IFK Göteborg v Djurgården — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 28 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627
SWE-Allsvenskan
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.1%
- 0-1 11.4%
- 1-2 9.1%
- 0-0 8.9%
- 0-2 8.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | Under 2.5 | 54.4% |
| BTTS yes | 50.2% | BTTS no | 49.8% |
| IFK Göteborg 1+ | 64.3% | IFK Göteborg 2+ | 27.5% |
| Djurgården 1+ | 77.1% | Djurgården 2+ | 43.3% |
Expected goals 1.03 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Djurgården carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1496.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.81).
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Djurgården have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for the draw and 26.8% for IFK Göteborg. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.03 for IFK Göteborg and 1.47 for Djurgården.
Why IFK Göteborg
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why Djurgården can win
Djurgården carry the stronger rating, 1655 Elo against 1496. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for IFK Göteborg, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Djurgården, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
IFK Göteborg: 53% possession, 19.6 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Djurgården: 48% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 5.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Djurgården are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%. Confidence 18/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 0.90–2.18 | 0-2 11% | 60% | 53% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win | 66.0% | 65.0% | 36.6% | 1.77× | 1.54 |
| Draw | 20.2% | 24.4% | 22.9% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
| IFK Göteborg to win | 13.9% | 13.3% | 40.7% | 0.33× | 7.50 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården & not both score | 35.4% | 33.2% | 18.8% | 1.76× | 3.02 |
| Djurgården & both teams score | 30.6% | 29.7% | 18.1% | 1.64× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.59 |
| IFK Göteborg & both teams score | 7.6% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 0.48× | 11.93 |
| IFK Göteborg & not both score | 6.2% | 8.4% | 23.7% | 0.35× | 11.93 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.57× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården & over 1.5 | 56.5% | 54.9% | 27.7% | 1.98× | 1.82 |
| Djurgården & over 2.5 | 45.6% | 45.2% | 22.9% | 1.97× | 2.21 |
| Djurgården & under 3.5 | 38.1% | 34.9% | 25.4% | 1.37× | 2.86 |
| Djurgården & over 3.5 | 27.9% | 26.0% | 11.5% | 2.27× | 3.84 |
| Djurgården & under 2.5 | 20.4% | 21.6% | 14.0% | 1.55× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 0.71× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 0.71× | 7.77 |
| IFK Göteborg & over 1.5 | 10.2% | 12.9% | 34.6% | 0.37× | 7.77 |
| IFK Göteborg & under 3.5 | 10.2% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 0.49× | 7.77 |
| Djurgården & under 1.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 0.86× | 12.70 |
| IFK Göteborg & over 2.5 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 25.4% | 0.31× | 12.70 |
| IFK Göteborg & under 2.5 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 0.51× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.47× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.55× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.55× | 12.70 |
| IFK Göteborg & under 1.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 0.75× | 20.93 |
| IFK Göteborg & over 3.5 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 14.8% | 0.32× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (1UP) | 77.2% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| IFK Göteborg (1UP) | 31.9% | 32.7% | — | — | 3.06 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (2UP) | 66.0% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| IFK Göteborg (2UP) | 13.9% | 13.6% | — | — | 7.36 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win 2nd half | 56.2% | 59.3% | — | — | 1.69 |
| 2nd half drawn | 29.4% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
| IFK Göteborg to win 2nd half | 14.5% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.96 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (+2.5) | 98.9% | 96.3% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Djurgården (+1.5) | 95.4% | 96.3% | 76.3% | 1.26× | 1.04 |
| Djurgården (+0.5) | 86.1% | 88.5% | 59.3% | 1.49× | 1.13 |
| Djurgården (-0.5) | 66.0% | 68.7% | 36.6% | 1.87× | 1.46 |
| IFK Göteborg (+0.5) | 34.0% | 31.3% | 63.4% | 0.49× | 3.19 |
| IFK Göteborg (-0.5) | 13.9% | 11.5% | 40.7% | 0.28× | 8.69 |
| IFK Göteborg (-1.5) | 4.6% | 3.7% | 23.7% | 0.16× | 26.76 |
| IFK Göteborg (-2.5) | 1.1% | 3.7% | 11.5% | 0.32× | 26.98 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to concede | 59.5% | 62.8% | 76.1% | 0.83× | 1.59 |
| Djurgården clean sheet | 40.5% | 37.2% | 23.9% | 1.56× | 2.69 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården clean sheet in 1st half | 67.8% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Djurgården to concede in 1st half | 32.2% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården over 2.5 corners | 85.0% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Djurgården over 3.5 corners | 71.8% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Djurgården under 6.5 corners | 70.8% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Djurgården under 5.5 corners | 58.1% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Djurgården over 4.5 corners | 56.7% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Djurgården under 4.5 corners | 43.3% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Djurgården over 5.5 corners | 41.9% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Djurgården over 6.5 corners | 29.2% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Djurgården under 3.5 corners | 28.2% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Djurgården under 2.5 corners | 15.0% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.74 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården over 0.5 goals | 88.7% | 87.9% | 71.2% | 1.23× | 1.14 |
