JEF United Ichihara-Chiba v Gamba Osaka — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 September 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

05:00

Gamba Osaka

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 1h before kick-off

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba win

18.5%

model 19.4%

Draw

20.5%

model 20.2%

Gamba Osaka win

61.0%

model 60.5%

192161

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.8%
1-1 9.1%
0-2 8.8%
0-1 8.3%
1-3 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.1%	Under 2.5	36.9%
BTTS yes	59.4%	BTTS no	40.6%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1+	67.5%	JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2+	31.0%
Gamba Osaka 1+	88.1%	Gamba Osaka 2+	62.8%

Expected goals 1.12 – 2.13. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 32%

63.3% fair odds 1.58

strong signal · 789 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.9% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Gamba Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1343.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Gamba Osaka have an estimated 61.0% win probability, against 20.5% for the draw and 18.5% for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.12 for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba and 2.13 for Gamba Osaka.

Why JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

Nothing in the data singles out JEF United Ichihara-Chiba.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.5%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Gamba Osaka can win

Gamba Osaka carry the stronger rating, 1530 Elo against 1343.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gamba Osaka, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: 48% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gamba Osaka: 56% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Gamba Osaka are the model's most likely outcome at 61.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.8%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	192060	1.12–2.13	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	202060	1.19–2.18	1-2 10%	65%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win	60.1%	58.1%	31.0%	1.87×	1.72
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win	20.0%	24.4%	42.9%	0.57×	4.09
Draw	19.9%	19.4%	26.3%	0.74×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka & both teams score	32.9%	29.7%	13.4%	2.21×	3.37
Gamba Osaka & not both score	27.2%	25.2%	17.7%	1.42×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.6%	17.9%	19.3%	0.93×	5.58
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & both teams score	12.1%	13.3%	18.0%	0.73×	7.54
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & not both score	7.9%	8.4%	25.0%	0.34×	11.93
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka & over 1.5	52.5%	48.7%	21.2%	2.30×	2.05
Gamba Osaka & over 2.5	44.3%	40.3%	17.9%	2.26×	2.48
Gamba Osaka & under 3.5	31.5%	30.9%	23.4%	1.32×	3.24
Gamba Osaka & over 3.5	28.6%	26.0%	7.8%	3.36×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & over 1.5	15.8%	18.0%	30.2%	0.60×	5.56
Gamba Osaka & under 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	13.3%	1.35×	5.56
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & over 2.5	13.4%	12.9%	23.1%	0.56×	7.77
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & under 3.5	12.9%	12.9%	33.1%	0.39×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	12.2%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Gamba Osaka & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & under 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	12.8%	0.37×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (1UP)	74.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (1UP)	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (2UP)	60.1%	67.4%	—	—	1.49
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (2UP)	20.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win 2nd half	51.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	28.8%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win 2nd half	19.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (+2.5)	97.6%	96.3%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Gamba Osaka (+1.5)	92.3%	92.1%	82.0%	1.12×	1.09
Gamba Osaka (+0.5)	80.0%	78.5%	57.1%	1.37×	1.28
Gamba Osaka (-0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	31.0%	2.03×	1.59
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (+0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	69.0%	0.54×	2.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (-0.5)	20.0%	21.5%	42.9%	0.50×	4.64
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (-1.5)	7.7%	7.9%	18.0%	0.44×	12.63
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (-2.5)	2.4%	3.7%	6.2%	0.60×	26.92

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to concede	69.5%	72.6%	75.3%	0.96×	1.38
Gamba Osaka clean sheet	30.5%	27.4%	24.7%	1.11×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka clean sheet in 1st half	60.0%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Gamba Osaka to concede in 1st half	40.0%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 6.5 corners	80.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 corners	78.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Gamba Osaka under 5.5 corners	69.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 corners	62.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Gamba Osaka under 4.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Gamba Osaka over 4.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 corners	38.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Gamba Osaka over 5.5 corners	30.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 corners	21.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Gamba Osaka over 6.5 corners	19.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 goals	88.7%	87.9%	68.0%	1.29×	1.14
Gamba Osaka under 3.5 goals	82.3%	81.4%	95.9%	0.85×	1.23
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 goals	64.1%	63.0%	31.8%	1.98×	1.59
Gamba Osaka under 2.5 goals	62.8%	63.0%	87.8%	0.72×	1.59
Gamba Osaka over 2.5 goals	37.2%	37.0%	12.2%	3.04×	2.70
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 goals	35.9%	37.0%	68.2%	0.54×	2.70
Gamba Osaka over 3.5 goals	17.7%	18.6%	4.1%	4.52×	5.38
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 goals	11.3%	12.1%	32.0%	0.38×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka under 1.5 in 1st half	78.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Gamba Osaka over 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Gamba Osaka under 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Gamba Osaka over 1.5 in 1st half	21.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (away no bet)	50.2%	51.2%	62.0%	0.83×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	49.8%	48.8%	38.0%	1.29×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka even goals	50.6%	52.8%	54.4%	0.97×	1.89
Gamba Osaka odd goals	49.4%	47.2%	45.6%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.2%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.8%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	68.3%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Gamba Osaka to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Gamba Osaka to score 3+ in a row	26.1%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.85

