Houston Dynamo v Cincinnati — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Houston Dynamo

20:30

Cincinnati

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 305h before kick-off

Houston Dynamo win

49.9%

model 49.1%

Draw

21.9%

model 23.7%

Cincinnati win

28.1%

model 27.3%

502228

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.7%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 7.3%
2-0 7.1%
1-2 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.3%	Under 2.5	38.7%
BTTS yes	62.3%	BTTS no	37.7%
Houston Dynamo 1+	84.1%	Houston Dynamo 2+	54.9%
Cincinnati 1+	73.5%	Cincinnati 2+	38.3%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.33. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 69%

73.6% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2590 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Houston Dynamo not to win both halves

Win both halves

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 589 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Houston Dynamo have an estimated 49.9% win probability, against 28.1% for Cincinnati and 21.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Houston Dynamo and 1.33 for Cincinnati.

Why Houston Dynamo

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Cincinnati can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cincinnati.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Houston Dynamo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cincinnati, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Houston Dynamo: 49% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cincinnati: 57% possession, 16.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Houston Dynamo are the model's most likely outcome at 49.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	492427	1.84–1.33	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	522324	1.90–1.23	1-1 11%	60%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win	52.5%	51.4%	45.4%	1.13×	1.95
Cincinnati to win	24.3%	24.5%	29.9%	0.82×	4.09
Draw	23.3%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo & both teams score	28.1%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Houston Dynamo & not both score	24.4%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Cincinnati & both teams score	14.1%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Cincinnati & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo & over 1.5	44.6%	40.3%	37.1%	1.09×	2.48
Houston Dynamo & over 2.5	36.7%	34.9%	30.9%	1.13×	2.87
Houston Dynamo & under 3.5	30.4%	30.9%	28.3%	1.09×	3.24
Houston Dynamo & over 3.5	22.0%	21.7%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Cincinnati & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	23.5%	0.77×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & under 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Cincinnati & over 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Cincinnati & under 3.5	15.9%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Cincinnati & under 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70
Cincinnati & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Cincinnati & under 1.5	5.0%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (1UP)	68.1%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
Cincinnati (1UP)	44.1%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2UP)	52.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Cincinnati (2UP)	24.3%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win 2nd half	43.1%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	32.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Cincinnati to win 2nd half	24.6%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (+2.5)	85.8%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Houston Dynamo (+0.5)	75.8%	78.4%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Cincinnati (+1.5)	69.7%	68.7%	76.7%	0.90×	1.46
Houston Dynamo (-0.5)	52.5%	52.3%	45.4%	1.15×	1.91
Cincinnati (+0.5)	47.5%	47.7%	54.6%	0.87×	2.10
Houston Dynamo (-1.5)	30.3%	31.3%	23.3%	1.34×	3.20
Cincinnati (-0.5)	24.3%	21.6%	29.9%	0.72×	4.64
Houston Dynamo (-2.5)	14.2%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede	85.0%	81.4%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Cincinnati clean sheet	15.0%	18.6%	18.0%	1.04×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to concede in 1st half	55.7%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Cincinnati clean sheet in 1st half	44.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 6.5 corners	82.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Cincinnati over 2.5 corners	73.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cincinnati under 5.5 corners	72.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cincinnati under 4.5 corners	58.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cincinnati over 3.5 corners	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cincinnati under 3.5 corners	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cincinnati over 4.5 corners	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cincinnati over 5.5 corners	27.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cincinnati under 2.5 corners	26.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cincinnati over 6.5 corners	17.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 3.5 goals	96.3%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Cincinnati under 2.5 goals	87.3%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Cincinnati over 0.5 goals	70.8%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Cincinnati under 1.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	61.3%	1.11×	1.47
Cincinnati over 1.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	38.7%	0.83×	3.12
Cincinnati under 0.5 goals	29.2%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.56
Cincinnati over 2.5 goals	12.7%	12.1%	16.7%	0.72×	8.25
Cincinnati over 3.5 goals	3.7%	2.5%	6.1%	0.40×	40.69

