Jong FC Utrecht v VVV-Venlo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Jong FC Utrecht

14:00

VVV-Venlo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 274h before kick-off

Jong FC Utrecht win

36.7%

model 36.4%

Draw

20.7%

model 23.0%

VVV-Venlo win

42.6%

model 40.6%

372143

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-2 8.7%
2-1 8.1%
0-1 8.1%
1-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.4%	Under 2.5	41.6%
BTTS yes	60.3%	BTTS no	39.7%
Jong FC Utrecht 1+	77.0%	Jong FC Utrecht 2+	43.1%
VVV-Venlo 1+	79.0%	VVV-Venlo 2+	46.3%

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.56. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-4 goals

Multi goal · usually 74%

78.9% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 2095 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

VVV-Venlo (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 76%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

VVV-Venlo carry the stronger rating, 1445 Elo against 1315.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

VVV-Venlo have an estimated 42.6% win probability, against 36.7% for Jong FC Utrecht and 20.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for Jong FC Utrecht and 1.56 for VVV-Venlo.

Why Jong FC Utrecht

Nothing in the data singles out Jong FC Utrecht.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.47 to 1.56. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why VVV-Venlo can win

VVV-Venlo carry the stronger rating, 1445 Elo against 1315. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Jong FC Utrecht, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for VVV-Venlo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Jong FC Utrecht: 44% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. VVV-Venlo: 44% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 20.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong FC Utrecht's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

VVV-Venlo are the model's most likely outcome at 42.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	362341	1.47–1.56	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	342442	1.32–1.50	1-1 11%	53%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win	42.2%	43.0%	33.5%	1.29×	2.33
Jong FC Utrecht to win	33.9%	30.4%	44.4%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	23.9%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo & not both score	21.4%	21.9%	13.9%	1.57×	4.57
VVV-Venlo & both teams score	20.8%	21.9%	19.7%	1.11×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Jong FC Utrecht & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	21.6%	0.83×	5.58
Jong FC Utrecht & not both score	16.9%	17.9%	22.9%	0.78×	5.58
Draw & not both score	5.4%	8.4%	4.7%	1.77×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo & over 1.5	32.6%	30.9%	27.2%	1.13×	3.24
VVV-Venlo & under 3.5	28.5%	26.0%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
VVV-Venlo & over 2.5	25.9%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Jong FC Utrecht & over 1.5	25.4%	26.0%	36.8%	0.71×	3.84
Jong FC Utrecht & under 3.5	23.7%	21.7%	25.9%	0.84×	4.62
Jong FC Utrecht & over 2.5	20.2%	21.7%	30.6%	0.71×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
VVV-Venlo & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	10.0%	1.81×	5.56
Jong FC Utrecht & under 2.5	13.6%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
VVV-Venlo & over 3.5	13.7%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.77
Jong FC Utrecht & over 3.5	10.2%	12.9%	18.7%	0.69×	7.77
VVV-Venlo & under 1.5	9.6%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.69
Jong FC Utrecht & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.3%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	4.7%	1.67×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (1UP)	58.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Jong FC Utrecht (1UP)	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (2UP)	42.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Jong FC Utrecht (2UP)	33.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win 2nd half	37.2%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	34.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Jong FC Utrecht to win 2nd half	28.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (+2.5)	94.9%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
VVV-Venlo (+1.5)	85.4%	88.5%	75.6%	1.17×	1.13
VVV-Venlo (+0.5)	66.1%	68.7%	55.6%	1.24×	1.46
Jong FC Utrecht (+0.5)	57.8%	57.0%	66.5%	0.86×	1.75
VVV-Venlo (-0.5)	42.2%	43.0%	33.5%	1.28×	2.33
Jong FC Utrecht (-0.5)	33.9%	31.3%	44.4%	0.70×	3.20
Jong FC Utrecht (-1.5)	14.6%	11.5%	24.4%	0.47×	8.69
Jong FC Utrecht (-2.5)	5.1%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to concede	73.2%	76.5%	81.5%	0.94×	1.31
VVV-Venlo clean sheet	26.8%	23.5%	18.5%	1.27×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 1st half	56.8%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
VVV-Venlo to concede in 1st half	43.2%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 corners	81.9%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
VVV-Venlo under 6.5 corners	75.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 corners	67.2%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
VVV-Venlo under 5.5 corners	63.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
VVV-Venlo over 4.5 corners	51.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
VVV-Venlo under 4.5 corners	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VVV-Venlo over 5.5 corners	36.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 corners	32.8%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
VVV-Venlo over 6.5 corners	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 corners	18.1%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	93.0%	0.99×	1.08
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 goals	80.9%	81.4%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 goals	77.7%	76.2%	72.5%	1.05×	1.31
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 goals	55.8%	59.5%	58.1%	1.02×	1.68
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 goals	44.2%	40.5%	41.9%	0.97×	2.47
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 goals	22.3%	23.8%	27.5%	0.86×	4.21
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 goals	19.1%	18.6%	18.5%	1.00×	5.38
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	7.0%	1.10×	13.05

