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IFK Göteborg v Västerås SK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 9 October 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627

SWE-Allsvenskan results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
IFK Göteborg win
53.7%
model 51.5%
Draw
23.2%
model 23.9%
Västerås SK win
23.2%
model 24.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.1%
  2. 2-1 9.7%
  3. 1-0 8.0%
  4. 2-0 7.9%
  5. 1-2 6.4%

Goals

Over 2.559.1% Under 2.540.9%
BTTS yes59.9% BTTS no40.1%
IFK Göteborg 1+84.2% IFK Göteborg 2+55.1%
Västerås SK 1+70.5% Västerås SK 2+34.5%

Expected goals 1.85 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
20/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
89%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).
  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0255 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

IFK Göteborg have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.2% for Västerås SK and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.85 for IFK Göteborg and 1.22 for Västerås SK.

Why IFK Göteborg

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Västerås SK can win

Västerås SK carry the stronger rating, 1539 Elo against 1496.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for IFK Göteborg, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Västerås SK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

IFK Göteborg: 53% possession, 19.6 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Västerås SK: 45% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. IFK Göteborg's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

IFK Göteborg are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 20/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.88–1.72 1-1 9% 70% 70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to win 41.7% 43.0% 40.7% 1.06× 2.33
Västerås SK to win 35.4% 36.4% 36.6% 0.99× 2.75
Draw 22.9% 24.4% 22.9% 1.07× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg & both teams score 27.0% 25.2% 17.3% 1.46× 3.97
Västerås SK & both teams score 23.3% 21.9% 18.1% 1.21× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.6% 17.9% 17.8% 1.01× 5.58
IFK Göteborg & not both score 14.7% 13.3% 23.7% 0.56× 7.54
Västerås SK & not both score 12.1% 13.3% 18.8% 0.70× 7.54
Draw & not both score 3.2% 4.9% 5.3% 0.91× 20.57
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg & over 1.5 37.1% 34.9% 34.6% 1.01× 2.86
IFK Göteborg & over 2.5 32.2% 30.8% 25.4% 1.21× 3.24
Västerås SK & over 1.5 31.2% 30.8% 27.7% 1.11× 3.24
Västerås SK & over 2.5 27.1% 26.0% 22.9% 1.14× 3.84
IFK Göteborg & over 3.5 20.9% 21.6% 14.8% 1.47× 4.62
IFK Göteborg & under 3.5 20.8% 21.6% 26.2% 0.83× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.6% 18.0% 17.8% 1.01× 5.56
Västerås SK & under 3.5 18.2% 18.0% 25.4% 0.71× 5.56
Västerås SK & over 3.5 17.2% 18.0% 11.5% 1.57× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 12.6% 12.9% 18.1% 0.71× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 12.6% 12.9% 18.1% 0.71× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 10.3% 12.9% 5.1% 2.53× 7.77
Draw & over 3.5 10.3% 12.9% 5.1% 2.53× 7.77
IFK Göteborg & under 2.5 9.5% 7.9% 15.5% 0.51× 12.70
Västerås SK & under 2.5 8.3% 7.9% 14.0% 0.56× 12.70
IFK Göteborg & under 1.5 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 0.75× 20.92
Västerås SK & under 1.5 4.2% 4.8% 9.2% 0.52× 20.92
Draw & under 1.5 3.2% 4.8% 5.3% 0.89× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg (1UP) 61.8% 63.0% 1.59
Västerås SK (1UP) 56.6% 58.1% 1.72
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg (2UP) 41.7% 47.6% 2.10
Västerås SK (2UP) 35.4% 37.1% 2.70
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to win 2nd half 35.8% 36.2% 2.76
Västerås SK to win 2nd half 33.9% 34.3% 2.92
2nd half drawn 30.3% 34.2% 2.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK (+2.5) 89.8% 88.5% 88.6% 1.00× 1.13
