Jaguares de Córdoba v Alianza FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 27 September 2026 · COL-Primera A · 2627

COL-Primera A results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Jaguares de Córdoba

17:00

Alianza FC

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 517h before kick-off

Jaguares de Córdoba win

49.8%

model 47.1%

Draw

28.2%

model 28.5%

Alianza FC win

22.0%

model 24.4%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.5%
1-0 11.2%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-0 9.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	45.1%	Under 2.5	54.9%
BTTS yes	50.0%	BTTS no	50.0%
Jaguares de Córdoba 1+	77.2%	Jaguares de Córdoba 2+	43.5%
Alianza FC 1+	63.2%	Alianza FC 2+	26.4%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.00. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

2-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 68%

73.5% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2591 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Alianza FC not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 819 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

They have had 29 days' rest to Alianza FC's 24.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Jaguares de Córdoba have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 22.0% for Alianza FC. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.48 for Jaguares de Córdoba and 1.00 for Alianza FC.

Why Jaguares de Córdoba

They have had 29 days' rest to Alianza FC's 24.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. Draws run at 29% in this competition.

Why Alianza FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Alianza FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jaguares de Córdoba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jaguares de Córdoba: 41% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza FC: 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Jaguares de Córdoba are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.5%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472824	1.48–1.00	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	463024	1.38–0.93	1-1 14%	41%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to win	46.0%	47.4%	45.9%	1.03×	2.11
Draw	29.8%	27.9%	29.5%	0.95×	3.59
Alianza FC to win	24.2%	24.5%	24.8%	0.99×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba & not both score	28.3%	25.2%	27.1%	0.93×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
Jaguares de Córdoba & both teams score	17.7%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
Alianza FC & not both score	14.1%	13.3%	13.5%	0.98×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.1%	13.3%	10.8%	1.22×	7.55
Alianza FC & both teams score	10.1%	13.3%	11.4%	1.16×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 3.5	35.0%	34.9%	35.7%	0.98×	2.87
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 1.5	33.5%	30.9%	33.9%	0.91×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	25.1%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.1%	26.0%	23.8%	1.09×	3.84
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 2.5	24.0%	21.6%	25.6%	0.85×	4.62
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.62
Alianza FC & under 3.5	19.7%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Alianza FC & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	16.4%	1.10×	5.56
Jaguares de Córdoba & under 1.5	12.5%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Alianza FC & under 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	12.1%	1.06×	7.77
Alianza FC & over 2.5	11.8%	12.9%	12.8%	1.01×	7.77
Jaguares de Córdoba & over 3.5	10.9%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	10.8%	1.19×	7.77
Alianza FC & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.92
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.92
Alianza FC & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	5.0%	0.95×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (1UP)	59.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Alianza FC (1UP)	40.1%	38.9%	—	—	2.57

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (2UP)	46.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Alianza FC (2UP)	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Jaguares de Córdoba to win 2nd half	37.0%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Alianza FC to win 2nd half	23.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (+2.5)	91.5%	92.1%	91.8%	1.00×	1.09
Alianza FC (+1.5)	77.4%	78.5%	79.6%	0.99×	1.28
Jaguares de Córdoba (+0.5)	75.8%	78.4%	75.2%	1.04×	1.28
Alianza FC (+0.5)	54.0%	52.4%	54.1%	0.97×	1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba (-0.5)	46.0%	47.6%	45.9%	1.04×	2.10
Alianza FC (-0.5)	24.2%	21.6%	24.8%	0.87×	4.64
Jaguares de Córdoba (-1.5)	22.6%	21.5%	20.4%	1.05×	4.64
Jaguares de Córdoba (-2.5)	8.5%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to concede	74.7%	76.5%	75.8%	1.01×	1.31
Alianza FC clean sheet	25.3%	23.5%	24.2%	0.97×	4.26

