Independiente Rivadavia v Tigre — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Independiente Rivadavia

14:00

Tigre

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,028h before kick-off

Independiente Rivadavia win

41.2%

model 43.7%

Draw

31.6%

model 30.6%

Tigre win

27.3%

model 25.7%

413227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.2%
1-1 13.5%
0-0 13.4%
0-1 10.6%
2-0 9.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	33.4%	Under 2.5	66.6%
BTTS yes	40.1%	BTTS no	59.9%
Independiente Rivadavia 1+	69.7%	Independiente Rivadavia 2+	33.5%
Tigre 1+	57.0%	Tigre 2+	20.7%

Expected goals 1.19 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1631 Elo against 1548.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Independiente Rivadavia have an estimated 41.2% win probability, against 31.6% for the draw and 27.3% for Tigre. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.19 for Independiente Rivadavia and 0.84 for Tigre.

Why Independiente Rivadavia

Independiente Rivadavia carry the stronger rating, 1631 Elo against 1548.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.6%. A combined 2.04 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Tigre can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Independiente Rivadavia, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Tigre, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Independiente Rivadavia: 41% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Tigre: 45% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Independiente Rivadavia are the model's most likely outcome at 41.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.2%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	413227	1.11–0.84	1-0 15%	31%	38%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to win	41.1%	43.0%	41.7%	1.03×	2.33
Draw	31.7%	30.4%	30.6%	0.99×	3.30
Tigre to win	27.1%	27.9%	27.8%	1.00×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & not both score	28.5%	25.2%	27.8%	0.91×	3.97
Tigre & not both score	18.4%	17.9%	17.2%	1.04×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Draw & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Independiente Rivadavia & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.54
Tigre & both teams score	8.7%	8.4%	10.7%	0.79×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia & under 3.5	34.7%	30.9%	34.9%	0.89×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	28.3%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.3%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Independiente Rivadavia & over 1.5	25.7%	26.0%	27.6%	0.94×	3.84
Independiente Rivadavia & under 2.5	24.1%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Tigre & under 3.5	23.6%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Independiente Rivadavia & over 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Tigre & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.56
Independiente Rivadavia & under 1.5	15.4%	18.0%	14.2%	1.26×	5.56
Tigre & over 1.5	15.5%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	14.7%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Tigre & under 1.5	11.6%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Tigre & over 2.5	10.5%	12.9%	13.2%	0.98×	7.77
Independiente Rivadavia & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.4%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.4%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Tigre & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1UP)	53.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Tigre (1UP)	40.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2UP)	41.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Tigre (2UP)	27.1%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Independiente Rivadavia to win 2nd half	32.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Tigre to win 2nd half	24.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre (+2.5)	94.6%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Tigre (+1.5)	82.8%	82.4%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Independiente Rivadavia (+0.5)	72.9%	73.7%	72.2%	1.02×	1.36
Tigre (+0.5)	58.9%	57.0%	58.3%	0.98×	1.75
Independiente Rivadavia (-0.5)	41.1%	43.0%	41.7%	1.03×	2.33
Tigre (-0.5)	27.1%	26.3%	27.8%	0.95×	3.80
Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)	17.2%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.69
Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)	5.4%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre to concede	66.9%	72.5%	68.1%	1.06×	1.38
Tigre clean sheet	33.1%	27.5%	31.9%	0.86×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre clean sheet in 1st half	62.2%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Tigre to concede in 1st half	37.8%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre under 6.5 corners	89.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tigre under 5.5 corners	80.7%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Tigre under 4.5 corners	68.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Tigre over 2.5 corners	67.1%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Tigre under 3.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Tigre over 3.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tigre under 2.5 corners	32.9%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Tigre over 4.5 corners	31.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Tigre over 5.5 corners	19.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
Tigre over 6.5 corners	10.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre under 3.5 goals	98.9%	97.6%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Tigre under 2.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Tigre under 1.5 goals	79.4%	76.3%	78.2%	0.97×	1.31
Tigre over 0.5 goals	56.8%	59.5%	57.6%	1.03×	1.68
Tigre under 0.5 goals	43.2%	40.5%	42.4%	0.95×	2.47
Tigre over 1.5 goals	20.6%	23.7%	21.8%	1.09×	4.21
Tigre over 2.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	6.7%	1.15×	13.06
Tigre over 3.5 goals	1.1%	2.4%	1.1%	2.14×	40.83

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre under 1.5 in 1st half	95.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Tigre under 0.5 in 1st half	71.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Tigre over 0.5 in 1st half	28.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Tigre over 1.5 in 1st half	4.5%	4.4%	—	—	22.69

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (away no bet)	56.4%	57.4%	57.7%	1.00×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.6%	42.6%	42.3%	1.01×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre even goals	59.3%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Tigre odd goals	40.7%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.9%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.14

