Inter Miami CF v Atlanta United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Inter Miami CF

19:30

Atlanta United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1h before kick-off

Inter Miami CF win

75.6%

model 75.8%

Draw

12.2%

model 14.1%

Atlanta United win

12.1%

model 10.1%

761212

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (340 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 8.3%
3-1 8.2%
2-0 7.9%
3-0 7.8%
4-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	76.4%	Under 2.5	23.6%
BTTS yes	61.9%	BTTS no	38.1%
Inter Miami CF 1+	94.8%	Inter Miami CF 2+	79.5%
Atlanta United 1+	65.0%	Atlanta United 2+	28.3%

Expected goals 2.96 – 1.05. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Inter Miami CF (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

56.8% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Inter Miami CF corners (+1.5)

Corner handicap

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 6586 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Inter Miami CF carry the stronger rating, 1677 Elo against 1372.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Inter Miami CF have an estimated 75.6% win probability, against 12.2% for the draw and 12.1% for Atlanta United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.96 for Inter Miami CF and 1.05 for Atlanta United.

Why Inter Miami CF

Inter Miami CF carry the stronger rating, 1677 Elo against 1372.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 12.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Atlanta United can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Inter Miami CF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlanta United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Inter Miami CF: 56% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlanta United: 45% possession, 10.0 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Inter Miami CF are the model's most likely outcome at 75.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 8.3%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	761410	2.96–1.05	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	78139	3.26–1.13	3-1 8%	81%	65%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to win	78.1%	78.3%	45.4%	1.73×	1.28
Draw	12.6%	13.3%	24.9%	0.54×	7.52
Atlanta United to win	9.3%	8.3%	29.9%	0.28×	12.06

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF & both teams score	47.3%	43.0%	24.4%	1.76×	2.33
Inter Miami CF & not both score	30.8%	29.7%	21.1%	1.41×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	19.1%	0.69×	7.55
Atlanta United & both teams score	6.9%	8.4%	17.8%	0.47×	11.93
Atlanta United & not both score	2.4%	4.9%	12.3%	0.40×	20.61
Draw & not both score	1.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.83×	20.64

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF & over 1.5	74.2%	67.4%	37.1%	1.82×	1.48
Inter Miami CF & over 2.5	67.7%	67.2%	30.9%	2.17×	1.49
Inter Miami CF & over 3.5	53.0%	48.8%	17.2%	2.84×	2.05
Inter Miami CF & under 3.5	25.1%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
Inter Miami CF & under 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	19.1%	0.67×	7.77
Atlanta United & over 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	23.5%	0.34×	12.70
Atlanta United & over 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	20.3%	0.39×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.4%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & under 2.5	6.2%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.4%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.70
Atlanta United & under 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	18.8%	0.25×	20.93
Inter Miami CF & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.94
Atlanta United & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.93
Atlanta United & under 2.5	2.0%	4.8%	9.7%	0.49×	20.95
Draw & under 1.5	1.4%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.95
Atlanta United & under 1.5	1.2%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (1UP)	87.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Atlanta United (1UP)	30.5%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (2UP)	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Atlanta United (2UP)	9.3%	9.1%	—	—	11.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to win 2nd half	65.4%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
2nd half drawn	21.7%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
Atlanta United to win 2nd half	12.9%	12.3%	—	—	8.12

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (+0.5)	90.7%	92.1%	70.1%	1.31×	1.09
Inter Miami CF (-0.5)	78.1%	78.4%	45.4%	1.73×	1.28
Inter Miami CF (-1.5)	60.5%	62.9%	23.3%	2.70×	1.59
Atlanta United (+2.5)	59.1%	57.0%	89.5%	0.64×	1.75
Inter Miami CF (-2.5)	40.9%	43.0%	10.5%	4.08×	2.33
Atlanta United (+1.5)	39.5%	37.1%	76.7%	0.48×	2.70
Atlanta United (+0.5)	21.9%	21.6%	54.6%	0.39×	4.64
Atlanta United (-0.5)	9.3%	7.9%	29.9%	0.27×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede	96.2%	96.2%	82.0%	1.17×	1.04
Atlanta United clean sheet	3.8%	3.8%	18.0%	0.21×	26.40

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to concede in 1st half	75.4%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Atlanta United clean sheet in 1st half	24.6%	23.3%	—	—	4.29