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati under 1.5 in 1st half	91.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Cincinnati under 0.5 in 1st half	61.1%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Cincinnati over 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Cincinnati over 1.5 in 1st half	8.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.04

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (away no bet)	69.3%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.7%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati even goals	54.3%	52.8%	53.6%	0.99×	1.89
Cincinnati odd goals	45.7%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.6%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	71.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.5%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Houston Dynamo to score 2+ in a row	47.2%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Cincinnati to score 2+ in a row	24.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Houston Dynamo to score 3+ in a row	19.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Cincinnati to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.77

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo corners (+3.5)	90.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Houston Dynamo corners (+2.5)	84.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Houston Dynamo corners (+1.5)	77.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Cincinnati corners (+3.5)	71.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Cincinnati corners (+2.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Cincinnati corners (+1.5)	52.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Houston Dynamo corners (-1.5)	47.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Houston Dynamo corners (-2.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Houston Dynamo corners (-3.5)	28.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Cincinnati corners (-1.5)	22.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Cincinnati corners (-2.5)	15.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Cincinnati corners (-3.5)	9.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
12+ corners	31.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	39.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	31.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.7%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
2-0	7.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
1-2	6.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
3-1	6.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
Any other score	5.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.48
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.46
0-1	5.0%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.46
3-0	5.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.46
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.47
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.49
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	2.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.48
4-1	2.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo leading at HT (DNB)	66.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Cincinnati leading at HT (DNB)	33.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or Cincinnati (12)	76.7%	75.5%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Houston Dynamo or draw (1X)	75.8%	75.5%	70.1%	1.08×	1.32
Cincinnati or draw (X2)	47.5%	48.6%	54.6%	0.89×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw at HT	79.5%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Houston Dynamo or Cincinnati at HT	60.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Cincinnati or draw at HT	59.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw (1UP)	75.8%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Cincinnati or draw (1UP)	47.5%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo or draw in 2nd half	75.4%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Houston Dynamo or Cincinnati in 2nd half	67.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Cincinnati or draw in 2nd half	56.9%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.3%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.7%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (DNB)	68.4%	67.2%	60.3%	1.11×	1.49
Cincinnati (DNB)	31.6%	32.8%	39.7%	0.83×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score first	57.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.61
Cincinnati to score first	37.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.6%	56.5%	61.1%	0.92×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.4%	43.5%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.9%	44.3%	50.9%	0.87×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	28.9%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.7%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.5%	12.3%	9.2%	1.35×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	80.3%	83.0%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.7%	17.0%	20.5%	0.83×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.1%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	7.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.41

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.3%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	38.7%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.2%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.37
4-6 goals	34.1%	30.8%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.7%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.96
7+ goals	4.0%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati to score exactly 1	35.9%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Cincinnati to score exactly 0	29.2%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Cincinnati to score exactly 2	22.1%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.46
Cincinnati to score 3+	12.7%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score 3+	29.5%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 1	28.5%	26.5%	31.0%	0.86×	3.77
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 2	27.0%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 0	15.0%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo leading at HT	40.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT	39.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.64
Cincinnati leading at HT	20.5%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo -1: 2	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Houston Dynamo -1: 1	30.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Houston Dynamo -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:1)	47.5%	46.0%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18
Houston Dynamo (0:1)	30.3%	30.0%	23.3%	1.29×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:2)	69.7%	72.3%	76.7%	0.94×	1.38
Draw (0:2)	16.1%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.55
Houston Dynamo (0:2)	14.2%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:3)	85.8%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.7%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.14
Houston Dynamo (0:3)	5.5%	5.8%	4.0%	1.45×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (0:4)	94.5%	94.7%	96.0%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.25
Houston Dynamo (0:4)	1.8%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (1:0)	75.8%	78.4%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	14.2%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.80
Cincinnati (1:0)	10.0%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.82

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (2:0)	90.0%	88.4%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	6.8%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.49
Cincinnati (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.17

