Independiente Rivadavia v Aldosivi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Independiente Rivadavia

13:45

Aldosivi

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 130h before kick-off

Independiente Rivadavia win

67.7%

model 66.1%

Draw

21.9%

model 21.4%

Aldosivi win

10.4%

model 12.5%

682210

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.7%
2-0 13.4%
1-1 10.1%
2-1 9.4%
3-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.7%	Under 2.5	51.3%
BTTS yes	43.2%	BTTS no	56.8%
Independiente Rivadavia 1+	85.4%	Independiente Rivadavia 2+	57.2%
Aldosivi 1+	50.3%	Aldosivi 2+	15.5%

Expected goals 1.92 – 0.70. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 32%

56.2% fair odds 1.78

strong signal · 737 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Aldosivi under 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 78%

82.6% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 848 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1631 Elo against 1342.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Rivadavia have an estimated 67.7% win probability, against 21.9% for the draw and 10.4% for Aldosivi. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.92 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.70 for Aldosivi.

Why Independiente Rivadavia

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1631 Elo against 1342.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.9%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Aldosivi can win

Nothing in the data singles out Aldosivi.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Independiente Rivadavia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Aldosivi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Independiente Rivadavia: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Aldosivi: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Independiente Rivadavia are the model's most likely outcome at 67.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.7%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	662112	1.92–0.70	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	652312	1.78–0.64	1-0 16%	43%	39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win	64.7%	58.2%	41.7%	1.40×	1.72
Draw	22.9%	24.5%	30.6%	0.80×	4.09
Aldosivi to win	12.5%	13.3%	27.8%	0.48×	7.52

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & not both score	43.7%	40.1%	27.8%	1.45×	2.49
Independiente Rivadavia & both teams score	20.9%	21.9%	14.1%	1.55×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	15.9%	0.83×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.2%	8.4%	14.8%	0.57×	11.92
Aldosivi & not both score	7.7%	8.4%	17.2%	0.49×	11.93
Aldosivi & both teams score	4.8%	4.9%	10.7%	0.46×	20.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & over 1.5	49.1%	45.2%	27.6%	1.64×	2.21
Independiente Rivadavia & under 3.5	47.1%	45.2%	34.9%	1.30×	2.21
Independiente Rivadavia & over 2.5	34.9%	30.9%	18.2%	1.69×	3.24
Independiente Rivadavia & under 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.6%	18.0%	28.1%	0.64×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & over 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	7.0%	2.57×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & under 1.5	15.6%	18.0%	14.2%	1.26×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	13.7%	12.9%	15.9%	0.81×	7.77
Aldosivi & under 3.5	10.8%	12.9%	23.6%	0.54×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	14.8%	0.53×	12.69
Aldosivi & over 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	17.5%	0.45×	12.70
Aldosivi & under 2.5	7.2%	7.9%	14.7%	0.54×	12.70
Aldosivi & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	10.3%	0.76×	12.70
Aldosivi & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.2%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.2%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Aldosivi & over 3.5	1.7%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1UP)	73.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Aldosivi (1UP)	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2UP)	64.7%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Aldosivi (2UP)	12.5%	13.4%	—	—	7.49

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win 2nd half	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	35.5%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Aldosivi to win 2nd half	13.6%	12.4%	—	—	8.04