| Djurgården under 3.5 goals | 82.4% | 81.4% | 95.2% | 0.86× | 1.23 |
| Djurgården over 1.5 goals | 64.0% | 63.0% | 39.2% | 1.61× | 1.59 |
| Djurgården under 2.5 goals | 62.8% | 62.9% | 81.7% | 0.77× | 1.59 |
| Djurgården over 2.5 goals | 37.2% | 37.1% | 18.3% | 2.02× | 2.70 |
| Djurgården under 1.5 goals | 36.0% | 37.0% | 60.8% | 0.61× | 2.70 |
| Djurgården over 3.5 goals | 17.6% | 18.6% | 4.8% | 3.84× | 5.39 |
| Djurgården under 0.5 goals | 11.3% | 12.1% | 28.8% | 0.42× | 8.27 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården under 1.5 in 1st half | 78.3% | 76.3% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Djurgården over 0.5 in 1st half | 58.2% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Djurgården under 0.5 in 1st half | 41.8% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Djurgården over 1.5 in 1st half | 21.7% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.22 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 59.2% | 57.6% | 36.0% | 1.60× | 1.74 |
| IFK Göteborg (away no bet) | 40.8% | 42.4% | 64.0% | 0.66× | 2.36 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården even goals | 50.6% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Djurgården odd goals | 49.4% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 80.5% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 19.5% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 71.0% | 67.0% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 29.0% | 33.0% | — | — | 3.03 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 65.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Djurgården to score 2+ in a row | 56.9% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 30.7% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| Djurgården to score 3+ in a row | 28.2% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| IFK Göteborg to score 2+ in a row | 14.7% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.22 |
| IFK Göteborg to score 3+ in a row | 2.8% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.71 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg corners (+3.5) | 85.6% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| IFK Göteborg corners (+2.5) | 79.1% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Djurgården corners (+3.5) | 77.1% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| IFK Göteborg corners (+1.5) | 70.9% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Djurgården corners (+2.5) | 68.7% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Djurgården corners (+1.5) | 59.1% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| IFK Göteborg corners (-1.5) | 40.9% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.33 |
| IFK Göteborg corners (-2.5) | 31.3% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Djurgården corners (-1.5) | 29.1% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.41 |
| IFK Göteborg corners (-3.5) | 22.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Djurgården corners (-2.5) | 20.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Djurgården corners (-3.5) | 14.4% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 43.3% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.8% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 0-8 corners | 26.9% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 81.7% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 73.1% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 65.9% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 56.7% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 53.3% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 46.7% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 43.3% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 36.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 34.1% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 26.9% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 18.3% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 10.9% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 2.25× | 8.74 |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 0.81× | 13.47 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 0.57× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.47 |
| 0-3 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.95× | 13.47 |
| 1-3 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.54× | 13.47 |
| Any other score | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.82× | 13.47 |
| 0-0 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.39× | 13.47 |
| 0-4 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.50 |
| 1-0 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 0.27× | 58.50 |
| 1-4 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.50 |
| 2-0 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 0.18× | 58.51 |
| 2-1 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 0.29× | 58.50 |
| 2-2 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.42× | 58.50 |
| 2-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.51 |
| 2-4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.51 |
| 3-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.52 |
| 3-1 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.52 |
| 3-2 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.52 |
| 3-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.24× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.12× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården leading at HT (DNB) | 74.4% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| IFK Göteborg leading at HT (DNB) | 25.6% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw (X2) | 86.1% | 86.7% | 59.3% | 1.46× | 1.15 |
| IFK Göteborg or Djurgården (12) | 79.8% | 75.6% | 77.1% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| IFK Göteborg or draw (1X) | 34.0% | 35.0% | 63.4% | 0.55× | 2.85 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw at HT | 84.4% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| IFK Göteborg or Djurgården at HT | 61.0% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| IFK Göteborg or draw at HT | 54.6% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw (1UP) | 86.1% | 91.6% | — | — | 1.09 |