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC clean sheet in 1st half	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Alianza FC to concede in 1st half	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 6.5 corners	80.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Alianza FC over 2.5 corners	74.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Alianza FC under 5.5 corners	70.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Alianza FC over 3.5 corners	58.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Alianza FC under 4.5 corners	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Alianza FC over 4.5 corners	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Alianza FC under 3.5 corners	41.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Alianza FC over 5.5 corners	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Alianza FC under 2.5 corners	25.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Alianza FC over 6.5 corners	19.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 3.5 goals	98.5%	97.6%	98.1%	0.99×	1.03
Alianza FC under 2.5 goals	93.2%	92.4%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Alianza FC under 1.5 goals	76.1%	76.2%	74.4%	1.02×	1.31
Alianza FC over 0.5 goals	60.6%	62.9%	62.2%	1.01×	1.59
Alianza FC under 0.5 goals	39.4%	37.1%	37.8%	0.98×	2.70
Alianza FC over 1.5 goals	23.9%	23.8%	25.6%	0.93×	4.21
Alianza FC over 2.5 goals	6.8%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.07
Alianza FC over 3.5 goals	1.5%	2.4%	1.9%	1.26×	40.90

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC under 1.5 in 1st half	94.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Alianza FC under 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Alianza FC over 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
Alianza FC over 1.5 in 1st half	5.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.26

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (away no bet)	60.7%	62.1%	60.9%	1.02×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	39.3%	37.9%	39.1%	0.97×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC even goals	57.8%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
Alianza FC odd goals	42.2%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.3%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.7%	8.0%	—	—	12.45

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	54.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	45.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	47.7%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 2+ in a row	33.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Alianza FC to score 2+ in a row	17.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+ in a row	11.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.28
Alianza FC to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	38.00

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+3.5)	84.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Alianza FC corners (+3.5)	82.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+2.5)	77.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Alianza FC corners (+2.5)	74.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (+1.5)	67.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Alianza FC corners (+1.5)	64.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-1.5)	35.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Alianza FC corners (-1.5)	32.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-2.5)	25.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Alianza FC corners (-2.5)	23.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Jaguares de Córdoba corners (-3.5)	17.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Alianza FC corners (-3.5)	15.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	68.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	38.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	31.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	23.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.9%	11.5%	13.1%	0.88×	8.73
1-0	12.5%	11.4%	12.1%	0.95×	8.74
0-0	11.1%	11.4%	10.8%	1.06×	8.74
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	11.0%	0.68×	13.47
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.5%	0.88×	13.47
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	7.0%	1.07×	13.47
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.8%	0.46×	58.50
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.52
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.51
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.33×	58.50
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.52
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.50
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.50
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.51
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.05×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	6.14×	58.52
4-0	1.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.52
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.46×	58.52
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	3.07×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	12.29×	58.52
Any other score	1.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT (DNB)	64.2%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Alianza FC leading at HT (DNB)	35.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1X)	75.8%	75.5%	75.2%	1.00×	1.32
Jaguares de Córdoba or Alianza FC (12)	70.2%	72.1%	70.5%	1.02×	1.39
Alianza FC or draw (X2)	54.0%	52.6%	54.1%	0.97×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw at HT	81.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Alianza FC or draw at HT	66.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Jaguares de Córdoba or Alianza FC at HT	52.6%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw (1UP)	75.8%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Alianza FC or draw (1UP)	54.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba or draw in 2nd half	76.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Alianza FC or draw in 2nd half	63.0%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Jaguares de Córdoba or Alianza FC in 2nd half	60.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.0%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.0%	30.5%	—	—	3.28

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (DNB)	65.5%	67.1%	65.0%	1.03×	1.49
Alianza FC (DNB)	34.5%	32.9%	35.0%	0.94×	3.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to score first	53.0%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Alianza FC to score first	35.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
No goal scored	11.1%	9.8%	—	—	10.24

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.5%	51.5%	51.2%	1.01×	1.94
Both teams to score	46.5%	48.5%	48.8%	0.99×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	45.5%	44.2%	43.1%	1.03×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	32.5%	34.3%	35.9%	0.96×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	13.9%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.4%	89.1%	88.7%	1.00×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.6%	10.9%	11.3%	0.97×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.3%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	20.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	10.9%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Both score in both halves	3.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.44

