Huachipato v Colo Colo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Huachipato

16:00

Colo Colo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 12h before kick-off

Huachipato win

20.0%

model 17.4%

Draw

10.9%

model 15.0%

Colo Colo win

69.2%

model 67.6%

201169

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.2%
1-3 7.8%
0-2 7.7%
0-1 7.2%
0-3 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	72.2%	Under 2.5	27.8%
BTTS yes	63.2%	BTTS no	36.8%
Huachipato 1+	69.9%	Huachipato 2+	33.8%
Colo Colo 1+	92.1%	Colo Colo 2+	72.1%

Expected goals 1.20 – 2.54. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Colo Colo over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

73.0% fair odds 1.37

strong signal · 964 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Colo Colo or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.1% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1703 Elo against 1424.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Colo Colo have an estimated 69.2% win probability, against 20.0% for Huachipato and 10.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.20 for Huachipato and 2.54 for Colo Colo.

Why Huachipato

They have had 15 days' rest to Colo Colo's 7.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.9%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Colo Colo can win

Colo Colo carry the stronger rating, 1703 Elo against 1424. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Huachipato, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Colo Colo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Huachipato: 44% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 22.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Colo Colo: 59% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Colo Colo are the model's most likely outcome at 69.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.2%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	171568	1.20–2.54	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	201664	1.34–2.51	1-2 9%	74%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win	64.0%	58.2%	30.1%	1.94×	1.72
Huachipato to win	20.3%	24.4%	48.9%	0.50×	4.09
Draw	15.7%	19.3%	21.3%	0.91×	5.18

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & both teams score	38.8%	33.2%	13.4%	2.47×	3.01
Colo Colo & not both score	25.3%	25.2%	16.9%	1.49×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	14.8%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Huachipato & both teams score	13.0%	13.3%	22.5%	0.59×	7.54
Huachipato & not both score	7.2%	8.4%	26.7%	0.31×	11.93
Draw & not both score	0.9%	4.8%	4.9%	0.99×	20.66

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo & over 1.5	57.5%	54.9%	20.0%	2.74×	1.82
Colo Colo & over 2.5	50.8%	48.7%	16.6%	2.93×	2.05
Colo Colo & over 3.5	36.1%	34.9%	6.8%	5.10×	2.87
Colo Colo & under 3.5	27.9%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Huachipato & over 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	35.9%	0.50×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.8%	12.9%	16.6%	0.77×	7.77
Huachipato & over 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	29.1%	0.44×	7.77
Colo Colo & under 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	13.7%	0.94×	7.77
Huachipato & under 3.5	11.7%	12.9%	34.0%	0.38×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.69
Huachipato & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	15.2%	0.52×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.70
Colo Colo & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.70
Huachipato & under 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	20.0%	0.39×	12.70
Huachipato & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	0.9%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1UP)	78.0%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Huachipato (1UP)	42.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (2UP)	64.0%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Huachipato (2UP)	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win 2nd half	55.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	25.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Huachipato to win 2nd half	19.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.22

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (+2.5)	97.4%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
Colo Colo (+1.5)	92.2%	92.1%	77.0%	1.20×	1.09
Colo Colo (+0.5)	79.7%	78.5%	51.1%	1.54×	1.28
Colo Colo (-0.5)	64.0%	62.9%	30.1%	2.09×	1.59
Huachipato (+0.5)	36.0%	37.1%	69.9%	0.53×	2.70
Huachipato (-0.5)	20.3%	21.5%	48.9%	0.44×	4.64
Huachipato (-1.5)	7.8%	7.9%	23.0%	0.34×	12.63
Huachipato (-2.5)	2.6%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	26.91

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to concede	73.8%	76.5%	78.5%	0.97×	1.31
Colo Colo clean sheet	26.2%	23.5%	21.5%	1.09×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Colo Colo to concede in 1st half	43.8%	41.6%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 2.5 corners	88.9%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Colo Colo over 3.5 corners	78.8%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Colo Colo over 4.5 corners	66.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Colo Colo under 6.5 corners	58.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Colo Colo over 5.5 corners	53.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Colo Colo under 5.5 corners	46.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Colo Colo over 6.5 corners	41.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Colo Colo under 4.5 corners	33.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Colo Colo under 3.5 corners	21.2%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Colo Colo under 2.5 corners	11.1%	15.1%	—	—	6.64