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 6.5 corners	90.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Atlanta United under 5.5 corners	83.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Atlanta United under 4.5 corners	72.1%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Atlanta United over 2.5 corners	62.2%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Atlanta United under 3.5 corners	56.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Atlanta United over 3.5 corners	43.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Atlanta United under 2.5 corners	37.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Atlanta United over 4.5 corners	27.9%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Atlanta United over 5.5 corners	16.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Atlanta United over 6.5 corners	9.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
Atlanta United under 2.5 goals	89.4%	87.9%	83.3%	1.06×	1.14
Atlanta United under 1.5 goals	68.7%	68.0%	61.3%	1.11×	1.47
Atlanta United over 0.5 goals	67.8%	68.0%	73.2%	0.93×	1.47
Atlanta United under 0.5 goals	32.2%	32.0%	26.8%	1.20×	3.12
Atlanta United over 1.5 goals	31.3%	32.0%	38.7%	0.83×	3.12
Atlanta United over 2.5 goals	10.6%	12.1%	16.7%	0.72×	8.26
Atlanta United over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	6.1%	0.40×	40.73

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Atlanta United under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Atlanta United over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Atlanta United over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.8%	—	—	17.16

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (away no bet)	86.1%	84.4%	64.6%	1.31×	1.19
Draw (away no bet)	13.9%	15.6%	35.4%	0.44×	6.40

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United even goals	55.2%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
Atlanta United odd goals	44.8%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	60.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Both halves over 1.5 goals	39.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	87.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Both halves under 1.5 goals	12.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	83.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Inter Miami CF to score 2+ in a row	76.6%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Either team to score 3+ in a row	51.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Inter Miami CF to score 3+ in a row	49.1%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Atlanta United to score 2+ in a row	17.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Atlanta United to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.43

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF corners (+3.5)	95.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
Inter Miami CF corners (+2.5)	91.6%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Inter Miami CF corners (+1.5)	86.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Atlanta United corners (+3.5)	61.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Inter Miami CF corners (-1.5)	60.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Atlanta United corners (+2.5)	50.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Inter Miami CF corners (-2.5)	49.2%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Atlanta United corners (+1.5)	40.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Inter Miami CF corners (-3.5)	38.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Atlanta United corners (-1.5)	13.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Atlanta United corners (-2.5)	8.4%	11.4%	—	—	8.81
Atlanta United corners (-3.5)	4.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.51

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	28.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	28.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	63.5%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 8.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.8%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Over 9.5 corners	46.2%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 8.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 7.5 corners	32.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	28.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	23.2%	20.2%	4.7%	4.30×	4.95
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
3-0	7.2%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.48
3-1	8.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
4-1	6.6%	7.4%	2.4%	3.08×	13.48
4-0	5.8%	7.4%	1.3%	5.89×	13.48
1-1	4.8%	1.7%	10.3%	0.17×	58.46
0-0	1.4%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.48
0-1	1.2%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.48
0-2	0.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.49
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-0	3.8%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.47
1-2	2.6%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	1.0%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.49
2-2	4.2%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.47
2-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-2	4.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.46
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-2	3.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.47
4-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.48
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF leading at HT (DNB)	83.7%	87.0%	—	—	1.15
Atlanta United leading at HT (DNB)	16.3%	13.0%	—	—	7.69

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw (1X)	90.7%	91.7%	70.1%	1.31×	1.09
Inter Miami CF or Atlanta United (12)	87.4%	86.7%	75.1%	1.15×	1.15
Atlanta United or draw (X2)	21.9%	21.7%	54.6%	0.40×	4.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw at HT	88.1%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Inter Miami CF or Atlanta United at HT	72.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Atlanta United or draw at HT	39.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw (1UP)	90.7%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Atlanta United or draw (1UP)	30.5%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF or draw in 2nd half	87.1%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Inter Miami CF or Atlanta United in 2nd half	78.3%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Atlanta United or draw in 2nd half	34.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	57.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
A half drawn	42.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (DNB)	89.4%	87.3%	60.3%	1.45×	1.15
Atlanta United (DNB)	10.6%	12.7%	39.7%	0.32×	7.89

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score first	73.2%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Atlanta United to score first	25.4%	28.0%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	1.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.71

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	65.4%	58.2%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Not both teams to score	34.6%	41.8%	38.9%	1.07×	2.39

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	60.6%	50.0%	50.9%	0.98×	2.00
Not both score & over 2.5	20.7%	27.7%	9.2%	3.02×	3.61
Not both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	29.9%	0.41×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	4.8%	4.7%	10.3%	0.46×	21.26

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	73.8%	80.6%	79.5%	1.01×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	26.2%	19.4%	20.5%	0.95×	5.15

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	58.3%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	41.7%	33.5%	—	—	2.98

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	42.2%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	30.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Both score 1st half only	16.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	11.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	72.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	27.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	77.8%	80.4%	—	—	1.24
A half without a goal	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.6%	47.4%	33.1%	1.43×	2.11
2-3 goals	29.7%	26.5%	42.5%	0.62×	3.78
7+ goals	15.3%	20.2%	4.1%	4.89×	4.96
0-1 goals	6.5%	7.6%	20.5%	0.37×	13.20

