Internacional de Bogotá v Atlético Nacional — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Internacional de Bogotá

21:00

Atlético Nacional

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 987h before kick-off

Internacional de Bogotá win

18.3%

model 16.6%

Draw

22.5%

model 22.8%

Atlético Nacional win

59.1%

model 60.6%

182359

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.8%
0-2 10.2%
1-2 10.0%
0-1 9.2%
0-3 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.6%	Under 2.5	42.4%
BTTS yes	55.0%	BTTS no	45.0%
Internacional de Bogotá 1+	62.4%	Internacional de Bogotá 2+	25.6%
Atlético Nacional 1+	86.7%	Atlético Nacional 2+	59.9%

Expected goals 0.98 – 2.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Atlético Nacional carry the stronger rating, 1704 Elo against 1417.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Atlético Nacional have an estimated 59.1% win probability, against 22.5% for the draw and 18.3% for Internacional de Bogotá. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Internacional de Bogotá and 2.02 for Atlético Nacional.

Why Internacional de Bogotá

Nothing in the data singles out Internacional de Bogotá.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Atlético Nacional can win

Atlético Nacional carry the stronger rating, 1704 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Internacional de Bogotá, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Nacional, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Internacional de Bogotá: 45% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Nacional: 60% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Atlético Nacional are the model's most likely outcome at 59.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	172459	0.96–1.92	1-1 11%	55%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to win	58.8%	54.1%	24.8%	2.19×	1.85
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	29.5%	0.83×	4.09
Internacional de Bogotá to win	17.4%	19.4%	45.9%	0.42×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional & not both score	31.8%	29.7%	13.5%	2.20×	3.37
Atlético Nacional & both teams score	27.1%	25.2%	11.4%	2.21×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.2%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Internacional de Bogotá & both teams score	9.3%	8.4%	18.9%	0.44×	11.92
Internacional de Bogotá & not both score	8.1%	8.4%	27.1%	0.31×	11.92
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.4%	10.8%	0.77×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional & over 1.5	49.0%	45.2%	16.4%	2.76×	2.21
Atlético Nacional & over 2.5	38.6%	34.9%	12.8%	2.73×	2.86
Atlético Nacional & under 3.5	36.8%	34.9%	19.9%	1.76×	2.86
Atlético Nacional & over 3.5	22.0%	21.6%	5.0%	4.32×	4.62
Atlético Nacional & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	12.1%	1.79×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	17.9%	18.0%	23.8%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	23.8%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.2%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Internacional de Bogotá & over 1.5	13.0%	12.9%	33.9%	0.38×	7.77
Internacional de Bogotá & under 3.5	12.8%	12.9%	35.7%	0.36×	7.77
Internacional de Bogotá & over 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	25.6%	0.50×	7.77
Atlético Nacional & under 1.5	9.9%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.69
Internacional de Bogotá & under 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Internacional de Bogotá & under 1.5	4.4%	4.8%	12.1%	0.40×	20.92
Internacional de Bogotá & over 3.5	4.6%	4.8%	10.3%	0.46×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (1UP)	71.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Internacional de Bogotá (1UP)	35.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (2UP)	58.8%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Internacional de Bogotá (2UP)	17.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to win 2nd half	50.3%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	32.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Internacional de Bogotá to win 2nd half	17.2%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (+2.5)	98.4%	96.3%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Atlético Nacional (+1.5)	93.8%	92.1%	79.6%	1.16×	1.09
Atlético Nacional (+0.5)	82.6%	82.4%	54.1%	1.52×	1.21
Atlético Nacional (-0.5)	58.8%	57.0%	24.8%	2.30×	1.75
Internacional de Bogotá (+0.5)	41.2%	43.0%	75.2%	0.57×	2.33
Internacional de Bogotá (-0.5)	17.4%	17.6%	45.9%	0.38×	5.68
Internacional de Bogotá (-1.5)	6.2%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.66
Internacional de Bogotá (-2.5)	1.6%	3.7%	8.2%	0.45×	26.95