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.9%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.1%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	53.7%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A goal in each half	46.3%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.1%	47.4%	48.1%	0.99×	2.11
0-1 goals	31.7%	30.8%	31.2%	0.99×	3.25
4-6 goals	19.3%	20.2%	19.5%	1.04×	4.95
7+ goals	0.9%	1.8%	1.5%	1.19×	55.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to score exactly 0	39.4%	36.0%	37.8%	0.95×	2.78
Alianza FC to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
Alianza FC to score exactly 2	17.1%	19.5%	18.6%	1.05×	5.12
Alianza FC to score 3+	6.8%	8.5%	7.1%	1.19×	11.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 1	34.8%	32.7%	34.4%	0.95×	3.06
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 0	25.3%	26.5%	24.2%	1.10×	3.77
Jaguares de Córdoba to score exactly 2	23.9%	23.3%	26.1%	0.89×	4.30
Jaguares de Córdoba to score 3+	16.1%	18.9%	15.6%	1.21×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba leading at HT	33.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Alianza FC leading at HT	18.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba -1: 2	54.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Jaguares de Córdoba -1: X	23.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Jaguares de Córdoba -1: 1	22.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:1)	54.0%	51.2%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (0:1)	23.4%	24.3%	25.6%	0.95×	4.12
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:1)	22.6%	24.3%	20.4%	1.19×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:2)	77.4%	79.5%	79.6%	1.00×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.2%	11.0%	12.4%	0.89×	9.10
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:2)	8.5%	7.7%	8.2%	0.94×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:3)	91.5%	92.6%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.9%	5.8%	5.4%	1.07×	17.20
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	2.9%	0.81×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	97.1%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.39
Jaguares de Córdoba (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	1.08×	83.54

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (1:0)	75.8%	78.4%	75.2%	1.04×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	15.4%	17.0%	17.2%	0.99×	5.87
Alianza FC (1:0)	8.8%	6.9%	7.7%	0.91×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba (2:0)	91.2%	93.9%	92.4%	1.02×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	6.5%	6.4%	5.0%	1.29×	15.54
Alianza FC (2:0)	2.3%	2.3%	2.8%	0.81×	44.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Halves equal	29.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede	60.6%	63.3%	62.2%	1.02×	1.58
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet	39.4%	36.7%	37.8%	0.97×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half	68.9%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Jaguares de Córdoba to concede in 1st half	31.1%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 6.5 corners	78.4%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 corners	76.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Jaguares de Córdoba under 5.5 corners	67.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 corners	60.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Jaguares de Córdoba under 4.5 corners	54.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Jaguares de Córdoba over 4.5 corners	45.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 corners	39.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Jaguares de Córdoba over 5.5 corners	32.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 corners	23.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Jaguares de Córdoba over 6.5 corners	21.6%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 3.5 goals	94.9%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Jaguares de Córdoba under 2.5 goals	83.9%	82.1%	84.4%	0.97×	1.22
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 goals	74.7%	74.2%	75.8%	0.98×	1.35
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 goals	60.0%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 goals	40.0%	36.6%	41.6%	0.88×	2.73
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 goals	25.3%	25.8%	24.2%	1.07×	3.88
Jaguares de Córdoba over 2.5 goals	16.1%	17.9%	15.6%	1.15×	5.60
Jaguares de Córdoba over 3.5 goals	5.1%	7.7%	4.7%	1.63×	12.95

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half	88.1%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Jaguares de Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half	55.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Jaguares de Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half	44.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Jaguares de Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half	11.9%	10.1%	—	—	9.94

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	55.1%	56.7%	54.4%	1.04×	1.77
Alianza FC (home no bet)	44.9%	43.3%	45.6%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba even goals	53.2%	50.6%	53.4%	0.95×	1.98
Jaguares de Córdoba odd goals	46.8%	49.4%	46.6%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	38.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
HT 1-0	22.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	14.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
HT 2-0	6.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.18
Any other HT score	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.85
HT 0-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.87
HT 2-1	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.88
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.95
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	44.04

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT	27.1%	26.6%	—	—	3.75
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Alianza FC at HT / Alianza FC at FT	12.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Alianza FC at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Alianza FC at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Alianza FC at HT / Jaguares de Córdoba at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Jaguares de Córdoba at HT / Alianza FC at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba to score last	53.1%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Alianza FC to score last	35.7%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
No goal scored	11.1%	9.2%	—	—	10.93

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.9%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time	59.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	40.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Alianza FC to lead by 1 at any time	40.1%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time	27.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Alianza FC to lead by 2 at any time	12.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Jaguares de Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.66
Alianza FC to lead by 3 at any time	3.1%	1.6%	—	—	63.38