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (away no bet)	58.6%	57.5%	66.6%	0.86×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.4%	42.5%	33.4%	1.27×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo even goals	52.5%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.89
VVV-Venlo odd goals	47.5%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.7%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.1%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
VVV-Venlo to score 2+ in a row	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Jong FC Utrecht to score 2+ in a row	28.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
VVV-Venlo to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Jong FC Utrecht to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.7%	—	—	17.60

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+3.5)	85.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
VVV-Venlo corners (+3.5)	81.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+2.5)	78.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
VVV-Venlo corners (+2.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Jong FC Utrecht corners (+1.5)	69.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
VVV-Venlo corners (+1.5)	63.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-1.5)	37.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
VVV-Venlo corners (-1.5)	30.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-2.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
VVV-Venlo corners (-2.5)	21.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Jong FC Utrecht corners (-3.5)	19.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
VVV-Venlo corners (-3.5)	14.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	32.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	74.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	52.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	26.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	24.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.73
0-1	9.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
1-0	8.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
1-2	8.9%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-2	6.7%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.48
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
0-0	5.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
2-2	5.8%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.47
0-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.48
1-3	4.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.46
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.48
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-0	2.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.48
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.47
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.48
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.48
3-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
4-0	0.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.49
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo leading at HT (DNB)	51.9%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Jong FC Utrecht leading at HT (DNB)	48.1%	44.2%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht or VVV-Venlo (12)	76.1%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
VVV-Venlo or draw (X2)	66.1%	69.6%	55.6%	1.25×	1.44
Jong FC Utrecht or draw (1X)	57.8%	57.0%	66.5%	0.86×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw at HT	72.3%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Jong FC Utrecht or draw at HT	70.2%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Jong FC Utrecht or VVV-Venlo at HT	57.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw (1UP)	66.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Jong FC Utrecht or draw (1UP)	57.8%	62.7%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw in 2nd half	71.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Jong FC Utrecht or VVV-Venlo in 2nd half	65.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Jong FC Utrecht or draw in 2nd half	62.8%	63.9%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (DNB)	55.5%	58.2%	43.0%	1.35×	1.72
Jong FC Utrecht (DNB)	44.5%	41.8%	57.0%	0.73×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score first	50.4%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Jong FC Utrecht to score first	44.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.2%	54.9%	58.7%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.8%	45.1%	41.3%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	45.0%	41.6%	49.3%	0.85×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.4%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.4%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.3%	83.1%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.7%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.6%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Both score 1st half only	13.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	6.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.80

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.6%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.4%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.3%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.6%	26.5%	37.3%	0.71×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.5%	22.8%	18.5%	1.23×	4.38
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	3.2%	0.57×	54.55

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 1	33.5%	33.8%	30.7%	1.10×	2.96
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 2	25.1%	27.4%	23.5%	1.17×	3.65
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 0	22.3%	22.4%	27.5%	0.82×	4.46
VVV-Venlo to score 3+	19.1%	19.6%	18.5%	1.06×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.6%	30.5%	1.17×	2.81
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 0	26.8%	26.5%	18.5%	1.43×	3.77
Jong FC Utrecht to score exactly 2	23.2%	23.2%	25.9%	0.90×	4.30
Jong FC Utrecht to score 3+	14.6%	14.3%	25.4%	0.57×	6.97

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
VVV-Venlo leading at HT	29.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Jong FC Utrecht leading at HT	27.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo -1: 1	57.8%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
VVV-Venlo -1: X	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
VVV-Venlo -1: 2	20.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:1)	66.1%	65.4%	55.6%	1.18×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.3%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.63
Jong FC Utrecht (0:1)	14.6%	13.9%	24.4%	0.57×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:2)	85.4%	86.9%	75.6%	1.15×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	12.6%	0.62×	12.93
Jong FC Utrecht (0:2)	5.1%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:3)	94.9%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.10
Jong FC Utrecht (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	4.4%	0.27×	83.55
Jong FC Utrecht (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.65