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to concede	61.6%	67.2%	75.8%	0.89×	1.49
Atlético Nacional clean sheet	38.4%	32.8%	24.2%	1.36×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional clean sheet in 1st half	66.2%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Atlético Nacional to concede in 1st half	33.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional over 2.5 corners	77.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Nacional under 6.5 corners	76.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Nacional under 5.5 corners	65.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Atlético Nacional over 3.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Atlético Nacional under 4.5 corners	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Atlético Nacional over 4.5 corners	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Nacional under 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Atlético Nacional over 5.5 corners	34.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Atlético Nacional over 6.5 corners	23.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
Atlético Nacional under 2.5 corners	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional under 3.5 goals	87.2%	87.9%	98.1%	0.90×	1.14
Atlético Nacional over 0.5 goals	85.3%	87.9%	62.2%	1.41×	1.14
Atlético Nacional under 2.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	92.9%	0.73×	1.47
Atlético Nacional over 1.5 goals	57.1%	59.6%	25.6%	2.33×	1.68
Atlético Nacional under 1.5 goals	42.9%	40.4%	74.4%	0.54×	2.47
Atlético Nacional over 2.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	7.1%	4.51×	3.12
Atlético Nacional under 0.5 goals	14.7%	12.1%	37.8%	0.32×	8.25
Atlético Nacional over 3.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	1.9%	6.22×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional under 1.5 in 1st half	82.1%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Atlético Nacional over 0.5 in 1st half	53.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Atlético Nacional under 0.5 in 1st half	46.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Atlético Nacional over 1.5 in 1st half	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	57.7%	57.5%	39.1%	1.47×	1.74
Internacional de Bogotá (away no bet)	42.3%	42.5%	60.9%	0.70×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional even goals	51.1%	52.8%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
Atlético Nacional odd goals	48.9%	47.2%	42.6%	1.11×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	60.6%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Atlético Nacional to score 2+ in a row	49.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row	25.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Atlético Nacional to score 3+ in a row	22.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Internacional de Bogotá to score 2+ in a row	16.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+3.5)	82.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Atlético Nacional corners (+3.5)	82.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+2.5)	75.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Atlético Nacional corners (+2.5)	74.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Internacional de Bogotá corners (+1.5)	66.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Atlético Nacional corners (+1.5)	65.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-1.5)	34.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Atlético Nacional corners (-1.5)	33.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-2.5)	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlético Nacional corners (-2.5)	24.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Internacional de Bogotá corners (-3.5)	18.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Atlético Nacional corners (-3.5)	17.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	28.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	28.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.8%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	33.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	28.2%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	21.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.4%	13.1%	0.88×	8.74
0-2	10.4%	11.4%	3.8%	3.05×	8.74
0-1	9.9%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.47
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	10.8%	0.68×	13.47
0-3	6.6%	7.4%	1.1%	6.67×	13.47
1-3	6.3%	7.4%	1.4%	5.34×	13.47
2-1	5.0%	1.7%	11.0%	0.16×	58.50
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.50
Any other score	4.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.50
0-4	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.51
1-0	4.4%	1.7%	12.1%	0.14×	58.50
1-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.51
2-0	2.6%	1.7%	8.5%	0.20×	58.51
2-3	3.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.51
2-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
3-0	0.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.52
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.52
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.52
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.52
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.52
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional leading at HT (DNB)	69.3%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT (DNB)	30.7%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw (X2)	82.6%	80.6%	54.1%	1.49×	1.24
Internacional de Bogotá or Atlético Nacional (12)	76.2%	75.5%	70.5%	1.07×	1.32
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1X)	41.2%	45.9%	75.2%	0.61×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw at HT	82.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Internacional de Bogotá or draw at HT	59.6%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Internacional de Bogotá or Atlético Nacional at HT	58.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw (1UP)	82.6%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Internacional de Bogotá or draw (1UP)	41.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional or draw in 2nd half	82.8%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Internacional de Bogotá or Atlético Nacional in 2nd half	67.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Internacional de Bogotá or draw in 2nd half	49.7%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (DNB)	77.2%	74.6%	35.0%	2.13×	1.34
Internacional de Bogotá (DNB)	22.8%	25.4%	65.0%	0.39×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to score first	62.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Internacional de Bogotá to score first	31.1%	26.8%	—	—	3.73
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.5%	51.5%	48.8%	1.05×	1.94
Not both teams to score	46.5%	48.5%	51.2%	0.95×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.2%	41.6%	35.9%	1.16×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.9%	34.3%	43.1%	0.80×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	8.2%	1.50×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.8%	85.6%	88.7%	0.97×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.2%	14.4%	11.3%	1.27×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.9%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.9%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.9%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	13.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.91