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (+0.5)	87.5%	88.5%	72.2%	1.23×	1.13
Aldosivi (+2.5)	82.1%	82.4%	95.0%	0.87×	1.21
Independiente Rivadavia (-0.5)	64.7%	62.9%	41.7%	1.51×	1.59
Aldosivi (+1.5)	61.8%	62.9%	82.5%	0.76×	1.59
Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)	38.2%	37.1%	17.5%	2.11×	2.70
Aldosivi (+0.5)	35.3%	37.1%	58.3%	0.64×	2.70
Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)	17.9%	17.6%	5.0%	3.49×	5.69
Aldosivi (-0.5)	12.5%	11.5%	27.8%	0.41×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to concede	83.1%	81.3%	68.1%	1.19×	1.23
Aldosivi clean sheet	16.9%	18.7%	31.9%	0.59×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi clean sheet in 1st half	46.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Aldosivi to concede in 1st half	53.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 6.5 corners	89.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Aldosivi under 5.5 corners	81.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Aldosivi under 4.5 corners	68.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Aldosivi over 2.5 corners	66.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Aldosivi under 3.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Aldosivi over 3.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Aldosivi under 2.5 corners	33.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Aldosivi over 4.5 corners	31.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Aldosivi over 5.5 corners	18.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Aldosivi over 6.5 corners	10.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.6%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Aldosivi under 2.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	93.3%	1.05×	1.03
Aldosivi under 1.5 goals	86.6%	87.9%	78.2%	1.12×	1.14
Aldosivi under 0.5 goals	52.9%	53.7%	42.4%	1.27×	1.86
Aldosivi over 0.5 goals	47.1%	46.3%	57.6%	0.80×	2.16
Aldosivi over 1.5 goals	13.4%	12.1%	21.8%	0.56×	8.25
Aldosivi over 2.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	6.7%	0.37×	40.74
Aldosivi over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.4%	1.1%	2.13×	40.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 1.5 in 1st half	97.3%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Aldosivi under 0.5 in 1st half	77.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Aldosivi over 0.5 in 1st half	22.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
Aldosivi over 1.5 in 1st half	2.7%	4.1%	—	—	24.16

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (away no bet)	73.9%	68.6%	57.7%	1.19×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.1%	31.4%	42.3%	0.74×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi even goals	64.0%	59.1%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
Aldosivi odd goals	36.0%	40.9%	41.6%	0.98×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	56.9%	60.1%	—	—	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	43.1%	39.9%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.1%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Independiente Rivadavia to score 2+ in a row	47.9%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Aldosivi to score 2+ in a row	8.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.57
Aldosivi to score 3+ in a row	1.3%	2.5%	—	—	39.81

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+3.5)	94.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+2.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+1.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Aldosivi corners (+3.5)	64.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-1.5)	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Aldosivi corners (+2.5)	53.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-2.5)	46.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Aldosivi corners (+1.5)	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-3.5)	35.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Aldosivi corners (-1.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Aldosivi corners (-2.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Aldosivi corners (-3.5)	5.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	47.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.6%	13.7%	14.2%	0.97×	7.28
2-0	14.1%	11.5%	9.5%	1.20×	8.73
1-1	10.4%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-0	9.2%	7.4%	14.8%	0.50×	13.48
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
3-0	8.4%	7.4%	2.8%	2.70×	13.48
0-1	5.4%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
3-1	5.3%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.48
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.48
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-2	3.2%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.47
1-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	3.7%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.47
4-1	2.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.48
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT (DNB)	79.8%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Aldosivi leading at HT (DNB)	20.2%	21.5%	—	—	4.66

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1X)	87.5%	86.7%	72.2%	1.20×	1.15
Independiente Rivadavia or Aldosivi (12)	77.1%	75.5%	69.4%	1.09×	1.32
Aldosivi or draw (X2)	35.3%	41.8%	58.3%	0.72×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw at HT	88.6%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Independiente Rivadavia or Aldosivi at HT	56.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Aldosivi or draw at HT	55.0%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1UP)	87.5%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Aldosivi or draw (1UP)	35.3%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw in 2nd half	86.4%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Independiente Rivadavia or Aldosivi in 2nd half	64.5%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Aldosivi or draw in 2nd half	49.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (DNB)	83.8%	80.6%	60.1%	1.34×	1.24
Aldosivi (DNB)	16.2%	19.4%	39.9%	0.49×	5.15

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score first	66.9%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Aldosivi to score first	23.9%	23.1%	—	—	4.32
No goal scored	9.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	60.6%	56.5%	59.5%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	39.4%	43.5%	40.5%	1.08×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	46.2%	44.3%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.0%	33.6%	27.2%	1.24×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	14.4%	12.3%	6.8%	1.82×	8.10
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.9%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.1%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.7%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.3%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.1%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score 1st half only	9.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.61
Both score in both halves	2.4%	4.9%	—	—	20.23

