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Hoffenheim v Borussia M.Gladbach — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 December 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–2
3.72 – 0.49 xG
Shots
18 – 5
On target
8 – 3
Shots in box
14 – 5
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
1.19 – 0.20
Goals − xG
-2.72 – +1.51
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.02.13.14.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Philipp Sander 22' — goalAndrej Kramaric 57' — goalAlassane Pléa 60' — goal
Hoffenheim 3.72 xGBorussia M.Gladbach 0.49 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Robin Hack 0' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 1' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Adam Hlozek 5' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 10' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Philipp Sander 22' — Goal (0.07 xG, From Corner)Adam Hlozek 28' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Tom Bischof 28' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alassane Pléa 38' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Tom Bischof 38' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Anton Stach 39' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Valentin Gendrey 40' — Missed Shot (0.37 xG, From Corner)Adam Hlozek 46' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jacob Bruun Larsen 48' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 51' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Diadie Samassékou 51' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 57' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Alassane Pléa 60' — Goal (0.17 xG, Open Play)Valentin Gendrey 68' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Adam Hlozek 76' — Missed Shot (0.60 xG, Open Play)Haris Tabakovic 85' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Haris Tabakovic 86' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Andrej Kramaric 87' — Saved Shot (0.48 xG, Open Play)Haris Tabakovic 93' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)
Hoffenheim attacking right Borussia M.Gladbach attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Borussia M.Gladbach Robin Hack 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alassane Pléa
1' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.04 From Corner Missed Shot Ko Itakura
5' Hoffenheim Adam Hlozek 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
10' Hoffenheim Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Valentin Gendrey
22' Borussia M.Gladbach Philipp Sander 0.07 From Corner Right Foot Goal
28' Hoffenheim Adam Hlozek 0.11 Open Play Missed Shot Valentin Gendrey
28' Hoffenheim Tom Bischof 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Adam Hlozek
38' Borussia M.Gladbach Alassane Pléa 0.09 From Corner Blocked Shot Franck Honorat
38' Hoffenheim Tom Bischof 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
39' Hoffenheim Anton Stach 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
40' Hoffenheim Valentin Gendrey 0.37 From Corner Missed Shot
46' Hoffenheim Adam Hlozek 0.05 Open Play Saved Shot Alexander Prass
48' Hoffenheim Jacob Bruun Larsen 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alexander Prass
51' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jacob Bruun Larsen
51' Hoffenheim Diadie Samassékou 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Tom Bischof
57' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.76 Right Foot Goal
60' Borussia M.Gladbach Alassane Pléa 0.17 Open Play Right Foot Goal Robin Hack
68' Hoffenheim Valentin Gendrey 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Anton Stach
76' Hoffenheim Adam Hlozek 0.60 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Valentin Gendrey
85' Hoffenheim Haris Tabakovic 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot
86' Hoffenheim Haris Tabakovic 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Tom Bischof
87' Hoffenheim Andrej Kramaric 0.48 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mërgim Berisha
93' Hoffenheim Haris Tabakovic 0.37 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mërgim Berisha

Players

Borussia M.Gladbach

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Philipp Sander DMC 90 1 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.17
Tim Kleindienst FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.12
Moritz Nicolas GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nico Elvedi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ko Itakura DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.00
Julian Weigl DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lukas Ullrich DL 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Franck Honorat AMR 89 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.12
Alassane Pléa AMC 83 1 0 2 2 0.27 0.12 0.29
Joe Scally DR 83 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Robin Hack AML 73 0 1 1 1 0.12 0.17 0.29
Rocco Reitz Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stefan Lainer Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marvin Friedrich Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Luca Netz Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Stöger Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Andrej Kramaric ML 90 1 0 3 0 1.30 0.00 1.10
Valentin Gendrey DR 90 0 0 2 3 0.46 0.81 1.80
Tom Bischof MR 90 0 0 2 2 0.05 0.10 1.76
Anton Stach MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.09 2.21
Oliver Baumann GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.62
Kevin Akpoguma DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.15
Adam Hlozek FW 84 0 0 4 1 0.87 0.03 1.43
Jacob Bruun Larsen FW 84 0 0 2 3 0.51 0.20 1.44
Alexander Prass DL 84 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.46 1.20
Diadie Samassékou MC 73 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.27
Robin Hranác Sub 57 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.17
Stanley N'Soki DC 33 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Haris Tabakovic Sub 17 0 0 3 0 0.47 0.00 0.45
Mërgim Berisha Sub 6 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.85 0.85
Dennis Geiger Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.48
David Jurásek Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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