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Gamba Osaka corners (+3.5)	83.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (+2.5)	78.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Gamba Osaka corners (+2.5)	75.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (+1.5)	69.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Gamba Osaka corners (+1.5)	65.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (-1.5)	34.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Gamba Osaka corners (-1.5)	30.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (-2.5)	24.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Gamba Osaka corners (-2.5)	21.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (-3.5)	16.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Gamba Osaka corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.4%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	30.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	24.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	66.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.8%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	33.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	32.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	13.4%	0.55×	13.48
1-2	9.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-1	7.6%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.48
0-2	8.2%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.48
1-3	7.1%	7.4%	2.4%	3.13×	13.48
Any other score	7.7%	7.4%	3.2%	2.34×	13.48
0-3	6.0%	7.4%	3.2%	2.34×	13.48
2-1	5.3%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.47
0-4	3.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.47
1-0	4.2%	1.7%	12.8%	0.13×	58.47
1-4	3.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.47
2-0	2.4%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.48
2-3	4.2%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.47
2-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.48
3-0	1.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.48
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.48
3-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.48
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.49
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.49
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.49
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka leading at HT (DNB)	67.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba leading at HT (DNB)	32.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Gamba Osaka (12)	80.1%	80.6%	73.7%	1.09×	1.24
Gamba Osaka or draw (X2)	80.0%	75.6%	57.1%	1.32×	1.32
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw (1X)	39.9%	41.9%	69.0%	0.61×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw at HT	79.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Gamba Osaka at HT	62.5%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw at HT	57.9%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw (1UP)	80.0%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw (1UP)	40.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka or draw in 2nd half	80.7%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Gamba Osaka in 2nd half	71.2%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw in 2nd half	48.1%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	44.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (DNB)	75.0%	74.5%	42.0%	1.78×	1.34
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (DNB)	25.0%	25.5%	58.0%	0.44×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score first	62.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score first	34.0%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.5%	56.5%	50.5%	1.12×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.5%	43.5%	49.5%	0.88×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.7%	47.1%	37.2%	1.27×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	25.8%	33.6%	40.0%	0.84×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	12.7%	12.3%	9.7%	1.28×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	13.4%	0.62×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.7%	80.0%	86.2%	0.93×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.3%	20.0%	13.8%	1.46×	4.99

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.1%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.2%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	8.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.68

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.7%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.6%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	35.4%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.4%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.0%	35.1%	21.0%	1.67×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.1%	20.2%	29.6%	0.68×	4.96
7+ goals	5.5%	7.6%	2.5%	2.99×	13.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score 3+	37.2%	36.0%	12.2%	2.95×	2.78
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	19.8%	1.39×	3.65
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 1	24.6%	22.4%	36.4%	0.62×	4.46
Gamba Osaka to score exactly 0	11.3%	12.8%	32.0%	0.40×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score exactly 1	36.2%	35.6%	36.4%	0.98×	2.81
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score exactly 0	30.5%	32.6%	24.7%	1.32×	3.06
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score exactly 2	21.5%	23.2%	24.4%	0.95×	4.30
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 3+	11.8%	14.3%	14.9%	0.96×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka leading at HT	42.1%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT	37.5%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba leading at HT	20.4%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka -1: 1	39.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Gamba Osaka -1: 2	37.5%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Gamba Osaka -1: X	22.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (0:1)	80.0%	74.0%	57.1%	1.29×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	12.3%	13.8%	25.0%	0.55×	7.23
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:1)	7.7%	9.2%	18.0%	0.51×	10.87

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (0:2)	92.3%	90.8%	82.0%	1.11×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	12.0%	0.64×	12.97
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:2)	2.4%	3.8%	6.2%	0.61×	26.62

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (0:3)	97.6%	96.6%	93.8%	1.03×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	4.3%	0.55×	42.19
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	2.1%	1.15×	42.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	97.9%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.4%	0.84×	83.63
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.8%	1.51×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (1:0)	39.9%	37.6%	69.0%	0.54×	2.66
Gamba Osaka (1:0)	37.5%	37.4%	11.9%	3.15×	2.68
Draw (1:0)	22.6%	21.8%	19.3%	1.13×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (2:0)	62.5%	66.8%	88.1%	0.76×	1.50
Gamba Osaka (2:0)	19.5%	15.7%	6.0%	2.62×	6.35
Draw (2:0)	18.0%	15.7%	6.0%	2.61×	6.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to concede	88.7%	86.2%	68.0%	1.27×	1.16
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet	11.3%	13.8%	32.0%	0.43×	7.24