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.22

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	51.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	48.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.3%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	30.2%	30.7%	39.1%	0.79×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.2%	22.8%	13.3%	1.71×	4.39
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	0.5%	3.99×	54.68

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to score exactly 0	52.9%	47.3%	42.4%	1.12×	2.11
Aldosivi to score exactly 1	33.7%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Aldosivi to score exactly 2	10.7%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.81
Aldosivi to score 3+	2.7%	4.5%	6.7%	0.68×	22.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 1	30.0%	32.6%	36.6%	0.89×	3.06
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 2	26.7%	26.5%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+	26.4%	26.5%	10.0%	2.66×	3.77
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 0	16.9%	18.9%	31.9%	0.59×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT	45.0%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	43.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Aldosivi leading at HT	11.4%	11.7%	—	—	8.57

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 1	38.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 2	35.3%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Independiente Rivadavia -1: X	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (0:1)	38.2%	37.3%	17.5%	2.13×	2.68
Aldosivi (0:1)	35.3%	37.2%	58.3%	0.64×	2.69
Draw (0:1)	26.5%	27.0%	24.3%	1.11×	3.71

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:2)	61.8%	67.3%	82.5%	0.82×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	20.3%	20.3%	12.6%	1.61×	4.93
Independiente Rivadavia (0:2)	17.9%	15.3%	5.0%	3.03×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:3)	82.1%	85.1%	95.0%	0.90×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	11.0%	10.0%	3.4%	2.90×	10.02
Independiente Rivadavia (0:3)	6.9%	5.8%	1.7%	3.39×	17.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:4)	93.1%	94.7%	98.3%	0.96×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.7%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.13
Independiente Rivadavia (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.42

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1:0)	87.5%	86.4%	72.2%	1.20×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	18.7%	0.37×	14.41
Aldosivi (1:0)	3.2%	3.2%	9.2%	0.35×	31.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2:0)	96.8%	96.9%	90.8%	1.07×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	44.21
Aldosivi (2:0)	0.6%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet	52.9%	53.1%	42.4%	1.25×	1.88
Independiente Rivadavia to concede	47.1%	46.9%	57.6%	0.81×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 1st half	77.5%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 1st half	22.5%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 corners	89.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Independiente Rivadavia over 4.5 corners	65.3%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Independiente Rivadavia under 6.5 corners	61.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Independiente Rivadavia over 5.5 corners	51.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Independiente Rivadavia under 5.5 corners	48.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Independiente Rivadavia over 6.5 corners	38.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Independiente Rivadavia under 4.5 corners	34.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 corners	11.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 goals	89.5%	87.3%	97.1%	0.90×	1.15
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 goals	83.1%	82.1%	68.1%	1.21×	1.22
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 goals	73.6%	74.2%	90.0%	0.82×	1.35
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals	53.1%	53.3%	31.7%	1.68×	1.88
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 goals	46.9%	46.7%	68.3%	0.68×	2.14
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 goals	26.4%	25.8%	10.0%	2.59×	3.87
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 goals	16.9%	17.9%	31.9%	0.56×	5.59
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 goals	10.5%	12.7%	2.9%	4.44×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 1st half	82.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 1st half	46.5%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 1st half	53.5%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 1st half	17.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	64.8%	60.2%	52.5%	1.15×	1.66
Aldosivi (home no bet)	35.2%	39.8%	47.5%	0.84×	2.52

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia even goals	51.4%	50.6%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
Independiente Rivadavia odd goals	48.6%	49.4%	44.3%	1.12×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	27.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 2-0	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 1-1	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 1-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	40.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.8%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Aldosivi at HT / Aldosivi at FT	5.9%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Draw at HT / Aldosivi at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Aldosivi at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Aldosivi at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Aldosivi at FT	0.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score last	66.9%	70.1%	—	—	1.43
Aldosivi to score last	23.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
No goal scored	9.2%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.8%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 1 at any time	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.2%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 2 at any time	42.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Aldosivi to lead by 1 at any time	26.3%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Aldosivi to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.16
Aldosivi to lead by 3 at any time	0.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.45