Västerås SK (+1.5) 77.1% 78.5% 76.3% 1.03× 1.28
IFK Göteborg (+0.5) 64.6% 62.9% 63.4% 0.99× 1.59
Västerås SK (+0.5) 58.3% 57.0% 59.3% 0.96× 1.75
IFK Göteborg (-0.5) 41.7% 43.0% 40.7% 1.06× 2.33
Västerås SK (-0.5) 35.4% 37.1% 36.6% 1.01× 2.70
IFK Göteborg (-1.5) 22.9% 21.5% 23.7% 0.91× 4.64
IFK Göteborg (-2.5) 10.2% 11.5% 11.5% 1.00× 8.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK to concede 84.7% 81.4% 76.1% 1.07× 1.23
Västerås SK clean sheet 15.3% 18.6% 23.9% 0.78× 5.37
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK to concede in 1st half 55.4% 57.8% 1.73
Västerås SK clean sheet in 1st half 44.6% 42.2% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK under 6.5 corners 87.3% 85.2% 1.17
Västerås SK under 5.5 corners 78.0% 75.9% 1.32
Västerås SK over 2.5 corners 70.8% 71.5% 1.40
Västerås SK under 4.5 corners 64.7% 61.8% 1.62
Västerås SK over 3.5 corners 52.3% 53.1% 1.88
Västerås SK under 3.5 corners 47.7% 46.9% 2.13
Västerås SK over 4.5 corners 35.3% 38.2% 2.62
Västerås SK under 2.5 corners 29.2% 28.5% 3.51
Västerås SK over 5.5 corners 22.0% 24.1% 4.16
Västerås SK over 6.5 corners 12.7% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK under 3.5 goals 90.4% 92.3% 95.2% 0.97× 1.08
Västerås SK over 0.5 goals 82.1% 81.4% 71.2% 1.14× 1.23
Västerås SK under 2.5 goals 75.2% 76.2% 81.7% 0.93× 1.31
Västerås SK over 1.5 goals 51.3% 53.7% 39.2% 1.37× 1.86
Västerås SK under 1.5 goals 48.7% 46.4% 60.8% 0.76× 2.16
Västerås SK over 2.5 goals 24.8% 23.8% 18.3% 1.30× 4.20
Västerås SK under 0.5 goals 17.9% 18.6% 28.8% 0.65× 5.39
Västerås SK over 3.5 goals 9.6% 7.7% 4.8% 1.59× 13.05
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK under 1.5 in 1st half 84.8% 83.5% 1.20
Västerås SK under 0.5 in 1st half 50.3% 55.7% 1.79
Västerås SK over 0.5 in 1st half 49.7% 44.3% 2.26
Västerås SK over 1.5 in 1st half 15.2% 16.5% 6.08
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg (away no bet) 64.6% 62.1% 64.0% 0.97× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 35.4% 37.9% 36.0% 1.05× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK even goals 51.6% 52.8% 53.2% 0.99× 1.90
Västerås SK odd goals 48.4% 47.2% 46.8% 1.01× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 72.7% 77.3% 1.29
Both halves over 1.5 goals 27.3% 22.7% 4.41
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 79.0% 72.8% 1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals 21.0% 27.2% 3.68
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 69.7% 62.2% 1.61
IFK Göteborg to score 2+ in a row 43.8% 38.4% 2.61
Västerås SK to score 2+ in a row 38.7% 36.6% 2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row 29.5% 25.2% 3.97
IFK Göteborg to score 3+ in a row 16.9% 16.4% 6.10
Västerås SK to score 3+ in a row 13.5% 12.1% 8.24
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg corners (+3.5) 96.5% 95.8% 1.04
IFK Göteborg corners (+2.5) 93.9% 89.6% 1.12
IFK Göteborg corners (+1.5) 90.0% 84.5% 1.18
IFK Göteborg corners (-1.5) 68.5% 65.8% 1.52
IFK Göteborg corners (-2.5) 58.7% 57.2% 1.75
Västerås SK corners (+3.5) 51.4% 52.5% 1.91
IFK Göteborg corners (-3.5) 48.6% 47.5% 2.10
Västerås SK corners (+2.5) 41.3% 42.9% 2.33
Västerås SK corners (+1.5) 31.5% 34.2% 2.92
Västerås SK corners (-1.5) 10.0% 15.5% 6.46
Västerås SK corners (-2.5) 6.1% 10.4% 9.58
Västerås SK corners (-3.5) 3.5% 4.2% 23.55
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 45.2% 41.6% 2.40
9-11 corners 29.1% 31.2% 3.20
0-8 corners 25.7% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 82.5% 80.8% 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 74.3% 72.7% 1.38
Over 9.5 corners 64.9% 63.4% 1.58
Under 12.5 corners 63.9% 63.4% 1.58
Over 10.5 corners 55.0% 57.7% 1.73
Under 11.5 corners 54.8% 53.3% 1.88
Over 11.5 corners 45.2% 46.7% 2.14
Under 10.5 corners 45.0% 42.3% 2.37
Over 12.5 corners 36.1% 36.6% 2.73