| IFK Göteborg or draw (1UP) | 34.0% | 39.1% | — | — | 2.56 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården or draw in 2nd half | 85.5% | 87.4% | — | — | 1.14 |
| IFK Göteborg or Djurgården in 2nd half | 70.6% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| IFK Göteborg or draw in 2nd half | 43.8% | 40.7% | — | — | 2.46 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 56.3% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 43.7% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (DNB) | 82.6% | 80.5% | 47.4% | 1.70× | 1.24 |
| IFK Göteborg (DNB) | 17.4% | 19.5% | 52.6% | 0.37× | 5.13 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to score first | 67.1% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| IFK Göteborg to score first | 27.8% | 28.3% | — | — | 3.54 |
| No goal scored | 5.1% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.49 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53.3% | 51.5% | 52.7% | 0.98× | 1.94 |
| Not both teams to score | 46.7% | 48.5% | 47.3% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 43.8% | 41.6% | 39.9% | 1.04× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 31.0% | 34.3% | 34.4% | 1.00× | 2.92 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 15.8% | 21.7% | 13.2% | 1.64× | 4.61 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 0.65× | 11.94 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 85.3% | 85.6% | 84.2% | 1.02× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 14.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 0.91× | 6.97 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 70.5% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 29.5% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.87 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 57.1% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.0% | 21.0% | — | — | 4.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.3% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.47 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.5% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.89 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.2% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.8% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.81 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 60.3% | 58.5% | — | — | 1.71 |
| A half without a goal | 39.7% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 44.7% | 42.1% | 49.1% | 0.86× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 33.4% | 30.8% | 26.2% | 1.17× | 3.25 |
| 0-1 goals | 18.2% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 0.99× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 3.7% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 0.38× | 54.86 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to score 3+ | 37.2% | 36.0% | 18.3% | 1.96× | 2.78 |
| Djurgården to score exactly 2 | 26.9% | 27.4% | 21.1% | 1.30× | 3.65 |
| Djurgården to score exactly 1 | 24.7% | 22.4% | 32.3% | 0.69× | 4.46 |
| Djurgården to score exactly 0 | 11.3% | 12.8% | 28.8% | 0.45× | 7.82 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg to score exactly 1 | 36.6% | 35.6% | 32.8% | 1.08× | 2.81 |
| IFK Göteborg to score exactly 0 | 40.5% | 34.9% | 23.9% | 1.46× | 2.87 |
| IFK Göteborg to score exactly 2 | 16.5% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 0.85× | 5.30 |
| IFK Göteborg to score 3+ | 6.4% | 10.3% | 21.6% | 0.48× | 9.73 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården leading at HT | 45.4% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Draw at HT | 39.0% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| IFK Göteborg leading at HT | 15.6% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.44 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården -1: 2 | 42.8% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Djurgården -1: 1 | 34.0% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Djurgården -1: X | 23.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:1) | 86.1% | 89.0% | 59.3% | 1.50× | 1.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 9.3% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 0.54× | 10.80 |
| IFK Göteborg (0:1) | 4.6% | 5.9% | 23.7% | 0.25× | 17.07 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:2) | 95.4% | 94.0% | 76.3% | 1.23× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:2) | 3.4% | 3.8% | 12.5% | 0.30× | 26.53 |
| IFK Göteborg (0:2) | 1.1% | 3.8% | 11.5% | 0.33× | 26.67 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:3) | 98.9% | 96.6% | 88.6% | 1.09× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 0.9% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 0.35× | 42.17 |
| IFK Göteborg (0:3) | 0.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.20 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (0:4) | 99.8% | 98.1% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| IFK Göteborg (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.94× | 83.61 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.2% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 0.31× | 83.59 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (1:0) | 42.8% | 42.9% | 16.5% | 2.59× | 2.33 |
| IFK Göteborg (1:0) | 34.0% | 30.5% | 63.4% | 0.48× | 3.28 |
| Draw (1:0) | 23.1% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 1.07× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg (2:0) | 57.2% | 63.1% | 83.5% | 0.76× | 1.59 |
| Djurgården (2:0) | 22.8% | 19.2% | 6.4% | 3.01× | 5.22 |
| Draw (2:0) | 20.0% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 1.81× | 5.29 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.2% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.78 |
| Halves equal | 23.7% | 24.3% | — | — | 4.12 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg to concede | 88.7% | 86.2% | 71.2% | 1.21× | 1.16 |
| IFK Göteborg clean sheet | 11.3% | 13.8% | 28.8% | 0.48× | 7.24 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg to concede in 1st half | 58.2% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| IFK Göteborg clean sheet in 1st half | 41.8% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg over 2.5 corners | 89.1% | 86.3% | — | — | 1.16 |