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.7%	26.5%	19.5%	1.36×	3.78
0-1 goals	20.9%	22.8%	31.2%	0.73×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	54.97

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to score 3+	30.1%	33.8%	7.1%	4.77×	2.96
Atlético Nacional to score exactly 1	28.2%	27.4%	36.7%	0.75×	3.65
Atlético Nacional to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	18.6%	1.47×	3.65
Atlético Nacional to score exactly 0	14.7%	12.8%	37.8%	0.34×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 0	38.4%	35.6%	24.2%	1.47×	2.81
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	34.4%	1.04×	2.81
Internacional de Bogotá to score exactly 2	17.6%	18.9%	26.1%	0.72×	5.30
Internacional de Bogotá to score 3+	7.3%	10.3%	15.6%	0.66×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Atlético Nacional leading at HT	40.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Internacional de Bogotá leading at HT	17.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional -1: 1	41.2%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Atlético Nacional -1: 2	35.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Atlético Nacional -1: X	23.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:1)	82.6%	77.6%	54.1%	1.44×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	11.2%	13.8%	25.6%	0.54×	7.23
Internacional de Bogotá (0:1)	6.2%	9.2%	20.4%	0.45×	10.89

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:2)	93.8%	90.8%	79.6%	1.14×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.6%	3.8%	12.4%	0.31×	26.46
Internacional de Bogotá (0:2)	1.6%	3.8%	8.2%	0.46×	26.64

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:3)	98.4%	96.6%	91.8%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.16
Internacional de Bogotá (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Internacional de Bogotá (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.61
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.9%	0.61×	83.58

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (1:0)	41.2%	42.8%	75.2%	0.57×	2.34
Atlético Nacional (1:0)	35.5%	37.3%	7.7%	4.87×	2.68
Draw (1:0)	23.3%	21.8%	17.2%	1.26×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá (2:0)	64.5%	67.1%	92.4%	0.73×	1.49
Draw (2:0)	18.4%	15.7%	5.0%	3.14×	6.36
Atlético Nacional (2:0)	17.1%	15.7%	2.8%	5.64×	6.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede	85.3%	85.9%	62.2%	1.38×	1.16
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet	14.7%	14.1%	37.8%	0.37×	7.11

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá to concede in 1st half	53.6%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet in 1st half	46.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 corners	78.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Internacional de Bogotá under 6.5 corners	76.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Internacional de Bogotá under 5.5 corners	65.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 corners	63.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Internacional de Bogotá under 4.5 corners	51.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Internacional de Bogotá over 4.5 corners	48.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 corners	36.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Internacional de Bogotá over 5.5 corners	35.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Internacional de Bogotá over 6.5 corners	24.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 corners	21.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Internacional de Bogotá under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	84.4%	1.09×	1.08
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 goals	75.1%	77.7%	58.4%	1.33×	1.29
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 goals	61.6%	63.4%	75.8%	0.84×	1.58
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 goals	38.4%	36.6%	24.2%	1.51×	2.73
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 goals	24.9%	22.3%	41.6%	0.54×	4.49
Internacional de Bogotá over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	15.6%	0.50×	12.92
Internacional de Bogotá over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	4.7%	0.77×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Internacional de Bogotá under 0.5 in 1st half	66.2%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Internacional de Bogotá over 0.5 in 1st half	33.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
Internacional de Bogotá over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	4.6%	—	—	21.87

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional (home no bet)	71.2%	66.4%	45.6%	1.45×	1.51
Draw (home no bet)	28.8%	33.6%	54.4%	0.62×	2.98