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba most corners	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Alianza FC most corners	42.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	85.7%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	68.7%	69.0%	68.4%	1.01×	1.45
2-6 goals	67.3%	69.0%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	65.2%	69.0%	65.4%	1.06×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.2%	59.7%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	48.3%	48.7%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06
2-3 goals	48.1%	48.7%	48.1%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	39.6%	39.2%	42.6%	0.92×	2.55
3-5 goals	37.5%	39.2%	40.5%	0.97×	2.55
3-4 goals	32.1%	35.4%	34.8%	1.02×	2.83
4-6 goals	19.3%	18.6%	19.5%	0.96×	5.37
4-5 goals	17.2%	18.6%	17.4%	1.07×	5.37
5-6 goals	7.5%	8.7%	7.9%	1.10×	11.43
7+ goals	0.9%	2.5%	1.5%	1.66×	39.48

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jaguares de Córdoba never behind	48.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Alianza FC never behind	29.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.1%	50.8%	50.3%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.9%	49.2%	49.7%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.0%	95.5%	96.4%	0.99×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	90.7%	1.02×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.9%	87.7%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	79.8%	77.4%	79.1%	0.98×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	68.3%	66.2%	68.8%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	59.4%	58.8%	56.1%	1.05×	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	40.6%	41.2%	44.0%	0.94×	2.43
Under 1.5 goals	31.7%	33.8%	31.2%	1.08×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	20.2%	22.6%	20.9%	1.08×	4.42
Under 0.5 goals	11.1%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	9.3%	0.83×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	3.0%	4.5%	3.6%	1.24×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.0%	97.3%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.8%	97.2%	96.2%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	90.4%	92.5%	89.5%	1.03×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	74.6%	72.6%	72.9%	1.00×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	56.1%	55.5%	58.5%	0.95×	1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	43.9%	44.5%	41.5%	1.07×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	25.4%	27.4%	27.1%	1.01×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	9.6%	7.5%	10.5%	0.72×	13.25
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	3.2%	2.8%	3.8%	0.72×	36.32
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.0%	2.7%	1.6%	1.76×	36.39

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	92.6%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	74.7%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	61.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	38.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	25.3%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Over 2.5 in 1st half	7.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.5%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to score in both halves	86.7%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Jaguares de Córdoba not to score in both halves	75.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Jaguares de Córdoba to score in both halves	24.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Alianza FC to score in both halves	13.3%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.5%	50.4%	48.8%	1.03×	1.99
Only Jaguares de Córdoba scores	28.3%	26.2%	27.1%	0.96×	3.82
Only Alianza FC scores	14.1%	11.0%	13.5%	0.81×	9.13
Neither team scores	11.1%	10.9%	10.8%	1.01×	9.14

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.7%	25.0%	25.0%	1.00×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	20.6%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	20.4%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	11.8%	12.1%	11.7%	1.03×	8.29
Exactly 0 goals	11.1%	12.1%	10.8%	1.11×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	5.4%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.10
6 or more goals	3.0%	4.4%	3.6%	1.22×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	39.2%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
1 goal in 2nd half	34.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	26.5%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to win both halves	95.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win both halves	87.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Jaguares de Córdoba to win both halves	12.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Alianza FC to win both halves	4.5%	2.8%	—	—	35.15

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC to win neither half	62.4%	65.2%	—	—	1.53
Jaguares de Córdoba to win either half	58.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Jaguares de Córdoba to win neither half	41.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Alianza FC to win either half	37.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Alianza FC not to win to nil	85.9%	88.2%	86.5%	1.02×	1.13
Jaguares de Córdoba not to win to nil	71.7%	75.3%	72.9%	1.03×	1.33
Jaguares de Córdoba to win to nil	28.3%	24.7%	27.1%	0.91×	4.04
Alianza FC to win to nil	14.1%	11.8%	13.5%	0.88×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.8%	27.8%	29.5%	0.94×	3.59
Jaguares de Córdoba by 1	23.4%	24.2%	25.6%	0.94×	4.14
Alianza FC by 1	15.4%	16.9%	17.2%	0.98×	5.90
Jaguares de Córdoba by 2	14.2%	11.8%	12.4%	0.95×	8.47
Jaguares de Córdoba by 3+	8.5%	7.3%	8.2%	0.88×	13.79
Alianza FC by 2	6.5%	7.2%	5.0%	1.45×	13.80
Alianza FC by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	2.8%	0.97×	37.06