Under 9.5 corners 35.1% 36.6% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 25.7% 27.3% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 17.5% 19.2% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.3% 7.4% 13.0% 0.57× 13.47
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 0.91× 13.47
2-1 8.3% 7.4% 5.9% 1.27× 13.47
2-2 7.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.82× 13.47
Any other score 7.2% 7.4% 4.1% 1.82× 13.47
3-1 5.2% 7.4% 2.8% 2.65× 13.47
1-0 4.7% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.50
2-0 4.8% 1.7% 9.4% 0.18× 58.50
0-0 3.2% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.51
0-1 4.2% 1.7% 9.2% 0.19× 58.50
0-2 4.1% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.50
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.51
0-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.52
1-3 4.4% 1.7% 4.8% 0.35× 58.50
1-4 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.51
2-3 4.1% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.50
2-4 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.51
3-0 3.0% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.51
3-2 4.5% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.50
3-3 2.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.68× 58.51
3-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.52
4-0 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.52
4-1 2.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.12× 58.51
4-2 2.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.51
4-3 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.52
4-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.36× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg leading at HT (DNB) 55.5% 57.1% 1.75
Västerås SK leading at HT (DNB) 44.5% 42.9% 2.33
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg or Västerås SK (12) 77.1% 75.6% 77.1% 0.98× 1.32
IFK Göteborg or draw (1X) 64.6% 63.6% 63.4% 1.00× 1.57
Västerås SK or draw (X2) 58.3% 57.0% 59.3% 0.96× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg or draw at HT 71.9% 74.5% 1.34
Västerås SK or draw at HT 65.0% 62.3% 1.61
IFK Göteborg or Västerås SK at HT 63.1% 62.3% 1.61
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg or draw (1UP) 64.6% 71.8% 1.39
Västerås SK or draw (1UP) 58.3% 62.8% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg or Västerås SK in 2nd half 69.7% 65.8% 1.52
IFK Göteborg or draw in 2nd half 66.1% 65.7% 1.52
Västerås SK or draw in 2nd half 64.2% 63.8% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 55.4% 58.0% 1.72
Neither half drawn 44.6% 42.0% 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg (DNB) 54.1% 51.0% 52.6% 0.97× 1.96
Västerås SK (DNB) 45.9% 49.0% 47.4% 1.03× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to score first 50.5% 53.7% 1.86
Västerås SK to score first 46.3% 45.6% 2.19
No goal scored 3.2% 4.3% 23.31
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 70.0% 62.2% 52.7% 1.18× 1.61
Not both teams to score 30.0% 37.8% 47.3% 0.80× 2.65
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 60.7% 50.0% 39.9% 1.25× 2.00
Not both score & under 2.5 21.0% 27.7% 34.4% 0.81× 3.61
Both score & under 2.5 9.3% 8.4% 13.0% 0.65× 11.94
Not both score & over 2.5 9.0% 8.4% 13.2% 0.63× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 71.3% 80.5% 84.2% 0.96× 1.24
Both teams to score 2+ 28.7% 19.5% 15.8% 1.23× 5.14
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 57.6% 67.0% 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 42.4% 33.0% 3.03
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 41.6% 49.6% 2.02
Both score 2nd half only 30.8% 27.2% 3.67
Both score 1st half only 16.0% 15.7% 6.37
Both score in both halves 11.6% 10.5% 9.50
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 72.4% 80.1% 1.25
Both teams to score by HT 27.6% 19.9% 5.03
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 68.3% 66.9% 1.50
A half without a goal 31.7% 33.1% 3.02
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 41.1% 42.1% 26.2% 1.61× 2.38
