69.1% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 8.3% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 0.39× | 14.43 |
| Dundee (1:0) | 3.0% | 3.2% | 13.5% | 0.23× | 31.62 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian (2:0) | 97.0% | 96.9% | 86.5% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 2.4% | 2.3% | 7.7% | 0.29× | 44.22 |
| Dundee (2:0) | 0.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 0.37× | 44.34 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 47.6% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.9% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to concede | 51.1% | 53.1% | 67.0% | 0.79× | 1.88 |
| Heart of Midlothian clean sheet | 48.9% | 46.9% | 33.0% | 1.42× | 2.13 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian clean sheet in 1st half | 75.1% | 76.9% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Heart of Midlothian to concede in 1st half | 24.9% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.33 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 corners | 90.8% | 88.2% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 corners | 81.0% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 4.5 corners | 68.2% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 6.5 corners | 59.4% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 5.5 corners | 54.2% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 5.5 corners | 45.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 6.5 corners | 40.6% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 4.5 corners | 31.8% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 corners | 19.0% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 corners | 9.2% | 11.8% | — | — | 8.51 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals | 87.9% | 87.3% | 79.7% | 1.10× | 1.15 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 3.5 goals | 83.6% | 82.1% | 92.1% | 0.89× | 1.22 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals | 64.6% | 63.5% | 76.1% | 0.83× | 1.58 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 goals | 62.4% | 63.5% | 48.8% | 1.30× | 1.58 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 goals | 37.6% | 36.5% | 51.2% | 0.71× | 2.74 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 2.5 goals | 35.4% | 36.5% | 23.9% | 1.53× | 2.74 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 3.5 goals | 16.4% | 17.9% | 7.9% | 2.27× | 5.59 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 goals | 12.1% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 0.63× | 7.85 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian under 1.5 in 1st half | 76.9% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 in 1st half | 59.7% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Heart of Midlothian under 0.5 in 1st half | 40.3% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
| Heart of Midlothian over 1.5 in 1st half | 23.1% | 22.9% | — | — | 4.37 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 62.6% | 60.2% | 43.1% | 1.40× | 1.66 |
| Dundee (home no bet) | 37.4% | 39.8% | 56.9% | 0.70× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian even goals | 50.7% | 50.6% | 51.7% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Heart of Midlothian odd goals | 49.3% | 49.4% | 48.3% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 30.3% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| HT 1-0 | 27.5% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 2-0 | 12.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| HT 0-1 | 8.6% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.04 |
| Any other HT score | 6.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.35 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.52 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.53 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.57 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT | 45.6% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
| Draw at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT | 21.6% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Dundee at HT / Dundee at FT | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Draw at HT / Dundee at FT | 5.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.74 |
| Heart of Midlothian at HT / Draw at FT | 3.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Dundee at HT / Draw at FT | 3.2% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.84 |
| Dundee at HT / Heart of Midlothian at FT | 2.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.86 |
| Heart of Midlothian at HT / Dundee at FT | 0.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.93 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to score last | 70.3% | 72.0% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Dundee to score last | 23.7% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.76 |
| No goal scored | 5.9% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.40 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.1% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Heart of Midlothian to lead by 1 at any time | 78.8% | 78.4% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 56.2% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Heart of Midlothian to lead by 2 at any time | 50.6% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 27.5% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Dundee to lead by 1 at any time | 26.6% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Heart of Midlothian to lead by 3 at any time | 26.5% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
| Dundee to lead by 2 at any time | 5.8% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.14 |
| Dundee to lead by 3 at any time | 1.0% | 1.6% | — | — | 63.32 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian most corners | 73.6% | 71.7% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Dundee most corners | 17.5% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.85 |
| Corners level | 8.9% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.89 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.3% | 87.4% | 86.9% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.4% | 78.6% | 79.7% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 74.9% | 72.4% | 77.0% | 0.94× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.7% | 72.4% | 71.4% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.6% | 63.4% | 61.4% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.8% | 63.4% | 64.1% | 0.99× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 51.2% | 53.2% | 55.4% | 0.96× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 47.0% | 48.7% | 49.8% | 0.98× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.0% | 48.7% | 45.9% | 1.06× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 40.3% | 43.6% | 37.3% | 1.17× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.1% | 39.2% | 42.5% | 0.92× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 28.9% | 30.3% | 31.3% | 0.97× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 24.7% | 24.5% | 25.7% | 0.95× | 4.08 |