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo over 0.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	68.7%	1.34×	1.08
Colo Colo under 3.5 goals	75.7%	76.2%	97.1%	0.79×	1.31
Colo Colo over 1.5 goals	71.4%	71.9%	31.5%	2.28×	1.39
Colo Colo under 2.5 goals	54.3%	53.7%	88.3%	0.61×	1.86
Colo Colo over 2.5 goals	45.7%	46.3%	11.7%	3.95×	2.16
Colo Colo under 1.5 goals	28.6%	28.1%	68.5%	0.41×	3.56
Colo Colo over 3.5 goals	24.3%	23.8%	2.9%	8.11×	4.21
Colo Colo under 0.5 goals	8.2%	7.7%	31.3%	0.25×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo under 1.5 in 1st half	73.5%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Colo Colo over 0.5 in 1st half	63.3%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Colo Colo under 0.5 in 1st half	36.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
Colo Colo over 1.5 in 1st half	26.5%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (away no bet)	56.3%	57.4%	69.7%	0.82×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.7%	42.6%	30.3%	1.40×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo even goals	50.3%	52.8%	53.5%	0.99×	1.90
Colo Colo odd goals	49.7%	47.2%	46.5%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	69.0%	72.1%	—	—	1.39
Both halves over 1.5 goals	31.0%	27.9%	—	—	3.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.4%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.6%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	74.8%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Colo Colo to score 2+ in a row	61.6%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	37.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Colo Colo to score 3+ in a row	31.7%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Huachipato to score 2+ in a row	25.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Huachipato to score 3+ in a row	6.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.76

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo corners (+3.5)	91.7%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
Colo Colo corners (+2.5)	87.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Colo Colo corners (+1.5)	80.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Huachipato corners (+3.5)	66.3%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Huachipato corners (+2.5)	56.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Colo Colo corners (-1.5)	53.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Huachipato corners (+1.5)	46.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Colo Colo corners (-2.5)	43.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Colo Colo corners (-3.5)	33.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Huachipato corners (-1.5)	19.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
Huachipato corners (-2.5)	12.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.32
Huachipato corners (-3.5)	8.3%	11.4%	—	—	8.81

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.4%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	34.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	71.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	63.6%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	55.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	45.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	44.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	34.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	28.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	12.0%	11.5%	3.4%	3.35×	8.73
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.48
0-1	6.6%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	3.7%	2.02×	13.48
1-3	7.5%	7.4%	2.2%	3.37×	13.48
0-3	5.6%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.48
1-1	6.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.48
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.48
2-3	5.0%	7.4%	2.2%	3.37×	13.48
1-4	4.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.46
2-1	4.8%	1.7%	10.8%	0.16×	58.46
0-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.48
0-4	3.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.47
1-0	4.1%	1.7%	13.2%	0.13×	58.47
2-0	1.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.48
2-4	3.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.47
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.49
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.48
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.47
3-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.48
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.49
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	6.99×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT (DNB)	68.4%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Huachipato leading at HT (DNB)	31.6%	25.9%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato or Colo Colo (12)	84.3%	80.7%	78.7%	1.02×	1.24
Colo Colo or draw (X2)	79.7%	75.6%	51.1%	1.48×	1.32
Huachipato or draw (1X)	36.0%	41.8%	69.9%	0.60×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw at HT	79.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Huachipato or Colo Colo at HT	66.0%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Huachipato or draw at HT	54.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw (1UP)	79.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Huachipato or draw (1UP)	42.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo or draw in 2nd half	80.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Huachipato or Colo Colo in 2nd half	74.7%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Huachipato or draw in 2nd half	44.8%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	47.9%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	52.1%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (DNB)	76.0%	74.6%	38.1%	1.96×	1.34
Huachipato (DNB)	24.0%	25.4%	61.9%	0.41×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score first	64.6%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Huachipato to score first	34.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
No goal scored	0.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.80

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.6%	58.2%	52.1%	1.12×	1.72
Not both teams to score	33.4%	41.8%	47.9%	0.87×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	60.6%	50.0%	43.0%	1.16×	2.00
Not both score & under 2.5	20.2%	27.7%	38.1%	0.73×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	13.2%	12.3%	10.0%	1.23×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	6.0%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	72.4%	80.5%	84.6%	0.95×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	27.6%	19.5%	15.4%	1.27×	5.13