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	55.0%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Not both halves under 1.5	45.0%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Independiente Rivadavia to score 2+ in a row	25.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Tigre to score 2+ in a row	16.0%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.6%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+ in a row	7.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.70
Tigre to score 3+ in a row	3.4%	2.6%	—	—	38.49

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+3.5)	92.7%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+2.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Independiente Rivadavia corners (+1.5)	80.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Tigre corners (+3.5)	73.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Tigre corners (+2.5)	63.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Tigre corners (+1.5)	51.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-1.5)	48.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-2.5)	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Independiente Rivadavia corners (-3.5)	26.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Tigre corners (-1.5)	19.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Tigre corners (-2.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Tigre corners (-3.5)	7.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	49.8%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	21.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	70.7%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	61.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	50.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	49.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	38.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	29.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 11.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	14.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	15.4%	13.7%	14.2%	0.97×	7.28
0-0	14.7%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
1-1	13.7%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-1	11.6%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-2	5.0%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
1-2	5.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
0-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.48
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	3.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.47
3-1	2.7%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.47
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.48
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT (DNB)	60.4%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Tigre leading at HT (DNB)	39.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1X)	72.9%	72.1%	72.2%	1.00×	1.39
Independiente Rivadavia or Tigre (12)	68.3%	69.6%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Tigre or draw (X2)	58.9%	57.0%	58.3%	0.98×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw at HT	81.0%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Tigre or draw at HT	71.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Independiente Rivadavia or Tigre at HT	48.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw (1UP)	72.9%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Tigre or draw (1UP)	58.9%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia or draw in 2nd half	75.8%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Tigre or draw in 2nd half	67.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Independiente Rivadavia or Tigre in 2nd half	56.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.4%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	27.6%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (DNB)	60.3%	62.8%	60.1%	1.04×	1.59
Tigre (DNB)	39.7%	37.2%	39.9%	0.93×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score first	48.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Tigre to score first	36.8%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	14.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	61.6%	56.5%	59.5%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	38.4%	43.5%	40.5%	1.07×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	55.5%	47.2%	52.9%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	24.8%	27.8%	27.2%	1.02×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.7%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.1%	8.4%	6.8%	1.24×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.8%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.2%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Both teams to score in 2nd half	18.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.67

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	72.5%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Both score 2nd half only	16.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.41
Both score 1st half only	8.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.65
Both score in both halves	2.0%	4.9%	—	—	20.33

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	10.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.32

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	62.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	37.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.0%	42.1%	47.4%	0.89×	2.37
0-1 goals	41.7%	42.1%	39.1%	1.08×	2.38
4-6 goals	12.9%	16.9%	13.3%	1.27×	5.91
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.77

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre to score exactly 0	43.2%	37.1%	42.4%	0.87×	2.70
Tigre to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Tigre to score exactly 2	15.2%	19.6%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
Tigre to score 3+	5.3%	8.4%	6.7%	1.27×	11.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 1	36.6%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 0	33.1%	32.7%	31.9%	1.02×	3.06
Independiente Rivadavia to score exactly 2	20.2%	23.2%	21.8%	1.07×	4.30
Independiente Rivadavia to score 3+	10.1%	14.3%	10.0%	1.43×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Independiente Rivadavia leading at HT	29.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Tigre leading at HT	19.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 2	58.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Independiente Rivadavia -1: X	24.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Independiente Rivadavia -1: 1	17.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre (0:1)	58.9%	55.9%	58.3%	0.96×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.0%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12
Independiente Rivadavia (0:1)	17.2%	17.8%	17.5%	1.01×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre (0:2)	82.8%	82.8%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.8%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.12
Independiente Rivadavia (0:2)	5.4%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre (0:3)	94.6%	92.6%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.08
Independiente Rivadavia (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.21

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.56
Independiente Rivadavia (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.6%	2.08×	83.65

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (1:0)	72.9%	72.6%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	18.1%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.87
Tigre (1:0)	9.0%	6.9%	9.2%	0.76×	14.41

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia (2:0)	91.0%	93.9%	90.8%	1.03×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.8%	6.5%	6.3%	1.02×	15.49
Tigre (2:0)	2.2%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.23

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.03
Halves equal	31.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to concede	56.8%	60.9%	57.6%	1.06×	1.64
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet	43.2%	39.1%	42.4%	0.92×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet in 1st half	71.5%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Independiente Rivadavia to concede in 1st half	28.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 corners	83.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Independiente Rivadavia under 6.5 corners	72.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 corners	69.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Independiente Rivadavia under 5.5 corners	59.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Independiente Rivadavia over 4.5 corners	54.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Independiente Rivadavia under 4.5 corners	45.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Independiente Rivadavia over 5.5 corners	40.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 corners	30.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Independiente Rivadavia over 6.5 corners	27.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 corners	16.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 3.5 goals	97.4%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Independiente Rivadavia under 2.5 goals	89.9%	87.3%	90.0%	0.97×	1.15
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 goals	69.7%	67.9%	68.3%	0.99×	1.47
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 goals	66.9%	67.9%	68.1%	1.00×	1.47
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 goals	33.1%	32.1%	31.9%	1.01×	3.11
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 goals	30.3%	32.1%	31.7%	1.01×	3.11
Independiente Rivadavia over 2.5 goals	10.1%	12.7%	10.0%	1.28×	7.86
Independiente Rivadavia over 3.5 goals	2.6%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.50

