Hibernian v Kilmarnock — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 15 September 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Hibernian

14:45

Kilmarnock

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 227h before kick-off

Hibernian win

62.5%

model 64.3%

Draw

18.9%

model 19.7%

Kilmarnock win

18.7%

model 16.0%

621919

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.2%
1-1 9.1%
3-0 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.2%	Under 2.5	38.8%
BTTS yes	55.7%	BTTS no	44.3%
Hibernian 1+	88.6%	Hibernian 2+	63.9%
Kilmarnock 1+	62.8%	Kilmarnock 2+	26.0%

Expected goals 2.17 – 0.99. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Hibernian (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

63.5% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 877 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Kilmarnock not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1393.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Hibernian have an estimated 62.5% win probability, against 18.9% for the draw and 18.7% for Kilmarnock. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.17 for Hibernian and 0.99 for Kilmarnock.

Why Hibernian

Hibernian carry the stronger rating, 1587 Elo against 1393.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.9%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Kilmarnock can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kilmarnock.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Hibernian, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kilmarnock, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Hibernian: 36% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kilmarnock: 45% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Hibernian are the model's most likely outcome at 62.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 10.0%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	642016	2.17–0.99	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	681814	2.33–0.95	2-0 10%	64%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win	68.3%	65.1%	45.9%	1.42×	1.54
Draw	18.1%	19.3%	23.4%	0.82×	5.17
Kilmarnock to win	13.7%	13.3%	30.9%	0.43×	7.49

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian & not both score	35.0%	29.8%	27.4%	1.09×	3.36
Hibernian & both teams score	33.3%	29.7%	18.7%	1.59×	3.36
Draw & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	17.8%	0.74×	7.55
Kilmarnock & both teams score	7.8%	8.4%	16.4%	0.51×	11.94
Kilmarnock & not both score	5.9%	8.4%	14.7%	0.57×	11.95
Draw & not both score	3.8%	4.9%	5.8%	0.84×	20.49

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian & over 1.5	59.5%	55.1%	36.7%	1.50×	1.82
Hibernian & over 2.5	49.3%	45.3%	28.2%	1.60×	2.21
Hibernian & under 3.5	36.7%	34.9%	30.1%	1.16×	2.86
Hibernian & over 3.5	31.6%	30.9%	16.0%	1.93×	3.24
Hibernian & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.2%	12.9%	17.8%	0.72×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.9%	14.9%	0.86×	7.78
Kilmarnock & over 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	24.5%	0.53×	7.78
Kilmarnock & under 3.5	9.7%	7.9%	22.4%	0.35×	12.69
Hibernian & under 1.5	8.7%	7.9%	9.3%	0.84×	12.69
Kilmarnock & over 2.5	8.5%	7.9%	20.5%	0.38×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.69
Kilmarnock & under 2.5	5.2%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Kilmarnock & over 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.93
Kilmarnock & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (1UP)	79.3%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Kilmarnock (1UP)	32.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2UP)	68.3%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Kilmarnock (2UP)	13.7%	13.6%	—	—	7.35

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win 2nd half	55.5%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
2nd half drawn	28.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Kilmarnock to win 2nd half	15.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (+0.5)	86.3%	88.5%	69.1%	1.28×	1.13
Kilmarnock (+2.5)	74.7%	73.7%	87.8%	0.84×	1.36
Hibernian (-0.5)	68.3%	68.7%	45.9%	1.50×	1.46
Kilmarnock (+1.5)	54.5%	52.4%	73.4%	0.71×	1.91
Hibernian (-1.5)	45.5%	47.6%	26.6%	1.79×	2.10
Kilmarnock (+0.5)	31.7%	31.3%	54.1%	0.58×	3.20
Hibernian (-2.5)	25.3%	26.3%	12.2%	2.15×	3.80
Kilmarnock (-0.5)	13.7%	11.5%	30.9%	0.37×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede	90.3%	91.6%	79.7%	1.15×	1.09
Kilmarnock clean sheet	9.7%	8.4%	20.3%	0.41×	11.96