2-3 goals 39.5% 35.1% 49.1% 0.71× 2.85
0-1 goals 12.1% 16.9% 20.4% 0.83× 5.91
7+ goals 7.3% 7.6% 4.8% 1.57× 13.17
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK to score exactly 1 30.8% 33.8% 32.3% 1.05× 2.96
Västerås SK to score exactly 2 26.5% 27.4% 21.1% 1.30× 3.65
Västerås SK to score 3+ 24.8% 22.4% 18.3% 1.22× 4.46
Västerås SK to score exactly 0 17.9% 19.5% 28.8% 0.68× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to score 3+ 29.0% 26.5% 21.6% 1.23× 3.77
IFK Göteborg to score exactly 1 28.7% 26.5% 32.8% 0.81× 3.77
IFK Göteborg to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.5% 22.1% 1.20× 3.77
IFK Göteborg to score exactly 0 15.3% 18.9% 23.9% 0.79× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 36.9% 37.7% 2.65
IFK Göteborg leading at HT 35.0% 37.7% 2.65
Västerås SK leading at HT 28.1% 25.5% 3.92
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg -1: 2 58.3% 56.7% 1.76
IFK Göteborg -1: 1 22.9% 23.6% 4.24
IFK Göteborg -1: X 18.8% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK (0:1) 58.3% 55.8% 59.3% 0.94× 1.79
IFK Göteborg (0:1) 22.9% 24.3% 23.7% 1.03× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 18.8% 17.8% 17.3% 1.03× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK (0:2) 77.1% 79.4% 76.3% 1.04× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.6% 11.0% 12.5% 0.88× 9.11
IFK Göteborg (0:2) 10.2% 11.0% 11.5% 0.96× 9.12
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK (0:3) 89.8% 90.8% 88.6% 1.03× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 6.4% 5.8% 6.9% 0.85× 17.20
IFK Göteborg (0:3) 3.8% 2.4% 4.8% 0.49× 42.04
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK (0:4) 96.2% 98.1% 95.2% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.6% 1.2% 3.8% 0.31× 83.30
IFK Göteborg (0:4) 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 0.94× 83.47
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg (1:0) 64.6% 65.2% 63.4% 1.03× 1.53
Västerås SK (1:0) 18.2% 17.0% 16.5% 1.03× 5.87
Draw (1:0) 17.2% 17.0% 20.4% 0.84× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg (2:0) 81.8% 84.6% 83.5% 1.01× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 0.99× 9.64
Västerås SK (2:0) 7.5% 6.4% 6.4% 1.01× 15.52
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.2% 50.2% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.0% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 21.8% 24.2% 4.13
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to concede 82.1% 80.7% 71.2% 1.13× 1.24
IFK Göteborg clean sheet 17.9% 19.3% 28.8% 0.67× 5.19
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg clean sheet in 1st half 50.3% 55.7% 1.79
IFK Göteborg to concede in 1st half 49.7% 44.3% 2.26
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg over 2.5 corners 95.0% 89.4% 1.12
IFK Göteborg over 3.5 corners 88.8% 86.3% 1.16
IFK Göteborg over 4.5 corners 79.9% 76.6% 1.31
IFK Göteborg over 5.5 corners 68.9% 66.7% 1.50
IFK Göteborg over 6.5 corners 56.9% 57.5% 1.74
IFK Göteborg under 6.5 corners 43.1% 42.5% 2.35
IFK Göteborg under 5.5 corners 31.1% 33.3% 3.00
IFK Göteborg under 4.5 corners 20.1% 23.4% 4.27
IFK Göteborg under 3.5 corners 11.2% 13.7% 7.29
IFK Göteborg under 2.5 corners 5.0% 10.6% 9.40
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg under 3.5 goals 87.9% 87.2% 90.6% 0.96× 1.15
IFK Göteborg over 0.5 goals 84.7% 82.1% 76.1% 1.08× 1.22
IFK Göteborg under 2.5 goals 71.0% 74.2% 78.4% 0.95× 1.35
IFK Göteborg over 1.5 goals 55.9% 58.8% 43.5% 1.35× 1.70
IFK Göteborg under 1.5 goals 44.1% 41.2% 56.5% 0.73× 2.43
IFK Göteborg over 2.5 goals 29.0% 25.8% 21.6% 1.19× 3.88
IFK Göteborg under 0.5 goals 15.3% 17.9% 23.9% 0.75× 5.60
IFK Göteborg over 3.5 goals 12.1% 12.8% 9.4% 1.35× 7.84
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg under 1.5 in 1st half 80.6% 84.4% 1.19
IFK Göteborg over 0.5 in 1st half 55.4% 57.4% 1.74
IFK Göteborg under 0.5 in 1st half 44.6% 42.6% 2.35
IFK Göteborg over 1.5 in 1st half 19.4% 15.6% 6.39