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Atlanta United to score exactly 0	32.2%	33.8%	26.8%	1.26×	2.96
Atlanta United to score exactly 2	20.7%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.47
Atlanta United to score 3+	10.6%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score 3+	63.2%	61.8%	25.2%	2.45×	1.62
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 2	20.5%	23.2%	26.0%	0.89×	4.30
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 1	12.5%	14.3%	31.0%	0.46×	6.98
Inter Miami CF to score exactly 0	3.8%	6.2%	18.0%	0.34×	16.21

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF leading at HT	60.8%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Draw at HT	27.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
Atlanta United leading at HT	11.9%	11.7%	—	—	8.53

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF -1: 1	60.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Inter Miami CF -1: 2	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Inter Miami CF -1: X	17.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (0:1)	60.5%	61.4%	23.3%	2.64×	1.63
Atlanta United (0:1)	21.9%	24.3%	54.6%	0.44×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	17.6%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:2)	39.5%	39.2%	76.7%	0.51×	2.55
Inter Miami CF (0:2)	40.9%	38.2%	10.5%	3.62×	2.62
Draw (0:2)	19.5%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:3)	59.1%	71.2%	89.5%	0.80×	1.40
Inter Miami CF (0:3)	24.1%	19.7%	4.0%	4.90×	5.09
Draw (0:3)	16.8%	16.1%	6.6%	2.42×	6.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United (0:4)	75.9%	80.9%	96.0%	0.84×	1.24
Inter Miami CF (0:4)	12.4%	9.5%	2.1%	4.62×	10.49
Draw (0:4)	11.7%	9.5%	2.1%	4.60×	10.55

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (1:0)	90.7%	92.5%	70.1%	1.32×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.0%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.46
Atlanta United (1:0)	3.3%	3.2%	13.2%	0.24×	31.58

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF (2:0)	96.7%	96.9%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.4%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	44.22
Atlanta United (2:0)	0.9%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	19.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.19

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to concede	67.8%	66.6%	73.2%	0.91×	1.50
Inter Miami CF clean sheet	32.2%	33.4%	26.8%	1.25×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Inter Miami CF to concede in 1st half	36.4%	35.8%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 2.5 corners	88.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Inter Miami CF over 3.5 corners	77.5%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Inter Miami CF over 4.5 corners	64.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Inter Miami CF under 6.5 corners	60.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Inter Miami CF over 5.5 corners	51.9%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Inter Miami CF under 5.5 corners	48.1%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Inter Miami CF over 6.5 corners	39.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Inter Miami CF under 4.5 corners	35.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Inter Miami CF under 3.5 corners	22.5%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Inter Miami CF under 2.5 corners	12.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 goals	96.2%	96.4%	82.0%	1.17×	1.04
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 goals	83.6%	82.1%	51.1%	1.61×	1.22
Inter Miami CF over 2.5 goals	63.2%	63.5%	25.2%	2.52×	1.58
Inter Miami CF under 3.5 goals	59.1%	58.8%	90.6%	0.65×	1.70
Inter Miami CF over 3.5 goals	40.9%	41.2%	9.4%	4.38×	2.43
Inter Miami CF under 2.5 goals	36.8%	36.5%	74.8%	0.49×	2.74
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 goals	16.4%	17.9%	48.9%	0.37×	5.59
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 goals	3.8%	3.6%	18.0%	0.20×	27.44

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF over 0.5 in 1st half	75.4%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Inter Miami CF under 1.5 in 1st half	59.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Inter Miami CF over 1.5 in 1st half	40.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Inter Miami CF under 0.5 in 1st half	24.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.7%	56.7%	45.4%	1.25×	1.76
Atlanta United (home no bet)	42.3%	43.3%	54.6%	0.79×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF even goals	50.1%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Inter Miami CF odd goals	49.9%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Any other HT score	17.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 0-0	15.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 2-0	15.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	10.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 0-1	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 0-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	56.2%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Draw at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	6.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.70
Atlanta United at HT / Atlanta United at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Atlanta United at HT / Inter Miami CF at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Inter Miami CF at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Draw at HT / Atlanta United at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Atlanta United at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Inter Miami CF at HT / Atlanta United at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to score last	73.1%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Atlanta United to score last	25.4%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
No goal scored	1.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.71

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Inter Miami CF to lead by 1 at any time	87.6%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	75.5%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Inter Miami CF to lead by 2 at any time	68.1%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	47.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Inter Miami CF to lead by 3 at any time	46.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Atlanta United to lead by 1 at any time	30.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Atlanta United to lead by 2 at any time	8.3%	6.7%	—	—	15.02
Atlanta United to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.38