| IFK Göteborg over 3.5 corners | 78.4% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| IFK Göteborg over 4.5 corners | 65.1% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| IFK Göteborg under 6.5 corners | 62.3% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| IFK Göteborg over 5.5 corners | 51.0% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| IFK Göteborg under 5.5 corners | 49.0% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| IFK Göteborg over 6.5 corners | 37.7% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| IFK Göteborg under 4.5 corners | 34.9% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| IFK Göteborg under 3.5 corners | 21.6% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| IFK Göteborg under 2.5 corners | 10.9% | 13.7% | — | — | 7.29 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg under 3.5 goals | 98.6% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| IFK Göteborg under 2.5 goals | 93.6% | 92.3% | 78.4% | 1.18× | 1.08 |
| IFK Göteborg under 1.5 goals | 77.1% | 77.7% | 56.5% | 1.38× | 1.29 |
| IFK Göteborg over 0.5 goals | 59.5% | 58.8% | 76.1% | 0.77× | 1.70 |
| IFK Göteborg under 0.5 goals | 40.5% | 41.2% | 23.9% | 1.72× | 2.43 |
| IFK Göteborg over 1.5 goals | 22.9% | 22.3% | 43.5% | 0.51× | 4.49 |
| IFK Göteborg over 2.5 goals | 6.4% | 7.7% | 21.6% | 0.36× | 12.93 |
| IFK Göteborg over 3.5 goals | 1.4% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.52 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg under 1.5 in 1st half | 94.1% | 95.5% | — | — | 1.05 |
| IFK Göteborg under 0.5 in 1st half | 67.8% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| IFK Göteborg over 0.5 in 1st half | 32.2% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| IFK Göteborg over 1.5 in 1st half | 5.9% | 4.5% | — | — | 22.11 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården (home no bet) | 76.6% | 78.6% | 61.5% | 1.28× | 1.27 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 23.4% | 21.4% | 38.5% | 0.56× | 4.67 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg even goals | 58.2% | 55.5% | 53.9% | 1.03× | 1.80 |
| IFK Göteborg odd goals | 41.8% | 44.5% | 46.1% | 0.97× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 28.4% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
| HT 0-1 | 24.6% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| HT 1-0 | 10.9% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
| HT 0-2 | 10.8% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| Any other HT score | 6.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.19 |
| HT 1-2 | 4.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.75 |
| HT 2-0 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.91 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.93 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.01 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården at HT / Djurgården at FT | 40.6% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Draw at HT / Djurgården at FT | 21.6% | 21.7% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| IFK Göteborg at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT | 7.5% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.58 |
| Draw at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| IFK Göteborg at HT / Draw at FT | 4.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| IFK Göteborg at HT / Djurgården at FT | 3.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.84 |
| Djurgården at HT / Draw at FT | 3.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.84 |
| Djurgården at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT | 1.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.95 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to score last | 67.2% | 70.1% | — | — | 1.43 |
| IFK Göteborg to score last | 27.7% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.70 |
| No goal scored | 5.1% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.49 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.9% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Djurgården to lead by 1 at any time | 77.2% | 78.3% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 57.6% | 55.2% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Djurgården to lead by 2 at any time | 49.4% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| IFK Göteborg to lead by 1 at any time | 31.9% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 27.8% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
| Djurgården to lead by 3 at any time | 25.9% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.96 |
| IFK Göteborg to lead by 2 at any time | 8.5% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.18 |
| IFK Göteborg to lead by 3 at any time | 1.9% | 1.5% | — | — | 64.72 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg most corners | 51.1% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Djurgården most corners | 38.6% | 39.4% | — | — | 2.54 |
| Corners level | 10.3% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.7% | 87.4% | 86.8% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 78.1% | 78.6% | 75.1% | 1.05× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 75.0% | 78.6% | 78.4% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.6% | 72.4% | 71.8% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.9% | 63.4% | 63.4% | 1.00× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 57.8% | 59.2% | 64.1% | 0.92× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 55.8% | 59.2% | 48.3% | 1.22× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 50.3% | 53.2% | 45.0% | 1.18× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 44.7% | 43.6% | 49.1% | 0.89× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.7% | 39.2% | 36.6% | 1.07× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 35.4% | 39.2% | 42.0% | 0.93× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 33.4% | 35.4% | 26.2% | 1.35× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 27.9% | 30.2% | 22.9% | 1.32× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 16.1% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 1.56× | 5.37 |
| 7+ goals | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 0.53× | 39.34 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården never behind | 63.0% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.47 |