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	58.9%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	41.1%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	42.9%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	29.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Both score 1st half only	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	11.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	27.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	29.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	44.1%	42.1%	26.9%	1.57×	2.37
2-3 goals	34.9%	30.8%	43.3%	0.71×	3.25
0-1 goals	11.6%	16.9%	27.9%	0.61×	5.91
7+ goals	9.4%	7.6%	2.4%	3.12×	13.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score 3+	45.7%	42.9%	11.7%	3.65×	2.33
Colo Colo to score exactly 2	25.6%	27.4%	20.0%	1.37×	3.65
Colo Colo to score exactly 1	20.5%	22.4%	37.4%	0.60×	4.47
Colo Colo to score exactly 0	8.2%	8.5%	31.3%	0.27×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to score exactly 1	35.1%	35.6%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
Huachipato to score exactly 0	26.2%	26.5%	21.5%	1.23×	3.77
Huachipato to score exactly 2	23.5%	23.2%	26.4%	0.88×	4.30
Huachipato to score 3+	15.2%	18.9%	20.8%	0.91×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo leading at HT	45.2%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	34.0%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
Huachipato leading at HT	20.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo -1: 2	41.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Colo Colo -1: 1	36.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Colo Colo -1: X	22.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:1)	79.7%	74.0%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	12.5%	13.8%	26.2%	0.53×	7.23
Huachipato (0:1)	7.8%	9.2%	23.0%	0.40×	10.86

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:2)	92.2%	90.8%	77.0%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.2%	7.7%	13.0%	0.60×	12.97
Huachipato (0:2)	2.6%	3.8%	10.3%	0.37×	26.60

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:3)	97.4%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.9%	2.4%	5.1%	0.46×	42.18
Huachipato (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	4.2%	0.29×	83.62
Huachipato (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (1:0)	41.8%	43.0%	10.3%	4.18×	2.33
Huachipato (1:0)	36.0%	37.2%	69.9%	0.53×	2.69
Draw (1:0)	22.3%	21.8%	20.0%	1.09×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato (2:0)	58.2%	63.0%	89.7%	0.70×	1.59
Colo Colo (2:0)	23.6%	19.4%	4.2%	4.67×	5.15
Draw (2:0)	18.2%	15.7%	6.4%	2.47×	6.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.3%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	18.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to concede	91.8%	93.1%	68.7%	1.35×	1.07
Huachipato clean sheet	8.2%	6.9%	31.3%	0.22×	14.45

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato to concede in 1st half	63.3%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Huachipato clean sheet in 1st half	36.7%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 6.5 corners	82.8%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Huachipato over 2.5 corners	73.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Huachipato under 5.5 corners	72.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Huachipato under 4.5 corners	59.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Huachipato over 3.5 corners	56.5%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Huachipato under 3.5 corners	43.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Huachipato over 4.5 corners	40.5%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Huachipato over 5.5 corners	27.2%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Huachipato under 2.5 corners	26.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Huachipato over 6.5 corners	17.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 3.5 goals	95.3%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Huachipato under 2.5 goals	84.8%	82.1%	79.2%	1.04×	1.22
Huachipato over 0.5 goals	73.8%	74.2%	78.5%	0.95×	1.35
Huachipato under 1.5 goals	61.3%	63.5%	53.1%	1.20×	1.58
Huachipato over 1.5 goals	38.7%	36.5%	46.9%	0.78×	2.74
Huachipato under 0.5 goals	26.2%	25.8%	21.5%	1.20×	3.87
Huachipato over 2.5 goals	15.2%	17.9%	20.8%	0.86×	5.59
Huachipato over 3.5 goals	4.7%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.40

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Huachipato under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Huachipato over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Huachipato over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.2%	—	—	9.81

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo (home no bet)	80.3%	85.4%	58.6%	1.46×	1.17
Draw (home no bet)	19.7%	14.6%	41.4%	0.35×	6.85

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato even goals	53.4%	50.6%	54.5%	0.93×	1.98
Huachipato odd goals	46.6%	49.4%	45.5%	1.09×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-1	20.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-0	20.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 1-0	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	11.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
Any other HT score	10.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 1-2	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 2-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.48

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo at HT / Colo Colo at FT	39.5%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Draw at HT / Colo Colo at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Huachipato at HT / Huachipato at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Huachipato at FT	7.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Huachipato at HT / Colo Colo at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Huachipato at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Colo Colo at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Colo Colo at HT / Huachipato at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to score last	64.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Huachipato to score last	34.7%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goal scored	0.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.80

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.1%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Colo Colo to lead by 1 at any time	78.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	64.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Colo Colo to lead by 2 at any time	50.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Huachipato to lead by 1 at any time	42.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	32.5%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Colo Colo to lead by 3 at any time	28.2%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Huachipato to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Huachipato to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	—	—	60.08