| 5-6 goals | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 1.14× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.37× | 39.22 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian never behind | 67.4% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Dundee never behind | 15.3% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.45 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.7% | 50.8% | 48.5% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.3% | 49.2% | 51.5% | 0.96× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.6% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.4% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.1% | 92.3% | 94.2% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.2% | 92.3% | 92.5% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84.3% | 82.4% | 85.3% | 0.97× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% | 77.3% | 78.6% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.5% | 66.2% | 67.0% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.8% | 52.5% | 57.1% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.2% | 47.5% | 42.9% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% | 33.8% | 33.0% | 1.02× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.5% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 1.06× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.7% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 1.20× | 5.68 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 1.04× | 12.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.33× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.3% | 97.2% | 98.0% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.6% | 92.5% | 91.9% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 81.4% | 81.0% | 82.0% | 0.99× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 70.5% | 72.6% | 72.8% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 59.5% | 55.5% | 56.6% | 0.98× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 40.5% | 44.5% | 43.4% | 1.03× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 29.5% | 27.4% | 27.2% | 1.01× | 3.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 18.6% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 1.05× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 0.94× | 13.26 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.40× | 36.14 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.0% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 69.7% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 66.4% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 33.6% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 30.3% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.0% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 80.5% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 77.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 48.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 22.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 19.5% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee not to score in both halves | 91.3% | 90.0% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Heart of Midlothian not to score in both halves | 58.1% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Heart of Midlothian to score in both halves | 41.9% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Dundee to score in both halves | 8.7% | 10.0% | — | — | 10.02 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 45.0% | 46.6% | 52.5% | 0.89× | 2.15 |
| Only Heart of Midlothian scores | 43.0% | 46.6% | 27.4% | 1.70× | 2.15 |
| Only Dundee scores | 6.1% | 7.2% | 14.7% | 0.49× | 13.92 |
| Neither team scores | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.24× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.7% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 1.04× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 24.3% | 0.93× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 1.11× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 0.94× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 1.02× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 1.02× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.32× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 48.6% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.8% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 19.5% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee not to win both halves | 98.5% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Heart of Midlothian not to win both halves | 72.0% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Heart of Midlothian to win both halves | 28.0% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.65 |
| Dundee to win both halves | 1.5% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.66 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian to win either half | 77.9% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Dundee to win neither half | 77.0% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Dundee to win either half | 23.0% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
| Heart of Midlothian to win neither half | 22.1% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee not to win to nil | 93.9% | 92.1% | 85.3% | 1.08× | 1.09 |
| Heart of Midlothian not to win to nil | 57.0% | 58.8% | 72.6% | 0.81× | 1.70 |
| Heart of Midlothian to win to nil | 43.0% | 41.2% | 27.4% | 1.50× | 2.43 |
| Dundee to win to nil | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 0.54× | 12.60 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Midlothian by 1 | 24.6% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 1.24× | 4.14 |
| Heart of Midlothian by 3+ | 23.9% | 24.2% | 12.2% | 1.97× | 4.14 |
| Heart of Midlothian by 2 | 21.3% | 24.1% | 14.5% | 1.66× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 18.9% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 0.72× | 5.91 |
| Dundee by 1 | 8.3% | 7.3% | 17.6% | 0.41× | 13.78 |
| Dundee by 2 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 0.35× | 37.01 |
| Dundee by 3+ | 0.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 0.45× | 37.06 |