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (1:0)	57.8%	58.1%	66.5%	0.87×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	21.9%	21.8%	18.2%	1.20×	4.59
VVV-Venlo (1:0)	20.3%	21.8%	15.4%	1.41×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht (2:0)	79.7%	80.4%	84.6%	0.95×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	12.4%	10.4%	8.8%	1.18×	9.63
VVV-Venlo (2:0)	7.9%	6.5%	6.7%	0.96×	15.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.1%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht to concede	77.7%	76.0%	72.5%	1.05×	1.32
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet	22.3%	24.0%	27.5%	0.87×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Jong FC Utrecht to concede in 1st half	45.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht over 2.5 corners	84.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Jong FC Utrecht under 6.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Jong FC Utrecht over 3.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Jong FC Utrecht under 5.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Jong FC Utrecht over 4.5 corners	56.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Jong FC Utrecht under 4.5 corners	44.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Jong FC Utrecht over 5.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Jong FC Utrecht under 3.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Jong FC Utrecht over 6.5 corners	28.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Jong FC Utrecht under 2.5 corners	15.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 3.5 goals	95.5%	96.4%	89.8%	1.07×	1.04
Jong FC Utrecht under 2.5 goals	85.4%	87.2%	74.6%	1.17×	1.15
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 goals	73.2%	74.2%	81.5%	0.91×	1.35
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 goals	62.2%	63.5%	48.9%	1.30×	1.58
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 goals	37.8%	36.5%	51.1%	0.71×	2.74
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 goals	26.8%	25.8%	18.5%	1.39×	3.87
Jong FC Utrecht over 2.5 goals	14.6%	12.8%	25.4%	0.50×	7.84
Jong FC Utrecht over 3.5 goals	4.5%	3.6%	10.2%	0.36×	27.41

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Jong FC Utrecht under 0.5 in 1st half	56.8%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Jong FC Utrecht over 0.5 in 1st half	43.2%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Jong FC Utrecht over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	10.2%	—	—	9.82

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (home no bet)	63.8%	60.2%	60.0%	1.00×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	36.2%	39.8%	40.0%	1.00×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht even goals	53.6%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Jong FC Utrecht odd goals	46.4%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 0-1	18.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	17.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	5.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.24
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.30
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	23.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
VVV-Venlo at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Jong FC Utrecht at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
VVV-Venlo at HT / Jong FC Utrecht at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score last	50.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Jong FC Utrecht to score last	44.2%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
VVV-Venlo to lead by 1 at any time	58.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 1 at any time	51.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
VVV-Venlo to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 2 at any time	20.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
VVV-Venlo to lead by 3 at any time	10.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Jong FC Utrecht to lead by 3 at any time	6.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.09

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht most corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VVV-Venlo most corners	41.0%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.0%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.6%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.1%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.5%	63.4%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.9%	53.2%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.8%	48.7%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.2%	43.6%	33.2%	1.31×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.9%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.6%	30.3%	37.3%	0.81×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.5%	24.5%	31.5%	0.78×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.0%	14.9%	18.2%	0.82×	6.72
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	3.2%	0.79×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo never behind	43.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Jong FC Utrecht never behind	36.0%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.6%	82.4%	78.7%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	76.6%	77.3%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.9%	66.2%	59.6%	1.11×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.4%	52.5%	62.2%	0.84×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.6%	47.5%	37.8%	1.26×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.1%	33.8%	40.4%	0.84×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	23.5%	22.7%	18.5%	1.22×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.4%	17.6%	21.3%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	4.7%	1.64×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.7%	92.5%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.7%	81.0%	73.7%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.5%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.0%	55.5%	48.3%	1.15×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.0%	44.5%	51.7%	0.86×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.5%	32.6%	23.0%	1.42×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.3%	19.0%	26.3%	0.72×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.3%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.9%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to score in both halves	77.2%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
VVV-Venlo not to score in both halves	73.3%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
VVV-Venlo to score in both halves	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Jong FC Utrecht to score in both halves	22.8%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.2%	58.4%	58.7%	0.99×	1.71
Only VVV-Venlo scores	21.4%	22.3%	13.9%	1.60×	4.48
Only Jong FC Utrecht scores	16.9%	16.1%	22.9%	0.70×	6.22
Neither team scores	5.4%	7.2%	4.7%	1.52×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.2%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.0%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.8%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.4%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.9%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.0%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to win both halves	92.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
VVV-Venlo not to win both halves	89.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
VVV-Venlo to win both halves	11.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.30
Jong FC Utrecht to win both halves	7.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win either half	56.0%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Jong FC Utrecht to win neither half	51.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Jong FC Utrecht to win either half	48.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
VVV-Venlo to win neither half	44.0%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong FC Utrecht not to win to nil	83.1%	83.0%	77.1%	1.08×	1.20
VVV-Venlo not to win to nil	78.6%	78.1%	86.1%	0.91×	1.28
VVV-Venlo to win to nil	21.4%	21.9%	13.9%	1.58×	4.56
Jong FC Utrecht to win to nil	16.9%	17.0%	22.9%	0.74×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.9%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
VVV-Venlo by 1	21.9%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.14
Jong FC Utrecht by 1	19.3%	16.9%	20.1%	0.84×	5.91
VVV-Venlo by 2	12.4%	11.8%	8.8%	1.34×	8.48
Jong FC Utrecht by 2	9.6%	7.3%	12.6%	0.58×	13.77
VVV-Venlo by 3+	7.9%	7.3%	6.7%	1.08×	13.78
Jong FC Utrecht by 3+	5.1%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.79