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to concede in 1st half	63.3%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Kilmarnock clean sheet in 1st half	36.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 6.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Kilmarnock over 2.5 corners	75.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Kilmarnock under 5.5 corners	74.1%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Kilmarnock under 4.5 corners	59.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Kilmarnock over 3.5 corners	57.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Kilmarnock under 3.5 corners	42.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Kilmarnock over 4.5 corners	40.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Kilmarnock over 5.5 corners	25.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
Kilmarnock under 2.5 corners	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Kilmarnock over 6.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 3.5 goals	98.4%	97.6%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Kilmarnock under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.4%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
Kilmarnock under 1.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	63.1%	1.21×	1.31
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals	61.2%	62.9%	67.0%	0.94×	1.59
Kilmarnock under 0.5 goals	38.8%	37.1%	33.0%	1.12×	2.70
Kilmarnock over 1.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	36.9%	0.64×	4.20
Kilmarnock over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.07
Kilmarnock over 3.5 goals	1.6%	2.4%	3.7%	0.65×	41.12

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Kilmarnock under 0.5 in 1st half	68.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Kilmarnock over 0.5 in 1st half	31.5%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Kilmarnock over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.28

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (away no bet)	79.1%	73.8%	66.2%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	20.9%	26.2%	33.8%	0.78×	3.81

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock even goals	57.5%	56.9%	57.7%	0.99×	1.76
Kilmarnock odd goals	42.5%	43.1%	42.3%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.3%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.7%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.1%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	26.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Hibernian to score 2+ in a row	60.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Either team to score 3+ in a row	33.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Hibernian to score 3+ in a row	31.3%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Kilmarnock to score 2+ in a row	15.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Kilmarnock to score 3+ in a row	3.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.28

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian corners (+3.5)	91.3%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Hibernian corners (+2.5)	85.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Hibernian corners (+1.5)	78.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Kilmarnock corners (+3.5)	75.0%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Kilmarnock corners (+2.5)	65.2%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Kilmarnock corners (+1.5)	54.1%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Hibernian corners (-1.5)	45.9%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Hibernian corners (-2.5)	34.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Hibernian corners (-3.5)	25.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Kilmarnock corners (-1.5)	21.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Kilmarnock corners (-2.5)	14.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Kilmarnock corners (-3.5)	8.7%	11.4%	—	—	8.81

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.8%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	31.6%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
12+ corners	27.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 11.5 corners	72.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	62.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 8.5 corners	59.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.2%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 9.5 corners	47.8%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 8.5 corners	40.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 7.5 corners	29.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	27.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	10.2%	11.4%	8.7%	1.31×	8.73
1-0	8.7%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.46
1-1	8.4%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.46
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.46
Any other score	9.0%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.46
3-0	8.0%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.46
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	5.6%	1.33×	13.46
4-0	4.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.57
0-0	3.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.57
0-1	3.5%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.57
0-2	1.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.58
0-3	0.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.59
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.11×	58.59
1-2	3.9%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.57
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.59
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.59
2-2	4.6%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.57
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.58
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.59
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.57
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.59
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.11×	58.59
4-1	4.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.57
4-2	2.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.74×	58.58
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.59
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.23×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian leading at HT (DNB)	78.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Kilmarnock leading at HT (DNB)	21.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw (1X)	86.3%	86.7%	69.1%	1.25×	1.15
Hibernian or Kilmarnock (12)	81.9%	80.7%	76.6%	1.05×	1.24
Kilmarnock or draw (X2)	31.7%	34.9%	54.1%	0.64×	2.87

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw at HT	86.3%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Hibernian or Kilmarnock at HT	64.4%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Kilmarnock or draw at HT	49.3%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw (1UP)	86.3%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Kilmarnock or draw (1UP)	32.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian or draw in 2nd half	84.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Hibernian or Kilmarnock in 2nd half	71.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Kilmarnock or draw in 2nd half	44.5%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (DNB)	83.3%	80.4%	59.7%	1.35×	1.24
Kilmarnock (DNB)	16.7%	19.6%	40.3%	0.49×	5.11

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score first	68.4%	69.7%	—	—	1.43
Kilmarnock to score first	27.8%	28.3%	—	—	3.53
No goal scored	3.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.97

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.3%	54.7%	52.5%	1.04×	1.83
Not both teams to score	44.7%	45.3%	47.5%	0.95×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	47.0%	44.2%	43.4%	1.02×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	28.0%	33.6%	33.8%	0.99×	2.97
Not both score & over 2.5	16.7%	21.8%	13.9%	1.57×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	8.4%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.4%	83.2%	83.8%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.6%	16.8%	16.2%	1.04×	5.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	54.5%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Both score 2nd half only	25.5%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Both score 1st half only	13.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	6.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.98