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede	70.8%	73.0%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
Houston Dynamo clean sheet	29.2%	27.0%	26.8%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 1st half	61.1%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Houston Dynamo to concede in 1st half	38.9%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 corners	86.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 corners	74.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Houston Dynamo under 6.5 corners	65.4%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Houston Dynamo over 4.5 corners	60.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Houston Dynamo under 5.5 corners	53.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Houston Dynamo over 5.5 corners	46.9%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Houston Dynamo under 4.5 corners	39.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Houston Dynamo over 6.5 corners	34.6%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 corners	25.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 corners	13.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 goals	87.6%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 goals	85.0%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 goals	70.5%	74.2%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 goals	56.5%	58.8%	51.1%	1.15×	1.70
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 goals	43.5%	41.2%	48.9%	0.84×	2.43
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 goals	29.5%	25.8%	25.2%	1.03×	3.87
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 goals	15.0%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.60
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 goals	12.4%	12.7%	9.4%	1.36×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 1st half	80.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 1st half	55.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 1st half	44.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 1st half	19.7%	15.9%	—	—	6.29

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati (home no bet)	51.0%	51.6%	54.6%	0.95×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.0%	48.4%	45.4%	1.07×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo even goals	51.1%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Houston Dynamo odd goals	48.9%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 1-0	22.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	6.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	4.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.29
HT 0-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	32.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Cincinnati at HT / Cincinnati at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Cincinnati at FT	9.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Houston Dynamo at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Cincinnati at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Cincinnati at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Houston Dynamo at HT / Cincinnati at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score last	57.7%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Cincinnati to score last	37.4%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Houston Dynamo to lead by 1 at any time	68.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	53.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Cincinnati to lead by 1 at any time	44.1%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Houston Dynamo to lead by 2 at any time	37.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Houston Dynamo to lead by 3 at any time	17.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Cincinnati to lead by 2 at any time	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Cincinnati to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.7%	—	—	59.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo most corners	58.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Cincinnati most corners	31.4%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.5%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.3%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.5%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.6%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	57.1%	59.2%	57.2%	1.04×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.4%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.7%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.2%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.7%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-6 goals	34.1%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.4%	30.3%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.6%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	4.0%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo never behind	51.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cincinnati never behind	27.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.3%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	79.4%	77.4%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.9%	61.8%	62.9%	0.98×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.5%	61.7%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.5%	38.3%	40.1%	0.95×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.1%	38.2%	37.1%	1.03×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.6%	22.6%	21.2%	1.07×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.7%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.18

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	89.1%	86.8%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.4%	75.9%	74.5%	1.02×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	75.0%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.9%	51.8%	51.9%	1.00×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.1%	48.2%	48.1%	1.00×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.0%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.6%	24.1%	25.5%	0.94×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	10.9%	13.2%	12.4%	1.07×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.10

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.5%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.5%	11.1%	—	—	9.02

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.6%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.6%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.4%	22.3%	—	—	4.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to score in both halves	79.7%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Houston Dynamo not to score in both halves	63.2%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Houston Dynamo to score in both halves	36.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Cincinnati to score in both halves	20.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.62

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.6%	60.2%	61.1%	0.99×	1.66
Only Houston Dynamo scores	24.4%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.48
Only Cincinnati scores	10.2%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.16
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.78

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.9%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	12.8%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	10.9%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.28
6 or more goals	9.7%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	54.4%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	29.2%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.4%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Houston Dynamo not to win both halves	82.5%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Houston Dynamo to win both halves	17.5%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Cincinnati to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.70

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to win either half	65.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Cincinnati to win neither half	60.0%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Cincinnati to win either half	40.0%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
Houston Dynamo to win neither half	34.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cincinnati not to win to nil	89.8%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Houston Dynamo not to win to nil	75.6%	78.0%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
Houston Dynamo to win to nil	24.4%	22.0%	21.1%	1.04×	4.55
Cincinnati to win to nil	10.2%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.3%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Houston Dynamo by 1	22.2%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Houston Dynamo by 2	16.1%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
Cincinnati by 1	14.2%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.47
Houston Dynamo by 3+	14.2%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
Cincinnati by 2	6.8%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.78
Cincinnati by 3+	3.2%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.98