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo most corners	63.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Huachipato most corners	27.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	9.3%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.0%	83.5%	87.3%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.0%	78.6%	69.9%	1.12×	1.27
2-5 goals	69.4%	69.0%	64.3%	1.07×	1.45
1-4 goals	65.0%	68.9%	81.2%	0.85×	1.45
3-6 goals	64.4%	63.4%	50.6%	1.25×	1.58
3-5 goals	54.8%	53.2%	45.0%	1.18×	1.88
2-4 goals	54.4%	53.2%	58.2%	0.91×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.5%	48.7%	66.3%	0.73×	2.06
4-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	26.9%	1.62×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	38.9%	1.01×	2.55
2-3 goals	34.9%	35.4%	43.3%	0.82×	2.83
4-5 goals	34.5%	35.4%	21.3%	1.66×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.2%	30.2%	42.5%	0.71×	3.31
5-6 goals	24.6%	24.5%	12.0%	2.04×	4.08
7+ goals	9.4%	8.7%	2.4%	3.58×	11.43

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo never behind	57.1%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Huachipato never behind	21.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	45.0%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	55.0%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Even goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.1%	95.5%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.4%	87.7%	72.1%	1.22×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	80.9%	82.4%	91.9%	0.90×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	73.8%	72.5%	52.8%	1.37×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	65.9%	66.2%	85.8%	0.77×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	53.6%	52.5%	29.1%	1.80×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	46.4%	47.5%	70.9%	0.67×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	34.1%	33.8%	14.2%	2.38×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	26.2%	27.5%	47.2%	0.58×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	19.1%	17.6%	8.1%	2.18×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	11.6%	12.4%	27.9%	0.44×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	0.9%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.6%	86.8%	97.4%	0.89×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.5%	86.7%	65.5%	1.33×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.6%	75.9%	91.4%	0.83×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.2%	67.4%	38.1%	1.77×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	57.7%	55.4%	83.3%	0.67×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	42.3%	44.6%	16.7%	2.67×	2.24
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.8%	32.6%	61.9%	0.53×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.4%	24.1%	8.6%	2.80×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.5%	13.3%	34.5%	0.38×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.4%	13.2%	2.6%	5.11×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.6%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.9%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.4%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.6%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.4%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	90.1%	88.5%	—	—	1.13
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.7%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	60.5%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	39.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.3%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	9.9%	11.5%	—	—	8.73

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato not to score in both halves	76.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Colo Colo not to score in both halves	50.8%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Colo Colo to score in both halves	49.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Huachipato to score in both halves	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.6%	59.5%	52.1%	1.14×	1.68
Only Colo Colo scores	25.3%	26.1%	16.9%	1.55×	3.83
Only Huachipato scores	7.2%	7.2%	26.7%	0.27×	13.91
Neither team scores	0.9%	4.6%	4.9%	0.93×	21.96

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	22.6%	24.0%	0.94×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.4%	15.2%	1.15×	5.74
6 or more goals	19.1%	17.4%	8.1%	2.16×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	15.0%	17.4%	6.4%	2.74×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	14.6%	12.1%	19.6%	0.62×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	10.6%	12.1%	23.2%	0.52×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	0.9%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.3%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goals in 2nd half	9.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Colo Colo not to win both halves	75.3%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Colo Colo to win both halves	24.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.01
Huachipato to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo to win either half	75.8%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Huachipato to win neither half	63.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Huachipato to win either half	36.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Colo Colo to win neither half	24.2%	20.5%	—	—	4.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Huachipato not to win to nil	92.8%	92.0%	73.4%	1.25×	1.09
Colo Colo not to win to nil	74.7%	75.3%	83.1%	0.91×	1.33
Colo Colo to win to nil	25.3%	24.7%	16.9%	1.46×	4.05
Huachipato to win to nil	7.2%	8.0%	26.7%	0.30×	12.57

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Colo Colo by 3+	23.6%	24.2%	4.2%	5.81×	4.14
Colo Colo by 1	22.3%	24.1%	20.0%	1.20×	4.14
Colo Colo by 2	18.2%	16.9%	6.4%	2.66×	5.91
Draw	15.7%	16.9%	21.3%	0.80×	5.91
Huachipato by 1	12.5%	11.8%	26.2%	0.45×	8.48
Huachipato by 2	5.2%	7.3%	13.0%	0.56×	13.79
Huachipato by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	37.00