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF most corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Atlanta United most corners	20.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Corners level	9.0%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	78.3%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-5 goals	70.9%	72.4%	83.2%	0.87×	1.38
3-6 goals	66.1%	68.9%	55.9%	1.23×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.9%	68.9%	68.5%	1.01×	1.45
1-4 goals	54.0%	53.2%	73.1%	0.73×	1.88
3-5 goals	53.7%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-4 goals	48.9%	48.7%	58.4%	0.83×	2.06
4-6 goals	48.6%	48.7%	33.1%	1.47×	2.06
3-4 goals	36.8%	39.1%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-5 goals	36.2%	39.1%	26.1%	1.50×	2.56
1-3 goals	34.7%	35.4%	57.2%	0.62×	2.83
2-3 goals	29.7%	30.3%	42.5%	0.71×	3.31
5-6 goals	29.3%	30.3%	17.2%	1.76×	3.31
1-2 goals	17.2%	18.6%	34.4%	0.54×	5.37
7+ goals	15.3%	18.6%	4.1%	4.51×	5.37

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF never behind	68.1%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Atlanta United never behind	10.9%	12.5%	—	—	8.00

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.3%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.7%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.6%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	79.5%	1.16×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	81.4%	82.4%	59.9%	1.38×	1.21
Under 5.5 goals	72.3%	72.5%	88.9%	0.82×	1.38
Over 3.5 goals	63.8%	61.8%	37.1%	1.66×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	55.4%	58.8%	78.8%	0.75×	1.70
Over 4.5 goals	44.6%	41.2%	21.2%	1.94×	2.43
Under 3.5 goals	36.2%	38.2%	62.9%	0.61×	2.62
Over 5.5 goals	27.7%	27.5%	11.1%	2.47×	3.64
Under 2.5 goals	18.6%	17.6%	40.1%	0.44×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	20.5%	0.38×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	1.4%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	92.6%	92.5%	74.5%	1.24×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	82.6%	81.1%	95.6%	0.85×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.4%	75.9%	48.1%	1.58×	1.32
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	66.7%	67.4%	87.6%	0.77×	1.48
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	55.2%	55.4%	25.2%	2.20×	1.81
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	44.8%	44.6%	74.8%	0.60×	2.24
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	33.3%	32.6%	12.4%	2.64×	3.07
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.6%	24.1%	51.9%	0.46×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	17.4%	18.9%	4.4%	4.27×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	7.4%	7.5%	25.5%	0.30×	13.26

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	84.3%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half	71.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 1.5 in 1st half	55.4%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Under 1.5 in 1st half	44.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Over 2.5 in 1st half	28.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Under 0.5 in 1st half	15.7%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	92.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	72.0%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	53.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	46.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	28.0%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to score in both halves	82.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Inter Miami CF to score in both halves	63.6%	63.5%	—	—	1.58
Inter Miami CF not to score in both halves	36.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Atlanta United to score in both halves	18.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	65.4%	59.5%	61.1%	0.97×	1.68
Only Inter Miami CF scores	30.8%	33.3%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only Atlanta United scores	2.4%	4.6%	12.3%	0.37×	21.89
Neither team scores	1.4%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	27.7%	25.0%	11.1%	2.25×	4.01
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	17.5%	17.4%	22.9%	0.76×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	16.9%	17.4%	10.2%	1.71×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	12.2%	12.1%	19.7%	0.61×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	5.0%	7.6%	14.8%	0.52×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	1.4%	4.4%	5.8%	0.75×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	72.0%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
1 goal in 2nd half	20.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.80
No goals in 2nd half	8.0%	10.2%	—	—	9.76

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Inter Miami CF not to win both halves	60.2%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Inter Miami CF to win both halves	39.8%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Atlanta United to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF to win either half	86.4%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Atlanta United to win neither half	76.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Atlanta United to win either half	23.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91
Inter Miami CF to win neither half	13.6%	8.3%	—	—	12.06

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta United not to win to nil	97.6%	96.2%	87.7%	1.10×	1.04
Inter Miami CF not to win to nil	69.2%	69.7%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
Inter Miami CF to win to nil	30.8%	30.3%	21.1%	1.44×	3.30
Atlanta United to win to nil	2.4%	3.8%	12.3%	0.31×	26.28

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Inter Miami CF by 3+	40.9%	34.2%	10.5%	3.25×	2.92
Inter Miami CF by 2	19.5%	16.9%	12.8%	1.32×	5.91
Inter Miami CF by 1	17.6%	16.9%	22.2%	0.76×	5.91
Draw	12.6%	11.8%	24.9%	0.47×	8.47
Atlanta United by 1	6.0%	7.3%	16.8%	0.43×	13.79
Atlanta United by 2	2.4%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	37.01
Atlanta United by 3+	0.9%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.05