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia most corners	68.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Aldosivi most corners	22.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.5%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.1%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.0%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.6%	69.0%	60.6%	1.14×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.3%	69.0%	71.7%	0.96×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.1%	68.9%	60.0%	1.15×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.0%	63.4%	55.7%	1.14×	1.58
1-2 goals	47.4%	48.7%	51.5%	0.95×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.3%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.2%	43.6%	33.5%	1.30×	2.30
3-5 goals	39.8%	39.2%	32.9%	1.19×	2.55
3-4 goals	33.6%	35.4%	28.7%	1.23×	2.83
4-6 goals	21.2%	24.5%	13.3%	1.84×	4.09
4-5 goals	18.8%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
5-6 goals	8.6%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.44
7+ goals	1.2%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.28

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia never behind	64.5%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Aldosivi never behind	17.1%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.8%	92.3%	85.2%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 3.5 goals	77.6%	77.3%	86.4%	0.90×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.8%	66.2%	60.9%	1.09×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.6%	58.8%	66.2%	0.89×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	43.4%	41.2%	33.8%	1.22×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	30.2%	33.8%	39.1%	0.86×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	22.4%	22.7%	13.6%	1.66×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.91
Under 0.5 goals	9.2%	7.7%	14.8%	0.52×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.8%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.1%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.8%	86.8%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.6%	72.6%	82.9%	0.88×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.0%	55.5%	46.4%	1.20×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.0%	44.5%	53.6%	0.83×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	28.4%	27.4%	17.1%	1.60×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.2%	13.2%	5.8%	2.30×	7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.9%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.11
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.2%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.19

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.58

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	83.5%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	16.5%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to score in both halves	92.9%	90.4%	—	—	1.11
Independiente Rivadavia not to score in both halves	65.9%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Independiente Rivadavia to score in both halves	34.1%	29.6%	—	—	3.37
Aldosivi to score in both halves	7.1%	9.6%	—	—	10.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Independiente Rivadavia scores	43.7%	46.6%	27.8%	1.68×	2.15
Both teams score	39.4%	39.9%	40.5%	0.99×	2.51
Neither team scores	9.2%	7.2%	14.8%	0.49×	13.89
Only Aldosivi scores	7.7%	7.2%	17.2%	0.42×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	21.0%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	20.3%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	12.7%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	9.2%	7.6%	14.8%	0.52×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	6.1%	7.6%	4.4%	1.75×	13.09
6 or more goals	3.6%	4.4%	1.0%	4.28×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	40.8%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
1 goal in 2nd half	34.4%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	24.9%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to win both halves	98.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Independiente Rivadavia not to win both halves	77.0%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Independiente Rivadavia to win both halves	23.0%	24.8%	—	—	4.04
Aldosivi to win both halves	1.6%	2.7%	—	—	36.62

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to win neither half	76.5%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Independiente Rivadavia to win either half	72.9%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
Independiente Rivadavia to win neither half	27.1%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Aldosivi to win either half	23.5%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to win to nil	92.4%	92.0%	82.8%	1.11×	1.09
Independiente Rivadavia not to win to nil	56.3%	58.8%	72.2%	0.81×	1.70
Independiente Rivadavia to win to nil	43.7%	41.2%	27.8%	1.48×	2.43
Aldosivi to win to nil	7.7%	8.0%	17.2%	0.46×	12.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia by 1	26.5%	27.8%	24.3%	1.15×	3.59
Draw	22.9%	24.1%	30.6%	0.79×	4.14
Independiente Rivadavia by 2	20.3%	24.1%	12.6%	1.91×	4.14
Independiente Rivadavia by 3+	17.9%	16.9%	5.0%	3.36×	5.91
Aldosivi by 1	9.3%	7.3%	18.7%	0.39×	13.77
Aldosivi by 2	2.6%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	37.00
Aldosivi by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	3.0%	0.90×	37.06