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK (home no bet) 60.7% 60.1% 61.5% 0.98× 1.67
Draw (home no bet) 39.3% 39.9% 38.5% 1.04× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg even goals 51.2% 50.6% 53.9% 0.94× 1.98
IFK Göteborg odd goals 48.8% 49.4% 46.1% 1.07× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 22.5% 24.2% 4.13
HT 1-0 18.0% 18.8% 5.32
HT 0-1 15.3% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 12.5% 11.0% 9.11
Any other HT score 7.9% 7.1% 14.16
HT 2-0 7.3% 7.1% 14.17
HT 0-2 5.3% 7.0% 14.20
HT 2-1 5.0% 7.0% 14.21
HT 1-2 4.3% 2.3% 43.75
HT 2-2 1.7% 2.3% 43.94
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT 25.6% 26.6% 3.77
Västerås SK at HT / Västerås SK at FT 19.7% 16.9% 5.93
Draw at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT 12.9% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Västerås SK at FT 12.2% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.7% 12.7% 7.90
IFK Göteborg at HT / Draw at FT 6.0% 6.0% 16.62
Västerås SK at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.65
IFK Göteborg at HT / Västerås SK at FT 3.4% 3.5% 28.85
Västerås SK at HT / IFK Göteborg at FT 3.2% 3.5% 28.86
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to score last 50.5% 51.7% 1.93
Västerås SK to score last 46.3% 46.6% 2.14
No goal scored 3.2% 4.3% 23.31
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.8% 95.6% 1.05
IFK Göteborg to lead by 1 at any time 61.8% 61.3% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 58.0% 55.2% 1.81
Västerås SK to lead by 1 at any time 56.6% 55.1% 1.81
IFK Göteborg to lead by 2 at any time 31.9% 29.3% 3.41
Västerås SK to lead by 2 at any time 26.8% 25.3% 3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 24.2% 19.6% 5.10
IFK Göteborg to lead by 3 at any time 13.6% 10.4% 9.59
Västerås SK to lead by 3 at any time 10.5% 10.4% 9.65
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg most corners 77.2% 73.8% 1.36
Västerås SK most corners 15.6% 19.1% 5.23
Corners level 7.2% 8.5% 11.81
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 81.3% 83.5% 86.8% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.6% 83.5% 75.1% 1.11× 1.20
2-5 goals 72.4% 72.4% 71.8% 1.01× 1.38
1-4 goals 67.5% 69.0% 78.4% 0.88× 1.45
3-6 goals 62.4% 63.4% 48.3% 1.31× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.6% 59.2% 63.4% 0.93× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.1% 53.2% 45.0% 1.18× 1.88
1-3 goals 48.4% 48.7% 64.1% 0.76× 2.06
4-6 goals 41.1% 43.6% 26.2% 1.66× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 36.6% 1.19× 2.30
2-3 goals 39.5% 39.2% 49.1% 0.80× 2.55
4-5 goals 32.9% 35.4% 22.9% 1.54× 2.83
1-2 goals 27.1% 30.2% 42.0% 0.72× 3.31
5-6 goals 22.0% 24.5% 12.0% 2.05× 4.09
7+ goals 7.3% 8.7% 4.8% 1.81× 11.44
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg never behind 40.1% 48.0% 2.08
Västerås SK never behind 35.0% 35.9% 2.78
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.0% 50.8% 49.4% 1.03× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.0% 49.2% 50.6% 0.97× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.7% 51.6% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.3% 48.4% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.1% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.9% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.8% 95.5% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 87.9% 87.6% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 84.5% 82.4% 91.9% 0.90× 1.21
Under 4.5 goals 70.7% 72.5% 83.5% 0.87× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 69.6% 66.2% 52.9% 1.25× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 51.6% 52.4% 69.2% 0.76× 1.91
Over 3.5 goals 48.4% 47.6% 30.8% 1.54× 2.10
Under 2.5 goals 30.4% 33.8% 47.1% 0.72× 2.96
Over 4.5 goals 29.3% 27.5% 16.5% 1.66× 3.64
Over 5.5 goals 15.5% 17.6% 8.1% 2.16× 5.68
Under 1.5 goals 12.1% 12.4% 20.4% 0.61× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 3.2% 4.5% 5.3% 0.84× 22.23