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	20.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.7%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	36.3%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.4%	42.1%	45.9%	0.92×	2.37
4-6 goals	36.6%	35.0%	31.3%	1.12×	2.86
0-1 goals	16.1%	20.2%	21.4%	0.95×	4.95
7+ goals	4.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.91

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock to score exactly 0	38.8%	36.0%	33.0%	1.09×	2.78
Kilmarnock to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	30.3%	1.19×	2.78
Kilmarnock to score exactly 2	17.4%	19.5%	22.6%	0.86×	5.12
Kilmarnock to score 3+	7.1%	8.5%	14.5%	0.58×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score 3+	41.3%	35.0%	23.9%	1.47×	2.86
Hibernian to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Hibernian to score exactly 1	22.6%	23.3%	31.1%	0.75×	4.30
Hibernian to score exactly 0	9.7%	10.3%	20.3%	0.51×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian leading at HT	50.7%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Draw at HT	35.6%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Kilmarnock leading at HT	13.7%	11.9%	—	—	8.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian -1: 1	45.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Hibernian -1: 2	31.7%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Hibernian -1: X	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (0:1)	45.5%	45.8%	26.6%	1.73×	2.18
Kilmarnock (0:1)	31.7%	29.9%	54.1%	0.55×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	24.3%	19.5%	1.25×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:2)	54.5%	58.5%	73.4%	0.80×	1.71
Hibernian (0:2)	25.3%	23.7%	12.2%	1.94×	4.22
Draw (0:2)	20.2%	20.3%	14.5%	1.40×	4.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:3)	74.7%	78.0%	87.8%	0.89×	1.28
Draw (0:3)	13.5%	10.0%	6.8%	1.47×	9.96
Hibernian (0:3)	11.8%	10.0%	5.6%	1.79×	9.98

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock (0:4)	88.2%	91.9%	94.4%	0.97×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.1%	4.6%	4.8%	0.97×	21.63
Hibernian (0:4)	4.7%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	82.92

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (1:0)	86.3%	86.3%	69.1%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.2%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.45
Kilmarnock (1:0)	4.5%	3.2%	13.5%	0.24×	31.36

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian (2:0)	95.5%	96.9%	86.5%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.3%	2.3%	7.7%	0.29×	44.20
Kilmarnock (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	6.0%	0.37×	44.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	28.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to concede	61.2%	63.3%	67.0%	0.95×	1.58
Hibernian clean sheet	38.8%	36.7%	33.0%	1.11×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian clean sheet in 1st half	68.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Hibernian to concede in 1st half	31.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian over 2.5 corners	86.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Hibernian over 3.5 corners	74.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Hibernian under 6.5 corners	69.0%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Hibernian over 4.5 corners	59.2%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Hibernian under 5.5 corners	55.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Hibernian over 5.5 corners	44.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Hibernian under 4.5 corners	40.8%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Hibernian over 6.5 corners	31.0%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Hibernian under 3.5 corners	25.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Hibernian under 2.5 corners	13.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian over 0.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	79.7%	1.16×	1.08
Hibernian under 3.5 goals	79.3%	77.7%	92.1%	0.84×	1.29
Hibernian over 1.5 goals	67.7%	67.9%	48.8%	1.39×	1.47
Hibernian under 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.8%	76.1%	0.77×	1.70
Hibernian over 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.2%	23.9%	1.73×	2.43
Hibernian under 1.5 goals	32.3%	32.1%	51.2%	0.63×	3.12
Hibernian over 3.5 goals	20.7%	22.3%	7.9%	2.83×	4.49
Hibernian under 0.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	20.3%	0.38×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian under 1.5 in 1st half	73.4%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Hibernian over 0.5 in 1st half	63.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Hibernian under 0.5 in 1st half	36.7%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Hibernian over 1.5 in 1st half	26.6%	20.5%	—	—	4.87

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.9%	56.7%	43.1%	1.31×	1.76
Kilmarnock (home no bet)	43.1%	43.3%	56.9%	0.76×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian even goals	50.5%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Hibernian odd goals	49.5%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	25.2%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 0-0	25.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
HT 2-0	12.6%	11.1%	—	—	9.05
HT 0-1	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 1-1	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
Any other HT score	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-1	4.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.56
HT 0-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.80
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.80
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian at HT / Hibernian at FT	45.3%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Draw at HT / Hibernian at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Kilmarnock at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	6.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
Draw at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Hibernian at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.12
Kilmarnock at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.4%	—	—	29.14
Kilmarnock at HT / Hibernian at FT	3.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.15
Hibernian at HT / Kilmarnock at FT	1.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.24