| IFK Göteborg never behind | 17.7% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.36 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.9% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.1% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.2% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.8% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.7% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.3% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.9% | 92.3% | 94.7% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.3% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.8% | 82.4% | 79.6% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80.1% | 82.4% | 83.5% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62.9% | 61.7% | 69.2% | 0.89× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% | 58.8% | 52.9% | 1.11× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.5% | 41.2% | 47.1% | 0.87× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% | 38.3% | 30.8% | 1.24× | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19.9% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 1.07× | 5.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18.2% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 0.87× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.95× | 12.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.44× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.0% | 97.2% | 95.0% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 89.7% | 86.8% | 91.1% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 76.6% | 75.9% | 72.2% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 76.0% | 75.9% | 80.7% | 0.94× | 1.32 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 52.2% | 51.8% | 60.5% | 0.86× | 1.93 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 47.8% | 48.2% | 39.5% | 1.22× | 2.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 24.0% | 24.1% | 19.3% | 1.25× | 4.15 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 23.4% | 24.1% | 27.8% | 0.87× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 10.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 1.49× | 7.55 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 0.55× | 36.30 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 71.6% | 70.9% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 64.0% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 36.0% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 28.4% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.43 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.11 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 83.7% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 72.5% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 54.6% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.4% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 27.5% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.49 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 16.3% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg not to score in both halves | 87.0% | 86.0% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Djurgården not to score in both halves | 57.6% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Djurgården to score in both halves | 42.4% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| IFK Göteborg to score in both halves | 13.0% | 14.0% | — | — | 7.14 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 53.3% | 53.9% | 52.7% | 1.02× | 1.85 |
| Only Djurgården scores | 35.4% | 39.8% | 18.8% | 2.11× | 2.51 |
| Only IFK Göteborg scores | 6.2% | 7.2% | 23.7% | 0.30× | 13.92 |
| Neither team scores | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.34× | 13.93 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 27.0% | 0.84× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 22.4% | 1.01× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.3% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 1.20× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 13.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 0.79× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.6% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.39× | 8.29 |
| 6 or more goals | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 0.94× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.43× | 13.10 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 54.6% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.1% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 16.3% | 17.0% | — | — | 5.88 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg not to win both halves | 97.7% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Djurgården not to win both halves | 74.4% | 73.0% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Djurgården to win both halves | 25.6% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.71 |
| IFK Göteborg to win both halves | 2.3% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.09 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win either half | 75.9% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| IFK Göteborg to win neither half | 72.2% | 73.0% | — | — | 1.37 |
| IFK Göteborg to win either half | 27.8% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.70 |
| Djurgården to win neither half | 24.1% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.88 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Göteborg not to win to nil | 93.8% | 92.1% | 76.3% | 1.21× | 1.09 |
| Djurgården not to win to nil | 64.6% | 66.8% | 81.2% | 0.82× | 1.50 |
| Djurgården to win to nil | 35.4% | 33.2% | 18.8% | 1.76× | 3.01 |
| IFK Göteborg to win to nil | 6.2% | 7.9% | 23.7% | 0.34× | 12.58 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården by 1 | 23.1% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 1.19× | 4.14 |
| Djurgården by 3+ | 22.8% | 24.2% | 6.4% | 3.80× | 4.14 |
| Djurgården by 2 | 20.0% | 24.1% | 10.4% | 2.31× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 20.2% | 24.1% | 22.9% | 1.05× | 4.14 |
| IFK Göteborg by 1 | 9.3% | 7.3% | 17.3% | 0.42× | 13.79 |
| IFK Göteborg by 2 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 12.5% | 0.22× | 37.03 |
| IFK Göteborg by 3+ | 1.1% | 2.7% | 11.5% | 0.24× | 37.10 |