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá even goals	57.4%	55.5%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Internacional de Bogotá odd goals	42.6%	44.5%	46.6%	0.96×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.12
HT 0-1	23.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 1-0	12.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 0-2	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
Any other HT score	5.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
HT 2-0	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.87
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional at HT / Atlético Nacional at FT	35.0%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Draw at HT / Atlético Nacional at FT	20.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Draw at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Atlético Nacional at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Internacional de Bogotá at HT / Atlético Nacional at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Atlético Nacional at HT / Internacional de Bogotá at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to score last	62.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Internacional de Bogotá to score last	31.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Atlético Nacional to lead by 1 at any time	71.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Atlético Nacional to lead by 2 at any time	42.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 1 at any time	35.6%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Atlético Nacional to lead by 3 at any time	19.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 2 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.65
Internacional de Bogotá to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	64.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá most corners	45.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Nacional most corners	44.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.0%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.4%	78.6%	67.5%	1.17×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.4%	65.4%	1.11×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.4%	59.7%	1.06×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.9%	63.4%	68.4%	0.93×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.1%	53.2%	42.6%	1.25×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.6%	48.7%	40.5%	1.20×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	45.3%	0.86×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.2%	34.8%	1.13×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.7%	30.2%	19.5%	1.55×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.3%	30.2%	17.4%	1.74×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.7%	14.9%	7.9%	1.88×	6.72
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.39

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional never behind	57.8%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Internacional de Bogotá never behind	21.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	96.4%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.6%	82.4%	90.7%	0.91×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.1%	77.4%	68.8%	1.12×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.5%	66.2%	79.1%	0.84×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.8%	52.5%	44.0%	1.19×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.2%	47.5%	56.1%	0.85×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	32.5%	33.8%	20.9%	1.62×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	20.9%	22.6%	31.2%	0.73×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.4%	17.6%	9.3%	1.89×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	3.6%	2.14×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	10.8%	0.71×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.1%	92.5%	96.2%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.5%	81.1%	89.5%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.4%	72.6%	58.5%	1.24×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.2%	55.5%	72.9%	0.76×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.8%	44.5%	27.1%	1.64×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.6%	27.4%	41.5%	0.66×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.5%	18.9%	10.5%	1.80×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.9%	7.5%	3.8%	1.97×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	1.6%	1.76×	36.33

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.1%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.9%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.1%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.9%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.97
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to score in both halves	85.8%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Atlético Nacional not to score in both halves	63.4%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Atlético Nacional to score in both halves	36.6%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Internacional de Bogotá to score in both halves	14.2%	14.1%	—	—	7.10

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.5%	53.9%	48.8%	1.10×	1.85
Only Atlético Nacional scores	31.8%	33.4%	13.5%	2.47×	3.00
Only Internacional de Bogotá scores	8.1%	7.2%	27.1%	0.27×	13.90
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.2%	10.8%	0.66×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.6%	25.0%	0.90×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.4%	11.7%	1.49×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.3%	12.1%	20.4%	0.59×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.09
6 or more goals	7.2%	7.6%	3.6%	2.11×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	10.8%	0.70×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
1 goal in 2nd half	30.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	18.7%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to win both halves	96.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Atlético Nacional not to win both halves	79.4%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
Atlético Nacional to win both halves	20.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.09
Internacional de Bogotá to win both halves	3.2%	2.8%	—	—	35.71

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Nacional to win either half	70.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Internacional de Bogotá to win neither half	68.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Internacional de Bogotá to win either half	32.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Atlético Nacional to win neither half	29.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Internacional de Bogotá not to win to nil	91.9%	92.0%	72.9%	1.26×	1.09
Atlético Nacional not to win to nil	68.2%	69.6%	86.5%	0.81×	1.44
Atlético Nacional to win to nil	31.8%	30.4%	13.5%	2.25×	3.30
Internacional de Bogotá to win to nil	8.1%	8.0%	27.1%	0.29×	12.54

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.8%	24.2%	29.5%	0.82×	4.14
Atlético Nacional by 1	23.3%	24.2%	17.2%	1.40×	4.14
Atlético Nacional by 2	18.4%	17.0%	5.0%	3.39×	5.90
Atlético Nacional by 3+	17.1%	16.9%	2.8%	6.09×	5.90
Internacional de Bogotá by 1	11.2%	11.8%	25.6%	0.46×	8.47
Internacional de Bogotá by 2	4.6%	2.7%	12.4%	0.22×	36.99
Internacional de Bogotá by 3+	1.6%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.09