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to concede in 1st half	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet in 1st half	41.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 2.5 corners	80.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 6.5 corners	78.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 5.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 3.5 corners	64.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 4.5 corners	51.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 4.5 corners	48.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 3.5 corners	35.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 5.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 6.5 corners	21.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 2.5 corners	19.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 3.5 goals	96.7%	96.4%	94.9%	1.02×	1.04
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 2.5 goals	88.2%	87.3%	85.1%	1.03×	1.15
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 0.5 goals	69.5%	67.9%	75.3%	0.90×	1.47
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 1.5 goals	66.7%	67.9%	60.9%	1.11×	1.47
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 1.5 goals	33.3%	32.1%	39.1%	0.82×	3.11
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 0.5 goals	30.5%	32.1%	24.7%	1.30×	3.11
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 2.5 goals	11.8%	12.7%	14.9%	0.86×	7.85
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 3.5 goals	3.3%	3.6%	5.1%	0.72×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 1.5 in 1st half	90.7%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 0.5 in 1st half	60.0%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 0.5 in 1st half	40.0%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 1.5 in 1st half	9.3%	4.8%	—	—	21.03

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka (home no bet)	75.1%	78.4%	54.1%	1.45×	1.28
Draw (home no bet)	24.9%	21.6%	45.9%	0.47×	4.64

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba even goals	54.7%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.97
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba odd goals	45.3%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	7.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-2	4.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.25
HT 2-0	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	36.3%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT / JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at FT	11.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at FT	7.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT / Gamba Osaka at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Gamba Osaka at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Gamba Osaka at HT / JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to score last	62.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score last	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Gamba Osaka to lead by 1 at any time	74.2%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	58.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Gamba Osaka to lead by 2 at any time	45.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to lead by 1 at any time	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Gamba Osaka to lead by 3 at any time	23.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to lead by 2 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.63

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba most corners	46.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Gamba Osaka most corners	41.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.5%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.3%	78.6%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.7%	72.4%	81.8%	0.89×	1.38
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.2%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
3-6 goals	59.9%	59.2%	44.3%	1.34×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.2%	53.2%	69.6%	0.76×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.9%	53.2%	41.3%	1.29×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.4%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	35.6%	1.22×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.0%	39.2%	21.0%	1.86×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.2%	35.4%	46.4%	0.76×	2.83
4-5 goals	31.0%	35.4%	18.0%	1.96×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.5%	18.6%	8.9%	2.10×	5.37
7+ goals	5.5%	8.7%	2.5%	3.45×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka never behind	56.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba never behind	22.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	46.8%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	53.2%	0.92×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	92.9%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	94.5%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	70.4%	1.17×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.0%	77.3%	88.8%	0.87×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	65.4%	66.2%	46.7%	1.42×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.5%	58.8%	76.6%	0.77×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	43.5%	41.2%	23.4%	1.76×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	34.6%	33.8%	53.3%	0.63×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	25.0%	22.7%	11.2%	2.02×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	29.6%	0.60×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	5.5%	2.23×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.1%	92.5%	97.4%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.7%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.2%	81.0%	61.2%	1.32×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.3%	67.4%	87.2%	0.77×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.7%	55.4%	30.5%	1.82×	1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.3%	44.6%	69.5%	0.64×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.7%	32.6%	12.8%	2.55×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.8%	19.0%	38.8%	0.49×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.3%	13.3%	5.9%	2.26×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.9%	7.5%	2.6%	2.89×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.9%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.8%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.2%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.1%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.30

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.3%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	59.0%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.7%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba not to score in both halves	80.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Gamba Osaka not to score in both halves	57.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Gamba Osaka to score in both halves	42.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score in both halves	19.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.5%	60.2%	50.5%	1.19×	1.66
Only Gamba Osaka scores	27.2%	26.1%	17.7%	1.47×	3.83
Only JEF United Ichihara-Chiba scores	7.9%	7.2%	25.0%	0.29×	13.90
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	7.1%	0.64×	21.85

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.4%	17.4%	23.9%	0.73×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.5%	17.4%	12.3%	1.41×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	5.9%	2.06×	8.27
6 or more goals	12.5%	12.1%	5.5%	2.18×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	11.8%	12.1%	22.6%	0.53×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	7.1%	0.62×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	59.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.7%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Gamba Osaka not to win both halves	78.2%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Gamba Osaka to win both halves	21.8%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka to win either half	72.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win neither half	64.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win either half	35.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Gamba Osaka to win neither half	27.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba not to win to nil	92.1%	92.0%	75.0%	1.23×	1.09
Gamba Osaka not to win to nil	72.8%	75.3%	82.3%	0.92×	1.33
Gamba Osaka to win to nil	27.2%	24.7%	17.7%	1.39×	4.05
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win to nil	7.9%	8.0%	25.0%	0.32×	12.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gamba Osaka by 1	22.6%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.14
Draw	19.9%	16.9%	26.3%	0.64×	5.91
Gamba Osaka by 3+	19.5%	16.9%	6.0%	2.82×	5.91
Gamba Osaka by 2	18.0%	16.9%	6.0%	2.82×	5.91
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba by 1	12.3%	11.8%	25.0%	0.47×	8.48
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba by 2	5.3%	7.3%	12.0%	0.60×	13.79
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba by 3+	2.4%	2.7%	6.2%	0.44×	37.01