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Internazionale v Venezia — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 3 November 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–0
3.35 – 1.14 xG
Shots
20 – 7
On target
8 – 2
Shots in box
14 – 4
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.66 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-2.35 – -1.29
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.92.83.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Lautaro Martínez 64' — goal
Internazionale 3.35 xGVenezia 1.29 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Nicolò Barella 4' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Lautaro Martínez 5' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lautaro Martínez 13' — Saved Shot (0.26 xG, From Corner)Alessandro Bastoni 16' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marcus Thuram 27' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Marcus Thuram 32' — Missed Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Federico Dimarco 34' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Henrikh Mkhitaryan 34' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Denzel Dumfries 40' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Gaetano Oristanio 40' — Saved Shot (0.53 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 40' — Missed Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Denzel Dumfries 48' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Nicolò Barella 48' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Jay Idzes 52' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 52' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 55' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Henrikh Mkhitaryan 56' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Marcus Thuram 59' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Denzel Dumfries 60' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lautaro Martínez 64' — Goal (0.56 xG, Open Play)Marcus Thuram 66' — Saved Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Hakan Calhanoglu 76' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Piotr Zielinski 76' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 81' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Hakan Calhanoglu 87' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Stefan de Vrij 89' — Missed Shot (0.32 xG, From Corner)John Yeboah 94' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)
Internazionale attacking right Venezia attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Internazionale Nicolò Barella 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
5' Internazionale Lautaro Martínez 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Denzel Dumfries
13' Internazionale Lautaro Martínez 0.26 From Corner Saved Shot Federico Dimarco
16' Internazionale Alessandro Bastoni 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Henrikh Mkhitaryan
27' Internazionale Marcus Thuram 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Nicolò Barella
32' Internazionale Marcus Thuram 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
34' Internazionale Federico Dimarco 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Henrikh Mkhitaryan
34' Internazionale Henrikh Mkhitaryan 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Denzel Dumfries
40' Internazionale Denzel Dumfries 0.07 Open Play Missed Shot Alessandro Bastoni
40' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.53 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Joel Pohjanpalo
40' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.27 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Jay Idzes
48' Internazionale Denzel Dumfries 0.04 Set Piece Blocked Shot Piotr Zielinski
48' Internazionale Nicolò Barella 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Piotr Zielinski
52' Venezia Jay Idzes 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
52' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ridgeciano Haps
55' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Marin Sverko
56' Internazionale Henrikh Mkhitaryan 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
59' Internazionale Marcus Thuram 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
60' Internazionale Denzel Dumfries 0.01 Open Play Saved Shot Alessandro Bastoni
64' Internazionale Lautaro Martínez 0.56 Open Play Goal Federico Dimarco
66' Internazionale Marcus Thuram 0.55 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Federico Dimarco
76' Internazionale Hakan Calhanoglu 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
76' Internazionale Piotr Zielinski 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
81' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mikael Ellertsson
87' Internazionale Hakan Calhanoglu 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
89' Internazionale Stefan de Vrij 0.32 From Corner Missed Shot Hakan Calhanoglu
94' Venezia John Yeboah 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot

Players

Internazionale

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Marcus Thuram FW 90 0 0 4 0 1.03 0.00 1.65
Henrikh Mkhitaryan MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.79 0.07 1.55
Stefan de Vrij DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.32 0.00 0.06
Denzel Dumfries DMR 90 0 0 3 2 0.13 0.42 0.56
Benjamin Pavard DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Yann Sommer GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Piotr Zielinski MC 84 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.07 1.11
Federico Dimarco DML 76 0 1 1 3 0.06 1.38 1.42
Lautaro Martínez FW 71 1 0 3 0 0.88 0.00 0.99
Nicolò Barella MC 70 0 0 2 1 0.04 0.11 0.81
Alessandro Bastoni DC 70 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.08 0.77
Hakan Calhanoglu Sub 20 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.32 0.07
Yann Bisseck Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mehdi Taremi Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Matteo Darmian Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Davide Frattesi Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Joel Pohjanpalo FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.66 0.53 1.21
Gaetano Oristanio FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.53 0.00 0.53
Jay Idzes DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.27 0.28
Michael Svoboda DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Ridgeciano Haps DML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.32 0.35
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 83 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.35
Magnus Kofod Andersen MC 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Francesco Zampano DMR 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Giorgio Altare DC 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Domen Crnigoj MC 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Busio Sub 44 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.32
Marin Sverko Sub 44 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07
Mikael Ellertsson Sub 13 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Alfred Duncan Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
John Yeboah Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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