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia under 1.5 in 1st half	91.7%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Independiente Rivadavia under 0.5 in 1st half	62.2%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Independiente Rivadavia over 0.5 in 1st half	37.8%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Independiente Rivadavia over 1.5 in 1st half	8.3%	4.7%	—	—	21.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	53.9%	51.7%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Tigre (home no bet)	46.1%	48.4%	47.5%	1.02×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia even goals	55.5%	55.4%	55.7%	0.99×	1.80
Independiente Rivadavia odd goals	44.5%	44.6%	44.3%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
HT 1-0	21.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	7.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Tigre at HT / Tigre at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Tigre at FT	12.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Tigre at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Tigre at HT / Independiente Rivadavia at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Independiente Rivadavia at HT / Tigre at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia to score last	48.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Tigre to score last	36.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	14.7%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.3%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 1 at any time	53.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Tigre to lead by 1 at any time	40.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	33.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 2 at any time	21.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Tigre to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Independiente Rivadavia to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.11
Tigre to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.55

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia most corners	60.1%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Tigre most corners	28.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.5%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.0%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	57.9%	59.2%	60.6%	0.98×	1.69
2-5 goals	56.8%	59.2%	60.0%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.5%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.5%	53.2%	55.7%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.0%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.30
3-6 goals	30.5%	35.4%	33.5%	1.06×	2.83
3-5 goals	29.4%	30.3%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
3-4 goals	26.1%	30.2%	28.7%	1.05×	3.31
4-6 goals	12.9%	14.9%	13.3%	1.12×	6.72
4-5 goals	11.9%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.72
5-6 goals	4.4%	2.6%	4.9%	0.52×	39.13
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	0.5%	5.54×	39.32

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente Rivadavia never behind	45.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07
Tigre never behind	32.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.2%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.8%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.5%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	86.7%	87.6%	86.4%	1.01×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	69.1%	66.2%	66.2%	1.00×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	58.3%	58.8%	60.9%	0.97×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	41.7%	41.2%	39.1%	1.05×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	30.9%	33.8%	33.8%	1.00×	2.96
Under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.09
Over 3.5 goals	13.3%	12.4%	13.6%	0.91×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.18
Over 5.5 goals	1.5%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.5%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.8%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.8%	81.1%	82.9%	0.98×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	57.5%	55.4%	53.6%	1.03×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	42.5%	44.6%	46.4%	0.96×	2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.2%	18.9%	17.1%	1.11×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.2%	7.5%	5.8%	1.31×	13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.5%	2.8%	1.1%	2.56×	36.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.4%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.21
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.93

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	68.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre not to score in both halves	88.7%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Independiente Rivadavia not to score in both halves	82.3%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Independiente Rivadavia to score in both halves	17.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Tigre to score in both halves	11.3%	14.1%	—	—	7.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	38.4%	39.9%	40.5%	0.98×	2.51
Only Independiente Rivadavia scores	28.5%	26.1%	27.8%	0.94×	3.83
Only Tigre scores	18.4%	16.1%	17.2%	0.94×	6.22
Neither team scores	14.7%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.4%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	27.0%	25.0%	24.4%	1.02×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	17.5%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	14.7%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.27
Exactly 4 goals	8.5%	7.6%	8.5%	0.90×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	3.3%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.67
6 or more goals	1.5%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	32.3%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
2+ goals in 2nd half	31.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre not to win both halves	95.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Independiente Rivadavia not to win both halves	90.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Independiente Rivadavia to win both halves	9.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.38
Tigre to win both halves	4.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.29

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre to win neither half	61.4%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Independiente Rivadavia to win either half	51.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Independiente Rivadavia to win neither half	48.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Tigre to win either half	38.6%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tigre not to win to nil	81.6%	83.0%	82.8%	1.00×	1.21
Independiente Rivadavia not to win to nil	71.5%	75.3%	72.2%	1.04×	1.33
Independiente Rivadavia to win to nil	28.5%	24.7%	27.8%	0.89×	4.05
Tigre to win to nil	18.4%	17.0%	17.2%	0.99×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.7%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.62
Independiente Rivadavia by 1	24.0%	24.2%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Tigre by 1	18.1%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.91
Independiente Rivadavia by 2	11.8%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.48
Tigre by 2	6.8%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.78
Independiente Rivadavia by 3+	5.4%	7.3%	5.0%	1.44×	13.79
Tigre by 3+	2.2%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	37.01