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to score last	68.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Kilmarnock to score last	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	3.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.97

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Hibernian to lead by 1 at any time	79.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Hibernian to lead by 2 at any time	52.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Kilmarnock to lead by 1 at any time	32.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	30.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Hibernian to lead by 3 at any time	28.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Kilmarnock to lead by 2 at any time	8.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.27
Kilmarnock to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian most corners	57.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Kilmarnock most corners	31.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	11.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.8%	83.5%	86.9%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.6%	77.0%	1.02×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.8%	72.4%	79.7%	0.91×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.5%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.6%	63.5%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.7%	59.2%	55.4%	1.07×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.7%	53.2%	61.4%	0.87×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.2%	53.1%	49.8%	1.07×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.4%	43.6%	45.9%	0.95×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.29
4-6 goals	36.6%	39.2%	31.3%	1.25×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.5%	35.4%	37.3%	0.95×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.1%	35.4%	25.7%	1.37×	2.83
5-6 goals	18.4%	18.6%	13.1%	1.42×	5.37
7+ goals	4.9%	2.5%	1.9%	1.36×	39.35

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian never behind	64.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Kilmarnock never behind	16.9%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.8%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.2%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.6%	87.7%	92.5%	0.95×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	83.9%	82.4%	78.6%	1.05×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	76.6%	77.4%	85.3%	0.91×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.7%	61.8%	57.1%	1.08×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.5%	58.8%	67.0%	0.88×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	41.5%	41.2%	33.0%	1.25×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	36.3%	38.2%	42.9%	0.89×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	23.4%	22.6%	14.7%	1.54×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	16.1%	17.6%	21.4%	0.83×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	11.4%	12.3%	7.5%	1.65×	8.12
Under 0.5 goals	3.8%	4.5%	5.8%	0.78×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.7%	92.5%	98.0%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.0%	86.7%	91.9%	0.94×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	79.9%	76.0%	72.8%	1.04×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.5%	72.6%	82.0%	0.89×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.3%	51.8%	43.4%	1.19×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.7%	48.2%	56.6%	0.85×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.5%	27.4%	18.0%	1.52×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.1%	24.0%	27.2%	0.88×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.0%	13.3%	8.1%	1.65×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.3%	7.5%	2.0%	3.81×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.8%	86.5%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.8%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.2%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.2%	13.5%	—	—	7.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.4%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.6%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to score in both halves	86.3%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Hibernian not to score in both halves	53.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Hibernian to score in both halves	46.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Kilmarnock to score in both halves	13.7%	14.2%	—	—	7.05

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.3%	58.2%	52.5%	1.11×	1.72
Only Hibernian scores	35.0%	33.4%	27.4%	1.22×	2.99
Only Kilmarnock scores	5.9%	7.2%	14.7%	0.49×	13.96
Neither team scores	3.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.72

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.3%	22.6%	21.8%	1.04×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.2%	17.5%	18.5%	0.95×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.3%	12.1%	15.8%	0.77×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	7.5%	1.61×	8.29
6 or more goals	11.4%	12.1%	7.5%	1.61×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	3.8%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	28.4%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
No goals in 2nd half	15.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Hibernian not to win both halves	71.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Hibernian to win both halves	28.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Kilmarnock to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.83

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian to win either half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Kilmarnock to win neither half	72.6%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Kilmarnock to win either half	27.4%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Hibernian to win neither half	22.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Kilmarnock not to win to nil	94.1%	92.1%	85.3%	1.08×	1.09
Hibernian not to win to nil	65.0%	69.6%	72.6%	0.96×	1.44
Hibernian to win to nil	35.0%	30.4%	27.4%	1.11×	3.29
Kilmarnock to win to nil	5.9%	7.9%	14.7%	0.54×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Hibernian by 3+	25.3%	27.8%	12.2%	2.27×	3.59
Hibernian by 1	22.7%	24.1%	19.5%	1.24×	4.14
Hibernian by 2	20.2%	24.1%	14.5%	1.66×	4.14
Draw	18.1%	16.9%	23.4%	0.72×	5.90
Kilmarnock by 1	9.2%	7.2%	17.6%	0.41×	13.80
Kilmarnock by 2	3.3%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.96
Kilmarnock by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.03