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 92.1% 92.5% 95.0% 0.97× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 85.2% 86.7% 72.2% 1.20× 1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 82.0% 81.1% 91.1% 0.89× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 63.8% 62.1% 80.7% 0.77× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.4% 62.1% 39.5% 1.57× 1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 38.6% 37.9% 60.5% 0.63× 2.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 36.2% 37.9% 19.3% 1.97× 2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 18.0% 18.9% 8.9% 2.13× 5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 14.8% 13.3% 27.8% 0.48× 7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 7.9% 7.5% 5.0% 1.51× 13.27
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 81.0% 86.3% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 77.5% 78.9% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 55.9% 63.5% 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 44.1% 36.5% 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 22.5% 21.1% 4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half 19.0% 13.7% 7.30
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 87.6% 85.3% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 64.9% 62.4% 1.60
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 62.2% 62.2% 1.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 37.8% 37.8% 2.64
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 35.1% 37.6% 2.66
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 12.4% 14.7% 6.80
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK not to score in both halves 68.0% 70.2% 1.42
IFK Göteborg not to score in both halves 63.6% 63.6% 1.57
IFK Göteborg to score in both halves 36.4% 36.4% 2.75
Västerås SK to score in both halves 32.0% 29.8% 3.36
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 70.0% 65.9% 52.7% 1.25× 1.52
Only IFK Göteborg scores 14.7% 11.0% 23.7% 0.46× 9.13
Only Västerås SK scores 12.1% 10.9% 18.8% 0.58× 9.14
Neither team scores 3.2% 4.6% 5.3% 0.86× 21.82
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.3% 22.6% 22.4% 1.01× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 19.1% 17.4% 14.5% 1.20× 5.73
Exactly 2 goals 18.2% 17.4% 27.0% 0.65× 5.73
6 or more goals 15.5% 17.4% 8.1% 2.14× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 13.8% 12.1% 8.7% 1.40× 8.28
Exactly 1 goals 8.9% 7.6% 15.3% 0.50× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 3.2% 4.4% 5.3% 0.82× 22.69
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 62.2% 58.9% 1.70
1 goal in 2nd half 25.4% 29.8% 3.36
No goals in 2nd half 12.4% 14.6% 6.84
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK not to win both halves 90.4% 93.9% 1.07
IFK Göteborg not to win both halves 87.4% 88.0% 1.14
IFK Göteborg to win both halves 12.6% 12.0% 8.34
Västerås SK to win both halves 9.6% 6.1% 16.44
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
IFK Göteborg to win either half 58.2% 59.5% 1.68
Västerås SK to win either half 52.4% 55.0% 1.82
Västerås SK to win neither half 47.6% 45.0% 2.22
IFK Göteborg to win neither half 41.8% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Västerås SK not to win to nil 87.9% 88.2% 81.2% 1.09× 1.13
IFK Göteborg not to win to nil 85.3% 88.2% 76.3% 1.16× 1.13
IFK Göteborg to win to nil 14.7% 11.8% 23.7% 0.50× 8.47
Västerås SK to win to nil 12.1% 11.8% 18.8% 0.63× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 22.9% 24.2% 22.9% 1.05× 4.14
IFK Göteborg by 1 18.8% 17.0% 17.3% 0.98× 5.90
Västerås SK by 1 17.2% 17.0% 20.4% 0.83× 5.90
IFK Göteborg by 2 12.6% 11.8% 12.5% 0.95× 8.47
Västerås SK by 2 10.6% 11.8% 10.4% 1.13× 8.47
IFK Göteborg by 3+ 10.2% 11.8% 11.5% 1.03× 8.47
Västerås SK by 3+ 7.5% 7.2% 6.4% 1.14× 13.80
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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